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Energy-Security-VR
Energy-Security-VR
V R Shrivastava
ED(Planning) NHPC
1
What is Energy Security
• The International Energy Agency (IEA) defines energy security as the
uninterrupted availability of energy sources at an affordable price.
• India, one of the fastest growing major economies, is also the fastest growing
energy consumer in the world.
• The demand for energy in the coming years will accelerate further as India
embarks on manufacturing through Government’s ‘Make in India’ program,
developmental projects and access to electricity for all.
• Consequently, energy security has emerged as one of the salient policy
issues over the past decade and a half. 2
India’s Energy Security
• India’s quest for energy security could be seen under the framework of four ‘A’s:
availability, accessibility, affordability and acceptability, which is to make energy accessible
to all the sections and sectors at an affordable price in a socially and politically acceptable
carbon-controlled environment
3
Energy Security - Electricity Sector
• Electricity is one of the key enablers for achieving socio-economic development of the
country.
• The economic growth leads to growth in demand of power. Economic growth, increasing
prosperity, a growing rate of urbanization and rising per capita energy consumption has
increased the energy demand of the country.
• Generation and capacity augmentation is the most vital for meeting the ever-increasing
demand of power to achieve the targeted growth rate
4
Energy Security – Renewable Energy Emphasis
by GoI
• Hon’ble Prime Minister in his address at COP26 Summit in Glasgow stated that
• India will take its non-fossil energy capacity to 500 GW by 2030
• Will meet 50 percent of its energy requirements from renewable energy by 2030,
• India will reduce the total projected carbon emissions by one billion tonnes till 2030.
• India will reduce the carbon intensity of its economy by more than 45 percent by 2030.
• India will achieve the target of Net Zero by the year 2070.
5
Energy Security – Current Power Supply Position
Installed Capacity of India as on 30.09.2022 is as under:
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Energy Security – Current Power Supply Position
2.2. The source wise supply of Energy (Apr.2022 to Sept.2022) is as under:
(Source: CEA)
9
Energy Security – Projection of Power Supply Position
Electrical energy requirement and peak electricity demand for the years 2021-22 to
2041-42 as per 20th EPS (DRAFT Vol-1 Report) are summarized as under:
Electrical energy requirement and peak electricity demand for the years 2021-22 to
2041-42 as per 20th EPS (DRAFT Vol-1 Report) are summarized as under:
Year Growth in Energy CAGR of Energy Growth in Peak CAGR of Peak
Requirement Requirement Demand
(MU) (%) (MW) Demand
(%)
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(Source: CEA)
Energy Security – Projected Energy Mix for the Year 2029-30
As per CEA report on optimal generating capacity mix for 2029-30, the projection is as
under:
Fuel Type Capacity (MW) in 2029-30 Percentage Mix
(%)
Hydro * 60,977 7.46%
PSP 10,151 1.24%
Small Hydro 5,000 0.61%
Coal + Lignite 2,66,911 32.66%
Gas 25,080 3.07%
Nuclear 18,980 2.32%
Solar 2,80,155 34.28%
Wind 1,40,000 17.13%
Biomass 10,000 1.22%
Total 8,17,254 99.99%
Peaking Support: Owing its quick start and quick stop, Hydro Power can provide
the critical peaking support required during the peak hours when Renewable
Energy Sources are not able to generate power due to its limitations. Solar energy
can be generated in day time while wind energy requires certain minimum wind
speed which is a variable etc. On the other hand diurnal / weekly / seasonal
storage is possible with hydropower.
16
Hydropower - An Enabler for Energy Security
Black Start Resource: Hydroelectric power plants shall act as a black start
reserve, meeting all the desired attributes such minimal station power required for
restart, minimal time needed to restart, large generator nameplate capacity, ability
to withstand frequency deviations and ability to help stabilize system frequency and
support system etc.
19
Hydropower - An Enabler for Energy Security
Hydro Projects Details Remarks
Installed Capacity of Hydro Project 22662 MW Due to non receipt of EC, FC,
concurrence accorded and yet to be cancellation of MoU/MoA etc.
started
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Hydropower - An Enabler for Energy Security
The main reasons for Time Over-run in execution of hydro Electric Projects are as under:-
Delay in award of works: Delay in award of works may be due to poor
participation by bidders, very high / low bids quoted in comparison to estimated
value.
Natural Calamities: Natural calamities like unprecedented rain / flash floods, cloud
burst, earthquake etc. leads to destruction of project components / infrastructure
machinery & leads to delay of projects.
22
Hydropower - An Enabler for Energy Security
The main reasons for Time Over-run in execution of hydro Electric Projects are as under:-
Law & order problem & Local issues: Protest by the local people against the
construction activities, like blasting, muck disposal, etc. and also for various demands
like employment, extra compensation, etc. often create law and order problems and
delays the completion of works.
Contractual problems: In some cases, change in scope of work on account of
geological surprises leading to change in design/ change in construction methodology
may lead to contractual issues. Inadequate mobilization of man and machinery by
contractor also delays the project.
Geological uncertainties: Many projects in Himalayan regions are affected by poor
geology & other unforeseen site conditions entailing change in design or change in
construction methodology which delays the completion of project and also sometimes
leads to contractual disputes.
23
Hydropower - An Enabler for Energy Security
The main reasons for Time Over-run in execution of hydro Electric Projects are as under:-
Issues related to Quarry / Crushers Plants: Non-availability of quarry in the vicinity
of project, clearances related to quarry & crusher plant operation etc often delays the
project.
Inter-state issues: Water is a state issue and thus a project on a river flows through
more than one state invariably involves resolving of inter-state issues which often
delays the project.
Court / NGT / NCLT Cases: Court / NGT / NCLT Cases having stay on construction
activities delays the project.
Teething trouble during commissioning: There may be some teething troubles
during commissioning of the project, e.g., vibration in the machine, high bearing
temperatures, governor setting problem, leakage from HRT, leakage from Diversion
tunnel gates, leakage from penstock, etc.
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Concluding Remarks
1. As per CEA report on optimal generating capacity mix for 2029-30, 60977 MW
installed capacity of India is to be met from Hydro Power. As on 30.09.2022, the
installed capacity of Hydro Power is 46850 MW, which requires India to add
additional 14127 MW through Hydro in the coming 8 years.
2. Electrical energy requirement and peak electricity demand for the years 2021-22
to 2041-42 as per 20th EPS (DRAFT Vol-1 Report) indicate a Compound Annual
Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.10% in Energy Requirement and 5.34% Peak Demand
is anticipated.
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Concluding Remarks
6. Thus, Hydropower shall play a key role not only in augmenting the generation of
energy but also in providing the Energy Security to the country through
affordable / quality power and stable grid operations. 26
THANK YOU
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