Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
Download as ppt, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 13

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.

CHAPTER
9
The Global Monetary
System

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Key Issues
• How does the Global Monetary System affect
exchange rates?
• How did the current system evolve?
• What are the differences between the fixed and
floating exchange system?
• What is the role of the International Monetary
Fund and the World Bank in the Global Monetary
System?
• What are the implications of the global monetary
system for currency management and business
strategy?

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Slide

International Monetary System


9-1

• Currency exchange rates depend on the structure


of the international monetary system
• Generally they are not freely convertible and do
not float freely
– Only 51 were freely convertible in 1997
– Another 50 were pegged to the exchange rate of major
currencies such as the US Dollar and the French Franc
or to baskets of other currencies
– Another 45 currencies were allowed by their
governments to float within a range of another
currency
– This is 146 of 188 UN member nations in 1999

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Slide

Evolution of the International


9-2

Monetary System
• Gold Standard
– Currencies pegged to the value of gold;
convertibility guaranteed
– By 1880 most countries were on the gold standard
– Achieves balance of trade equilibrium for all
countries (value of exports equals value of imports);
flow of gold was used to make up differences
– Abandoned in 1914; attempt to resume after WWI
failed with Great Depression
• Bretton Woods (1944)

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Slide
9-3

Bretton Woods (1944 - 1973)


• 44 countries met to design a new system in 1944
• Established International Monetary Fund (IMF)
and World Bank
– IMF maintained order in monetary system
– World Bank promoted general economic development
– Fixed exchange rates pegged to the US Dollar
– US Dollar pegged to gold at $35 per ounce
– Countries maintained their currencies ± 1% of the fixed
rate; government had to buy/sell their currency to
maintain level

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


The Role of the IMF
Slide
9-4

per Bretton Woods


• Exchange rate discipline
– National governments had to manage inflation through
their money supply
• Exchange rate flexibility
– Provided loans to help members states with temporary
balance-of-payment deficit;
• Allowed time to bring down inflation
• Relieved pressures to devalue
– Excessive drawing from IMF funds came with IMF
supervision of monetary and fiscal policies
– Allowed up to 10% devaluations and more with IMF
approval

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Slide
9-5

The Role of the World Bank


• World Bank (IBRD-International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development) role
– Refinance post-WWII reconstruction and development
– Provide low-interest long term loans to developing
economies
• The International Development Agency (IDA), an
arm of the bank created in 1960
– Raises funds from member states
– Loans only to poorest countries
– 50 year repayment at 1% per year interest

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Slide
9-6

Collapse of Bretton Woods


• Devaluation pressures on US dollar after 20 years
– Lyndon Johnson policies
• Vietnam war financing
• Welfare program financing
– Nixon ended gold convertibility of US dollar in 1971
– US dollar was devalued and dealers started speculating
against it for further devaluation
– Bretton Woods fixed exchange rates abandoned in
January 1972

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Slide
9-7

Jamaica Agreement 1976


• Floating rates declared acceptable
• Gold abandoned as reserve asset;
– IMF returned its gold reserves to its members at current
prices
– Proceeds were placed in a trust fund to help poor
nations
– IMF quotas – member country contributions –
increased; membership now 182 countries
– Less-develop, non-oil exporting countries given more
access to IMF
• IMF continued its role of helping countries cope with
macroeconomic and exchange rate problems
McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.
Slide
9-8
The Case for Floating Exchange Rates
– Monetary policy autonomy
– Trade balance adjustments helped

The Case for Fixed Exchange Rates


– Monetary discipline
– Speculation limited
– Uncertainty reduced
– Trade balance adjustment effects on inflation
controlled

Who is right?

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Slide
9-9

Recent Activities and the IMF


• Mexican crisis 1995 • How did the IMF do?
• Russian crisis1995 – Inappropriate policies?
• Asian crisis 1997/1998 – Moral hazard
• Reckless behavior
– The investment boom • No consequences
– Excess capacity – Lack of accountability
– The debt bomb
• Record mixed
– Expanding imports
– The crisis

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.


Slide
9-11

Implications for Business


• Currency management
– The monetary system is not perfect
– Both speculative activity and government intervention
affect the system
– Companies must use risk management instruments
• Business strategy
– Minimize risk by placing assets in different parts of the
world, e.g., production
– Contract manufacturing
– Manage company-government relations

McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2004 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.

You might also like