This document discusses forwards and futures contracts. It defines forwards as F=SerT, where F is the forward price, S is the spot price, r is the risk-free interest rate, and T is time to delivery. Futures prices are related to the spot price through the cost of carry formula F=S(1+C), where C represents costs such as storage, insurance, and interest. The relationship between futures and spot prices can be impacted by factors like transport costs, borrowing rates, and dividends or foreign interest rates for stock index and currency futures. Spreads refer to the difference between futures prices with different expiration dates.
This document discusses forwards and futures contracts. It defines forwards as F=SerT, where F is the forward price, S is the spot price, r is the risk-free interest rate, and T is time to delivery. Futures prices are related to the spot price through the cost of carry formula F=S(1+C), where C represents costs such as storage, insurance, and interest. The relationship between futures and spot prices can be impacted by factors like transport costs, borrowing rates, and dividends or foreign interest rates for stock index and currency futures. Spreads refer to the difference between futures prices with different expiration dates.
This document discusses forwards and futures contracts. It defines forwards as F=SerT, where F is the forward price, S is the spot price, r is the risk-free interest rate, and T is time to delivery. Futures prices are related to the spot price through the cost of carry formula F=S(1+C), where C represents costs such as storage, insurance, and interest. The relationship between futures and spot prices can be impacted by factors like transport costs, borrowing rates, and dividends or foreign interest rates for stock index and currency futures. Spreads refer to the difference between futures prices with different expiration dates.
• FORWARDS F=SerT Where F = Forward or Future Price today of underlying. S = Spot t = Present Time T = Future Time to delivery r = Risk free interest rate per annum. Forward with No Income: F=SerT If F > SerT Buy Spot, Short Future If F < SerT Sell Spot, Long Future Forward with Cash Income: F=(S-I)erT where I is the present value of cash income coupon (C). Present value of coupon I = Ce-rT Forward with Dividend Yield: F=Se(r-q)T Where q is the dividend yield percentage Value of Forward Contract: f=(F-K)e(-r)T
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• Futures Future Prices Relationship: - Future trades on cash market volatility - Time to expiration & future price volatility - Trading volumes and future price volatility
BASIS = SPOT – FUTURE
FUTURE = SPOT + COST OF CARRY,
F = S (1 + C) With Transport costs of carry F < S (1+T) (1 + C) Reverse cost of carry F > S (1-T) (1 + C)
So Future trading boundaries
S (1-T) (1 + C) <= F <= S (1+T) (1 + C) Impact of different borrowing rates S (1-T) (1 + CL) <= F <= S (1+T) (1 + CB)
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SPREADS: Spread refers to the relationship between two different future prices of an asset. Spreadt, T = F t,T+n - F t,T
Stock Index Future F = Se(r-q)T
where q is the return in the stock dividends within the index. (convenience yield)
Foreign Currency F = Se(r-rf)T
where rf is the risk free interest on the foreign currency