Retail Sales Forecasting

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Exploratory Data Analysis
Data Preparation & Pre-processing
Correlation Analysis
Sales trend over the months
Sales trend over days
Conclusion of EDA
Time Series Analysis & Predictive
Modelling
Checking Stationarity of the data
Seasonal decomposition of the data
Data Preparation & Pre-processing
Treatment of Missing values & Joining Train and Store
data
There are in total 1115 stores with sales
feature having 3849.93 volatility and
feature customers having 464.41 volatility
with a mean of 57773.82 and 633.15
respectively.
Checking days when the stores were closed & whether there was a
school holiday when the store was closed
Distribution of sales and customers across store types
Forecasting a Time Series
Forecasting a Time Series
Model 1: Holt Winter’s
Autocorrelation plots
Hyper parameter tuning ARIMA model
Model2. ARIMA
Checking diagnostic plots- SARIMA
Model 4 – FB Prophet
Model Evaluation
Model Evaluation
Business recommendations and next steps