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©2005 Prentice Hall Business Publishing, © 2014 Pearson


Introduction Education, Inc.
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Chapter 11

Capital
Budgeting

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Chapter 11 Learning Objectives

1. Describe capital-budgeting decisions and use the net-


present-value (NPV) method to make such decisions.

2. Use sensitivity analysis to evaluate the effect of changes


in predictions on investment decisions.

3. Calculate the NPV difference between two projects using


both the total project and differential approaches.

4. Identify relevant cash flows for NPV analyses.

5. Compute the after-tax net present values of projects.

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Chapter 11 Learning Objectives

6. Explain the after-tax effect on cash received from the


disposal of assets.

7. Use the payback model and the accounting rate-of-return


model and compare them with the NPV model.

8. Reconcile the conflict between using an NPV model for


making decisions and using accounting income for
evaluating the related performance.

9. Compute the impact of inflation on a capital-budgeting


project (Appendix 11).

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Learning
Objective 1 Capital Budgeting

Capital budgeting describes the


long-term planning for making and
financing major long-term projects.

1. Identify potential investments.

2. Choose an investment.

3. Follow-up or “post audit.”


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The long-term planning for long-term
investment decisions such as :
(1)investment in new equipment,
(2) replacement of assets
(3) expansion of facilities
(4) Investment in employee training
programs,
(5) expenditures to improve process
efficiency and reduce future costs

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Capital Budgeting Models :
Discounted-Cash-Flow Models
(DCF)

These models focus on a project’s cash


inflows and outflows while taking into
account the time value of money
“The value of a dollar today is greater than the value
of a dollar to be received in the future”

DCF models compare the value


of today’s cash outflows with the
value of the future cash inflows.
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Net Present Value Model

The net-present-value (NPV) method computes


the present value of all expected future cash
flows using a minimum desired rate of return.

The minimum desired rate of return depends on


the risk-the higher the risk, the higher the rate.

The required rate of return (also called hurdle


rate or discount rate) is the minimum desired
rate of return based on the firm’s cost of capital.

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Applying the NPV Method

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NPV Example

Original investment (cash outflow): $5,827

Useful life: four years

Annual income generated from


investment (cash inflow): $2,000

Minimum desired rate of return: 10%

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NPV Example

Present
Value
of $1 Total Sketch of Cash
Discounted Present Flows at End of Year
At 10% Value 0 1 2 3 4
Approach 1: Discounting Cash Flows
Cash flows
Annual savings .9091 $1,818 2,000
.8264 1,653 2,000
.7513 1,503 2,000
.6830 1,366 2,000
Present value of
Future inflows $6,340
Initial Outlay 1.0000 (5,827) $(5,827)
Net present value $ 513

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NPV Example

Because the four annual cash flows in the


example are all equal, this table can be used to
make one PV computation instead of four
individual computations.

Approach 2: Using an Annuity Table


Sketch of Cash Flows at End of Year
0 1 2 3 4
Annual Savings 3.1699 $6,340 $2,000 $2,000 $2,000 $2,000
Initial Outlay 1.0000 (5,827) $(5,827)
Net present value $ 513

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Assumptions of the NPV Model

Two Major Assumptions

World of certainty.

There are perfect


capital markets.

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Decision Rules

Managers determine the sum of


the present values of all expected
cash flows from the project.

If the sum of the present values is


positive, the project is desirable.

If the sum of the present values is


negative, the project is unattractive.
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Internal Rate of Return Model

The IRR determines the interest rate


at which the NPV equals zero.

If IRR > minimum desired rate of return,


then NPV > 0 and accept the project.

If IRR < minimum desired rate of return,


then NPV < 0 and reject the project.

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Real Option Model

This model recognizes the value


of contingent investments.

Contingent investments are


investments that a company
can adjust as it learns more
about their potential for success.

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Learning
Objective 2 Sensitivity Analysis

Sensitivity analysis shows the financial


consequences that would occur if
actual cash inflows and outflows
differ from those expected.

Managers often use sensitivity


analysis to deal with uncertainty, to
answer the what-if questions.

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Sensitivity Analysis Example

Suppose that a manager knows that the


actual cash inflows in the previous example
could fall below the predicted level of $2,000.

How far below $2,000 must the annual cash


inflow drop before the NPV becomes negative?

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Sensitivity Analysis Example

(Discounted Cash inflow) –cash outflow = 0


NPV = 0

(3.1699 × Cash flow) – $5,827 = 0

Cash flow = $5,827 ÷ 3.1699 = $1,838

If the annual cash flow is less than $1,838, the NPV


is negative, and the project should be rejected.

Annual cash inflows can drop only


$2,000 – $1,838 = $162 or 8.1% (=162/2000 x100%)

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Learning
Objective 3 Comparison of Two Projects

Two common methods for


comparing alternatives are:

Total project
approach

Differential
approach

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Total Project Approach

The total project approach computes the


total impact on cash flows for each
alternative and then converts these
total cash flows to their present values.

The alternative with the largest


NPV of total cash flows is best.

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Differential Approach

The differential approach computes


the differences in cash flows between
alternatives and then converts these
differences to their present values.

This method cannot be used to


compare more than two alternatives.

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Learning
Objective 4 Relevant Cash Flows for NPV

Three types of inflows and outflows


should be considered when the
relevant cash flows are arrayed:

1) Initial cash inflows and outflows at time zero


2) Future disposal values
3) Operating cash flows

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Operating Cash Flows

The only relevant cash flows are those


that will differ among alternatives.

Fixed overhead can be ignored.

A reduction in cash outflow is


treated the same as a cash inflow.

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Cash Flows for Investments in Technology

Decision:
Invest in a highly automated production
system to replace a traditional system.

Cash flows predicted for the automated system


should be compared to cash flows predicted
for continuation of present system.

A changing competitive environment can


cause failure to invest in an automated system
which causes a decline in sales and an
uncompetitive cost structure.
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Learning
Objective 5 Income Taxes and Capital Budgeting

Another type of cash flow


that must be considered when
making capital-budgeting decisions is
after-tax cash flows.

In capital budgeting,
This is the tax rate paid
the relevant tax
on incremental
rate is the marginal
taxable income.
income tax rate.

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Effects of Depreciation Deductions

Depreciation expense is a noncash expense and


is ignored for capital budgeting, except that
it is an expense for tax purposes and will
provide a cash inflow from income tax savings.

Organizations that pay income taxes usually


keep two sets of books one set that follows the
rules for financial reporting and one that
follows the tax rules, a practice that is not
illegal or immoral – it is necessary.

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Effects of Depreciation Deductions

U.S. tax authorities allow


accelerated depreciation.

The focus is on the tax reporting rules,


not those for public financial reporting.

The recovery period is the number


of years over which an asset is
depreciated for tax purposes.

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Effects of Depreciation Deductions

Assume the following:


Cash inflow from operations: $60,000
Tax rate: 40%

What is the after-tax inflow from operations?

$60,000 × (1 – tax rate)


= $60,000 × .6 = $36,000

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Effects of Depreciation Deductions

What is the after-tax effect


of $25,000 depreciation?

$25,000 × 40% = $10,000 tax savings

The depreciation deduction reduces


taxes, and thereby increases cash
flows, by $10,000 annually.

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Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System

Under U.S. income tax laws, companies


depreciate most assets using the Modified
Accelerated Cost Recovery System (MACRS).

MACRS specifies a recovery period and


an accelerated depreciation schedule
for all types of assets in eight classes.

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Present Value of MACRS
Depreciation Tax
Deduction

Depreciation Tax Shield is the tax savings


due to depreciation deductions, generally the
present value of the product of the tax rate
and the depreciation deduction. The value of
a depreciation deduction depends on timing.

MACRS specifies the timing of deductions for


each recovery period. The present value of the
depreciation tax shield for any recovery period
can be easily computed.

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Learning
Objective 6 Gains or Losses on Disposal

The disposal of equipment for cash


can also affect income taxes.

Suppose a 5-year piece of equipment purchased


for $125,000 is sold at the end of year 3 after
taking three years of straight-line depreciation.

What is the book value?

$125,000 – (3 × $25,000) = $50,000


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Gains or Losses on Disposal

If the equipment is sold for $50,000


(book value), there is no gain or loss
and there is no tax effect.

If it is sold for more than $50,000, there


is a gain and an additional tax payment.

If it is sold for less than $50,000,


there is a loss and a tax savings.

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Gains or Losses on Disposal

Assume that the equipment is sold for


$70,000 and the tax rate is 40%.

What is the tax savings on the sale?

($70,000 – $50,000) = 20,000 × 40% = $8,000

What is the net cash inflow from the sale?

$70,000 – $8,000 = $62,000


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Cash Flow Effects of
Disposal of Equipment

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Learning Other Models for Analyzing
Objective 7
Long-Range Decisions

Payback time, or payback period, is the


time it will take to recoup, in the form
of cash inflows from operations, the
initial dollars invested in a project.

P=I÷O

Assume that $12,000 is spent for a commercial


stove with an estimated useful life of 4 years.

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Payback Model Example

Annual savings of $4,000 in cash outflows


are expected from operations.

What is the payback period?

P = $12,000 ÷ $4,000 = 3 years

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Accounting Rate-of-Return Model

The accounting rate-of-return (ARR) model


expresses a project’s return as the increase
in expected average annual operating income
divided by the required initial investment.

ARR

*Average annual incremental cash inflow from operations


minus incremental average annual depreciation.

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Accounting Rate-of-Return Example

Assume the following:


Investment is $5,827.
Useful life is four years.
Estimated disposal value is zero.
Expected annual cash inflow
from operations is $2,000.

Annual depreciation = (cost – disposal value)/useful life

Annual depreciation = ($5,827 – 0)/4 = $1,456.75

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Accounting Rate-of-Return Example

ARR =

Average annual incremental


cash inflow –
Incremental annual depreciation

ARR = ($2,000 – $1457) ÷ $5,827 = 9.3%

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Accounting Rate-of-Return Example

Some companies use the “average” investment


(often assumed to be the average book value
over the useful life) instead of original
investment in the denominator

Average annual incremental


cash inflow –
Incremental annual depreciation

ARR = ($2,000 – $1457) ÷ $2,913.50 = 18.6%

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Learning
Objective 8 Performance Evaluation

Many managers are reluctant to accept


DFC models as the best way to make
capital-budgeting decisions.

Their superiors evaluate them


using a non-DCF model.

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Reconciliation of Conflict

Use DCF for both capital-budgeting


decisions and performance evaluation.

Use Economic Value Added (EVA)

Follow-up evaluation
of capital decisions

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Post Audit

Most large companies conduct a


follow-up evaluation of selected
capital-budgeting decisions.

One follow-up evaluation of


capital-budgeting decisions often
used is a post-audit.

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Post Audit

Investment expenditures are


on time and within budget.

Comparing actual versus predicted cash flows.

Improving future predictions of cash flows.

Evaluating the continuation of the project.

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Learning
Objective 9 Capital Budgeting and Inflation

What is inflation?

It is the decline in general purchasing


power of the monetary unit.

The key in capital budgeting is consistent


treatment of the minimum desired rate
of return and the predicted cash
inflows and outflows.

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Watch for Consistency

Consistency can be achieved by


including an element for inflation in
both the minimum desired rate of
return and in the cash-flow predictions.

Many firms base their minimum desired rate


of return on market interest rates (nominal
rates) that include an inflation element.

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All rights reserved. No part of this publication
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or transmitted, in any form or by any means,
electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording,
or otherwise, without the prior written permission
of the publisher. Printed in the United States of
America.

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