Professional Documents
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Business Intelligence 20220822
Business Intelligence 20220822
Business Intelligence 20220822
Ana Miranda
Agenda
• Important information
• Global latest news discussion
• Mexico in the world of exchange
• Export and Import Practices
• International Trade and Investment
• Homework
Latest News
Why did inflation suddenly appear around
the world?
Mexico
How does crude oil price affect inflation?
Exchange • Fluorite
• Zinc
• Mercury
• Moreover, oil and gas resource, are one of the
country’s most precious possessions
Mexico in the World of
Exchange
• Aerospace is also growing thanks to the
development in Queretaro
• Goodrich
• Safran Group
• Honeywell
• Mexico is also one of the worlds 10 largest car
producers
• Thanks to significant real state investments,
construction sector is dynamic
• In 2020 manufacturing sector was deeply
affected by the pandemic, specially the
automotive, textile and beverage industries.
• Service sector employed 61.3% of the
workforce
• High-tech information and software
Mexico in the development sectors are experiencing a
great moment, driven by the quality of the
NAFTA
Mexico in the
World of
Exchange - • Revised version of NAFTA 2018
• Good: Treat was modernized, covering
USMCA more areas for digital commerce
• Bad: Few sector that receive modifications
are the more important to Mexico like
vehicles and auto parts
Mexico in the
World of Exchange
• Other good news
• With growing distrust between US
and China, Mexico has been able to
fill a board in imports.
• Mexico’s markets have remained
open
• Exports have grown sine AMLO has
come into the power
Mexico in the World
of Exchange
• International trade* equals 80.5% of the country’s
GDP
• Higher than Brazil’s 29.1%
• Even China’s 38.2%
• Mexican companies have access to US market, this
makes Mexican companies globally competitive
• GRUMA: world’s largest tortilla maker
• Bimbo: largest bread maker
Export and
• Preoccupation with the home market
• Reluctance to embark n a new and unknown operation
Practices
the poorest in the world. Countries that have reduced
trade barriers and increased the share of imports and
exports in their economies tend to be among the fastest
growing nations.
- Arnold King
• By calling on an export assistance program for
some guidance. Such programs are readily
available in Japan, the European Union, and the
United States.
How do • In addition, there is support from organizations
firms begin and foundations for assisting potential exporters
from less-developed nations.
their foreign • The Hinrich Foundation and the World Bank
market offer support targeted to building export
capabilities in firms located in less-developed
research? economies.
• Once the potential exporter has established that
there may be a market for the firm’s products,
it’s time to draft the export marketing plan.
Once the firm knows that a potential market
exists, it needs to choose between exporting
How do indirectly through gov’s based exporters or
exporting directly using its own staff.
firms begin
If it opts for indirect exporting as a way to test
their the market, a trade specialist, either from a
consultancy or from one of the government
foreign programs, can provide assistance.
Sale, and
the point at which costs and risks are borne by the
buyer, which is different from the process in the
domestic market.
Payment
INCOTER • The International Chamber of Commerce
created Incoterms, a series of 11
Advantages to know which countries are our nation’s major trade partners
These sorts of advantages promote the expansion of trade among countries that are major trading partners, and their presence may present a company with
improved prospects for expanding its international trade activities
International Trade Theories
Mercantilism
Absolute Advantage
Comparative Advantage
Mercantilism
• A complex political and economic theory, mercantilism viewed precious metals like gold
and silver as the only source of wealth, and their accumulation as essential to a nation’s
welfare.
• Because England had no gold or silver mines, mercantilists looked to exploration and
international trade to supply these metals.
• The government established restrictions such as import duties to reduce imports and
subsidies to exporters to increase exports.
• In addition to protecting jobs within the mercantilist nation, those acts created a trade
surplus meant to generate increased holdings of gold and silver.
• Of course, mercantilism also generated benefits for certain economic groups, such as
domestic merchants, artisans, and shippers, though at a cost to other groups such as
consumers and emerging industrialists.
Mercantilism
• Although the mercantilist era ended in the late 1700s, its arguments live on. Many people see trade as
a zero-sum activity, in which one party must lose in order for another to gain. We still use the term
“favorable” trade balance to mean a nation exports more goods and services than it imports. In
balance-of-payments accounting, an export that brings money to the country is called positive, but
imports that cause monetary outflows are labeled negative.
• Many of the world’s managers see China as a present-day “fortress of mercantilism” that raises
barriers to imported goods while giving its own exporters an unfair advantage.
• Despite impressive economic growth and burgeoning trade surpluses, Chinese authorities have limited
the extent to which that country’s currency, the yuan, can appreciate in value relative to the U.S. dollar.
• The Chinese authorities have improved the international cost-competitiveness of Chinese companies
relative to those of other nations. One study argues that 40 percent of the price advantage of Chinese
companies is due to the mercantilist policies of their central government, including an undervalued
currency, export subsidies, and lax regulatory oversight. Some international observers have also
suggested that the United States has adopted a more mercantilist approach in recent years.
Adam Smith argued against mercantilism by claiming that market forces,
not government controls, should determine the direction, volume, and
composition of international trade.
Theory of
goods for which it had an absolute advantage, either natural or acquired.
Absolute service than another country for the same or lower cost of inputs.
Advantage Nations would then export some goods to pay for imports that have
been produced more efficiently elsewhere.
With his theory of absolute advantage, Smith showed that both nations
gain from trade.
Theory of Comparative Advantage
• British economist David Ricardo demonstrated in 1817 that even though one nation held
an absolute advantage over another in the production of each of two different goods,
international trade could still be a positive-sum game in which both countries benefit.
• The only limitation to such benefit-creating trade is that the less efficient nation cannot
be equally less efficient in the production of both goods.
• Each country specializes in what it does better
• Comparative advantage serves as a basis for international trade even when one nation
has an advantage over another in the production of each of the goods being traded. We
have not mentioned money; however, a nation’s comparative advantage can be affected
by differences between the costs of production factors in that country’s currency and
their costs in other currencies Money can change the direction of trade
Difference in Resource Endowments
Overlapping Demand
Theories of
International Product Life Cycle
Direction
of Trade Economies of Scale and the Experience
Curve
National Competitive Advantage from
Regional Clusters
Difference in Resource Endowments
• Differences in resource endowments will make developed countries more likely to trade
with developing countries whose resource endowments are likely to be very dissimilar
than with other developed countries whose endowments are similar.
• According to this theory, countries would export products requiring large amounts of
their abundant production factors and import products requiring large amounts of their
scarce production factors
• This theory explains the international trade in many primary products, such as forest
products, petroleum, and minerals. It can also help explain why the United States
exports capital-intensive products such as aircraft while importing labor-intensive
products such as jeans or athletic shoes.
Overlapping Demand
• In contrast to resource endowment–based theory, economist Stefan Linder proposed his theory of
overlapping demand, which argues for the existence of similar preferences and demand for products
and services among nations with similar levels of per capita income.
• According to Linder, customers’ tastes are strongly affected by their income levels, and therefore a
nation’s level of income per capita determines the kinds of goods its people will demand.
• For example, countries with high levels of average income may have substantial levels of demand for
items such as large-display televisions, high-fashion branded clothing, jewelry, luxury automobiles, and
gourmet foods and beverages.
• In contrast, countries with low average incomes may exhibit a greater demand for simpler and more
basic items of food, clothing, and shelter.
• Because an entrepreneur will produce goods to meet the demands of consumers, the kinds of
products manufactured will reflect the country’s level of income per capita. Goods produced for
domestic consumption will eventually be exported to countries that have similar levels of income,
and therefore, demand.
International • The concept of an international product
life cycle (IPLC) was developed by
Product Life Raymond Vernon of Harvard.
• This theory addresses the role of
Cycle innovation in trade patterns by explaining
why a product that begins as a nation’s
export eventually becomes its import,
thus viewing a product as going through a
full life cycle.
• The initial stage of the cycle, innovation,
borrows from the theory of overlapping
demand in terms of the motivations and
response of entrepreneurs to develop
products that meet the rising demand in
a particular market
International
Product Life
Cycle
United States has the largest population of high-
income consumers of any nation in the world,
competition for their patronage is intense.
• Stage 1. U.S. innovates and exports: For a while, U.S. firms will be the only manufacturers of a
new product developed in the United States. As overseas customers learn about the product,
they will have to buy it from U.S. firms. The export market develops over time, as the U.S.
manufacturer ships products to these overseas customers.
• Stage 2. Foreign production will begin, which also reduces the cost of transportation and local
communication. The U.S. firm will still be exporting to those markets where there is
International
no production, but its export growth will diminish as licensing and foreign direct investment
substitute for exports as sources of supply to various international markets.
Product Life
• Stage 3. In this stage, foreign firms are competing in U.S. export markets, and as a result, U.S.
export sales will continue to decline. The innovating U.S. firms may have developed newer
versions of the product and begun scaling back production of the original in order to begin
focusing on innovations
Cycle • Stage 4. Import competition appears: If foreign producers attain sufficient economies of scale,
they may be able to compete in quality with and underprice U.S. firms in the domestic
market. From that point on, the U.S. market will be served exclusively (or nearly so) by
imports. Televisions, footwear, and semiconductor chips are examples. The rise in imports
puts increasing pressure on the innovating companies to achieve product innovation and
improvement, which may initiate a new IPLC.
• The IPLC concept may even be repeated as less-developed countries (LDCs) with still lower
labor costs obtain the technology and thus acquire a cost advantage over industrialized
nations.
Economies of Scale and the Experience
Curve
• In the 1920s, economists began to consider that most industries benefit from economies of scale, which is the predictable
decline in the average cost of producing each unit of output as a production facility gets larger and output increases.
• This occurs because larger and more efficient equipment can be employed, companies can obtain volume discounts on
their larger-volume purchases, and fixed costs such as research and design and administrative overheads can be allocated
over a larger quantity of output.
• Most manufacturing is subject to economies of scale, and mining and transportation industries also tend to benefit from
increasing returns to scale. Production costs also drop because of the experience curve, which refers to the rising scale
on which efficiency improves as a result of cumulative experience and learning. That is, as firms produce more, they learn
ways to improve production efficiency, reducing production costs by a predictable amount.
• Economies of scale and the experience curve affect international trade because they can permit a nation’s industries to
become low-cost producers without having an abundance of the resources used as inputs, such as minerals or labor.
• Then, just as in the case of comparative advantage, nations specialize in the production of a few products and trade with
others to supply the rest of their needs. International trade is promoted because a nation’s companies may not be able to
fully achieve the potential economies of scale by serving only the domestic market, even within countries as large as the
United States. Consumers can benefit from higher quality and lower prices for products
National Competitive Advantage from
Regional Clusters
• National competitiveness is a nation’s ability to design, produce, distribute, or service products
within an international trading context while earning increasing returns on its resources.
• Michael Porter’s model of national advantage claims that four kinds of variables will influence
firms’ ability to utilize their country’s resources to gain a competitive advantage:
• Demand conditions: The nature of domestic demand matters, rather than merely the size. If a firm’s
customers are sophisticated and demanding, the firm will strive to produce high-quality and innovative
products and, in doing so, will obtain a global competitive advantage over companies located where
domestic pressure is less.
• Factor conditions: Porter distinguishes between basic factors (inherited factors, such as land, location, or
natural resources) and advanced factors (those created from investments made by individuals, companies,
or governments, such as a nation’s transportation systems, or university research institutes). Lack of natural
endowments has caused nations to invest in creating advanced factors, such as an educated workforce,
deep-water ports, and advanced communications systems, to enable their industries to compete globally.
National Competitive Advantage
• Related and supporting industries: Firms in an industry, with their suppliers, their
suppliers’ suppliers, and so forth, tend to form a cluster in a given location, providing a
network of suppliers and subcontractors and a commercial infrastructure.
• Firm strategy, structure, and rivalry: Porter says companies subject to heavy
competition in their domestic markets are constantly striving to improve their
efficiency and innovativeness, which makes them more competitive internationally.
• In addition to these four variables, Porter claimed that competitiveness could
be affected by government policies such as incentives, subsidies, temporary
protection from foreign competitors, or infrastructure development, and by
random events such as the location and timing of research breakthroughs or
luck.
International • International trade theory shows that nations will
attain a higher level of living by specializing in
Trade goods for which they possess a comparative
advantage and importing those for which they
Theory have a comparative disadvantage.
• Generally, trade restrictions that stop this free flow
Summary of goods will harm a nation’s welfare.
Foreign • Portfolio Investment: purchase of stocks and
bonds solely for the purpose of obtaining a
Investment
return on the funds invested
• Foreign Direct Investment (FDI): cross border
investment between economies
• Annual FDI outflow—the amount invested each
year into other nations—often fluctuates
substantially, due to factors such as the level of
economic growth within and across nations and
regions of the world
• The proportion of annual FDI investments going
into developed countries has declined
significantly in recent years, falling from an
average of 76% for 1998–2002 to 54% for 2013–
2017.42
• This decline corresponds with the rapid increase
in the proportion of FDI going to developing
countries, particularly in Asia and Latin America
Importance of FDI
• Even though it is impossible to make an accurate determination of the present value of
foreign investments, we can get an idea of the rates and amounts of such investments
and of the places in which they are being made.
• This is the kind of information that interests managers and government leaders and is
analogous to what we seek in the analysis of international trade.
• If a nation is continuing to receive appreciable amounts of foreign investments, its
investment climate must be favorable.
• This means the political forces of the foreign environment are relatively attractive and
the opportunity to earn a profit is greater there than elsewhere.
Theories of International Investment
• Ownership-specific advantage: This is the extent to which a firm has or can develop a firm-specific advantage through
ownership of tangible and intangible assets like technology, economies of scale or scope, and monopolistic advantages
• Location-specific advantage: A foreign market must have specific economic, social, or political characteristics, like market
size, tariff or non-tariff barriers, or transport costs that will permit the firm to profitably exploit its firm-specific advantages
by locating to that market rather than exporting to it.
• Internalization advantage: Firms have various alternatives to entering foreign markets, ranging from making arm’s-length
market transactions to operating wholly owned subsidiaries. It is in the firm’s best interests to exploit its ownership-specific
advantages through internalization options, which mean retaining ownership and control, where either the market does
not exist or it functions inefficiently, making the transaction costs of market-based (arm’s-length) options too high.
• The eclectic theory is sometimes referred to as the “OLI model”, using the initials of the three advantages.