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Production functions for

climate policy modeling: An


empirical analysis

Van der Werf, E. (2008). Production functions for climate policy modeling: An
empirical analysis. Energy economics, 30(6), 2964-2979
• What is the optimal structure of the CES
production function and what are the
empirical derived values of its parameters?
Research • Motivation: Climate Policy Models allow
question firms to react to price changes, caused by
and climate policy, through input substitution, yet
this parameters are set theoretically.
motivation

The minimization problem of the firms is
given by:

Model F.O.C and assuming perfect competition give


specification the conditional demand for E:
Model • After more algebra…
specification
• Model to be estimated:

Econometric • Initially Country-industry fixed effects. Unable to reject


model and the hypothesis that the countries have the same fixed
effects. Thus pooled regressions are more efficient.
Data • Data from IEA energy balances and OECD international
sectoral database.
• The nesting structure that fits the data the
best is the one in which capital and labor are
combined first: (KL)E.

Results
• Where Z is the nest and is defined as:
• Reject elasticities equal to 1 (C-D PF).
Values ranging from 0.15 to 0.6 among
industries and countries.
• Factor-specific growth rates that are
significant and that mostly significantly
Results differ from each other. Rejecting input-
neutral TFP growth and ‘only energy-
augmenting technological change’.
• The nesting structure (LE)K better fits the
data tan (KE)L.
Interesting • Elasticites smaller than 1 suggest that the
role of endogenous technical change plays a
points bigger role in reducing the costs of climate
policies.
• Business cycles and parameter estimation in
macroeconomics.
Constructiv • Non-linearity of CES PFs.
e criticisim • Further research on the elasticity of
substitution between clean and fossil energy
sources.
Bibliography:
• Van der Werf, E. (2008). Production functions for climate policy
modeling: An empirical analysis. Energy economics, 30(6),
2964-2979
• Fried, S. (2018). Climate policy and innovation: A quantitative
Thank you macroeconomic analysis. American Economic Journal:
Macroeconomics, 10(1), 90-118.
for your • Qian, H., Wu, L., & Fan, J. (2018). On Estimation of Deep
Nested CES Production Functions. Available at SSRN 3247693.
time. • Kaya, A., Csala, D., & Sgouridis, S. (2017). Constant elasticity
of substitution functions for energy modeling in general
equilibrium integrated assessment models: a critical review and
recommendations. Climatic Change, 145(1-2), 27-40.
• Papageorgiou, C., Saam, M., & Schulte, P. (2017). Substitution
between clean and dirty energy inputs: A macroeconomic
perspective. Review of Economics and Statistics, 99(2), 281-290.

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