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Cost of Capital
Cost of Capital
• The capital structure of the firm will not be affected by the new
investment. Put differently, the firm will continue to follow the same
financing policy.
• A bank loan is not traded in the secondary market. Hence, the cost of
a bank loan is simply the current interest the bank would charge if the
firm were to raise a loan now.
• Suppose that XYZ Limited has a 300 million outstanding bank loan on
which it is paying an interest of 13 percent. However, if XYZ Limited
were to raise a loan now the bank would charge 12 percent. This then
represents the cost of the bank loan.
Contd…
The unique risk of a security represents The market risk of a security (Systematic
that portion of its total risk which stems risk) represents that portion of its risk which
from firm-specific factors like the is attributable to economy-wide factors like
development of a new product, a the growth rate of GDP, the level of
labour strike, or the emergence of a government spending, money supply,
new competitor. interest rate structure, and inflation rate.
Contd…
where,
E(R)i = Expected Return of Security
Rf = Risk – free rate
E(R)m = Expected Return on the Market Portfolio
βi = systematic risk of security
Factors that
determine CAPM
It is more consistent with the mean- It takes into account compounding and can
variance framework and can better better predict the average premium in the
predict the premium in the next period. long term.
Contd…
• Forward looking risk premium: It is the assessment of premium based
on forward looking
To measure Beta =
beta estimate.xlsx
Estimation issues
• Estimation period: risk of profile change of firm over longer period.
• Return interval: Prefer weekly or monthly returns to reduce non
trading bias.
• Market Index: In theory, the market portfolio must include all assets-
financial, real as well as human- and not just equity stocks but in
practice, the beta of a stock is estimated in relation to the index of
stock market.
• Statistical precision: The estimate of beta based on stock returns over
a particular time period is statistically imprecise because of standard
error.
Bond yield plus risk premium approach
• In this, risk premium is added to the observed yield on the long-term
bonds of the firm to get the cost of equity, i.e.,
• Most analysts look at the operating and financial risks of the business
and arrive at a subjectively determined risk premium that normally
ranges between 2 % and 6 %. While this approach may not produce a
precise cost of equity.
Dividend growth model approach
• The price of an equity stock depends ultimately on the dividends
expected from it: Where,
P0 = Current price of the stock
r = Dt + g Dt = Dividend expected to be paid at
the end of the year t
P0 r = equity shareholder’s required rate
of return
g = expected growth rate
• Problems associated with it:
• First, it cannot be applied to companies that do not pay dividends or to companies that are
not listed on the stock market. Even for companies that pay dividends, the assumption that
dividends will grow at a constant rate may not be valid.
• Second, it does not explicitly consider risk. There is no direct adjustment for the risk
associated with the estimated growth. Of course, there is an implicit adjustment for risk as
the current stock price is used.
Estimation of g
• Analyst forecast
• By looking at dividends for the preceding years, calculate the annual
growth rates, and average them.
Year Dividend (Rs) Rupee Change Growth percentage
1 3.00 --- ---
2 3.50 0.50 16.7
3 4.00 0.50 14.3
4 4.25 0.25 6.3
5 4.75 0.50 11.8
• Retention growth rate method - Here, you first forecast the firm's
average retention rate (this is simply 1 minus the dividend payout
rate) and then multiply it by the firm's expected future return on
(10.7) equity (ROE).
g = (Retention rate)(Return on equity)
For example, if the forecasted retention rate and return on equity are
0.60 and 15 percent, the expected growth rate is:
g = (0.6) (15%) = 9 percent.
Earnings-Price Ratio Approach
• According to this approach,
Cost of equity = E1/P0
Where,
E1 (expected earnings per share for next year) = (current earnings per share)(1 + growth rate of
earnings per share)
P0 = Current market price per share
• This approach provides an accurate measure of the rate of return required
by equity investors in the following two cases:
o When the earnings per share are expected to remain constant and the dividend
payout ratio is 100 percent.
o When retained earnings are expected to earn a rate of return equal to the rate of
return required by equity investors.
• The first case is rarely encountered in real life and the second case is also
somewhat unrealistic.
Determining the proportions (Weight)
• The appropriate weights are the target capital structure weights
stated in market value terms.
• The primary reason for using the target capital structure is that the
current capital structure may not reflect the capital structure that is
expected to prevail in future.
• Now, question arises, In calculating the weights for the target capital
structure, should one use book (balance sheet) values or market
values?
Example, Initial capital – Rs 100 million (10 years ago)
Market value increased to – Rs 450 million, Expected return -15%
At what value do you expect the return?
Market value
WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL
More than 30 20
Debt 0-50 10
More than 50 11
• SOLUTION
(DETERMINATION OF BREAKING POINT AND THE
RESULTING RANGE OF TOTAL NEW FINANCING FOR
SHIVA INDUSTRIES)
2600 310
the average cost of capital (post-tax) is:310/2600=11.92%