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13 AlexandreMarinho
13 AlexandreMarinho
PARA MEJORAR EL
PLANEAMIENTO DE MINADO
Alexandre Marinho
MiningMath
Mining
2
THE CURRENT VIEW
of mining industry
REALITY
YOUR PLAN
PRODUCTION CASHFLOW
LEVELS
HAD PROBLEMS TO
ACHIEVE DESIGN
NEVER ACHIEVE
PRODUCTION LEVELS
POSITIVE CASHFLOW
80%
30%
Data source
PLANIFICACION MINERA EN TAJO ABIERTO, EL SIGLO XX.
ÁLVARO RODRIGUEZ MUNIZAGA
www.core-miningstudies.com
IN ONE STEP
LERCHS-GROSSMANN
BRILLIANT APPROACH, BUT WHAT IF…
Pit 4
Cu Price
US$4.0/lb
Pit 14
1. LG vs SimSched DBS InnovaMine
Period 01
Cu price
US$4.0/lb
Period 01 Period 02
Comparison of Mining Sequences
Matthew Randall
DBS
DBS NPVS
DBS Schedule
NPVS Schedule
IN ONE STEP
SIMSCHED DBS
...WE COULD INTEGRATE MORE STEPS?
09/04/2023 msmith@minesmith.com 16
7. Economic Value InnovaMine
The final mine plan based on DBS guidelines achieves a DCF, which is +4% greater
than the mine plan based on LG; but considering the project up-front capital
investments, the NPV difference increases to +20% in favor of DBS
Why?
www.simsched.com 18
If...
www.simsched.com 19
Then...
www.simsched.com 20
And...
www.simsched.com 21
And finally...
www.simsched.com 22
Easy view improvements on strategic mine planning
Strategic mine planning Mining Process
NPV
Improved process
Updated NPV
improved benefit function
Mining 19
Math
Introducción: Diseño operacional
El resultado de SSDBS no incluye rampas, esto implica un diseño operacional donde el usuario diseña las vías de
acarreo y las diferentes fases basado en los resultados de SSDBS. RecMin cuenta con las herramientas para el diseño de
minas a cielo abierto y la generación del archivo CSV del diseño operacional para ser utilizado en SSDBS.
SSDBS RecMin
1y2
2y3 26
3y4
Conclusiones
• El Valor Presente Neto Acumulado (VPN) del Plan de Minas
Operativo es menor que el Escenario Base debido a la
inclusion de escombro adicional y/o reprogramación forzada
de bloques a un período diferente por la operacionalización
de la programación arrojada por SSDBS.
27
Secuencia Minado
El VPN esperado tiene solo
2 – 4% probabilidad de obtenerse
Prob.
25,000,000
20,000,000
NPV A$ (i = 8%)
15,000,000
10,000,000
VPN mas probable es
5,000,000
A$16.5M, 25 % menos que el
CS Realisations
estimado deterministicamente
Estimate
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Pit Shells
Luis Montiel
AFTER ALL OF THIS...
WHAT HAPPENS
NEXT?
Mining
Math
Beautiful dream, but what’s next?
‘12
Computational
Mathematician ‘15
‘04
? ‘16
+ Operational
Constraints
www.simsched.com 30
MiningMath Alone
www.simsched.com 31
MiningMath with its current partners
www.simsched.com 32
MiningMath with your engagement
$$$
Taken from www.filmesedesenhosanimados.com.
www.simsched.com 33
VERSIONING
Lack of Small/slow
practical tools improvements
Academy Tech
companies
Academic
www.simsched.com
solutions 36
Next steps
• Nelson Morales: We need more case studies to
– Benefit from the new approach, see how it fits in the current practices
– Determine its limits, see what needs to be improved
• Martin Smith:
– ….once SimSched includes a global advance rate limit that LOBOS would mine the DBS
annual pits in order, generating a higher project value.
– Engineer efficiency is higher with DBS and can be expected to improve with better control
of geometric constraints.
• Luis Montiel:
– Herramientas que permitan hacer de la planeación minera estocástica una practica
común.
Our Belief
INDUSTRY ACADEMY
TECHNOLOGY
COMPANIES
Thanks
For your attention
Alexandre.marinho@miningmath.com
@ www.simsched.com
Mining
Math