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Lecture 6
Lecture 6
Lecture 6
1-1
Engineering Economy
05/10/2023
[2-3]
Time Value of Money
Arithmetic Gradient Series
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
• An arithmetic gradient is a cash flow series that either increases or
decreases by a constant amount
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• The cash flow, whether income or disbursement, changes by the
same arithmetic amount each period
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• The diagram is of an arithmetic gradient series with a base
amount of $1,500 and a gradient of $50
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• Determine the arithmetic gradient and construct the cash flow
diagram
5
Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Example
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revenue increase in 9 years = 200,000 – 80,000 = 120,000
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Strict Linear Gradient Series
• The strict linear gradient series has the origin at the end of the first
period with a zero value
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• The gradient G can be either positive or negative. If G > 0, the series
is referred to as an increasing gradient series. If G < 0, it is a
decreasing gradient series
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Analysis
Three factors will be considered for arithmetic gradient strict series:
• P/G factor for present worth: G(P/G,i,n)
Convert an arithmetic gradient G (without the base amount) for n years into a
present worth at year 0
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• A/G factor for annual series: G(A/G,i,n)
Convert an arithmetic gradient G (without the base amount) for n years into an
equivalent uniform series of A value
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Present Worth Factor – P/G Factor
The Present worth factor (P/G) can be expressed in the following
form:
P = G(P/G,i,n) gradient series
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present-worth factor
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Present Worth Factor – Example
• A textile mill has just purchased a lift truck that has a useful life of five
years. The engineer estimates that maintenance costs for the truck
during the first year will be $1,000
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• As the truck ages, maintenance costs are expected to increase at a
rate of $250 per year over the remaining life
• Assume that the maintenance costs occur at the end of each year. The
firm wants to set up a maintenance account that earns 12% annual
interest. All future maintenance expenses will be paid out of this
account. How much does the firm have to deposit in the account now?
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Present Worth Factor – Example
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The idea here is to have
a strict gradient series
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Present Worth Factor – Example
• We have: A1=$1,000; G=$250; i=12%; and n=5 years. Find P
• The cash flow can be broken into two components where the first is
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an equal uniform payment series (A1) and the second is a strict
linear gradient series (G)
• P = P1 + P2
P = A1(P/A,12%,5) + G(P/G,12%,5) =
$1,000(3.6048) + $250(6.397) = $5,204
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Example 2
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5. Assume the interest rate is 12% per year.
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Annul Series Factor – Example
• You want to deposit $1,000 in your saving account at the end
of the first year and increase this amount by $300 for each of
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the next five years
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Annul Series Factor – A/G Factor
The equivalent uniform annual series (A value) for an arithmetic
gradient G is found by the following formula:
A = G(A/G,i,n)
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Arithmetic-gradient
uniform-series factor
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Annul Series Factor – Example
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Annul Series Factor – Example
• We have: A1=$1,000; G=$300; i=10%, and n=6. Find A
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leaving the gradient series of 0; 0; 300; 600; ….; 1,500
• To find the equal payment series beginning at the end of year 1 and
ending at year 6 we consider:
A = $1,000 + $300(A/G,10%,6) =
$1,000 + $300(2.2236) = $1,667.08
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Annul Series Factor – Example
An alternative way to
solve this question is by
finding the present
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worth of all the
payments and then to
convert P to a uniform
series of A
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Future Worth Factor – Example
• Suppose that you make a series of annual deposits into a bank
account that pays 10% interest. The initial deposit at the end of the
first year is $1,200
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• The deposit amounts decline by $200 in each of the next four years
• How much would you have immediately after the fifth deposit?
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Future Worth Factor – F/G Factor
The future worth factor (F/G) can be expressed in the following
form:
F = G(F/G,i,n)
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Arithmetic (Linear) Gradient Series
Future Worth Factor – Example
F = F1 – F2
F = A1(F/A,10%,5) – $200(F/G,10%,5) =
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$1,200(6.105) – $200(11.051) = $5,115
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Engineering Economy
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[2-4]
Time Value of Money
Geometric Gradient Series
22
Geometric Gradient Series
• In geometric gradient series, cash flow increases or decreases
from period to period by a constant percentage
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• This uniform rate of change defines a geometric gradient
series of cash flows
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Geometric Gradient Series
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Present Worth of Geometric Gradient series
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Geometric Gradient Series
• We need to find the value of the present worth at time = 0 based on
geometric gradient series cash flows starting by the end of period 1
by an amount A1 and increasing by a constant rate of g each period
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• P = A1(P/A,g,i,n)
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Geometric Gradient Series
Example
• Engineers at a specific company need to make some modifications
to an existing machine
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• The modification costs only $8,000 and is expected to last 6 years
with a $1,300 salvage value
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Geometric Gradient Series
Example
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Geometric Gradient Series
Example
• The present worth value is comprised of three components:
The present modification cost = $8,000
The present value of the future salvage value
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The present value of all the maintenance values throughout the 6 years
and these are represented by the geometric gradient series
• PT = –8,000 + 1,300(P/F,8%,6) – Pg
• Pg = A1(P/A,g,i,n)
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Unknown Recovery Period n
Unknown recovery period problems involve solving for n,
given i and 2 other values (P, F, or A)
Procedure: Set up equation with all symbols involved and solve for n
2-30
Unknown Recovery Period n
Unknown recovery period problems involve solving for n,
given i and 2 other values (P, F, or A)
(Like interest rate problems, they usually require a trial & error solution or interpolation in interest tables)
Procedure: Set up equation with all symbols involved and solve for n
(P/A,10%,n) = 7.5
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32
Unknown Recovery Period n
Unknown recovery period problems involve solving for n,
given i and 2 other values (P, F, or A)
(Like interest rate problems, they usually require a trial & error solution or interpolation in interest tables)
Procedure: Set up equation with all symbols involved and solve for n
Solution: Can use either the P/A or A/P factor. Using A/P:
8000(P/A,10%,n) = 60,000
(P/A,10%,n) = 7.5
From A/P column in i = 10% interest tables, n is between 14 and 15 years Answer is (c)
2-33
Any Issue(s)
Summary of Important Points
In P/A and A/P factors, P is one period ahead of first A
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In F/A and A/F factors, F is in same period as last A
Arithmetic gradients have 2 parts, base amount (year 1) and gradient amount
Engineering Economy
7th edition
Leland Blank
Anthony Tarquin
LEARNING OUTCOMES
A= FA = ? Shifted series
Given usually
require the use of
0 1 2 3 4 5 multiple factors
PA = ?
Remember: When using P/A or A/P factor, PA is always one year ahead
of first A
When using F/A or A/F factor, FA is in same year as last A
Example Using P/A Factor: Shifted Uniform
Series
The present worth of the cash flow shown below at i = 10% is:
(a) $25,304 (b) $29,562 (c) $34,462 (d) $37,908
P0 = ?
P1 = ? i = 10%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
Actual year
0 1 2 3 4 5 Series year
A = $10,000
Solution: (1) Use P/A factor with n = 5 (for 5 arrows) to get P1 in year 1
(2) Use P/F factor with n = 1 to move P1 back for P0 in year 0
FA = 8000(F/A,10%,8)
= 8000(11.4359)
= $91,487
Shifted Series and Random Single Amounts
For cash flows that include uniform series and randomly placed single amounts:
The resulting values are then combined per the problem statement
A = $5000
$2000
PT = ?
i = 10%
Actual year
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Series year
A = $5000
$2000
Solution:
PT = ? FA = ?
i = 10%
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
A = $5000
$2000
Solution: Use F/A to get FA in actual year 10: FA = 5000(F/A,10%,8) = 5000(11.4359) = $57,180
Move FA back to year 0 using P/F: P0 = 57,180(P/F,10%,10) = 57,180(0.3855) = $22,043
Move $2000 single amount back to year 0: P2000 = 2000(P/F,10%,8) = 2000(0.4665) = $933
Now, add two P values to get PT: PT = 22,043 + 933 = $22,976 Same as before
A = $3000
$1000
Approaches: 1. Convert all cash flows into P in year 0 and use A/P with n = 8
2. Find F in year 8 and use A/F with n = 8
Solution: Solve for F: F = 3000(F/A,10%,5) + 1000(F/P,10%,1)
= 3000(6.1051) + 1000(1.1000)
= $19,415
Find A: A = 19,415(A/F,10%,8)
= 19,415(0.08744)
= $1698
Shifted Arithmetic Gradients
P0 = P2(P/F,12%,2) = $295.29
Next, move P2 back to year 0
Next, find PA for the $60 amounts of years 1 and 2 PA = 60(P/A,12%,2) = $101.41
Gradient starts between actual years 5 and 6; these are gradient years 1 and 2.
Pg is located in gradient year 0, which is actual year 4
Pg = 7000{1-[(1+0.12)/(1+0.15)]9/(0.15-0.12)} = $49,401
Move Pg and other cash flows to year 0 to calculate PT
PT = 35,000 + 7000(P/A,15%,4) + 49,401(P/F,15%,4) = $83,232
Negative Shifted Gradients
For negative arithmetic gradients, change sign on G term from + to -
Changed from + to -
Pg = A1{1-[(1-g)/(1+i)]n/(i+g)}
Changed from - to +
G = $-50
Solution: Gradient G first occurs between actual years 2 and 3; these are gradient years 1 and 2
PG is located in gradient year 0 (actual year 1); base amount of $700 is in gradient years 1-6