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8 - Capital Structure PT 1
8 - Capital Structure PT 1
• How should a project with an expected annual return of 10% on invested capital be
financed? With equity requiring an 8% rate of return or debt requiring 5%?
• What (if any) would be the advantages of either alternative?
• Would a blend be better?
Unleveraged Firms Still Face Risks
• A good place to start is by analyzing a company funded entirely with equity.
• Such a firm will have a natural volatility of cash flows associated with its operations. The term
for this baseline amount of uncertainty is business (or asset) risk.
• A firm’s return on investment (ROI) should compensate for this or it will fail in the long-run.
• Should the firm lease a machine for $4700/yr which cuts costs in half?
• Assuming no taxes, annual profit = $2300 ($900-$3700)
• Based on statistical expectation (EPS), the answer should be yes
• Like operating leverage, cash flows from the operation of the assets will be
allocated to servicing these expenses before shareholders can collect anything.
• Intuitively, the stability of cash flows enjoyed by debt holders comes at the expense of
shareholders who must supply it from their own.
• Return on equity (ROE) must compensate for both business risk AND the extra volatility
induced by the use of financial leverage. RD is the pre-tax cost of debt.
Financial Leverage
• Combining the definitions of ROI and ROE reveals an important relationship:
• Managers will generally adjust the financing mix to reach a target trade-off
between expected return and TOTAL risk.
• If operational leverage is high, firms use less financial leverage.
• This helps us to understand the differences in capital structure observed between companies
operating at different sizes or in different industries.
• These models assume that the maximum value of the firm is achieved under
conditions of zero friction and subtract each cost from the firm incrementally.
• In this way, we can learn about each one in isolation and understand how it interacts (if at
all), with the other factors.
• You can think of these frictions as “carving away pieces of the block” of value created by the
firm’s productive assets.
Modigliani and Miller (M&M) Irrelevance Theorem
• To demonstrate this, the model imagines two firms with the same risks but with
different levels of debt. Both their streams of earnings are perpetual.
• The market is assumed to be frictionless: no taxes, no risk of costly re-organization or financial
distress (fire sale of assets, legal), no transactions costs, no asymmetric information problems
• By assuming away everything we know actually affects the choice, the model’s results
may not line up with the real (frictioned) world.
• Nonetheless it does reveal some important relationships underlying financing choices.
Same Payoffs, Same Value
• Based on a “no arbitrage” argument, M&M show that the value and risk of the
firm are not affected by how it is financed.
• Total cash flows are the same and their variability is independent of how they are split up.
• If you owned all the equity and debt, the mix wouldn’t matter since you would get all the cash
flows and risk anyways.
Net payoffs
are equal
Firm Value is Constant (and thus, so is WACC)
• Where portfolio payoffs are identical, prices should be identical.
• Therefore, the enterprise value of the levered firm (EVL) must equal to the value of its debt plus
the value of its equity (SL + D) and this must equal the enterprise value of a firm that uses no
debt (the unlevered firm; EVU).
• The first such complications we will layer on is the impact of income taxes and
the deductibility of interest expenses.
The Impact of Taxes
• The introduction of corporate taxes means that some of the firm’s cash flows are
taken by the government.
• As a result, firm value for investors is reduced by corporate taxes.
• The higher the tax rate, the lower the value of the firm.
• Though often described as “adding value”, strictly speaking tax shields limit the
loss of firm value due to taxes (a consolation prize of sorts).
• They add value relative to a taxed but unleveraged firm.
The Value of Tax Shields – Fixed Level of Debt
• The additional value created through debt is based on the present value of
expected future tax shields.
• In the prior example, we assumed a fixed, permanent amount of debt (worth $50)
and that there would always profits which could be shielded from taxes.
• Under such conditions, these tax shields should be discounted at the same rate as interest
payments (KD).
• If the firm survives for a long time, we can approximate them with a perpetuity.
• PV(tax shields with stable permanent debt) = (D * KD * T) / KD = D*T = $50*0.5 = $25
WACC with Taxes
• In many situations however, firms maintain a target debt/equity ratio rather than a
fixed level of debt.
• In these situations, the risk (discount rate) of the tax shields should be equal to those of the firm
as a whole.
• This means discounting them at WACC, which allows us to directly incorporate them into the
required rate of return.
• By reducing WACC, the same free cash flows produce a higher enterprise value,
properly reflecting the value added (less friction) by these tax shields.
Cost of Leveraged Equity (Prop II)
• IMPORTANT: The cost of leveraged equity is not affected by the introduction of
taxes!
• Taxes affect the magnitude, not the volatility of cash flows.
• They DO however affect the D/E ratio as the value of equity drops.
• [this seems to contradict 12.6 but the book is still assuming no taxes at that point]
• The appearance of (1-T) results from tax shields in the equity value of leveraged firms.
• If you are working backwards from an observed levered equity Beta, assuming BetaD equals
zero means underestimating BetaU.
• To approximate BetaU (and thus KeL and WACC) we identify a number of firms
with similar assets and risks to the project we are trying to value, usually those in
the same industry, jurisdiction, and of similar size.
• The idea is that firms of similar sizes in similar industries are affected by similar risks and
should thus have a similar degree of systematic risk.
• These firms should be “pure plays” to the extent possible, meaning their primary assets are
those we would be using in our own project.
The Pure Play Approach – Estimating Asset Beta
• If the comparable firms use no leverage, their equity Betas equal their asset Betas
• Unleveraged pure plays provide a direct estimate of KeU but are hard to find.
• If comparable firms use leverage, we need to a de-lever their cost of equity capital
using each firm’s market valued D/E ratio, average tax rate, and CAPM-Beta.
• To use Hamada (and assume BetaD = 0) simply avoid highly leveraged comps (if possible).
• Take the mean (or median) of the unlevered Betas and assume it is representative
of firm/project in question. The comp range can be useful in sensitivity analysis.
• Alternatively, you can use the unlevered industry Betas estimated by Aswath Damodaran
(patron saint of valuation): http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/Betas.html
The Pure Play Approach – Estimating Equity Beta &
WACC
• For firms with publicly traded equity using this technique for project or divisional
purposes, Beta should be re-leveraged according to the firm’s own market valued
debt/equity ratio. The tax rate should be specific to our company as well.
• Recall that we don’t allocate specific sources of capital to finance specific assets – the burden
of financing costs are the borne by the firm as a whole.
• For companies without publicly traded equity, there are a few choices for how to
choose the appropriate D/E ratio for re-leveraging, none of which are “good”:
• Book values; selected target; benchmark to comparable firms
• Equipped with a project cost of equity, we can now include this in our WACC and
NPV calculations to determine whether they are worth pursuing.
Pure Play Example
• Hydra is involved in numerous businesses. Their restaurant division is considering
the value in trying to push its brand into a new geographical market and thus needs
to estimate the appropriate cost of capital for this highly complex project.
• Hydra has $11.3 billion in debt, a market capitalization of $26 billion, and its tax
rate is 34%. New bonds require a 6.74% coupon rate and there are sufficient
retained earnings to allow the firm to maintain its existing capital structure.
• The closest competitor for the restaurant chain, Extra Chicken, has a beta of 1.8
and faces the same tax rate. Their D/E ratio is 0.63. The risk-free rate is 3.2% for
the appropriate time horizon and the market risk premium is estimated at 5.7%.
• What cost of capital should be applied to Hydra's restaurant division?
Pure Play Example - Solution
• Work backwards: What is needed for WACC?
• WACC = Wd*(Y)(1-T) + We*(Rf + (BetaL * MRP))
• Wd = 11.3/37.3 = .30295; We = .69705; D/E = .43462
• Y = 6.74%; T = 34%; Rf = 3.2%; MRP = 5.7%; Need BetaL
• MIDCO has 20 x $15 shares outstanding and pays a 35% tax rate.
• Management is planning to borrow $100 in perpetuity to buy these back
• With stable permanent debt, the value of tax shields will be = D*T = $35
• Thus EVL = $300 + $35 = $335. With $100 in debt, the value of leverage equity is $235
• They might have less equity ($300 vs $235) but they have $100 in cash as well so they
capture the full value of the tax shield.
• Under no arbitrage, it doesn’t matter which shareholders sell, they will receive the same
total compensation regardless ($16.75 per share - see 18.3 for details)
Personal Taxes
• While the preceding work showed the impact of corporate taxes on a firm’s
optimal capital structure (max debt to add value), a realistic model of corporate
behaviour must consider the personal taxes as well.
• In Canada, these are double the rate of capital gains.
• For a firm with permanent debt, we can model this by substituting the “effective
tax advantage of debt” (T*) for the corporate tax rate (T) in our relationship of
leveraged to unleveraged enterprise value.
• The net result is that the tax advantages of debt are reduced.
• How much exactly depends on jurisdiction and tax status.
Other Capital Structure Frictions
• Thus far we have only considered the impact of a single leverage related friction.
• With corporate taxes capturing a slice of cash flows to equity, the optimal capital structure
which maximizes firm value is to finance with debt until interest payments equal EBIT.
• In the real world, this would be incredibly risky as any disruption in EBIT in turn
disrupt its ability to make interest payments, making default a real possibility.
• Financial distress is the major friction we will be discussing next class.