04/09/23

TOPIC:PROBABILITY
Objectives:
• To understand how to use the probability scale

•To identify all the possible mutually exclusive

outcomes of a single event
 NEW VOCABULARY

• Likelihood
• Probability Scale
• Equally Likely
• Mutually Exclusive
• Unlikely
• Likely
• Certain
• Impossible
• Even
 MENTAL MATH (WRITE ONLY
ANSWERS)
1.Tony tosses a coin. What is the likelihood of getting a head?

2.Sony tosses a coin. What is the Probability of getting a head?

WWW OR EBI
 What is probability?
• likelihood or chance of
something happening
The Language of Probability
Any number less than 1 or greater
than 6.

White, because there are more

white marbles than any other
colour.
How do we measure
probability?
PROBABILTY WILL ALWAYS BETWEEN
‘ZERO’ AND ‘ONE’

PROBABILTY CAN ALSO BE WRITTEN AS

PERCENTAGE
Probability scale

0 0.5 1
0% 50% 100%

LIKELY IMPOSSIBLE CERTAIN UNLIKELY EVEN

Decimal Form
 Probability scale

0 0.5 1
IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN LIKELY CERTAIN

7
Task1:Solved Example

B c A
Task1
•DRAW THE PROBABILITY SCALE IN
YOUR NOTEBOOK AND COMPLETE IT TASK1
Assessment
Success Criteria
• I am able to understand and use the PROBABILITY SCALE

• Completely

• Partially

• Need Help
 Probability Scales
    
Unlikely Likely
Impossible Even Chance Certain

  
The sun will rise You will live to be You spin a coin and
tomorrow. 500. get a head.


 You will see a bus on
You will see an
ambulance on your
your way home.
way home.
 Mutually Exclusive Outcomes
•To identify all the possible mutually exclusive
outcomes of a single event
• Equally Likely Outcome: When rolling a dice,there are SIX
POSSIBLE outcomes (1,2,3,4,5,and 6).Each of these are
equally likely outcomes

• Mutually Exclusive outcomes: which means they cannot

happen at same time.

For example, turning left and turning right

Or going to Liverpool at 9am tomorrow,
and going to Manchester at 9am tomorrow
https://www.youtube.com/watch?
v=SQLAWVkFk4E
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q Winning a
1
football match
AND

Loosing the same

football match
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q Having Pizza for

2
tea
AND

Having ice cream

for pudding
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q Getting the bus

3

AND

Missing the bus

LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q
Watching a
4
comedy DVD
AND

Watching a
romance DVD
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q
5 Being asleep

AND

Being awake
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q
6 Rolling a 2

AND

Rolling a number
less than 3
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q
7
A traffic light
being red
AND

The traffic light

being green
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q A baby being a
8
boy
AND

The same baby

being a girl
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q Randomly
9
picking a dog
from the pound
AND
The dog being
Black
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

Q10 Me not winning the

lottery
AND
My mate not winning
the lottery
 Answers
1) M
2) N
3) M
4) N (rom-com?)
5) M
6) N
7) M
8) M
9) N
10) N
LO: To identify mutually exclusive events (L6)
CO: To find missing probabilities of mutually exclusive events (L6)

A very important key fact about mutually

exclusive events..
The probabilities of mutually exclusive events add to 1
e.g. if you roll a dice:
The probability of getting a 1 is Total:
…The probability of getting a 2 is
The probability of getting a 3 is
…The probability of getting a 4 is
The probability of getting a 5 is
…The probability of getting a 6 is
=1
Task2
 Reflection

List out the words you

know about probability