Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Risk and COC
Risk and COC
(CoC)
Compiled by Dr Showkat Ahmad Busru
Risk
n
The Cost of Equity Capital
Shareholder
invests in
Firm with
Pay cash dividend financial
excess cash
asset
A firm with excess cash can either pay a
dividend or make a capital investment
Shareholder’s
Invest in project Terminal
Value
Because stockholders can reinvest the dividend in risky financial assets, the
expected return on a capital-budgeting project should be at least as great as the
expected return on a financial asset of comparable risk.
The Cost of Equity Capital
From the firm’s perspective, the expected return is
the Cost of Equity Capital:
RS = RF + (RM – RF)
To estimate a firm’s cost of equity capital, we need to
know three things:
1. The risk-free rate, RF
2. The market risk premium, R M RF
Cov(Ri ,RM ) i,M
3. The company beta, i 2
Var(RM ) M
Example – I
Suppose the stock of Stansfield Enterprises, a
publisher of online presentations, has a beta of
1.5. The firm is 100% equity financed.
Assumea risk-free rate of 3% and a market risk
premium of 7%.
Whatis the appropriate discount rate for an
expansion of this firm?
RS = RF + (RM – RF)
RS = 3% + 1.5 × 7%
RS = 13.5%
Example – II
Suppose Stansfield Enterprises is evaluating the following
independent projects. Each costs $100 and lasts one year.
Good SML
IRR
Project
A
project
13.5% B
C Bad project
3%
Firm’s risk (beta)
1.5
An all-equity firm should accept projects whose IRRs exceed
the cost of equity capital and reject projects whose IRRs fall
short of the cost of capital.
The Risk-Free Rate
𝐷1
𝑅 𝑠= +𝑔
𝑃0
Market data and analyst forecasts can be used to implement the DDM
approach on a market-wide basis.
Estimation of Beta
Market Portfolio – Portfolio of all assets in the economy. In
practice, a broad stock market index, such as the S&P 500, is
used to represent the market.
Beta – Sensitivity of a stock’s return to the return on the
market portfolio.
Beta (β) is a measure of the volatility—or systematic risk—of a
security or portfolio compared to the market as a whole
(usually the S&P 500).
Beta = 1.0: stock just as volatile as the market
Cov(Ri ,RM ) i,M
i 2
Var(RM ) M
https://www.wallstreetmojo.com/beta-formula/
Estimation of Beta
Problems
1. Betas may vary over time.
2. The sample size may be inadequate.
3. Betas are influenced by changing financial leverage and business risk.
Solutions
1. Problems 1 and 2 can be moderated by more sophisticated statistical
techniques.
2. Problem 3 can be lessened by adjusting for changes in business and
financial risk.
3. Look at average beta estimates of comparable firms in the industry.
Stability of Beta
Business Risk
Cyclicality of Revenues
Operating Leverage
Financial Risk
Financial Leverage
Operating Leverage – I
Equity Debt
RWACC = × REquity + × RDebt × (1 – TC)
Equity + Debt Equity + Debt
S B
RWACC = × RS + × RB × (1 – TC)
S+B S+B