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Unit 7 Problem Solving Critical Thinking Creativity and Decision Making
Unit 7 Problem Solving Critical Thinking Creativity and Decision Making
Unit 7 Problem Solving Critical Thinking Creativity and Decision Making
1
Learning objectives
At the end of this unit, the learner will be able to;
1.Define problem solving, creativity, critical thinking
and decision making
2.Discuss critical thinking and problem solving.
3.Describe importance of critical thinking for
nurses.
4.List the five steps in the decision making process.
5.Describe at least six techniques to increase
creativity.
6.Identify at least two decision making tools.
2
Problem Solving
3
Problem Solving
If you have a
problem at work,
it is a good idea
to sort things
out.
This is called
problem solving.
4 4
Problem Solving…
Basic intellectual process that has been
refined and systemized for the various
challenges people face.
Problem solving which involves a decision
making steps focused on trying to an
immediate problems which can be viewed
as a gap between “what is?” and “what
should be?”
Problem makes leader better, not bitter
5
Problem Solving…
If you think you have a problem at
work, there are a number of ways to
sort things out …
•Talk to the person you are having a problem
with.
•Talk to your supervisor to help you sort out
the problem.
•Have a meeting with all the people who can
help you sort out the problem.
6 6
Problem Solving…
7 7
Why is it important to solve
problems at work?
• People can get cross.
• Work does not get done.
• People are unhappy at work.
• Accidents can happen.
• Contracts can be lost.
• People leave work.
8 8
Some Do’s of problem solving
Do say what the problem is for you.
Do listen to what the problem is for
the other person.
Do attack the problem, not the
person.
Do look for solutions that suit you
both.
9 9
Some Don’ts of problem
solving
Don’t call people mean names.
Don’t put people down.
Don’t be angry or aggressive.
Don’t stop listening.
1010
Approaches of problem
solving
Trial and Error
Intuition
Nursing Process
Scientific method/Research process
Modified Scientific Method
11
Problem Solving Steps
1. Define The Problem
2. Analyze The Problem
3. Generate Possible Solutions
4. Select The Best Solution
5. Plan For Implementation
6. Implement And Evaluate The
Solution
12
Step One : Define The
Problem
Identify the problem
Develop an accurate problem statement
Comparison against others
Monitor for weak signals
Comparison of current performance with
objectives or past performance
Checklists
Inverse brainstorming
Listing complaints
13
Step Two: Analyze The
Problem
Don’t rush to a wrong
solution.
Highly critical step.
Common mistake to
immediately begin
generating solutions.
Must identify and
eliminate root causes
of problem.
14
Step Two: Analyze The
Problem…
Diagnostic Tools
Brainstorming
Flow Diagrams
Cause and Effect
Diagrams
Pareto Charts
Check Sheets
15
Step Three : Generate
Alternative Solutions
How to Develop Alternatives:
Look at the data. What does it tell you?
– Data will lead to some ideas
– Data may not lead to best idea
16
Step Three : Generate
Alternative Solutions…
Question each aspect of situation.
– What is the job to be done?
– Why is the job to be done?
– Who should do the job?
– Where should the job be done?
– When should the job be done?
– How should the job be done?
17
Step Three : Generate
Alternative Solutions…
Apply creativity to the situation.
– Making new ways
– Rearranging old ways
– Form novel and useful ideas
Use all idea sources available.
– The worker involved.
– In-house experts.
– Written material
– Outside experts
18
Step Three : Generate
Alternative Solutions…
Apply some appropriate action
– Eliminate (part, reason, job, activity)
– Combine (parts, forms, jobs, functions)
– Rearrange (sequence, location)
– Simplify (foolproof, make obvious,
provide interlocks, remove steps,
reduce physical effort)
Brainstorm for alternative solutions.
19
Step Four : Select A Solution
Refer back to original problem
statement. Consider:
– Safety
– Cost
– Product performance
– Better management information
– Improved Technology
– Time
– Quality
– Appearance
20
Step Four : Select A
Solution…
Some questions to ask:
– Will this completely resolve the problem?
– Will this only satisfy part of the problem?
– Will this prevent future occurrences?
– Will this have little or no impact on the
problem?
– Do we have the authority to implement?
– Do we have the necessary resources?
– How long will it take to implement?
21
Step Five : Plan and
Implement Solution
Steps to ensure successful
implementation:
Work the most powerful forces
Prepare an action plan:
– What will be done?
– How will it be done?
– Where will it be done?
– Who will do it?
– When will it be done?
22
Step Five : Plan and
Implement Solution…
Develop a tracking system:
– Identify milestones or events
– Assign completion dates
– Identify reporting systems
Design evaluation procedures
Implement the procedures
23
Step Six : Evaluate The
Solution
Measure results using procedures
established during implementation
Use data gathering:
– Check sheets
– Control charts
– Time studies
– Pareto analysis
24
Problem Solving Strategies
Do it yourself
Influence others
Assign someone
Do nothing
Combine knowledge
25
Problem Solving Strategies…
Do it yourself
– The problem solver should evaluate
his/her capabilities and expertise and
determine whether this is the preferred
option
26
Problem Solving Strategies…
Influence Others
– Allow the person owning the problem to
solve it
– Eg. Conflict between 2 employees: The
nurse manager may bring the parties
together to discuss their issues
• Interpersonal skills may be used to
assist in conflict resolution, but the
employees would be allowed to work
out their own solution.
27
Problem Solving Strategies…
Assign someone –
– Delegation is the “transferring to a
competent individual the authority
to perform a selected nursing task
in a selected situation.”
28
Problem Solving Strategies…
Do Nothing
– Often a problem will subside on its own
– The problem solver should recognize
when a problem has the potential to
resolve by itself and should consider
making a conscious effort not to
intervene
29
Problem Solving Strategies…
Combine knowledge
– Consultation, collaboration with an
expert
– Talking through the situation
30
Pitfalls in Problem-Solving
– Failure to clearly identify the real
problem
– Failure to eliminate preconceived ideas
in the identification of solutions
– Failure to communicate
– Failure to follow up
– Failure to use appropriate resources
31
Critical thinking
32
Critical thinking
Successful Intelligence depends on 3
thinking skills:
practical
analytical THINKING
SKILLS
creative
33
Critical thinking…
Critical: means requiring careful
judgment.
Thinking: means to have an opinion, to
reflect on or ponder, to call to mind or
remember to devise a plan, to form a
mental picture of (image), to reason
34
Critical thinking…
Analytical thinking, purposeful, goal-
directed thinking process that strives to
problem solve patient care issues through
the use of clinical reasoning.
Combines logic, intuition, and creativity
Essential to nursing practice
It is manifested when ever a nurse ask
“why?”, “ what?”, and “how?”.
35
Critical thinking…
THINKING Vs CRITICAL THINKING
Criticalthinking is controlled, purposeful &
more likely to lead to obvious beneficial
results
Thinking is basically any mental activity;
can be aimless & uncontrolled; it may serve
a purpose, but we often aren’t aware of its
benefits; we might not even remember our
thoughts at all
36
Critical thinking…
No matter which definition you
choose, critical thinking involves the
use of several concepts, including:
exploring, analyzing, prioritizing,
explaining, deciding, and evaluating
to identify solutions and determine a
course of action to solve patient care
problems.
37
Critical thinking…
NURSING CRITICAL
PROCESS THINKING
Assessment Exploring
Diagnosis Analyzing
Planning Prioritizing/decision
making
Implementation Prioritizing and
deciding
Evaluation Evaluating
38
Critical thinking…
o It is important for manager to assess their
staff members to think critically and
enhance their knowledge and skill
through;
o Staff development programs
o Coaching
o Role modeling
39
Critical thinking…
Critical thinking is
important for;
Problem solving
Creativity
Decision making
Clinical judgment
Critical thinking
is the concept
that link all the
above mentioned
concepts.
40
WHAT IS CRITICAL THINKING
IN NURSING?
Purposeful, goal-directed thinking aiming
to make judgments based on evidence
rather than conjecture.
It is based on principles of science & the
scientific method & develops strategies
that maximize human potential &
compensates for problems caused by
human nature.
41
Why do we need to think
critically?
To make accurate and appropriate clinical
decisions
To solve problems and find solutions
To plan care for each unique client and
client problem
To seek knowledge and use it to make
clinical decisions and problem solve
To be able to think creatively when
planning care for clients
42
CHARACTERISTICS OF CRITICAL
THINKING
It is rational & reflective.
It involves healthy, constructive
skepticism.
It is autonomous.
It includes creative thinking.
It is fair thinking.
It focuses on what to believe & do.
43
A Path to Critical/Analytical
Thinking
44
Components of Critical
Thinking
Interpretation
Analysis
Inference
Explanation
Evaluation
Self-regulation
45
Aspects of Critical Thinking
To develop into an expert critical
thinker the nurse needs to use:
– REFLECTION: purposefully thinking
back /recalling. Requires honest review
– LANGUAGE: precise & clear resulting in
clear message
– INTUITION: inner sensing that
something is so
46
Levels of Critical Thinking
Basic Critical Thinking: Thinking is
concrete and based on book, principles,
rules, policies (whatever they can read or
hear about).
Complex Critical Thinking: the nurse rely
less and less on their resource people and
think before asking them, come up with
the answers themselves.
Commitment: The nurse starts
anticipating patient needs independently.
47
Critical Thinking
Competencies
General critical thinking
competencies used by many
disciplines, in many everyday
situations.
– Scientific method
– Problem solving
– Decision making
48
Critical Thinking
Competencies
Specific critical thinking in clinical
situations used by physicians,
nurses, and other health care
professionals.
– Diagnostic reasoning/ Clinical inference
– Clinical decision making
49
Critical Thinking
Competencies
Specific critical thinking competency
used in nursing practice
Nursing Process
– Assessment
– Analysis (Nursing Diagnosis)
– Planning
– Implementation
– Evaluation
50
Critical Thinking Model
The model helps to explain how nurses make
clinical judgments/ decisions in their clinical
practice that result in safe, effective, nursing
care. There are 5 components in this model of
critical thinking:
– Knowledge base
– Experience in nursing
– Critical thinking competencies
– Attitudes for critical thinking
– Standards for critical thinking
51
Developing Critical Thinking
Attitudes/Skills/
Not easy
Not “either or”
Self-assessment
Tolerating dissonance and ambiguity
Seeking situations where good
thinking practiced
Creating environments that support
critical thinking
52
Attitude/skills of critical
thinkers
They are:
Active thinkers.
Knowledgeable of their biases &
limitations.
Fair-minded.
Willing to exert a conscious effort to work
in a planful manner.
53
Attitude/skills of critical
thinkers...
Good communicators.
Empathetic.
Open-minded.
Independent thinkers.
Curious & insightful.
Humble.
Proactive.
54
Attitude/skills of critical
thinkers...
Honest with themselves & others, admitting
when their thinking may be flawed or
requires more thought.
Organized & systematic in their approach.
Flexible.
Cognizant of rules of logic
Realistic
Team players.
Creative & committed to excellence.
55
Standards for Critical
Thinking
Universal Intellectual Standards for
Critical Thinking:
– Clarity
– Accuracy
– Precision
– Depth
– Breadth
– Logic, applied to clinical reasoning
56
Standards for Critical
Thinking…
Intellectual Standards-
– 14 intellectual standards (Paul,1993) Nurses
use these when using the nursing process:
1. Confidence 7. Perseverance
2. Independence 8. Creativity
3. Fairness9. Curiosity
4. Responsibility10. Integrity
5. Risk taking 11. Humility
6. Discipline
57
Standards for Critical
Thinking…
Professional standards
– Sound ethical standards
• When critically thinking must have a sense of
their own values, beliefs, feelings and their
clients/ client’s family’s values, beliefs, feelings
– Scientifically based practice with standards
developed by experts
• Evidenced based practice
• Standards developed as a result of evidence
• These are minimum requirements that are
necessary to give quality effective care
58
Creativity
59
Innovation Vs Creativity
Innovation is the
implementation of new ideas
at the individual, group or
organizational level.
Creativity is the development
of ideas about products,
practices, services, or
procedures that are novel and
potentially useful to the
organization.
60
What Does It Take
to Be Creative?
Time
Hard work
Mental energy
61
Creativity needs
Curiosity
Flexibility
Passion, inspiration
Singleness (following direction)
Looking ahead
62
Components of creativity
Cognitive thinking: capacity to work
with information and solve problems
Approach to personal creativity
Emotional & motivational
Interpersonal relations: capacity to
participate in creativity process with
others
63
Characteristics of Creative
People
64
Creativity Enhancers
Focus on intrinsic Hire creative people
motivation Enriched, complex jobs
Creativity goals Provide resources
Developmental Clear organizational goals
feedback Instructions to be creative
Supportive Recognize and reward
supervision creativity
Healthy competition Encourage risk taking
Participative No punishment for failure
decision making
Autonomy
65
Creativity Enhancers…
Workforce Organizational
diversity culture that
Internal and promotes
external innovation
interaction Flexible, flat
Diverse teams structures
skilled at working
together Close interaction
Supportive climate and relationships
with customers
66
How Can Organizations Foster
Creativity?
Hire creative & Provide resources Design complex &
diverse workforce esp. time challenging jobs
67
Management Style and
Creativity
Encourage risk taking
Provide autonomy
Encourage productivity- “sweat
equity”
Supportive supervision, climate, and
work group
Participative leadership
68
Organization Design
and Creativity
Flexible
Flat
Structures
That promote
Internal &
Close Contact
External
With Customers
Interaction
69
Creativity Killers
Excessive focus on extrinsic motivation
Limits set by superiors
Critical evaluation
Close, controlling supervision
Competition in a win-lose situation
Control of decision making
Control of information
70
Creative Thinking Techniques
Brainstorming Rules
– Expressiveness - Say whatever ideas come
to mind without focusing on constraints
– Non-evaluation - No criticism allowed; all
are valuable
– Quantity - Produce as many ideas as
possible
– Building - Expand on other
people’s ideas
71
Creative Thinking Techniques…
Brain writing
– Hybrid of both individual and group
brainstorming
– Produces more ideas than brainstorming
72
Creative Thinking Techniques…
Shift your perspective
Take a risk
Set the stage
Be curious
Be spontaneous
73
Stages of the creative process
Wallas model
1.Preparation:- Define the problem, need, or
desire, and gather any information. Set up
criteria for verifying the solution's
acceptability.
2.Incubation:- Repetition of the same
thoughts. No new ideas or interpretations.
Reexamine the situation and review the data
collected. Last in minutes, weeks, even
years.
74
Stages of the creative
process…
Wallas model…
3. Illumination/Insight/:- Seeing the
entire concept or entity all at once. Very
brief, involving a tremendous rush of
insights within a few minutes or hours.
4. Verification:- Experimentation of
solution (succeeded or failed).
75
Forms of creativity
Combinational: Unfamiliar combination
of familiar ideas.
Exploratory: Exploration within an
established Conceptual space.
Transformational: Arises from a
deliberate transformation of the
conceptual space.
76
Barriers to Creative Thinking
Resistance to change, rigid mind-set, practice
guided by tradition, habit, routines
Stereotypical perceptions of clients
Fear of making mistakes
Unwillingness to take risks or look for alternative
strategies
Decision making without sufficient data or
supported by rationale
Failure to evaluate effectiveness of nursing
actions
77
Decision Making
78
Decision Making
It is a purposeful and goal directed
effort that uses a systematic process
to choose among two or more options
to solve specific problem.
Not all decision making begins with a
problem situation, instead the hallmark
of decision making is the identification
and selection of alternatives.
79
Decision Making…
Poor quality decision is likely if the
objectives are not clearly identified
or if they are inconsistent with the
value of an individual or
organization.
80
Rational decision making
Single, well-
defined goal
is to be achieved
Problem is
All alternatives clear and
and consequences
are known
unambiguous
Rational
Decision
Final choice
Preferences Making will maximize
are clear
payoff
Preferences
No time or cost
are constant
constraints exist
and stable
81
Characteristics of effective
decision making process
Systematic, comprehensive way of
thinking.
Predetermined consequences of
implemented decision.
Much positive outcomes and fewer
negative consequences.
Based on a “goal-oriented" analysis of the
situation
82
Characteristics of the
decision
Effective: Meets the pre-stablished
GOALS
Realistic: Physically possible, fits
circumstances
Feasible: Possible to carry out with
83
WHAT ARE THE 3 CONDITIONS
IN DECISION MAKING?
Freedom
Rationality
Voluntarity
84
WHAT IS CLINICAL DECISION
MAKING COMPOSED OF?
Cue
Hypothesis
Knowledge base
Nursing intervention
Search
Assumption
85
Decision Making Process
Step 1: Identify the problem
Defining the problem. What is wrong?
Where is improvement needed?
Begins when the nurse manager
perceives a gap between what is actually
happening and what should be
happening.
The nurse manager can identify the
problem by analyzing situation.
86
Decision Making Process…
What is the desirable situation?
What are the presenting symptoms?
What are the discrepancies?
Who is involved?
When? Where ? How?
Develop Feasible hypotheses, and
elimination of hypotheses that fail to
conform to the facts.
87
Decision Making Process…
Feasible hypotheses should be
further tested for causal validity.
By analyzing available information,
manager should begin exploring
possible solutions.
88
Decision Making Process…
Step 2: Explore alternatives
If situation is not covered by policy,
manager must draw on his education
and experience, but it may be
inadequate.
More experienced manager had more
alternatives to be suggested for solving
a variety of problems.
89
Decision Making Process…
Step 2: Explore alternatives……
Health care is changing rapidly
manager should learn how others are
solving similar problems.
This can be done through continuing
education, professional meetings,
review of the literature, and
brainstorming with staff.
90
Decision Making Process…
Step 3: Choose most desirable
alternative
One alternative is not always clearly
superior to all others.
Manager must try to balance multiple
factors such as pt. safety, staff
acceptance, morale, public acceptance,
cost, and risk of failure. The following
questions may be asked:
91
Decision Making Process…
Step 3: Choose most desirable
alternative……
- Will this decision accomplish the
stated objectives? (yes or no)
- Dose it maximize effectiveness and
efficiency? use available resources
before seeking outside assistance.
- Can the decision be implemented?
93
Decision Making Process…
Step 5: Evaluate results
Evaluate the results of the chosen
alternative.
Be alert: solutions to old problems
sometimes create new problems, so
you need additional decisions.
94
Decision making models
The decision method you used
depends on the following
circumstances.
Is the situation routine, predictable,
complex, and uncertain?
Is the goal of the decision to make a
decision conservatively (just good
enough) or optimally?
95
Decision making models…
Based on the above assumption there
are four decision making model.
I. Normative or Prescriptive DM model
II. Descriptive/ Behavioral DM model
III.Satisfying/ Conservative DM model
IV.Optimal DM model
96
Decision making models…
I. Normative or Prescriptive DM model
Used when the outcome is predictable,
the problem/situation is well structured.
Information is objective.
The decision is already prescribed.
Example: if one student get “F”, the
student should take the course again
by adding.
97
Decision making models…
II. Descriptive/ Behavioral DM model
Used when the situation is complex,
unpredictable, and uncertain.
You don’t know the outcome.
Information is subjective and every
person define or interprets into
different direction.
98
Decision making models…
III. Satisfying/ Conservative DM model
Used when information is gathered to
meet the minimum requirement for the
objective of decision.
This model is appropriate when
critical, urgent, immediate answer
were needed within a short period of
time.
99
Decision making models…
IV. Optimal DM model
The solutions/decisions are selected
based on optimal requirement for
objective decision.
Appropriate in the situation that needs
time.
This model is appropriate when non-
critical, urgent, immediate answer were
needed within a short period of time.
100
Decision making style
The situation and circumstances
should dictate which decision making
style is most appropriate.
To select an appropriate decision
making style, the nurse manager
should look at the following decision
rules.
101
Decision making style…
1. The importance of the decision quality
to the institutional success.
2. The degree to which the manager
process the information and skills to
decision.
3. The degree to which the followers
have the necessary information to
generate a quality decision.
102
Decision making style…
4. The degree to which the problem is
structured.
5. The importance of followers commitment.
6. The likelihood that an autocratic would be
accepted.
7. The strength of followers commitment to
institutional goals.
8. The likelihood of followers conflict over the
final decision.
103
Decision making style…
Based on the above mentioned rules
there are three DM styles. These are;
1. Autocratic
2. Democratic
3. Anarchic
104
Types of decisions
• Decisions made in the nursing service can
be categorized depending upon the
following criteria
How much time the manager spends in
making decision?
What proportion of the organization
must be involved in making decision?
The organization function/ the nursing
functions on which they focus.
105
Types of decisions...
Onthe basis of these, there are three
classifications:
1. Ends -Means
2. Administrative-Operational
3. Programmed-Non-programmed
106
Types of decisions...
1. Ends-Means
Ends: deals with the determination of
desired individual or organizational
results to be achieved.
Means: decisions deal with strategic
or operational programmes, activities
that will accomplish desired results.
107
Types of decisions...
2. Administrative-Operational
• Administrative: made by senior
management, which have significant
impact throughout the organization.
• Operational: are generally made by mid
level and first line managers and
address day to day operational
activities of a particular organizational.
108
Types of decisions...
3. Programmed-Non-programmed
Programmed:- these are repetitive and
routine in nature. Since they can be
programmed, procedures, rules and often
manuals are formulated to cover those
situations.
Non-programmed:- unique and non-
routine. This can be used in
emergency/urgent situation.
109
Conditions that initiate
decision making
These are;
1. Opportunity
2. Threat
3. Crisis
4. Deviation
5. Improvement
110
Ways of Decision Making
1. Relying on tradition: based on past
decision making
2. May appeal to authority: based on
suggestions from an expert/a higher
level management
3. Prior reasoning: based on assumption
4. Logical decision making: is a rational,
intelligent and systematic approach
111
Factors Influencing Decision
Making
1. Decision makers attribute
• Knowledge, experience, and
judgment
• Perception and personality
• Values and philosophy
112
Factors Influencing Decision
Making…
2. The Situation
• Urgency of solution and time
pressures
• Magnitude and importance
• Structure and uncertainty and
risk
• Cost benefit
113
Factors Influencing Decision
Making…
3. Environmental Constraints
• External
• Internal
114
Decision Making Tools
There are many tools. The most common
are:
1. Probability theory:- is the likelihood that
an event or outcome will actually occur.
2. Decision tree:- are graphic decision
making tools used to evaluate decisions
containing a series of steps
115
Deciding to decide
1. Is the problem easy to deal with?
– Tip: avoid being bogged down in
trivial details. Effective managers
reserve decision making techniques
for problems that require them.
2. Might the problem resolve itself.
– Tip: prioritize and rank problems in
order of importance.
116
Deciding to decide…
3. Is it my decision?
Tip: the closer to the origin of the problem
the decision is the better. Before
deciding ask the following questions:
Does the issue affect other
departments?
Will it have a major impact on the
superior's area of responsibility?
117
Deciding to decide…
Does it need further information from
higher level?
Does it involve serious breach of my
department’s budget?
Is this problem outside my area of
responsibility or authority?
If the answer to any of these questions
is 'YES' pass it to your superior.
118
Barriers to Effect Decision-
Making
1. Easy recall: the more easily can recall the
event, the more frequently they believe it
occur.
2. Easy search: not to put effort to seek
information from the appropriate sources.
3. Misconception of chance: Most people do
not understand the nature of random
events.
119
Barriers to Effect Decision-
Making…
4. Confirmation gap/bias: bending
evidence to fit one’s beliefs.
5. Relaxed avoidance: the manager
decides not to decide or act after noting
that the consequences of inaction will
not be serious.
120
Barriers to Effect Decision-
Making…
6. Defensive avoidance: Faced with a
problem and unable to find a good
solution based on past experience, this
manager seeks a way out.
7. Panic: the manager feels pressurized
not only by the problem but also time.
121
Use of Technology in Decision
Making
Technology can support, but not take
over, the decision-making process.
Clinical practitioners should evaluate
technology before adopting it.
Other staff on which technology will
have an impact should have input into
decisions on its adoption.
122
The Nurse’s Role in Patient
Decision Making
Patients are increasingly
knowledgeable about health care and
involved in treatment decisions.
Nurses must be aware of patients’
rights in making decisions about
their treatments and must assist
patients in their decision making.
123
The Nurse’s Role in Patient
Decision Making…
Nurses must recognize when
patients are lacking information and
implement teaching in such cases.
Nurses may need to collaborate with
others to determine what information
has been shared with the patient and
family.
124
Strategies to Improve
Decision Making
Make certain you have all necessary
information to make a proper
decision.
Consider alternatives.
Do not be afraid to revise a decision if
circumstances change.
Anticipate questions and outcomes.
125
Strategies to Improve
Decision Making…
Keep notes and other information for
reference.
Consider the pros and cons of the
decision.
Consider how your decision will
affect the people involved.
Do not get caught up in unnecessary
details or issues.
126
Common Errors in Decision
Making
Over-confidence Framing
Hindsight Confirmation
Self-serving Selective
Randomness perception
Representation Anchoring
Availability Immediate
gratification
127