Professional Documents
Culture Documents
TSMC 2
TSMC 2
TSMC 2
T
M
s
GRADUATION PROJECT
C
SUBMITTED TO
DR. WAEL MUSTAFA
AGENDA
5
CSR
• An Innovation Pioneer
• An Admired Employer
PRODUCT
PRICE
PLACE
PEOPLE
8
S W
O
T ANALYSIS
2. SWOT ANALYSIS
OPPORTUNITIES
STRENGTH
10
3. PESTEL ANALYSIS
POLITICAL
• Unstable.
• Government’s pledge for nuclear-free Taiwan to create
power supply issues.
• Trade barriers and business demolishing activities.
ECONOMICAL
• Unstable
• Inflation/employment/interest/exchange rates.
• Labor market condition.
SOCIAL
• Stable.
• Digital applications' quick uptake in daily life will help the
semiconductor sector.
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3. PESTEL ANALYSIS
TECHNOLOGICAL
• Stable
• Miniaturization of chips drives growth.
• Innovations in technology .
• Artificial intelligence.
ENVIROMENTAL
• Unstable
• The tendency to use environmentally friendly goods The use
of green products.
• Recycling of products due to lack of raw materials.
• The effect of climate and weather conditions.
LEGAL
• Stable
• Regulations to protect consumers.
• Intellectual property laws.
12
4.PORTER FIVE FORCES
13
5. COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGES
14
6.COMPARE BETWEEN TSMC AND INTEL
TSMC INTEL
In the first two quarters of the year, increase website traffic by 505 using efficient blogging and
email strategies.
During the first quarter of the fiscal year, reach 65,000 likes on TSMC's official Facebook page.
8. STRATEGY
By 2025, TSMC plans to increase its node production capacity by
roughly 50%. The strategy calls for the development of new fabs in
Taiwan, Japan, and China.
Four new facilities for mature and specialized nodes are being
purchased by the company:
17
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS
1.1. TAIWAN’S REAL GDP
Definition
GDP measures the monetary value of final goods and services that is, those that are bought by the final use produced
in a country in a given period (Say a Quarter or a Year).
Theoretically, GDP can be viewed in three different ways:
The production
The expenditure approach
The income approach
19
Net Government Consumer
Full Year GDP Investment Year
REAL
Export Spending Spending
G
1,203.15 B 134.6 B 267.46 B 166.4 B 629.25 B 2018
D
1,320.3 B 175.86 B 319.38 B 184.84 B 640.21 B 2020
Formula:
GDP = private consumption + gross private investment + government
investment + government spending + (exports – imports).
Real GDP = Nominal GDP/1+Inflation rate of base year.
GDP
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
22
REAL GDP GROWTH RATE
12
10
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Real GDP Growth Rate = (most recent year's real GDP - the last year's real GDP) / the previous year's real GDP
2.1. GDP PER CAPITA
Year GDP Per Capita
2017 48,500$
2018 51,005$
2019 53,476$
2020 56,037$
2021 62,696$
Real GDP per capita is a measurement of the total economic output of a country divided by the number
of people and adjusted for inflation. It's used to compare the standard of living between countries and over
time.
GDP per capita = GDP/population
2.2.COMMENT__________________________
2017-2018 : The growth rate in manufacturing sector reached 2.58 % due to the overall increase in GDP.
2018-2019 : The growth rate in manufacturing sector reached 1.09 % due to the overall increase in GDP.
2019-2020 : The growth rate in the manufacturing sector reached 7.5 % due to the overall increase in GDP
2020-2021 : The growth rate in the manufacturing sector reached 14.57 % due to the overall increase in GDP.
- The significant increase in GDP in all aspects is due to the successful control over the COVID-19pandemic which improved
the economic growth and opened new markets for Taiwan exports. The overall steady increase in GDP indicated growth in
manufacturing specifically semiconductor sector which exploded in 2021 resulted from the increased demand on
semiconductor chips, the growth leaded to the industry to flourish with new firms and competition for TSMC over the years.
Year Interest Rate
2017 1.375%
2018 1.375%
RATE 2020
2021
1.125%
1.125%
Interest Rate Formula = P x R x T / 100
3.2. INTEREST RATE
1.60%
1.40%
1.20%
1.00%
0.80%
0.60%
0.40%
0.20%
0.00%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Trading Economics
3.3.COMMENT
One of the most important, if not the most important, reasons for the drop in the interest rate is the Corona virus, which
negatively affected the interest rate, as Taiwanese economists were expecting at the beginning of 2019 that the interest rate
would be 1.375%, as is the case in the previous year, but given Due to the Corona virus, the interest rate fell to 1.125%,
which had a great impact on the Taiwanese economy and the global economy as well.
Corona Virus was not the only reason for the drop in the interest rate. There were disputes between China and Taiwan,
which in turn was the reason for the interest rate to remain stable at the end of 2021 at 1.125%.
3.4.IMPACT OF INTREST RATE ON TSMC
Rising or falling interest rates also affect consumer and business psychology. When interest rates are rising, both businesses and
consumers will cut back on spending. This will cause earnings to fall and stock prices to drop.
In 2020 and 2021, the interest rate was low compared to previous years, which prompted TSMC to take loans from banks in
Taiwan, specifically the Bank of Taiwan, which amounted to 6 billion US dollars, because TSMC is going to build a new
factory with 3 nanometer technology, which it will build.
Noting that the new factory will cost 12 billion US dollars, and the rest of the required amount will be financed through other
banks in Taiwan at the same low interest rate.
Year Inflation Rate
2017 1.09 %
2018 1.5 %
RATE 2020
2021
-0.18 %
1.82 %
Inflation Rate = Value of Market Basket in a Given Year / Value of Market Basket in the Base Year x 100
4.2. INFLATION RATE
2.00%
1.50%
1.00%
0.50%
0.00%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
-0.50%
4.3.COMMENT
In late 2019 and early 2020, the inflation rate was at its lowest level in relation to Taiwan, relative to Corona Virus,
because the inflation rate means the price of products in the consumer’s basket of goods, and at that time the world
was completely closed. There are no operations that change countries (import and export), as well. The death rate in
the country during Corona was rather large, as the products were at the lowest price for them. Also, the Taiwanese
government was putting subsidies on all commodities to support its citizens to overcome the Corona period
4.4.IMPACT OF INFLATION RATE ON TSMC
When inflation is high, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. As a result, businesses may find it difficult to
maintain their profit margins. In addition, consumers may cut back on their spending, which can lead to lower sales for
businesses.
Although the profits of TSMC in 2021 amounted to 534.14 billion Taiwan dollars, the company stated that it had concerns about
previous years in terms of expenses, and the CEO of “TSMC” said that in 2023, some of the company’s capital expenditures will
be paid.
5.1. EXCHANGE RATE
Currency Closing Closing Closing Closing Closing
Rate Rate Rate Rate 2020 Rate
2017 2018 2019 2021
TWD/USD 29.6800 30.7350 29.9900 28.1000 27.6550
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
0
USD GBP EUR AUD YPY CNY
Bank of Taiwan
5.3.COMMENT
___________________________
TWD/GBP: We note that the US dollar exchange rates are decreasing and increasing, and this poses a risk to the Taiwanese
economy and affects the business transactions of companies such as TSMC.
TWD/GBP: We note that the exchange rates of the pound sterling are decreasing and increasing, and this represents a danger to
the Taiwanese economy and affects the commercial transactions of companies such as TSMC.
TWD/EUR: We note that the value of the Euro in relation to the Taiwanese dollar during the last five years has been decreasing,
and this indicates an increase in the value of the Taiwanese dollar and an increase in the state's economy.
TWD/AUD: We notice the same thing regarding the Australian dollar in relation to the Taiwanese dollar, that it
has been decreasing during the last five years.
TWD/YPY: We note that the exchange rates of the pound and the Japanese yen are decreasing and increasing, and this
represents a danger to the Taiwanese economy and affects the commercial transactions of companies such as TSMC.
TWD/CNY: We note that the Chinese renminbi has been declining slightly over the past five years, and the value of the
Taiwanese dollar has increased by a small amount.
5.4.EXCHANGE RATE
Years Income
2017 $ 239,176,841
2018 $ 240,202,525
2019 $ 141,450,698
2020 $ 303,165,717
2021 $ 396,294,24
37
6.1. TAX RATE
2017 17%
2018 17%
2019 20%
2020 20%
2021 20%
38
6.2. INCOME AFTER TAX
RATE Years Income After Tax
2017 343,111,476
2018 351,097,345
2019 345,392,602
2020 517,829,689
2021 596,658,044
39
7.1. UNEMPLOYMENT OF TAIWAN
4.10%
4.00%
3.90%
3.80%
3.70%
3.60%
3.50%
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
By the end of 2021, 1,144 companies had invested more than NT$1.6 trillion (US$57.1 billion)
in Taiwan thanks to these programmed, creating more than 128,000 new jobs
44
Agency Rating outlook year
S&P AA Stable 2021
Fitch AA Positive 2021
0
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Statista
10.2.COMMENT
_______________________________
2017-2018: There has been a significant increase in FDI for 2018 by 52% due to the increase of FDI in both the finance field and
manufacturing field of 2.3, 2.8 billion.
2018-2019: The FDI is maximized by fraction of 2.1% change.
2019-2020: There has been a significant decrease in FDI for 2020 by -18.3% mostly due to COVID-19 which negatively
affected the information and communication field FDI to drop by 880 million and also damaged the manufacturing field by 2.6
billion decrease.
2020-2021: The decrease of FDI is still present in 2021 by -18.2% to reach its lowest point since 2017 due to COVID-19
influence on global investment. The decrease is in the electricity supply field by 950 million and also in the scientific and
technical services field by 900 million dollars.
10.3.IMPACT OF FDI ON TSMC
The FDI flow has been stable over the years but obviously decreased after the pandemic except for the manufacturing sector
which did not decrease as dramatic as the other sectors making relatively the only reliable sector post pandemic. The FDI
mainly shifted towards the semiconductor industry establishing semiconductor firms benefiting from the highly trained labors
of Taiwan and raising competition for TSMC
11.1. INFRASTRUCTURE
Transportation
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IMPACT INFRASTRUCTURE ON TSMC
Since TSMC is a manufacturer of semiconductors for personal computers and cell phones, Taiwan people must be highly
civilized to know how to manufacture, how to use, and so on.
The population of Taiwan is 23.57 million people (2020), the phone users in the country are more than 30 million people,
and this is a large percentage, and TSMC helped to a very large extent, Also, all residents of the country use the Internet,
which helped the company to deal with customers and facilitate access to them.
Financial analysis
Agenda
1 2 3
4 5
5 year financial
Ratio analysis
projection
Date Closed Price Open High Low Volume
31-12-2008 7.50 7.73 8.43 6.67 405.22 M
31-12-2009 10.16 11.49 11.69 9.89 360.29 M
1.
_________________________________________________
31-12-2010 13.07 12.56 13.85 12.24 340.38 M
31-12-2011 14.08 13.11 14.43 13.04 217.71 M
TSMC STOCK PRICES FOR THE PAST 15
160
140
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12- 31-12-
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2019 2020 2021
NT$ $
57
ECONOMIC PROBLEMS RELATED TO US - CHINA AND TSMC
92
90
88
86
84
82
80
78
20/4 21/4 24/4 25/4 26/4
1.5
0.5
0
2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
current Ratio quick ratio Cash ratio
Debt to assets- ratio debt to euqity ratio Financial leverage Cash Flow debt ratio
NT$50,000,000,000,000.00
NT$40,000,000,000,000.00
NT$30,000,000,000,000.00
NT$20,000,000,000,000.00
NT$10,000,000,000,000.00
NT$-
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
FCF NT$ 1,491,267,677,855.04 NT$ 1,513,934,946,558.44 NT$ 1,536,946,757,746.13 NT$ 1,560,308,348,463.87 NT$ 1,584,025,035,360.52
PV NT$ 16,551,250,586,626.40 NT$ 16,802,829,595,543.10 NT$ 17,058,232,605,395.40 NT$ 17,317,517,740,997.40 NT$ 17,580,744,010,660.60
FCF West NT$ 1,459,641,667,556.85 NT$ 1,437,455,114,209.98 NT$ 1,415,605,796,473.99 NT$ 1,394,088,588,367.59 NT$ 1,372,898,441,824.40
PV West NT$ 16,200,240,483,427.80 NT$ 15,953,996,828,079.70 NT$ 15,711,496,076,292.90 NT$ 15,472,681,335,933.20 NT$ 15,237,496,579,627.10
FCF Best NT$ 1,512,183,688,153.23 NT$ 1,535,168,880,213.16 NT$ 1,558,503,447,192.40 NT$ 1,582,192,699,589.73 NT$ 1,606,242,028,623.49
PV Best NT$ 16,783,392,765,296.70 NT$ 17,038,500,335,329.20 NT$ 17,297,485,540,426.20 NT$ 17,560,407,320,640.70 NT$ 17,827,325,511,914.50
RESIDUAL INCOME
Residual income
NT$3,000,000,000.00
NT$2,500,000,000.00
NT$2,000,000,000.00
NT$1,500,000,000.00
NT$1,000,000,000.00
NT$500,000,000.00
NT$-
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
PV of Residual income West NT$ 306,934,571.32 NT$ 281,718,044.40 NT$ 258,573,207.32 NT$ 237,329,858.24 NT$ 217,831,778.46
AVERAGE
Average
NT$3,500,000,000,000.00
NT$3,000,000,000,000.00
NT$2,500,000,000,000.00
NT$2,000,000,000,000.00
NT$1,500,000,000,000.00
NT$1,000,000,000,000.00
NT$500,000,000,000.00
NT$-
2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
FCF NT$ 1,491,267,677,855.04 NT$ 1,513,934,946,558.44 NT$ 1,536,946,757,746.13 NT$ 1,560,308,348,463.87 NT$ 1,584,025,035,360.52
PV of Residual income NT$ 2,493,683,767.95 NT$ 1,967,653,120.59 NT$ 1,758,614,385.57 NT$ 1,571,638,366.92 NT$ 1,404,978,439.49
Average NT$ 1,492,514,519,739.01 NT$ 1,514,918,773,118.73 NT$ 1,537,826,064,938.91 NT$ 1,561,094,167,647.32 NT$ 1,584,727,524,580.26
PROJECTION
Net Income
NT$3,000,000,000.00
NT$2,500,000,000.00
NT$2,000,000,000.00
NT$1,500,000,000.00
NT$1,000,000,000.00
NT$500,000,000.00
NT$-
A 2022 F 2023 F 2024 F 2025 F 2026 F 2027
Revenue Cost of Good Sold Gross Profit Total Expenses Net income
NT$5,000,000,000.00
NT$4,000,000,000.00
NT$3,000,000,000.00
NT$2,000,000,000.00
NT$1,000,000,000.00
NT$-
A 2022 F 2023 F 2024 F 2025 F 2026 F 2027
Cash from financing NT$ 74,456,117.16 NT$ 75,906,381.84 NT$ 77,384,971.87 NT$ 78,892,441.75 NT$ 80,429,357.02 NT$ 81,996,294.26
RECOMMENDATION
The largest and most technologically advanced contract chip manufacturer in the world, TSMC
(TSM), counts Apple, AMD, and Qualcomm among its top customers.
The escalating rivalry between Intel and Samsung is TSMC's third problem.
Both businesses have made bold aspirations to overtake TSMC in the fight for processes by 2023
and 2025. To deploy its 7nm chips by 2023, Intel intends to invest $20 billion in the construction of
two new fabrication facilities in Arizona.
Based on these elements, we think TSMC is a strong business with a proven history of
development and innovation. We are aware of the company's significant challenges, which could
have an impact on its performance going forward. As a result, we advise holding the TSMC stock
at a hold rating for 2023. By the end of 2023, we anticipate that the share price will fluctuate
between $90 and $110 per share.
THANK YOU
• Nouran Eid
• Estfanous Melad
• Mahmoud Mostafa
• Robert Moheb
• Omar Mohamed
• Abdelrahman Weal
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