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Regional K to 10 Training of Teachers

on Critical Content in Mathematics 4


Punta Villa Resort, Inc.
June 11- 23, 2018

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
Probability 4
JOSE ARVIN S. MAGBANUA
Schools Division of Iloilo
Learning Facilitator

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
Objectives

At the end of the session, you will be able to:

• explain the outcomes in an experiment;

• solve routine and non routine problems


involving a simple experiment; and
• create problems involving a simple
experiment;
PROBABILITY

How many faces do a die have?

What is the chance that


number 1 is appearing on top?
How about 2? 3? 4? 5? and 6?

If you roll the die for 60 times,


what would likely to happen?
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

ACTIVITY 1
Group Work
Rolling, Rolling, and Graphing
 Answer the questions on the activity. Then, perform
the experiment on it.
 Be ready to share the output of your activity.

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

What are different outcomes of tossing a die?


How many are these?
Compare the bar graph of your experiment
with the other group, did you have
similar/different results?

Does each outcome have an equal chance to


occur? Why or why not?
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

What is an experiment?
Experiment is an activity for which multiple
outcomes are possible but cannot be predicted.

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

What is an outcome?
An outcome is a selected event or subset of
all possible results.

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

What is a trial?
Trial is a performance within an
experiment.

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

What is probability?

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

Activity 2

Double Trouble Dice Game


 Answer the questions on the activity.
Then, perform the experiment on it.
 Be ready to share the output of your activity.

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

What are the different outcomes on the


experiment of rolling two dice? How many
are these?

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

Possible Answer

Possible Outcomes
(1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5) (1,6)
(2,1) (2,2) (2,3) (2,4) (2,5) (2,6)
(3,1) (3,2) (3,3) (3,4) (3,5) (3,6)
(4,1) (4,2) (4,3) (4,4) (4,5) (4,6)

(5,1) (5,2) (5,3) (5,4) (5,5) (5,6)


(6,1) (6,2) (6,3) (6,4) (6,5) (6,6)

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

SUM 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

1,1 1,2 1,3 1,4 1,5 1,6          


Possible Outcomes

  2,1 2,2 2,3 2,4 2,5 2,6        


    3,1 3,2 3,3 3,4 3,5 3,6      
      4,1 4,2 4,3 4,4 4,5 4,6    
        5,1 5,2 5,3 5,4 5,5 5,6  
          6,1 6,2 6,3 6,4 6,5 6,6
Total
Outcomes 1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

Are the outcomes (1, 2) and (2, 1) the


same?

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

How are the outcomes of rolling two dice


different from the outcomes of rolling a single
die?
How many outcomes will there be in the
experiment of rolling 3 dice? How about 4
dice?
Is the game in the activity fair? If not, how
will you change it?
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

Give the outcomes of each of these experiments.


a. Rolling a fair die with numbers from 1 to 6
b. Selecting a letter from the word MATHEMATICS
c. Tossing a paper cup
d. Drawing a colored marble from a bag with 2 green, 1
red, and 3 blue
e. Shooting a ball in a basketball game
Give your own examples.
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

Activity 3

 Answer the worksheet . Then, share your


solution with your groupmates.

 Be ready to share your answers in class.

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

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PROBABILITY

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

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PROBABILITY

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PROBABILITY

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PROBABILITY

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

Ans.: Agree
Disagree
This situation focuses on equiprobability bias where a person
view several outcomes of an experiment as equally likely. In
this case, the experiment of spinning two coins at once has
the following outcomes: HH, HT, TH, TT.
DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

14 7 10 5
= =
18 9 12 6
Answer:
Disagree.The fraction of getting a black ball in box B is
10/12 or 5/6, which is greater than the fraction in box A which
is 14/18 or 7/9.

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
PROBABILITY

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
SUMMARY

 An experiment is any activity that generates data.


 Trial is any particular performance of an experiment.
Each trial results in one or more outcomes.
 Outcomes are results of an experiment.

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
Critical Competencies

explain the outcomes in an experiment


M4SP-IVi-11

solve routine and non routine problems


involving simple experiment M4SP-IVj-12

create problems involving simple experiment


M4SP-IVj-12
DLL and Routine and Non Routine Problems

Group 1 and Group 2


Explain the outcomes in an experiment M4SP-IVi-11

Group 3
Solve routine problems involving simple experiment M4SP-
IVj-12

Group 4
Solve non routine problems involving simple experiment
M4SP-IVj-12

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
DLL and Routine and Non Routine Problems

Group 5 and 6
Create problems involving simple experiment
M4SP-IVj-12

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
Video

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
“Your life does not get better
by chance, it gets better by
change.”– Jim John

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION
THANK YOU!!!

DEPARTMENT OF EDUCATION

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