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PowerPoint Presentation

prepared by
Traven Reed
Canadore College
chapter 13
Distributions to
Shareholders: Dividends
and Repurchases
Corporate Valuation and
Distribution to Shareholders
CH13

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-3


Topics in Chapter
CH13

• Distribution level and firm value


• Theories of investor preferences
• Signaling effects
• Residual model
• Stock repurchases
• Stock dividends and stock splits
• Dividend reinvestment plans

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-4


What is “distribution policy”?
CH13

• The distribution policy defines:


– The level of cash distributions to
shareholders
– The form of the distribution (dividend
vs. stock repurchase)
– The stability of the distribution

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-5


Dividend Yields for Selected
Countries
CH13

World Stock Market (Index) Div. Yield %


Egypt 17.0
New Zealand 4.6
Argentina 3.4
Britain (FTSE All Share) 3.1
France 2.7
Canada (S&P/TSX Comp) 2.5
United States (S&P 500) 1.9
Japan 1.4
India (BSE-500) 0.7
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-6
Do investors prefer high or low
payouts? There are three theories:
CH13

• Dividends are irrelevant: Investors


don’t care about payout.
• Bird-in-the-hand: Investors prefer a
high payout.
• Tax preference: Investors prefer a
low payout, hence growth.

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-7


Dividend Irrelevance Theory
CH13

• Investors are indifferent between


dividends and retention-generated
capital gains. If they want cash, they
can sell stock. If they don’t want cash,
they can use dividends to buy stock.
• Modigliani-Miller support irrelevance.
• Theory is based on unrealistic
assumptions (no taxes or brokerage
costs), hence may not be true. Need
empirical test.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-8
Bird-in-the-Hand Theory
CH13

• Investors think dividends are less


risky than potential future capital
gains, hence they like dividends.
• If so, investors would value high
payout firms more highly, i.e., a
high payout would result in a high
stock price.

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-9


Tax Preference Theory
CH13

• Low payouts mean higher capital


gains. Capital gains taxes are
deferred.
• This could cause investors to prefer
firms with low payouts, i.e., a high
payout results in a low stock price.

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-10


Implications of 3 Theories for
Managers
CH13

Theory Implication

Irrelevance Any payout OK

Bird-in-the-hand Set high payout

Tax preference Set low payout

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-11


Impacts on Stock Price and
CH13
Cost of Equity

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-12


Empirical Results of the
Dividend Theories
CH13

• Empirical testing has not been able to


determine which theory, if any, is correct.
Thus, managers use judgment when
setting policy.
• The portion of dividend-paying
companies has declined
• Payout ratio remains stable at about
26% to 28%
• Older firms tend to pay cash dividends

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-13


“Clientele effect”
CH13

• Different groups of investors, or


clienteles, prefer different dividend
policies.
• Firm’s past dividend policy determines
its current clientele of investors.
• Clientele effects impede changing
dividend policy. Taxes & brokerage
costs hurt investors who have to switch
companies due to a change in payout
policy.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-14
Information Content, or
Signaling hypothesis?
CH13

• Investors view dividend changes as


signals of management’s view of the
future. Managers hate to cut
dividends, so won’t raise dividends
unless they think raise is sustainable.
• Therefore, a stock price increase at
time of a dividend increase could
reflect higher expectations for future
EPS, not a desire for dividends.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-15
Implications for
CH13
Dividend Stability
• Clientele effect and information content
hypotheses imply that investors prefer
stable dividends
• A stable policy means the regular cash
dividends should grow at a steady,
predictable rate
• Reducing dividends to make funds
available for capital investment could
send incorrect signals to investors

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-16


What’s the “residual
distribution model”?
CH13

• Find the reinvested earnings


needed for the capital budget.
• Pay out any leftover earnings (the
residual) as either dividends or
stock repurchases.
• This policy minimizes flotation and
equity signaling costs, hence
minimizes the WACC.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-17
Using the Residual Model to
Calculate Distributions Paid
CH13

[( )( )]
Net Target Total
Distr. = – equity capital .
income
ratio budget

This long-run target distribution ratio


allows firms to meet equity requirements
with retained earnings.

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-18


Residual Distribution Model:
Illustration
CH13

• Capital budget: $800,000 (given).


• Target capital structure: 40% debt,
60% equity. Need to be maintained.
• Forecasted net income: $600,000
• If all distributions are in the form of
dividends, how much of the
$600,000 should we pay out as
dividends?
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-19
Residual Distr. Model:(cont’d)
CH13

• Of the $800,000 capital budget,


0.6($800,000) = $480,000 must be
equity to keep at target capital structure.
So 0.4($800,000) = $320,000 will be
debt.
• With $600,000 of net income, the
residual is $600,000 - $480,000 =
$120,000 = dividends paid.
• Payout ratio = $120,000/$600,000
= 0.20 = 20%
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-20
How would a drop in NI to $400,000
affect the dividend? A rise to $800,000?
CH13

• NI = $400,000: Need $480,000 of


equity, so should retain the whole
$400,000. Dividends = 0
• NI = $800,000: Dividends =
$800,000 - $480,000 = $320,000.
Distribution ratio (i.e. payout) =
$320,000/$800,000 = 40%

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-21


Investment Opportunities and
Residual Dividends
CH13

• Fewer good investments would lead


to smaller capital budget, hence to
a higher dividend payout.
• More good investments would lead
to a lower dividend payout.
• Earnings should be retained only if
the company can invest them in
positive NPV projects.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-22
Advantages and Disadvantages
of the Residual Dividend Policy
CH13

• Advantages: Minimizes new stock


issues and flotation costs.
• Disadvantages: Results in unstable
dividends, sends conflicting signals,
increases risk, and doesn’t appeal
to any specific clientele.
• Conclusion: Consider residual
policy when setting target payout,
but don’t follow it rigidly.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-23
Dividend Payment Procedures
CH13

• Declaration date, Nov/8/08: Board


declares a quarterly dividend of $0.50
per share payable to holders of record
on Dec/12/08 payable on Jan/2/09
• Dividend goes with stock, Dec/09/08
• Ex-dividend date, Dec/10/08
• Holder of record date, Dec/12/08
• To get the dividend, transactions must
be completed on or before Dec/09/08
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-24
Stock Repurchases
CH13

• Repurchases: Buying own stock back


from stockholders.

• Reasons for repurchases:


• As an alternative to distributing cash as
dividends.
• To dispose of one-time cash from an
asset sale.
• To make a large capital structure
change.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-25
Stock Repurchases versus
CH13
Cash Dividends

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-26


Dividends versus Stock
CH13
Repurchases
• Ignoring possible tax effects and signals,
the total market value of equity is the
same whether a firm pays dividends or
repurchases stock
• The purchase itself does not change the
stock price although it does reduce the
number of outstanding shares
• The total return to the shareholders is
the same

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-27


Advantages of Repurchases
CH13

• Stockholders can tender or not.


• Helps avoid setting a high dividend that
cannot be maintained.
• Repurchased stock can be used in
takeovers or resold to raise cash as
needed.
• Income received is capital gains rather
than higher-taxed dividends.
• Stockholders may take as a positive
signal--management thinks stock is
undervalued.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-28
Disadvantages of
Repurchases
CH13

• May be viewed as a negative signal (firm


has poor investment opportunities).
• CRA could impose penalties if
repurchases were primarily to avoid
taxes on dividends.
• Selling stockholders may not be well
informed, hence be treated unfairly.
• Firm may have to bid up price to
complete purchase, thus paying too
much for its own stock.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-29
Setting Dividend Policy
CH13

• Forecast capital needs over a planning


horizon, often 5 years.
• Set a target capital structure.
• Estimate annual equity needs.
• Set target payout based on the residual
model.
• Generally, some dividend growth rate
emerges. Maintain target growth rate if
possible, varying capital structure
somewhat if necessary.

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-30


Constraints on Dividend
CH13
Payments
• Bond indentures
• Preferred stock restrictions
• Legal constraints
– Capital impairment restriction
– Net earning restriction
– Insolvency restriction
• Availability of cash

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-31


Stock Dividends vs. Stock Splits
CH13

• Stock dividend: Firm issues new shares


in lieu of paying a cash dividend. If 10%,
get 10 shares for each 100 shares
owned.
• Stock split: Firm increases the number
of shares outstanding, say 2:1. Sends
shareholders more shares.
• They are conceptually the same, and
neither create any real economic value.

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-32


A 10% Stock Dividend
CH13

• A shareholder with 100 shares will


receive 10 additional shares
• A 100% stock dividend, a
shareholder with 100 shares will
receive 100 additional shares.
• A stock dividend is in reality just a
small stock split.
• Accounting treatments greatly differ
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-33
A 2-for-1 Stock Split
CH13

• Existing shareholders receive an


additional share for each share they
already own
• There will then be twice as many shares
outstanding, with each share worth half of
the previous market value.
• Each shareholder retains his proportionate
share of ownership of the company
• Initially at least, the EPS and DPS will also
be half of their former levels.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-34
Stock Dividends
vs. Stock Splits
CH13

• Both stock dividends and stock splits


increase the number of shares
outstanding, so “the pie is divided into
smaller pieces.”
• Unless the stock dividend or split
conveys information, or is accompanied
by another event like higher dividends,
the stock price falls so as to keep each
investor’s wealth unchanged.
• But splits/stock dividends may get us to
an “optimal price range.”
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-35
When should a firm consider
splitting its stock?
CH13

• There’s a widespread belief that the


optimal price range for stocks is
$10 to $50
• Stock splits can be used to keep
the price in the optimal range.
• Stock splits generally occur when
management is confident, so are
interpreted as positive signals.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-36
What’s a “dividend reinvestment
plan (DRIP)”?
CH13

• Shareholders can automatically


reinvest their dividends in shares of
the company’s common stock.
• Reinvested dividends are treated as
taxable income by CRA although no
cash is actually received.
• There are two types of plans:
– Open market
– New stock
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-37
Open Market Purchase Plan
CH13

• Dollars to be reinvested are turned


over to trustee, who buys shares on
the open market.
• Brokerage costs are reduced by
volume purchases.
• Convenient, easy way to invest,
thus useful for investors.

Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-38


New Stock Plan
CH13

• Firm issues new stock to DRIP


enrollees, keeps money and uses it
to buy assets.
• No fees are charged, plus sells
stock at discount of 5% from market
price, which is about equal to
flotation costs of underwritten stock
offering.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-39
New Stock Plan (cont’d)
CH13

• Optional investments sometimes


possible, up to $150,000 or so.
• Firms that need new equity capital
use new stock plans.
• Firms with no need for new equity
capital use open market purchase
plans.
• Most TSX listed companies have a
DRIP. Useful for investors.
Copyright © 2011 by Nelson Education Ltd. All rights reserved. 13-40

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