GLOBAL

MEGATRENDS
Impacting Public Safety and Security

Dean Danny Araneta Cabulay

Resource Person
 PRESENTATION OUTLINE

May 31 June 1 June 2

• Scarcity of
• Population • Technology Resources
Dynamics • Globalization and • Urbanization and
• People Economic Power Industrialization
Empowerment Shift
• Peace and
• Climate Change Security
 SCARCITY OF RESOURCES

• Law of Supply and Demand

• Scarcity of Resources
• Top 5 Trends
• Impact on Public Safety and Security
 Law of Supply and Demand
• The Law of Demand: At higher prices, buyers will demand
less of an economic good
• The Law of Supply: At higher prices, sellers will supply
more of an economic good.
• These two laws interact to determine the actual market
prices and volume of goods that are traded on a market.
• However, there are other independent factors that can affect
the shape of market supply and demand, influencing both
the prices and quantities that we observe in the market.
 Scarcity of Resources
• This refers to the lack of availability of supplies required to
maintain life, or a certain quality of life.

• It is a perpetual problem for economic theory, which often

assumes that humans have unlimited needs and wants but
must find ways to fulfill these wants using scarce resources.

• Resource scarcity can be exacerbated by climate change,

pollution, deforestation, and other forms of environmental
damage.
 MG#51: Asia Will Feed and Produce
for the World
• Multinational corporations source raw materials and set up manufacturing
plants in Asia for cost efficiency and proximity to market distribution hubs
• China, Vietnam, Thailand, Bangladesh, Malaysia, Indonesia, Cambodia, Sri
Lanka, and the Philippines have benefited from this economic boon.

Impact: Potential breaches of the intellectual property

laws, taxation and anti-smuggling laws. Authorities should
be vigilant in all ports of entry as well as deploy intelligence
officers to survey commercial and industrial hubs.
Top Buyers of Philippine Exports
 MG#52: Emerging New Tech Hubs
• Japan, Germany, US were the traditional tech-hubs of the world but now, we
are seeing the rise of China, India, Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea.
• Competitiveness is key in developing key niches that will make a country
successful in specific industries (e.g. watches of Switzerland, chocolates of
Belgium, cars of Japan, textiles of India, tea of Sri Lanka, gaming of Macau)
• The dent both in our BPO and tourism industries is poor connectivity.

Impact: The Philippines key strengths are in the following

industries: academe, entertainment, healthcare, IT. These
industries will have the highest potential for contributing
significantly to the GDP. All except IT are heavily regulated.
 MG#53: An Era of Fakes
• There is currently a proliferation of fake products in the market. Luxury
goods are imitated by counterfeiters. Fake food products are notoriously
coming out of China. Fake skincare-hygiene products, supplements and
over-the-counter medicines are flourishing in flea markets and thrift stores.
• Every country has a specific government agency in-charge of monitoring
and apprehending violators of Intellectual Property Rights Law and Fair
Trade Act

Impact: The Intellectual Property Office, Bureau of Food

and Drugs and Department of Agriculture are the
responsible agencies. Public safety officers should be
wary of these products’ effect of the health of consumers.
 MG#54: Hoarding and Overpricing
• During this time of a pandemic, many have been apprehended for hoarding
basic supplies and commodities and selling them online with a hefty margin.
• Taking advantage of the vulnerabilities and economic situation of many
Filipinos is a crime and is punishable by law in accordance with the
Bayanihan to Heal as One Act of 2020.
• Typical items hoarded are sanitizers, cleaning agents, facemasks, faceshields,
canned goods, packed noodles, rice, 3-in-1 sachets, vitamins, flu tablets)

Impact: There must be a hotline where ordinary citizens

may report suspicious activities likened to hoarding and
overpricing.
 MG#55: Importation and Smuggling
• This is one of the risks and adverse impacts of globalization.
• Importation helps the country in terms of income generation and it provides
jobs to many workers within the supply-chain
• Smuggling, on the other hand, is illegal and it is considered a criminal
activity. It cripples the economy because it deprives the country of
revenues.

Impact: The local authorities may deploy intelligence

officers in the business community to identify potential
smugglers who evade taxes and other government
revenues.
Q&A
End of Part 6