less than 100% of items within a population of audit relevance such that all sampling units have a chance of selection in order to provide the auditor with a reasonable basis on which to draw conclusions about the entire population. SAMPLING RISK • Sampling risk is the risk that the auditor’s conclusions based on a sample may be different from the conclusion if the entire population were the subject of the same audit procedure. • Non-sampling risk is the risk that the auditor forms the wrong conclusion, which is unrelated to sampling risk. E.g. where the auditor adopts inappropriate audit procedures, or does not recognise a control deviation. AUDIT CONFIDENCE
• Audit Confidence is measured as 100% minus
Audit Risk. Example • Assume that auditors who are auditing a company aim to ensure that there is no more than 5% audit risk that their opinion on the financial statements is incorrect i.e. they are ensuring that they are 95% certain that their opinion on the financial statements is correct (i.e. at 95% confidence level). It implies that we can never be 100% sure of any conclusion. The 5% is the audit risk and in this case, it means that the auditors accept that 5 in every 100 reports issued may be incorrect. AUDIT RISK
• Audit risk consists of three components
multiplied together i.e. INHERENT RISK X CONTROL RISK X DETECTION RISK = AUDIT RISK i.e. IR X CR X DR = AR Types of Selection Methods
ISA 530 recognises that there are many methods
of selecting a sample, but it considers five principal methods of audit sampling as follows: •random selection •systematic selection •monetary unit sampling •haphazard selection, and •block selection. Example of MUS •You are auditing trade accounts payable. Total trade account payables is $500 000 and materiality is $50 000. You will select balances containing the 50 000th $1 from the ledger below. BALANCE CUMULATIVE BALANCE SELECTED A $30,000 $30,000 B $35,000 $65,000 YES C $45,000 $110,000 YES D $52,000 $162,000 YES E $13,000 $175,000 F $50,000 $225,000 YES G $23,000 $248,000 H $42,000 $290,000 YES I $47,000 $337,000 YES J $54,000 $391,000 YES K $17,000 $408,000 YES L $80,000 $488,000 YES M $12,000 $500,000 YES $500,000 STATISTICAL AND NON- STATISTICAL SAMPLING • Statistical sampling involves the use of mathematical procedures such as probability theory, to draw conclusions about the population. Non statistical techniques rely on the auditor’s judgment to draw conclusions. STEPS INVOLVED IN SAMPLING
• Sample Design • Selection of the Sample • Evaluation of the Sample TOLERABLE ERROR
• Tolerable error is considered during the
planning stage and, for substantive procedures, is related to the auditor’s judgment about materiality. The smaller the tolerable error, the greater the sample size will need to be. EXPECTED ERROR
• Larger samples will be required when errors
are expected than would be required if none were expected in order to conclude that the actual error is less than the tolerable error. If the expected error rate is high then sampling may not be appropriate and auditors may have to examine 100% of a population. EVALUATION OF TEST RESULTS • Analyze any errors • Project the errors • Re-assess the sampling risk.