Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 39

TRABAJO COLABORATIVO

PARA MEJORAR EL
PLANEAMIENTO DE MINADO
Alexandre Marinho
MiningMath

Mining
2
THE CURRENT VIEW
of mining industry
REALITY
YOUR PLAN

Tomado de Craig Morley (2011) –


Snowden International Mining
Industry Consultants.
PERCENTAGE OF MINE PROJECTS WITH THE GIVEN ISSUES

ACHIEVE DESIGN CASHFLOW WAS CASHFLOW UNDER


PRODUCTION LEVELS BELOW EXPECTATIONS EXPECTATIONS
20% 40% 30%

PRODUCTION CASHFLOW
LEVELS

HAD PROBLEMS TO
ACHIEVE DESIGN
NEVER ACHIEVE
PRODUCTION LEVELS
POSITIVE CASHFLOW
80%
30%

Data source
PLANIFICACION MINERA EN TAJO ABIERTO, EL SIGLO XX.
ÁLVARO RODRIGUEZ MUNIZAGA

www.core-miningstudies.com
IN ONE STEP

LERCHS-GROSSMANN
BRILLIANT APPROACH, BUT WHAT IF…

DISREGARDS PREDEFINED CONIC BLOCKS


TIME CUT-OFFS SHAPED PRECEDENCE
Mining
Math
1. LG vs SimSched DBS InnovaMine

Pit Shells using Whittle (L&G) and Milawa


Cu Price
US$1.0/lb

Pit 4

Cu Price
US$4.0/lb

Pit 14
1. LG vs SimSched DBS InnovaMine

Mine sequence using SimSched DBS


Cu price
US$1.0/lb

Period 01

Cu price
US$4.0/lb
Period 01 Period 02
Comparison of Mining Sequences
Matthew Randall

DBS
DBS NPVS
DBS Schedule

NPVS Schedule
IN ONE STEP

SIMSCHED DBS
...WE COULD INTEGRATE MORE STEPS?

SCHEDULING CONSEQUENT STOCKPILES SURFACE


CONSTRAINTS CUT-OFFS MODEL
Mining
Math
Direct Block Scheduling (Nelson Morales)
• DBS aims to find the best possible schedule:
– What to do with each block
– When to extract the blocks
… But DIRECTLY on the blocks, that is, without (necessarily)
resorting to nested pits.
• It does not require to have a previous definition for the
destination of the blocks. It needs to know the outcomes of
assigning a block to a given destination in terms of value and
resources being used (example, processing capacity).
What Value Does DBS Add? (Matthew Randall)
• The step wise solution of Whittle and NPVS can result in a significant loss in value
due to sub-optimal expansion stages (pushbacks) and excessive stockpiling after the
application of cut-off grade optimisation.
• These issues are resolved when using DBS by circumnavigating the need to design
stages and the inclusion of the time value of money and stockpiling in the Direct Block
Scheduling logic.
• DBS provides additional constraints at the pit optimisation stage such as minimum
pit bottom dimensions and blending. These will necessarily lead to alternative
scheduling solutions that are likely to increase project value.
• Running DBS alongside other solutions (Whittle, NPVS etc) provides a check method
and may highlight opportunities where there are differences.
LOBOS Production Scenario

09/04/2023 msmith@minesmith.com 16
7. Economic Value InnovaMine

The final mine plan based on DBS guidelines achieves a DCF, which is +4% greater
than the mine plan based on LG; but considering the project up-front capital
investments, the NPV difference increases to +20% in favor of DBS
Why?

Image taken from ClipartKid.com

www.simsched.com 18
If...

Image taken from ClipartKid.com

www.simsched.com 19
Then...

www.simsched.com 20
And...

Taken from www.cliparts.co.

Taken from www.bmecom.com.

www.simsched.com 21
And finally...

Taken from www.cliparts.co.

www.simsched.com 22
Easy view improvements on strategic mine planning
Strategic mine planning Mining Process

NPV

Improved process

Updated strategic mine planning Mining Improved process


Search for better solutions Improvement feedback

Updated NPV
improved benefit function
Mining 19
Math
Introducción: Diseño operacional
El resultado de SSDBS no incluye rampas, esto implica un diseño operacional donde el usuario diseña las vías de
acarreo y las diferentes fases basado en los resultados de SSDBS. RecMin cuenta con las herramientas para el diseño de
minas a cielo abierto y la generación del archivo CSV del diseño operacional para ser utilizado en SSDBS.

SSDBS RecMin

1y2

2y3 26
3y4
Conclusiones
• El Valor Presente Neto Acumulado (VPN) del Plan de Minas
Operativo es menor que el Escenario Base debido a la
inclusion de escombro adicional y/o reprogramación forzada
de bloques a un período diferente por la operacionalización
de la programación arrojada por SSDBS.

Con la operacionalización, se alcanzó


un 95.3% del VPN acumulado arrojado
por el optimizador de SSDBS. Este es un proceso
en que el usuario hace el diseño basado en el
resultado de SSDBS; luego, al aplicar la restricción
de superficies, SSDBS sigue fielmente el diseño
del usuario.

27
Secuencia Minado
El VPN esperado tiene solo
2 – 4% probabilidad de obtenerse
Prob.
25,000,000

20,000,000
NPV A$ (i = 8%)

15,000,000

10,000,000
VPN mas probable es
5,000,000
A$16.5M, 25 % menos que el
CS Realisations
estimado deterministicamente
Estimate

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Pit Shells

Luis Montiel
AFTER ALL OF THIS...

WHAT HAPPENS
NEXT?

Mining
Math
Beautiful dream, but what’s next?

‘12

Computational
Mathematician ‘15

‘04

? ‘16

+ Operational
Constraints

www.simsched.com 30
MiningMath Alone

Taken from www.escolakids.uol.com.br.

www.simsched.com 31
MiningMath with its current partners

Taken from www.revistagalileu.globo.com.

www.simsched.com 32
MiningMath with your engagement

$$$
Taken from www.filmesedesenhosanimados.com.

Taken from www.gcn.net.br.

www.simsched.com 33
VERSIONING

LEARN MORE Mining


Math
Mining
companies

Lack of Small/slow
practical tools improvements

Academy Tech
companies
Academic
www.simsched.com
solutions 36
Next steps
• Nelson Morales: We need more case studies to
– Benefit from the new approach, see how it fits in the current practices
– Determine its limits, see what needs to be improved
• Martin Smith:
– ….once SimSched includes a global advance rate limit that LOBOS would mine the DBS
annual pits in order, generating a higher project value.
– Engineer efficiency is higher with DBS and can be expected to improve with better control
of geometric constraints.
• Luis Montiel:
– Herramientas que permitan hacer de la planeación minera estocástica una practica
común.
Our Belief

INDUSTRY ACADEMY

TECHNOLOGY
COMPANIES
Thanks
For your attention

Alexandre.marinho@miningmath.com
@ www.simsched.com
Mining
Math

You might also like