Professional Documents
Culture Documents
RPV 1
RPV 1
Abay A
WGCF&NR, HU
WONDOGENET,
Ethiopia
MAR, 2022/23
Abay A
1
(LaSu 4083)
1. course Introduction
Abay A
2
(LaSu 4083)
1.2 Course Contents:
1. PROPERTY VALUATION
• Meaning of property valuation
• Type of valuation
• Who and how valuations are used
• Misconceptions about valuation
• Philosophical basis for valuation
2. THE VALUATION PROCESS
• Steps of valuations process
• The three classical approaches to value
Abay A
3
(LaSu 4083)
3. REAL PROPERTY MARKET ANALYSIS
• The Essence of Real Property market Analysis
• Basic Market Analysis concepts and Characteristics
• Real property market and participants
• Levels and types of real property market analysis
• Market study and feasibility study
• What should a Market & Feasibility Study Contains
• The Value of The Feasibility Study
• Who Use Market Analysis
• The Good & the Bad on Market Studies
11/23/2023
Abay A
4
(LaSu 4083)
4. THE SALES COMPARISON APPROACH
• Collecting comparable sale data
• Analyzing and adjusting comparable sales
• Method of comparison sales
• Selecting and using units of comparison
• Arriving at estimation of market value of the
subject property
5. VALUING LAND
• Purpose of land ( site value) estimates
• The four methods used to value land
• Market comparison techniques used to value land
11/23/2023
Abay A
5
(LaSu 4083)
6. REPLACEMENT COST METHOD
• Use of cost estimate in valuation
• Cost –estimating methods
• Estimating loss in value
• Accrued depreciation
• UNIT 7 THE INCOME APPROACH
• Income capitalization techniques
• Idea and supposition of capitalization Direct
• capitalization model
• Discount cash flow model
• Market value of the property by using direct
capitalization model and discount cash flow model
Abay A
6
(LaSu 4083)
8. RECONCILING AND REPORTING APPRAISAL
• Reconciling the value approaches
• Form and contents of appraisal reports
• Ethics in property valuation
9. PROPERTY VALUATION IN ETHIOPIA
• Real property valuation practices and its limitations
• Types and Purposes of valuation
• Statutory- done according to provision of
legislation like for expropriation, tax rating etc
• Non-statutory-done for market oriented activities like
mortgage, sale, purchase etc
• Valuation methods
• Limitations and challenges of valuation
Abay A
7
(LaSu 4083)
1.3 Didactic Methods:
• Interactive lecture,
• Group work and presentation,
• seminar and exercise
Abay A
8
(LaSu 4083)
Mode of Assessment:
• Quiz (I & II): (20%)
• Assignments (Home take/ reading, Reporting)
• Group: (10%)
• Individual: (10%)
• Presentation: (10%)
• Final Exam: (50%)
11/23/2023
Abay A
9
(LaSu 4083)
1.6 Module Policy
• Attendance is mandatory
• Expectation for Classroom Behavior
• Contribute in class discussion
• Meet assignment deadlines
• Courtesy and respect
• Discipline
• Punctuality
• Cell phones must be switched off
• Late submission is not acceptable
• Plagiarism
• will disqualify your assignments
• Missing Exam and Tests (medical case &
emergency only)
• Need to be supplemented by relevant documents
Abay A
10
(LaSu 4083)
UNIT
I:Theoretical
…end of this course, students should be able to apply
Objectives of the Course
At the
their previous knowledge of property market and property
investment analysis to valuation of property and to
demonstrate understanding of the valuation process by:
Abay A 11
(LaSu 4083)
UNIT
I:Theoretical
…
Understand how to write a professional property valuation
report;
Explaining their work to others, how their own value
decisions are reached with accuracy and clarity, making it a
sound basis for investment decision making;
Know and realize the ethics in property valuation; and
Understand the real practices of property valuation in
Ethiopia
1
3
Abay A 13
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
In legal transactions, our society requires valuations for different
purposes, including
expropriation and compensation
various taxation purposes, and
use as evidence in civil lawsuits involving real property
1
4
Abay A 14
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
What is property valuation/property appraisal?
Property valuation/property appraisal is the act or the process of developing an
opinion of property value.
It involves selective research into appropriate market areas, assemblage of
pertinent data, the use of appropriate analytical techniques, the application
of knowledge, experience and professional judgment to develop value
opinion.
It is not simply a mathematical process. It is much more than that, and probably
the larger part of the valuation process depends upon the appraiser forming
opinion.
The appraiser has to look at a wide range of facts and try to
predict the future.
1
5
Abay A 15
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
It is some times said that valuation is an art and some times that
it is a science. In fact, it is a mixture of both, an art and a science.
The scientific part of valuation is
the analysis of data and
the mathematical calculation of data;
Abay A 16
(LaSu 4083)
1.2 Real Estate, Real Property and Personal Property
An important distinction is made in between real estate and real property in real estate
valuation.
Even if these concepts are different, some countries laws and court decisions treat them as
similar for legal purposes.
Real Estate
Real estate is the physical land and the fixtures attached to the land,
e.g, structures.
It is immobile and tangible.
The legal definition of real estate includes:
Land
All things that are a natural part of land such as trees, minerals
All things that are attached to land by people, such as buildings, improvements
Abay A
17
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
All permanent building attachments like plumbing, electrical wiring, heating
system etc, as well as built- in items such as cabinets and elevators are usually
considered as part of real estate.
Real estate includes all attachments above and below the ground.
Real Property
Real property includes all interests, benefits, and rights inherent to
the ownership of physical real estate.
The total range of ownership of interests in real property is called
bundle of rights.
9
Abay A 18
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
It contains all the interests in real property including the right to
use real estate
sell real estate
rent and lease real estate
enter in it and give it away
Each right can be separated from the bundle and can be traded in the market.
Real estate appraisers not only distinguish between real estate and real
property but also differentiate between real estate, personal property and
trade fixtures.
10
Abay A 19
(LaSu 4083)
Personal property
It includes movable items of property that are not permanently affixed to,
or part of, the real estate. Examples:
furniture and furnishings not built into the structure such as refrigerators and
freestanding shelves,
items such as bookshelves installed by a tenant that, under specific lease
terms, may be removed at the termination of the lease.
Trade fixtures
Unlike fixtures, which are regarded in law as part of the real estate, trade
fixtures are not real estate endowed(gifted) with the rights of real property
ownership.
They are personal property regardless of how they are affixed.
20
Abay A 20
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
A trade fixture is to be removed by the tenant when the lease
expires.
Examples of trade fixtures:
Restaurant booths
Gasoline station pumps
Storage tanks
Fitness equipment in a health club
Plumbing, lightening, heating, and air conditioning in an
industrial building
21
Abay A 21
(LaSu 4083)
1.3 Purpose of Valuation
Valuation is the art or science of estimating the value of a property for specific
purpose.
The expression specific purpose refers to the fact that properties may be used for
different purposes such as
Residential
Commercial
Industrial etc
This means there is a wide range of reasons for requiring valuation of a property.
22
Abay A 22
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
It is possible to have different values for one property at one particular moment in time
depending up on the purpose of the valuation.
The purpose for which valuation is required and the type of property that is to be valued will
determine the nature of the valuation instruction, including the techniques employed and the
basis on which value is to be determined.
Purpose for which valuation may be required include :
Transfer of ownership
To help prospective buyers set offering prices
To help prospective sellers determine acceptable selling prices
To establish a basis real property exchange
To establish a basis for reorganizing or merging the ownership of multiple properties
14
Abay A 23
(LaSu 4083)
Financing and credit
To develop an opinion of the value of the security offered for a proposed mortgage loan
To provide an investor with a sound basis for deciding whether to purchase real estate
mortgages, bonds or other types of security
To establish a basis for a decision to insurance
Litigation
Eminent domain proceedings
To develop an opinion of market value of a property as a whole before taking
Te develop an opinion of market value of the remainder after taking
To estimate the damages to a property created by taking
15
Abay A 24
(LaSu 4083)
Property divisions
To develop an opinion of the market value of a property in contract dispute
To develop an opinion of market value of real estate as pert of portfolio
To develop an opinion of market value of partnership interests
Environmental litigation
To estimate damages created by violating environmental laws
To estimate damages created by environmental accidents
16
Abay A 25
(LaSu 4083)
Tax matters
To develop an opinion of assessed values
to determine gift and inheritance taxes
Abay A 26
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
To advise zoning boards, courts, planners on the probable effects of proposed
actions
To assist in arbitrating valuation issues
To analyze supply and demand trends in a market
27
Abay A 27
(LaSu 4083)
1.4 Nature of Value
1.4.1 Distinction among Price, Cost and Value
Market- is a set of arrangements in which buyers and sellers are brought
together through the price mechanism.
Markets exist in many forms.
A market may be defined in terms of :
Geography
Products or product feature
Number of available buyers and sellers
Or some other arrangements
28
Abay A 28
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
A Real estate market is a market formed by the interaction of individuals who
exchange real property rights for other assets such as money.
Specific real estate markets are defined on the basis of
Location
Property type
Income producing potential of the property
Typical investor characteristics
Typical tenant characteristics
Other attributes recognized by those participating
20
Abay A 29
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Appraisers have to make careful distinctions among the terms price, cost and
value.
Price –a particular purchaser agrees to pay and a particular seller agrees
to accept under the circumstance surrounding their transaction.
Once finalized, price refers to a sale or transaction price and implies
an exchange. It is an accomplished fact.
Cost: - appraisers used the term cost in relation to production, not in
exchange.
Cost may be either an accomplished fact or a current estimate
In real estate market, cost represents the total expenditure incurred on
construction and
development of real estate.
30
Abay A 30
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Construction cost normally includes the
direct costs of labor and materials,
indirect costs which are expenditures that are necessary for construction but
are not typically part of construction contract. Example: Architectural fees,
property taxes, administrative expenses, marketing costs, etc
Development cost is the cost to create a property, including the
land, and bring it to an efficient operating state.
It includes
acquisition costs,
actual expenditures, and
the profit31
required to compensate the developer
Abay A 31
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Value: - the relationship among price, market and cost includes the
concept of value.
Value can have many meanings in property valuation.
The applicable definition depends on the context and usage.
32
Abay A 32
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Value as a given time represents the monetary worth of property, goods, or
services to buyers and sellers.
33
Abay A 33
(LaSu 4083)
1.4.2 Types of Value
Market Value
Market value is the focus of most property valuation assignments.
Several appraisers debate on the definition of the term market value. However,
the definition which includes most widely accepted components of market
value is:
Market value is the most probable price which a property should bring in a
competitive and open market under all conditions requisite to a fair sale, the
buyer and seller each acting prudently and knowledgeably and assuming the
price is not affected by undue stimulus.
35
Abay A 35
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
What implicit in this definition are
buyer and seller are typically motivated;
both parties are well informed or well advised, and acting in what they
consider their best interest;
a reasonable time is allowed for exposure in the open market,
payment is made in terms of cash or in terms of financial
arrangements comparable there to and
the price represents the normal consideration for the property sold unaffected
by special financing amounts and/or terms, services, fees or credits incurred in
the transaction
36
Abay A 36
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
According to the International Valuation Standards Committee, market value
is defined for the purpose of international standards as follows;
Market value is the estimated amount for which a property should exchange on the
date of valuation between a willing buyer and seller in an arm’s-length
transaction after a proper marketing where in the parties had each acted
knowledgeably, prudently and without compulsion.
37
Abay A 37
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Use Value represents a value of a specific property for a specific use. It is not based on the
highest and best use of the property.
In estimating use value, the appraiser focuses on the value the real estate contributes to the
enterprise.
The property designed for certain purpose may have one use value before a major change
and another use value afterward.
Limited purposes properties such as house of worship, museums, schools, public buildings,
clubhouse etc may be appraised based on their current use.
Investment value- represents the value of a specific property to a particular investor
based on that person’s investment requirement
It shows the subjective relationship between a particular investor and the
given investment.
38
Abay A 38
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
It differs in concept from market value, although investment
value and market value indication sometimes may be similar.
If the investor’s requirement is typically of the market,
investment value will be the same as market value.
When measured in monetary units, investment value is the price an
investor would pay for an investment in light of its perceived
capacity to satisfy individual’s desire and investment goals.
Specific investment criteria must be known to determine an
opinion of investment value.
39
Abay A 39
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Going Concern Value
Going concern- is an established and operating business with an
indefinite future life.
The physical real estate assets of certain property such as
hotels,
motels,
restaurants, and
manufacturing enterprises are integral part of an ongoing
business
40
Abay A 40
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
The value of such properties (including all the tangible and intangible
assets of the going concern as if sold in aggregate) is referred to as going
concern value.
Going concern value includes the incremental value of the property
associated with the business concern
41
Abay A 41
(LaSu 4083)
1.4.3 Factors that Create Value
There are four interdependent factors which create value of a
property.These are:
Utility
Scarcity
Desire
Effective purchasing power
Utility - refers to the ability of the product to satisfy human wants, need
or desire.
All properties have to have utility to tenants, owner investors or owner
occupants. For instance, residential properties satisfy the need for shelter and
commercial properties generate income.
42
Abay A 42
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
The influences of utility on property value depends on the features
of the property. Size utility, design utility, location utility and
other forms of utility can influence property value.
43
Abay A 43
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Effective purchasing power- is the ability of an individual or group of individuals to participate
in the market for acquiring goods or services in a market.
A valid opinion of the value of a property includes an accurate assessment of the
market’s ability to pay for the property.
The complex interaction of the four factors that create value is reflected in the basic
economic principle of supply and demand.
The supply and demand for the property, in any given situation, are affected by
the utility of a property,
its scarcity or abundance,
the intensity of human desire to acquire it and
the effective purchasing power
44
Abay A 44
(LaSu 4083)
1.4.4 Forces that Influence Value of a Property
There are four forces that affect the value of a property.These are
Social forces
Economic forces
Government forces
Physical/Environmental forces.
Social Forces
• The value of a property may be affected by:
Total population
It’s composition by age and gender
The rate of household formation
The rate of household dissolution etc
45
Abay A 45
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Economic Forces
The economic forces that can affect the value of a property
are:
Employment
Wage level
Industrial expansion
Economic base of the region and the community
Price level
The cost and availability of mortgage credit
The stock of available vacant and improved property
New development under construction
Occupancy rate
46
47
Abay A 47
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Physical/Environmental Forces- there are many natural and man made
physical/environmental factors that affect the values of a property.These are:
Location
Climatic conditions such as rain fall, snow, temperature, humidity
Topography and soil type
Natural barriers to future development such as rivers, mountains, lakes,
oceans
Transportation systems
Toxic contaminants
The nature and desirability of the immediate area surrounding the property
48
Abay A 48
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
1.5 Foundations/Principles of Valuation
The major principles that govern property valuation are:
Progression: A property’s value may increase due to the existence of similar
properties in similar locations, containing greater quality.
Regression: A property’s value may decrease due to the existence
of similar properties in similar locations, containing lower quality.
Conformity: A property is most likely to appreciate in value along with other,
similar properties in the same neighborhood.
If the neighborhood consists of 2,000 square feet, three-bedroom, two-bath
homes 10 years old, improving property above that standard may not be
profitable.
40
Abay A 49
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Substitution: A property’s greatest potential market value is limited by the market value of
other, similar properties. A prudent purchaser would pay no more for a home than it would
cost him or her to build another one.
Change: No condition remains the same indefinitely; change is part of the economic cycle.
Property values are affected by change in several forces.These include
local economic and demographic trends,
physical age and condition of the property and surrounding properties,
character of a neighborhood or city, and
natural events like disasters
50
Abay A 50
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Anticipation: Market value often is affected by expectations about future
events.
For example, if an investor believes that a particular area is likely to
experience growth in the coming years, that would mean property value
would rise in that area.
If rezoning is proposed in an area, properties in the affected area could
experience rise or fall in property value in anticipation of the change.
Contribution: Improvements add to market value of a property as a factor of
current supply and demand, and not necessarily on the basis of actual cost.
51
Abay A 51
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
For example, a swimming pool which costs 10,000 birr to install may not necessarily
increase the value of the residential property by 10,000 birr.The contribution of the
swimming pool to the value of the property may be
higher than its cost,
equal to its cost, or
lower than its cost depending on current demand and supply of
residential property in that area.
Plottage: Land values tend to increase when adjacent lots are combined into single
ownership and put into a single zoning or use.
Highest and best use: real estate valuation is maximized when land is utilized in the best
possible way.
52
Abay A 52
(LaSu 4083)
Cont.
Competition: Opportunities for profitable investment lead to
competition.That means profit tends to increase competition.
Balance : The principle of balance relates both to the property as well as the
environment in which the property is located. Related to the property itself, this
principle holds that value is achieved and maintained when all elements are in
proper proportion.
53
Abay A 53
(LaSu 4083)
• 8. Plottage. This principle observes that consistency in ownership of land and zoning or usage, tends to
maximize value. The principle states that, "Land values tend to increase when adjacent lots are combined
into single ownership and put to a single zoning or use. "This phenomenon is observed when a series of
relatively small lots remain under-developed and are eventually purchased by one person or company and
subsequently developed. Each individual would be unable to organize such a development when many
owners are involved.
• 9. Highest and best use. Closely related to plottage is the principle that "Real estate valuation is maximized
when land is utilized in the best possible way." Thus, rich farm land should be used to grow crops and land
located within sight of an interstate freeway is best used for highway commercial zoning. The same
observations apply to all forms of zoning and usage. Real estate valuation is unusual in that sometimes 10
one-acre plots are worth more than one 10-acre plot. An analyst needs to compare land size to proposed land
use, and be prepared to adjust valuation based on a site's variance from the idea.
• This means looking at far more than just zoning and its obvious attributes. Zoning is only one aspect, one
expert has observed:
• How many times have we seen statements in reports that conclude that the highest and best use of a property
is as zoned? Highest and best use, by definition, includes the legal, physical, and economic benefits of
ownership, plus social commitments to a community at large."2
• 10. Competition. The last primary principle of valuation is directly related to the broader concept of supply
and demand. The principle of competition states, "Opportunities for profitable investment lead to
competition." This has ramifications for valuation of all properties. A good idea is going to be imitated or
duplicated. Thus, as long as demand remains unchanged, the emergence of competing properties will tend to
dilute market value for all similar properties.
Abay A 54
(LaSu 4083)
• 6. Anticipation. Real estate investors—like those in all markets—are continually estimating
the future value of properties. The principle of anticipation may be stated as: "Market value
often is affected by expectations about future events." For example, if an investor believes
that a particular area is likely to experience growth in coming years, that would mean
property values would rise. The very expectation actually increases demand, and valuation
rises as a result. The cause and effect can be more immediate than the time it takes for the
cause to occur. If a proposed rezone is in the works, properties in the affected area could
experience rise or fall in property value in anticipation of the change.
• 7. Contribution. This principle acknowledges a limitation on growth in market value, notably
in the case of improvements. The additional market value one may expect from improving
property is not equal to cost, but to the contribution those changes make to actual market
value. Thus, in a low-demand market, an improvement may add only $2,000 to market value
even though actual cost was $5,000. In the case of cosmetic repairs to properties in hot
markets, the opposite effect may be seen as well. Contribution tells us, "Improvements add to
market value as a factor of current supply and demand, and not necessarily on the basis of
actual cost." The principle of contribution can also be defined as being controlled both by
increasing returns and by diminishing returns. In other words, making improvements to
property will cause growth in market value to an extent (increasing returns), but when
improvements exceed that level, return on investment begins to fall (diminishing returns).
Abay A 55
(LaSu 4083)
• 1. Progression. This principle relates to one way in which market values rise.
Expressed as a statement, progression tells us, "A property's value may increase due
to the existence of similar properties in similar locations, containing greater quality."
The idea that a rising tide lifts all ships applies here. In fact, progression is also
expressed by the maxim that you profit in real estate by buying the worst house on a
good block.
• 2. Regression. The opposite rule may work as well. A falling tide can lower all ships
or, as the regression principle reveals, "A property's value may decrease due to the
existence of similar properties in similar locations, containing lower quality." So an
exceptional house may not appreciate as one would expect if and when other houses
—even on the sale block—are outdated, obsolete, or poorly maintained. This concept
is closely related to the third principle in real estate valuation, that of conformity.
• 5. Change. This principle tells us, "No condition remains the same
indefinitely(forever); change is part of the economic cycle." Property values are
affected by change in several ways. These include local economic and demographic
trends, physical age and condition of the property and surrounding properties,
character of a neighborhood or city, and natural events like disasters (hurricanes and
earthquakes, for example).
Abay A 56
(LaSu 4083)
• 3. Conformity. This concept is, "A property is most likely to appreciate(rise) in value
along with other, similar properties in the same neighborhood." So if an investor
spends a lot of money to upgrade a house, for example, conformity may limit the
appreciation regardless of how the work is performed. This relates to construction
materials, age of properties, number of rooms, and overall square footage and style.
If the neighborhood consists of 2,000 square feet, three-bedroom, two-bath homes 10
years old, improving property above that standard may not be profitable. Converting
a home by adding 500 square feet and changing the internal layout to four bedrooms
and three baths could be money poorly spent, based on the principle of conformity.
• 4. Substitution. In real estate, comparison rules the way that valuation trends become
established. Thus, progression, regression, and conformity are primary concepts. A
variation on this theme is that of substitution. This principle is, "A property's greatest
potential market value is limited by the market value of other, similar properties."
Thus, it would not be realistic to judge market value in a vacuum. Without
considering the market value of similar properties located in similar areas, we cannot
accurately analyze market value of any property. This theory is easily observed.
When two similar properties are for sale, the lower-priced one will tend to sell first
and, as a result, the market value of the remaining property may be lowered.
Abay A
57
(LaSu 4083)
UNIT II: The Valuation Process
2.1 Introduction
The valuation process is a systematic procedure that an appraiser follows to
provide answers to a client’s questions about real property value.
It is a model that can be adapted to a wide variety of questions
that are related to value.
It is a systematic and logical method of collecting, analyzing, and processing
data into intelligent and well reasoned value estimates.
58
Abay A 58
(LaSu 4083)
UNIT TWO: The Valuation Process
2.1 Introduction
The valuation process is a systematic procedure that an appraiser follows to provide answers to a client’s
questions about real property value.
It is a model that can be adapted to a wide variety of questions that are related to value.
It is a systematic and logical method of collecting, analyzing, and processing data into intelligent and well
reasoned value estimates.
The valuation process begins when the appraiser agrees to take an assignment and ends when the
conclusions of the appraisal are reported to the client.
Each property is unique, and opinions of many different types of value can be developed for a single
property.
The most common appraisal assignment is performed to render(decide) an opinion of market value.
The valuation process contains all the steps appropriate to this type of assignment.
2.2 Steps of Valuation Process
The valuation process is accomplished through specific steps.
The number of steps followed depends on the nature of the appraisal
assignment and the available data.
Research begins after the appraisal problem has been defined and the
scope of work required to solve the problem has been identified.
The analysis of data relevant to the problem starts with an investigation of
trends observed at the market level: international, national, regional, or
neighborhood.
This investigation helps the appraiser understand the interrelationships among:
the principles,
forces, and
factors that affect real property value in the specific market area
Such trends may include positive or negative percentage changes in property value over a
number of years.
2.3 Purpose of valuation process
I. provides a framework for estimating market value (or other types of value)
o analysis of data
Through highest and best use analysis, the appraiser interprets the market forces
that affect the subject property and identifies the use or uses on which the final
opinion of value is based. Analyzing the highest and best use of the land helps the
appraiser identify comparable properties.
There are four criteria that highest and best use must meet are legal permissibility,
physical possibility, financial feasibility, and maximum productivity.
1. Legally allowable
Only those uses that are, or may be, legally allowed are potential highest and best
uses.
This may exclude uses that are not allowed by urban planning law(zoning), uses
that are forbidden by government legislations.
Cont..
2. Physically possible
Any potential use must be physically possible given the size, shape,
topography, and other characteristics of the site into account.
3. Financial feasibility
The highest and best use of a property must be financially feasible.
This means that the proposed use of a property must generate adequate revenue
to justify the costs of construction plus a profit for the developer.
4.Maximally productive use
Finally the use must generate the highest net return (profit) to the developer.
Eventually, the Potentially comparable properties that do not have the same
highest and best use are usually eliminated from further analysis.
Estimating the land's highest and best use as though vacant is a necessary
part of deriving an opinion of land value.
There are 2 reasons to analyze the highest and best use of the property as improved:
is to help identify potentially comparable properties.
is to decide which of the following options should be pursued:
Maintain the improvements as it is
Cure items of deferred maintenance and retain the improvements
Modify the improvements (e.g., renovate, modernize, or
convert).
Demolish the improvements.
2. Cost approach
The cost approach is based on the understanding that market participants relate
value to cost.
Cont..
Value of a subject property = Estimated land/site value
+
The current cost of constructing a reproduction or replacement
for the improvements
+
Entrepreneurial profit and/or incentive
_
Amount of depreciation in improvements
This approach is particularly useful in valuing new or nearly new improvements
and properties that are not frequently exchanged in the market. The current costs
to construct the improvements can be obtained from:
cost estimators,
cost manuals,
builders, and
Contractors
3. Income Capitalization Approach
In the income capitalization approach, the present value of the future benefits of property ownership is
measured.
In direct capitalization: the relationship between one year's income and value is reflected in either a
capitalization rate or an income multiplier.
In yield capitalization: the relationship between several years' stabilized income and a
reversionary value at the end of a designated period is reflected in a yield rate.
Cont..
The most common application of yield capitalization is Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis.
The specific data that an appraiser investigates in the income capitalization approach
might include the:
property's gross income expectancy,
expected reduction in gross income caused by vacancy and collection loss,
anticipated annual operating expenses,
the pattern and duration of the property's income stream, and
the anticipated reversionary value.
After income and expenses are estimated, the income streams are capitalized by applying
an appropriate rate or factor and convert into present value through discounting.
Step 7- Final Reconciliation of Value Indications
The final analytical step in the valuation process is the reconciliation of the value indications derived into a single
monetary figure or a range of values in which the value will most likely fall.
The nature of reconciliation depends on the:
• the appraisal problem,
• the approaches that have been used, and
• the reliability of the value indications derived
The final opinion of defined value, which is the goal of the valuation process, is usually reported as a single
figure or as a range of value or as a value in relation to some stated benchmark amount (i.e., more than or less
than a given dollar amount).
In a perfect world, all the methods used would result in the same value.
Unfortunately, given the property valuation, it is inevitable that each methodology will generate a unique value
estimate that differs from the other methodologies. Thus, appraisers should resolve the difference among value
indicators and end up with a single or a range of values.
Step 8- Report of Defined Value
The appraisal assignment is not complete until the conclusion is stated in a report and presented to the client.
The reported value is the appraiser's opinion and reflects the experience and judgment that has been applied to
the study of the assembled data.
The appraisal report is the tangible expression of the appraiser's work and the last step in the valuation process.
The conclusions of an appraisal ma y be communicated to the client in writing or orally. The appraisal report
must include certain minimum elements that are required to satisfy practical, professional, and legal
requirements.
Standards of Written Reports
The appraisal report leads the reader from the
1. definition of the appraisal problem
2. analysis and relevant descriptive data
3. specific conclusion.
The length, type and content of the appraisal report are dictated by
the intended use and purpose of the appraisal,
the nature and complexity of the problem solved.
Unit three
Real Estate Market Analysis
Real Estate Market Analysis
Basic Principles,
Marketability Analysis
• Study of a specific development or property to assess its competitive position.
• Studies that focus on individual decisions
Feasibility Analysis
• Evaluates a specific project as to whether or not it is likely to be carried out
successfully
Investment Analysis
• Evaluates a specific property as a potential investment.
• Investor specific.
Demand Analysis
3. Is the property use needed?
Population ?
• Households ?
• Housing Units Income ?
• Effective Buying Power ?
• Retail(Sell) Sq. Ft.
• Jobs ?
• Use Office ?
• Office Sq. Ft.
• Use Industrial ?
• Industrial Sq. Ft.
113
500,000 birr this year but a historical research shows that the same property was sold
last year for only 250,000 birr, the appraiser ought to spend his/her time in
investigating the probable causes of a 100% increase in sale price of the property in
one year difference.
• In most markets, if a property sold for 500,000 birr this year, 480,000 birr before one
year, and 300,00,000 birr before four years, property valuation experts would have
little fear that the current data was reported incorrectly.
11
5
11
8
12
1
Contribution
The cost of the improvement does not necessarily increase the market
value of the property by the same amount.
123
Applicability
The sale comparison approach is applicable to all types of property
interests when there are
Sufficient comparable recent sales and,
Reliable transactions to indicate value pattern of the market.
The sale comparison approach is the most widely known approach,
and if it is used appropriately and correctly, it is the best indicator of
value for real property.
It is reliable because it is based on verifiable data from arm’s-length
transactions.
124
Limitation
However, the applicability of this approach is limited when
1. There are insufficient number of market transactions of comparable
properties.
2. Rapidly changing economic conditions and legislations can limit the
reliability of sales comparison approach.
3. Rapid inflation or deflation can also jeopardize the reliability of an
appraisal’s adjustment.
4. Little comparable data will
5. It is imperative for the appraiser to identify and analyze the strengths
and weakness of the data compiled.
125
126
127
129
In estimating the value of the subject property, appraisers are responsible for
providing enough evidence of value to support for value opinion.
Thus, they should verify the information to ensure its accuracy.
For instance, taking three comparable properties may be enough if they are
considered as verifiable and give conclusive evidence of the value opinion.
Otherwise, an appraiser ought to include additional comparable properties to
estimate the value of the subject property using this approach.
130
131
134
For example, values opinion estimated based on the area method and
assessment value method must be reconciled into arrange of values or a
single value indication for the sales comparison approach.
136
If the comparable sales are inferior to the subject property with respect to the
elements of comparison, the comparable sales data will be adjusted to upward.
If the comparable sales are superior to the subject property, the
comparable sales price must be adjusted downward.
142
143
For example, let us consider that we have a comparable property which has a
garage at the basement. However, the subject property doesn’t have a garage.
Determine the adjusted sales price of the comparable with a sales price of
300,000 birr if the garage increases the sales price of the comparable property
by 20,000
144
birr.
Percentage adjustments
Adjustments for differences between a comparable property and a
subject property are frequently expressed in percentages.
Percentage adjustments are often used to reflect differences in market
conditions and location.
145
These percentages are often converted into monetary amounts that are then
added to or subtracted from the price of the comparable so that it can be
approximated to the subject property.
146
151
To estimate the value of the subject property in this method, the appraiser should
have the sales price and the area of the comparable properties to find out the sales
price per unit area of comparable properties.
Sales price
Sales price per unit area of comparables
Area
152
It will be the maximum value if the subject property is better than the comparative
properties.
It will be the minimum values if the subject property is slightly inferior to the
comparable properties.
96
156
Under this approach the property is valued as a function of what it would cost
to buy the157land and construct the buildings.
160
4. Highest and Best Uses
It can be more significant in the cost approach.
In the sales comparison and income capitalization approaches, losses due to
Improper improvements on the site,
Over improvement,
Other highest and best use problems are often reflected in the market data for comparable
properties, and
these lessen have to be identified and adjusted for in the cost approach.
5. Stabilization
The term Stabilization describes the point at which a property reaches a profitable and sustainable
level of occupancy.
When income-producing properties are built new or substantially remodeled, occupancy levels will
be much less than 100%.
In other words, a buyer for an empty building will factor in the cost (Construction, broker fees, debt
service, taxes, etc.) to bring the building up to stabilized occupancy.
That cost should be accounted for in the calculation of reproduction cost in the cost
approach.
6.Externalities
• An externality such as inflation may sometimes increase
material and labor costs
• Externalities can be temporary and may work in positive
and negative directions.
Assumptions, Applicability and Limitations of Cost Approach
Assumptions
The cost approach is based on the assumptions of the principle of substitution.
It is also based on the assumption that the replacement cost normally sets the
upper limit of value provided that the improvement is new and represents the
highest and best use of land.
It is further based on the assumption that a newly constructed building has more
advantages over existing buildings.
The cost approach assumes that cost (including entrepreneurial profit) equals
value.
210
CONT.
Applicability
The cost approach is applied to estimate depreciation for income taxes.
The cost approach is more applicable to appraisal problems where market
data is lacking for the income or comparison approach.
Church, mosques, museums, public buildings and other special purposes
buildings are usually appraised using the cost approach
The cost approach is more applicable and reliable for new buildings than
for old buildings
Cont.
Limitations
The cost approach is limited to the situation that:
The property appraised should be new so that this approach can give a true
indication of value and
The estimate of depreciation should be accurate
Difficulty
The cost approach is difficult:
In deciding whether cost and market value are likely to be approximately
equal.
In calculating depreciation, particularly physical and functional depreciation.
Procedure/Steps in Cost Approach
An appraiser who wants to estimate the value of the subject property using
the cost approach should follow the following procedure
1.Estimates the value of land as though vacant and available to be
developed to its highest and best use.
2.Determine which cost is most applicable to the assignment:
reproduction cost or replacement cost
3.Estimate the direct and indirect costs of improvements as of the effective
date of the appraisal.
4.Estimate an appropriate entrepreneurial profit
5.Add the estimated direct costs, indirect costs and the entrepreneurial profit
and there by determine the total cost of improvements
215
CONT.
6.Estimate the amount of depreciation in the structure and allocate it among the
three major categories:
Physical deterioration
Functional obsolescence
External obsolescence
7. Subtract estimated depreciation from total cost of improvement to obtain an
estimate of depreciated cost of improvement.
8.Estimate site value improvement
9.Add the land value and site value improvement to the total depreciated cost of
improvements to arrive at the indicated value of the property.
10.Adjust the indicated value of the property for any personal property (such
as furniture, fixture, and equipment) or intangible asset value that my be
included to the cost estimate.
CONT
The theoretical base for the cost approach is reproduction cost, but replacement
cost is commonly used because it may be easier to obtain and reduce the
complexity of depreciation analysis.
An important difference must be made between reproduction cost and
replacement cost.
Reproduction cost is the estimated cost to construct, as of the effective date
appraisal, an exact duplicate or replica of the building being appraised in so
far as possible using the same materials, standards, design, lay out, quality of
workmanship, embodying all the deficiencies, super adequacies and
obsolescence of the subject building.
Replacement cost is the estimated cost to construct, as of the effective date
of appraisal, a building with utility equivalent to the building being appraised
using contemporary materials, current construction standards, design and
layout. 218
CONT.
Direct costs:
Direct construction costs include the costs of material and labor as well as
the contractors profit required to construct the improvement on the effective
date of appraisal.
CONT.
Direct costs include costs of :
Building permits
Materials, products, and equipment
Labor used in construction
Equipment used in construction
Security used during construction
Constructors shake and temporary fence
Material storage facilities
Power line installation and utility costs
Contractor's profit and overhead including job supervision,
coordination and management, workers compensation, fire, liability
Indirect Costs
Indirect costs are expenditures or allowances that are necessary for
construction but are not part of the construction contract.
Indirect costs include costs of :
Architectural and engineering fees for plans, plan checks, surveys to
establish building lines and grades, and environmental studies
Appraisal, consulting, accounting and legal fees
The cost of carrying out the investment in land and contract payments
during construction (e.g interests paid on construction loans)
The cost of carrying the investment in the property after construction is
complete but before stabilization is achieved.
Supplemental capital investment in tenant improvement and leasing
commission
CONT.
In the case of income producing properties, the profit realized depends on the
entrepreneur’s ability to obtain the proper tenant mix and negotiate leases.
In analyzing the components of the reward and compensation received (or
anticipated) by an entrepreneur, the appraiser has to distinguish between the
concepts of
Project profit is the total amount of reward for entrepreneurial coordination
and risk.
Entrepreneurial profit refers to the portion of the project profit attributable
to the efforts of the entrepreneur distinct from the effort of the developer..
Developer’s profit represents compensation for the time, energy and
expertise of an individual other than the entrepreneur.
Contractor’s profit is essentially a portion of the project’s overhead and
included in the fee the contractor charges and would there fore be included
in the direct cost.
Depreciation(Devaluation)
Depreciation is the difference between what an improvement costs and the
value of the improvement on the effective date of appraisal.
Depreciation can be broken down into three types:
Physical deterioration(worsening)
Functional obsolescence(uselessness)
External obsolescence
230
Building Cost Estimates
To apply the cost approach to value, an appraiser must prepare an estimate of
the cost of the improvements as of the effective date of appraisal.
Such an estimate can be prepared by an appraiser who understands
Construction plans,
Specifications,
Materials,
Techniques and
Can access a variety of data sources or computer programs
available for this purpose.
Alternatively,the work can be done with theassistance of the expert
cost estimators.
175
Sources of data for cost
Construction contracts for buildings similar to the building being appraised
provide a primary source of comparable cost data.
There are four primary methods used by appraisers to estimate the
construction cost.
These are:
Comparative (Square foot) method
Quantity survey method
Unit- in- place method
Trended historical cost (index) method
176
Comparative (Square foot) method
The most commonly used method of estimating building cost is the comparative method.
Under this method, the cost of building is determined by some measure of its size usually its
square footage.
The cost per square foot can be found from similar developments in the area or from
published sources.
The comparative method assumes that there are numerous similar buildings that can be
grouped by
Design,
Type and
Quality of construction
Replacement cost factors can be obtained by developing average unit costs from known
construction costs of new buildings in each group.
CONT
The appraiser can identify costs of similar structures adjusting those costs for
differences in marketing conditions, location and physical characteristics in
comparison to the subject property.
It combines all costs for a particular type and quality of structure into one
value as a cost per square foot.
It produces a value based on the floor area of the structure.
Contractors overhead and profit may be either included in the cost estimate per
unit area or computed separately.
Indirect costs and entrepreneurial profit are usually compute
separately.
239
CONT.
Unit cost varies, all else being equal, with building size. Unit cost decreases, as
building increases in area.
This is reflected with the fact that
Plumbing,
Heating system,
Doors,
Windows, and
Similar items do not necessarily cost proportionately more in a large
house than in a small one.
If a similar cost spreads over a large area, the unit cost is obviously less.
This method is relatively less complicated, widely used and practical.
CONT.
If the comparable sale has one bathroom more than the subject
property, that cost should be subtracted from the sales price of the
comparable property to get a more accurate figure.
Consider the following example:
An appraiser is using the cost approach to confirm the value received
through direct sales comparison. The appraiser has got three new
homes recently sold in the area to estimate the cost per square foot.
The lots are all valued at 50,000 birr and the cost of one bathroom is
estimated to be 4,000 birr.
CONT.
Subject Comparable Comparable Comparable
property sale 1 sale 2 sale 3
182
CONT,
In our example, the subject property is close to comparable sale 2. Thus, it is
advisable to take 67.09 br/sq.ft. as the cost per unit square foot of the subject
property.
Based on this rate, the construction cost of the subject property would be 1,550
sq.ft X 67.09 br/sq.ft = 104,000 birr.
In some cases, it could become necessary to interpolate figures, meaning to
choose some figure between some comparable sales.
For example,
Suppose that the cost per square foot of a 1,600 sq.ft home is 72.5 birr and
that of a 1,800 sq.ft home is 71.5 birr. If you are asked to determine the cost
per sq.ft of a 1700 sq.ft home, 72 birr would be a reasonable estimate.
183
Quantity Survey Method
It is the most comprehensive and accurate method of estimating building cost,
which will more often be applied by a contractor or professional cost estimator
than appraiser.
A quantity reflects both the quantity and quality of all materials used in the
construction of improvements and all categories of labor required.
It is an item by item inventory of all costs, including contactors profit. It is the
most accurate method if it is done by the quantity surveyor.
184
CONT.
Unit cost are applied to those figures to arrive at a total cost estimate for
material and labor, then the contractor adds a margin for contingencies,
overhead and profit.
Appraisers are not routinelyused this method unless it is
specifically requested by the client.
Architectural/ engineering
services 304,000
Survey 8,000
Appraisals 16,000
Legal 25,000
187
CONT.
This table shows how to calculate the value of the property using quantity
survey method.
Total improvement costs
(direct costs plus indirect
costs) 4,498,954
.
CONT.
Example: Suppose that the floor and foundation of these buildings costs 8.25 birr per
sq.ft., the roof costs 16.5 birr per sq,ft., and the wall costs 275 birr per linear foot.
Notice that both the square building and the rectangular building have 10,000 sq.ft.
but the square building has only 400 linear feet for walls while the rectangular
building has 500 linear feet of walls. Consider how this would affect the construction
cost for each building.
Square building Rectangular Building
One advantage of the unit in place method is that it would automatically take into
account the shape of the building and its square footage.
Consider an example of a unit in place cost method.The subject property is
7000 sq.ft. warehouse measuring 70X100.
The following are the cost of various components.
191
. Building components Installation costs
Building permit 5,000 birr
Excavation: (2556 cubic yards @ 4.56 ) 11,655
Foundation: (7000 sq.ft @6.35) 44,450
Walls (340@325) 110,500
Roof structure: (7,000 sq.ft @16.75) 117,250
Roof covering: 8,500
Plumping pipe: (7,000 sq.ft @3.23) 22,610
Plumping fixtures: (11 fixtures @475) 5,225
Sewer hookup 3,500
Wiring and outlets (7000sq.ft @4.33) 30,310
Windows (27@125) 3,375
Heating (7,000 sq.ft @1.75) 12,250
Sprinkler (7,000 sq.ft. @) 2.07) 14,490
Miscellaneous costs 25,000
Total costs 414,115 birr
192
Trended Historical Cost(Index) Method
Cost index trending may be used to convert historical data into a current cost
estimate.
Cost indexes are published as part of a cost manual.
If the historical construction cost is known, a cost index can convert that cost
into an indication of cost new for the date of appraisal.
The index approach is used in a situation when the original construction of
the existing improvement is already known.
It is most commonly used in the case of unique buildings.
The further away the date of construction, the less accurate the estimate
will be.
CONT.
To trend the historical cost into current cost, the current cost index should be
divided by the historical cost index and the result should be multiplied by the
historical cost.
Example: Suppose the contract cost for constructing a building in January 1994
was 1,000,000 birr. The index for January 1994 is 285.1 and the current index is
327.3 as it is obtained from the cost manual. Determine the current cost of the
subject building using the trended historical cost or index method.
261
CONT.
The current cost of the subject building is:
(327.3/285.1) = 1.148
1.148 X 1,000,000 birr = 1,148,000 birr
In other words, a building that cost Birr 1,000,000 in 1994 would cost about Birr
1,148,000 today.
This method is the least accurate of any of the methods mentioned above to cost
estimation.
The historical cost of a property may be significantly higher or lower than its market
value at the time of construction.
As the time span between the initial construction and the date of value increases, the
trended historical cost method yields less reliable indicators of value.
262
Estimation of Depreciation
It involves estimating the replacement cost as new of the property and
decrease depreciation of the property.
In other words, once the replacement cost of the existing improvement
has been estimated, the next step is to subtract the depreciation from the
property.
196
197
198
199
A. Physical Deterioration
Physical deterioration is a loss in value due to use or forces of nature. It is
the most obvious cause of depreciation.
Buildings will ultimately wear out due to the physical forces of nature
working to destroy them .
268
273
The following are the factors that could lead to functional obsolescence.
1. Excessive floor space:
2. Inappropriate building layout, and disjointed production flow:
3. Excessive operating costs:
4. Excessive height
5. Excessive or superior construction:
6. Inferior materials or construction:
7. Change in property use:
8. Bay size (column spacing)
9. Poor lightning or poor installation of other services
204
205
11/23/2023
279
280
215
216
217
Exercise:
Suppose that the sales price of a comparable property is 450,000 birr
and its estimated site value is 20 % of its sales price. The cost of
improvement new of this property is estimated at 480,000 birr and its
effective age is 15 years. Estimate the total depreciation of the subject
property which has cost of improvement new of 420,000 birr and an
effective age of 20 years.
39
301
Example 1:
Suppose that a residence property has an actual age of 15 years, an estimated effective age
of 10 years and a remaining economic life of 40 years. The replacement cost new of the
property is 500,000 birr.
302
Estimate total depreciation of the property and its depreciated replacement cost based on the
above given.
Given:
Actual age = 15 years
Effective age = 10 years
Remaining economic life = 40 years
Total replacement cost of improvement = 500,000 birr
Total economic life = 10 years + 40 years = 50 years
Total depreciation = (10/50) X 500,000 birr = 100,000 birr
Depreciated replacement cost = replacement cost minus total depreciation.
Depreciated replacement cost = 500,000 - 100,000 birr = 400,000 birr
310
227
228
Solution:
Garage door replacement cost ----------------- 1,900
Less: Depreciation (12/25)x 1900----------------912
Amount left -------------------------------------- 988 birr
229
230
231
232
233
235
359
6.2 Assumption, Applications and
Limitations
Applications
• The income capitalization approach is more suitable for types of properties
purchased and held for the purpose of producing income.
• It is also the preferred approach for the appraisal of land where reliable
sales data for comparable properties are not available.
Limitations
• This approach is limited
When the income estimates are weak
When sales data are not available to extract capitalization rate
When buyers consider other issues more than the property’s income
potential
360
CONT.
Assumption
• There are three fundamental assumptions for the income
approach.
These are:
• Value is a function of income
• Value depends on the amount, duration and risk of the income
stream
• Future income is less valuable than present income
239
6.3 Income Approach Relation to Appraisal Principles
Anticipation
• Anticipation is the perception that value is created by the
expectation of benefits to be derived in the future.
• This principle states that all income capitalization methods,
techniques and procedures try to anticipate future benefits to
estimate their present value.
• Investors are anticipating the future income stream from property in
their buying decisions.
• The principle of anticipation is fundamental to income capitalization
approach.
Change
• It is the result of the cause and effect relationship among the forces that
influence real property value.
• Change is inevitable though, at times, it may be difficult to identify.
• The expectations of investors concerning changes in income, expense
levels and property values must be considered by the appraiser.
• The principle of change is related to the principle of anticipation and can
affect the prediction of future benefits.
• Change may be gradual or rapid.
366
Supply and Demand
• The principles of demand and supply are important in anticipating future
benefits and estimating rates of return in income capitalization approach.
• Both income and rate of return are determined by market interaction
(buyers and sellers; tenants and landlords).
• If there are competing properties in the market, the rent charged by one
owner may not be as such different from rents charged by other owners of
the competing properties.
• According to this principle, the existence of excess demand results in an
increase in rent.
Thissituation reduces vacancy rate
The value of the property may rise until supply satisfies demand
CONT.
On the other hand, if supply is greater than demand, there will be a decrease in
rent for a property.
As a result,
Occupancy rate shall be decreased
Vacancy rate will be increased.
Thus, appraisers should observe demand (both existing and forecasted) and
supply of a property so as to anticipate future income and estimate rate of
return.
Substitution
• The prices, rents and rates of return of properties tend to be set by the
prevailing(current) prices, rents and rates of return for equally desirable
substitute properties.
368
Balance
• Value is enhanced by a reasonable balance of types and locations of
income producing properties.
• According to this principle the highest market value will be realized when
the size and type of improvements are proportional to each other and as
well as to the land.
Contribution
• This principle states that a value of a component of property depends upon
its contribution to the whole.
• With income producing properties, the value of a component can be
measured by the amount it contributes to the net operating income
369 .
Externality
• The principle of externalities states that factors external to a
property can have positive or negative impact on its value.
• According to this principle economies outside a property have a positive
effect on its value while diseconomies outside a property have a negative
effect on its value.
• Because real estate is immobile, it is affected by external influences
more strongly than other goods.
• A property’s income generating capacity may be affected by external
factors.
370
The procedure of Income
capitalization
Research the income and expense data of the subject property and comparable
properties.
1. Estimate the potential gross income (PGI) of the subject property by summing
the rental income and other potential incomes.
2.Estimate vacancy and collection loss which is an allowance for reduction in
potential gross income attributable to vacancies, tenant turnover, and non
payment of rent.
• It is also referred to as vacancy and credit loss or vacancy and contingency
loss
CONT…
3. Deduct vacancy and collection loss form potential gross income and there by
determine effective gross income (EGI).
376
CONT..
Lease income is the basis of most real estate valuation using the income capitalization
approach.
Thus, an appraiser commences the income capitalization approach through understanding
all existing and proposed leases that shall be applied to the subject property.
An agreement between the lessor and the lessee on operating expenses has an effect on
income of the property.
Lease is divided into the following types.
A. Flat rental lease
B. Variable rental lease
C. Step-up or step-down rental lease (graduated lease)
D. Revaluation lease
E. Percentage lease
377
Flat Rental Lease
• Flat rental lease means a lease with a specified level of rent that continues
throughout the lease term.
• It specifies a level of rent that continues throughout the duration of the
lease. For instance, a five year office lease might specify a fixed rental rate
of 100 birr per square meter per year.
• Flat rental lease is usual and suitable form of lease in a stable economy.
This type of arrangement is likely to be observed in short term lease.
378
Variable Rental (index) lease
• It is a type of lease that provides for periodic rent adjustments.
• It is quite common particularly when an owner anticipates periodic
changes in rent.
• This type of lease may specify periodic percentage change or the change
may be tied to specific index such as nationally published index like
consumer price index.
• This type of lease is referred to as index lease.
• For example, a first five year office lease might be specified as a rental rate
of 100 birr per square meter per year, increasing by a 5 birr per square meter
each year for the remaining four years of lease.
254
Revaluation Lease
• This type of lease may have periodic rent adjustments based on revaluation
of market rent under the prevailing market conditions.
• When the parties to a lease cannot agree on rent, revaluation through
appraisal or arbitration may be stipulated in the lease.
Percentage Lease
• In this case, some or all of the rent charged is based on a specified
percentage of the volume of business, productivity, or use achieved by the
tenant.
255
RENT
• The income generated by investment properties includes primarily of rent.
• There are various types of rent that have an effect on the amount of
income that the property will generate.
• The most commonly used are:
a) Market rent
b) Contract rent
c) Effective rent
d) Excess rent
e) Deficit rent
256
Market Rent
• Market Rent is the rental income which a property would most probably
command in the open market.
• Market rent is established by the current rents being paid and asked for
comparable properties as of the appraisal date.
• Market rent is sometimes referred to as economic rent.
Contract Rent
• Contract rent is a form of rent that is stipulated in a lease.
• In other words, it refers to the actual rental income specified in a lease.
• Contract rent can be equal to, less than or greater than market rent.
383
Effective Rent
• Effective rent is the rent net of financial concessions such as free of rent, during
Example:
Suppose that the owner of a 1,000 square meter of office building has rented
it for 2,000 birr per month for three years term with level income throughout
the lease term. When the lease was negotiated, the tenant received free rent
for the first month of each year as a concession. So how much are the
contract rent and the effective rent per square meter per year?
258
CONT…
The contract rent of the property in our example is
259
Excess rent
• Excess rent is the amount in which the contract rent is above the market
rent at the time of the appraisal.
• It is usually short term in nature.
Deficient Rent
• It refers to the amount by which market rent exceeds contract rent at the
time of the appraisal.
260
RATES OF RETURN
• In applying income capitalization approach, an appraiser assumes that the
investor ultimately seeks a total return greater than or equal to the amount
invested.
• Thus, the investor’s expected return consists of two components.
• These are:
• Return of capital- it refers to the recovery of invested capital, usually
through income and reversion.
• Return on capital- it refers to the additional amount received as
compensation for the use of the investor’s capital until it is recaptured.
261
Cont.…
Since returns from real estate may take a variety of forms, many rates of
return are used in income capitalization.
All rates of return can be categorized as either
Income rates which include overall capitalization rate and equity capitalization
rate, or
Discount rates which include effective interest rate (the rate of return on debt
capital), yield rate, and rate of return.
Income Rates
An income rate expresses the relationship between one year’s income and
the corresponding capital value of property.
262
Overall Capitalization Rate
• It is an income rate for a total property that reflects the relationship
between a single year’s net operating income of the property to the value
or sales price of that property.
• It is used to change the net operating income of a property into an
indication of property value.
• It considers an investor’s total expected return including both the return on
capital and a return of capital.
Equity Capitalization Rate
• It is an income rate that reflects the relationship between a single year’s
cash flow expectancy and the equity investment.
• It is used to convert the equity dividend into an equity value indication.
• It is also called cash on cash rate, cash flow rate or equity dividend rate.
Mortgage capitalization rate
• It is a capitalization rate for debt.
• It represents the ratio of annual debt service to the principal amount of the
mortgage.
• It uses annual debt service cash flow rather than operating income and
the original mortgage value instead of overall property value.
• It explores the relationship between annual debt service payments and
the principal amount.
Terminal capitalization rate
It is the capitalization rate used to calculate the resale value of a property.
390
Discount Rates
• Various sorts of discount rates are used to discount cash flows applicable
to a specific position or interest in a defined real estate.
• Discount rates may or may not be developed in the same way as internal
rate of return.
Internal Rate of Return
• An internal rate of return (IRR) refers to the yield rate that is earned for
a given capital investment over the period of ownership.
• It is the discount rate that equates the net present value of the property
zero.
391
.
Yield Rate
Yield rate refers to the rate of return on capital. The term interest rate usually refers to
the yield rate for debt capital, not equity capital.
It considers all expected benefits from the property over the income projection period,
including both annual net income and any remaining value or reversion. When yield
rate is used in yield capitalization to discount future income payments into value
indicator, it is referred to as discount rate
267
6.5 Income and Expense Analysis
• Income capitalization approach, both direct capitalization and yield
capitalization method, requires a comprehensive income and expenses
analysis of the subject property.
Potential Gross Income
• Potential gross income (PGI) is the total potential income attributable to
the property at full occupancy before operating expenses are deducted.
• Appraisers usually analyze potential gross income on annual basis.
• Potential gross income comprises:
Rent for all space in the property
Rent from escalation clauses
Reimbursement(Compensation) income
268
Cont.…
All other forms of income to the real estate-e.g., income from services
supplied to the tenants, such as antenna connections, storage, garage space,
parking fees etc.…
Vacancy and Collection Loss
Vacancy and collection loss is an allowance(payment) for reductions in
potential gross income attributable to vacancies, tenant turnover, and non
payment of rent.
This line item considers two components:
Physical vacancy as a loss in income
Collection loss caused by concessions or default by tenants
269
Cont.…
This allowance is usually estimated as a percentage of potential
gross income, which varies depending on
The type and characteristics of the physical property
The quality of its tenants
The type and level of income streams
Current and projected market supply and demand conditions; and
National, regional, and local economic conditions.
Published surveys of similar properties under similar conditions may
indicate an appropriate percentage allowance for vacancy and collection
loss.
An appraiser
270 should survey the local market to support the vacancy estimate.
Effective Gross Income
• Effective gross income is calculated as the potential gross income minus the vacancy and
collection loss allowance.
Operating Expenses
• Operating expenses are periodic expenditures necessary to maintain the real property
and continue production of income, assuming prudent and competent management.
• Operating expenses are deducted from effective gross income
to arrive at net operating income.
• Operating expenses are divided into three categories:
1. Fixed expenses
2. Variable expenses
3. Replacement allowance
397
1. Fixed Expenses
• Fixed Expenses are considered fixed not because they
remain unchanged over time.
• Rather, they generally must be paid regardless of the occupancy or use of a
property.
• The management will pay fixed expenses whether the property is occupied or
vacant.
• Examples include insurance and real estate taxes.
2. Variable Expenses
• Variable Expenses are those expenses incurred in operating the property,
providing services to the tenants and maintaining the income stream.
398
Cont. ..
These expenses are directly related to occupancy levels.
Major variable expense categories include:
Management charges
Administrative and Leasing expenses
Utilities-e.g., electricity, gas, water, and sewer, heating
Grounds maintenance expenses
Building maintenance expenses
Redecorating expenses
Miscellaneous-e.g., security, supplies, rubbish removal
399
Management Charges
• The expense of management is usually expressed as a percentage of effective
gross income and conforms to the local pattern of such charges for typical
management.
• The operation of multitenant properties requires a considerable amount of
supervision, accounting, and other services.
• Other management expenses may include the cost of telephone service, clerical
help, legal or accounting services, printing and postage, and advertising and
promotion.
400
Cont..
Included in this category are the following:
On-Site Management: Particularly for larger multi-tenant properties, it is
common to have a property manager on the site.
Office and Leasing Expense: Payroll and benefit costs associated for
leasing agents, secretarial and general office personnel where necessary
for the operation of the property. Other expenses could include office
supplies, materials, telephone, internet, credit bureau reports, postage and
office equipment.
Advertising expense: It includes newspaper, billboards, radio, internet and
other special promotions.
Advertising expenses can fluctuate and are closely associated with
occupancy.
401
Utilities Expense:
• It includes gas, electricity, water and sewer charges, and heating costs if
provided by the landlord as part of the monthly rental can be a major
expense for a property.
When reviewing utilities expense for a property it is important to determine
which expenses are paid by the landlord and which are paid by the tenant.
403
Miscellaneous Expenses
281
After Tax Cash Flow (7)-(8)=(9)
6.6 Methods of Income Capitalization
410
The basic formula of direct capitalization is
MV = NOI
R
where
MV is market value
NOI is stabilized net operating income
R0 is the capitalization rate.
286
Derivation of Capitalization rate based on
Comparable Sales
R N O I
M V
Overall capitalization rate can be derived from the comparable sales data
provided that we have the sales price of comparable and their respective net
operating income.
This method of estimating the overall capitalization rates is referred to as direct
market extraction.
The estimated capitalization rate can be applied to capitalize the estimated first year
NOI of the subject property in to an estimate of market value.
287
CONT…
Comparables NOI Sales Price Overall cap rate
A 80,000.00 825,000.00 0.097
B 114,000.00 1,200,000.00 0.095
C 100,000.00 971,000.00 0.103
D 72,000.00 713,000.00 0.101
E 90,000.00 910,000.00 0.099
Average 0.099
288
Derivation of Ro from Effective Gross Income Multipliers and NIR
• An effective gross income multiplier can be derived and used in conjunction with
a net income ratio (NIR) to produce an overall capitalization rate.
• The NIR is the complement of the operating expense ratio (OER).
• The net income ratio is the ratio of net operating income to effective gross income.
• The operating expenses ration is the ratio of operating expenses and effective
gross income.
• The formula for deriving an overall capitalization rate from a net income ratio and
an effective gross income multiplier is
NIR
R0
EGI
416
M
CONT..
Example:
Considering a property which was recently sold for 500,000 birr has a potential gross
income of 80,000 birr and a vacancy and collection loss of 6.25% of the PGI.
Determine the overall capitalization rate based on the EGIM assuming that the
operating expense is estimated to be 30,000 birr. Determine the overall capitalization
rate given this information.
Sales Price of a Property in Birr 500,000
Potential Gross Income 80,000
with the perceived risk of the investment or they will not make funds
available.
Lenders generally require that the loan principal be repaid through periodic
amortization payments.
Similarly, equity investors must anticipate receiving a competitive equity cash
return commensurate with the perceived risk, or they will invest their funds
elsewhere.
292
CONT..
When the mortgage and equity capitalization rates are known, an overall
capitalization rate may be derived with the band of investment or weighted-
average, technique using the following formulas:
R0 = (MxRM ) + (ExRE )
Where
M represents the loan to value ratio,
Rm represents the mortgage capitalization rate,
E is the equity portion of the property investment and
Re represents the equity capitalization rate.
293
CONT..
Example:
Les us assume that 70% of the property investment is financed from loan
which has 9% interest rate and with duration of 30 years. Determine the
overall capitalization rate provided that the mortgage capitalization rate is
11% and the equity capitalization rate is 7% as it has been derived from the
comparable sales.
The overall capitalization rate is calculated as follows
R0 = (0.7x0.11) + (0.3x0.07)
R0 = 0.098 or 9.8%
294
Derivation of Ro by Band of Investment – Land and Building
• The overall capitalization rate can also be determined based on land and building
values.
• Although the elements addressed in this method are the physical components of a
property, we are going to use similar technique that we have used for mortgage
and equity, i.e., a band of investment technique.
• Similar to that of mortgage and equity, weighted rates can be developed for the
land and buildings
• The formula that can be used to calculate the overall capitalization rate using this
method is
R0 (LxRL ) (BxRB )
295
CONT…
Where
L represents the land value as a percentage of property value,
RL represents land capitalization rate,
B is the building value as a percentage of total property value, and
RB represents building capitalization rate.
Example :
Calculate the overall capitalization rate give that land takes 22% of the property value
and the improvement (building) represents the remaining 78% of the property value.
Assume that the land capitalization rate extracted from the comparable sales is 7%
and the building capitalization rate is 11%.
The overall capitalization rate is
R0 = (0.78x0.11) + (0.22x0.07
R0 = 0.1012 or 10.12%
423
Derivation of Overall Capitalization Rate from Debt Coverage
Formula
• The overall capitalization rate can be computed from the debt coverage ratio
(DCR).
• It is the ratio of net operating income (NOI) of the property to the annual
debt service.
• It shows the ability of the property to cover its debt service out of its net
operating income (NOI).
• IM
DCR= NOI
I
According
24
to this method the overall capitalization rate is
R0 = DCRx RM x M
• Where
• M is the loan to value ratio,
• RM is the mortgage capitalization rate and
• DCR is the debt coverage ratio.
Example
• Calculate the overall capitalization rate of the property which can generate a net
operating income of 100,000 birr per year and annual debt service of 68,135 birr.
65% of the property is financed through bank loan with mortgage capitalization rate
of 0.112.
• First we have to calculate the DCR which is the ration of net operating income to the
annual debt service
DCRI
NOI 100,000
M
68,135
D
425
CR 1.47
CONT….
The overall capitalization rate is
R0 = DCR x RM x M
R0 = 1.47 x 0.112 x 0.65
R0 = 0.107 or 10.7%
429
Land Residual Technique
• The value of the property can be estimated using this technique when the
building value is known and the land value is unknown.
• Land residual technique is similar to the building residual technique except
that the appraiser must first find the income attributable to the building.
• The appraiser has to follow the following procedure in estimating the value
of a property using the land residual technique:
• Multiply the building value by the building capitalization rate to
determine the income attributable to the building.
• Deduct this income from the NOI of the property to get income
attributable to the land.
303
CONT…
• Divide the land income by the land capitalization rate or the given
interest rate to arrive at land value.
• Add value of land to the building value to arrive at the value of the
whole property by the land residual technique.
Example:
• Determine the value of a property using the land residual technique given
an estimated building value of birr 750,000, a land capitalization rate of
9% and an 10% building capitalization rate. The net operating income of
the subject property is estimated to be birr 100,000.
304
CONT….
Building value -------------------------------------------------------- 750,000
NOI -------------------------------------------------------------------- 100,000
Less: Building income(Building value x 0.1)750,000 x 0.1 -----75,000
Equals: Land Income -------------------------------------------------25,000
Land value (25,000/0.09) ------------------------------------ -------277,778
Property value (Building value + Land value) ------------- -------1,027,778
305
Equity Residual Technique
• The value of a property can be estimated using the equity residual
technique when the amount of mortgage is known and the amount of
equity is unknown.
• An appraiser has to follow the following procedure to determine the
value of a property using this technique:
• Subtract the annual debt service from the net operating income of a
property to estimate the equity cash flow to the investor
• Divide the equity cash flow by the equity capitalization rate to get
the indicted value of equity
• Add the indicated value of equity to the mortgage amount to arrive at
the estimated value of a property
306
CONT…
Example:
Determine the estimated value of a property, using equity residual technique, which can
generate a net operating income of 100,000 birr, with loan amount (mortgage amount) of
600,000 birr and the annual mortgage debt service (annual loan payment) is 70,000 birr
and equity capitalization rate of 7%.
434
Mortgage Residual Technique
• Property value can be estimated using this technique when equity value is the
known component and the mortgage value is unknown.
• An appraiser has to follow the following procedure to determine the value
of a property using this technique:
• Multiply the equity value by the equity capitalization rate to get the
income attributable to equity.
• Subtract this income from the NOI of the property to arrive at income
attributable to mortgage.
• Divide mortgage income by mortgage capitalization rate to get
mortgage value.
• Add equity value and mortgage value to arrive at property value.
308
CONT….
Example: Estimate the value of a property which can generate a net operating income of
50,000 birr and has an equity amount of 250,000 birr with equity capitalization rate of
8%. Suppose that the mortgage capitalization rate is 0.10.
309
Advantage and Disadvantage of
Direct Capitalization
Advantage
• Direct capitalization is usually the preferred method as it is perceived to
be simple to use and explain.
• It has only three working parts namely:
• NOI
• Overall Capitalization rate
• Market Value
• It provides strong market value support when there is enough sales data.
310
Disadvantage
• Since the capitalization rates are determined using the forecasted NOI for only
the next year, the capitalization rate formula doesn’t consider the changes that
may occur in subsequent years.
• It doesn’t consider that time value of money.
• It doesn’t consider the overall return an investor may receive from future cash
flows.
• It is difficult to apply this method if it is not possible to get enough comparable
sales data.
311
6.6.2 Yield Capitalization
• Yield capitalization is a method of converting future economic benefits,
especially periodic income stream/cash flow and reversion of ownership
into present value.
• Cash flow refers to the periodic income attributable to the interests in real
property.
• The procedure used to convert these future economic benefits into present
value is called discounting.
• The required rate of return (or yield rate) used in this method is referred to
as the discount rate.
312
CONT…
• To use this method, an appraiser
• Selects an appropriate holding period
• Forecasts all future cash flows or cash flow patterns (including the reversion)
• Chooses an appropriate yield rate
• Converts future benefits into present value by discounting each annual future
benefit including reversion.
Discounting
• Discounting is a procedure used to convert periodic income/cash flows, and
reversions into present value based on the concept that benefits received in
the future are worth less than the same benefits received now.
313
CONT…
• The discount rate is the interest rate used for discounting process and may be the
property yield rate, equity yield rate or other defined rate.
• In real estate appraisal practices, the most commonly used rate is the property
yield rate (Yo).
• The standard formula of discounting future value into
present values is:
Future value
Pr esent value
(1
r)n
Wher
e “r”
is the rate of return on capital per period (discount rate) that will
satisfy the investor and
“n” is the number of periods that the payment will be deferred.
1
is the discount
441 1r
n factor
CONT….
If there are cash flows for several years such as CF 1, CF2,CF3……
CFn, the present value of such cash flows can be calculated as
C F1 CF2 C F3 CFn
PV . . ..
1 r 1 r
2
1 r
3
1 r
n
Using a summation
sign n
CF
PV
i 1 1
i
r i
315
Discounted cash flow
Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis is appropriate for any pattern of regular
or irregular income.
In DCF analysis, an appraiser can discount each payment of income and
reversion separately and add all the present values together to get the present
value of the property being appraised.
The DCF formula treats the reversion as a cash flow that can be valued
separately from the income stream.
316
CONT…
Using this formula the estimated value of the property which generates
income might be:
NOI1 NO I2 NO I3 NOIn 1
PV .... NOIn 1 )
1 r 1 r 1 r
2
1 r r g ( 1 r
n
3
n
Wher
e represents the discounted reversion value (salvage
NO I n 1
1 n
r g 1 r
value)
(r-g) is the exist yield
“g” is the rate of inflation or growth rate
“r” is the discount rate/yield rate.
NOI is the net operating income of the
property444
“n” is the number of years
CONT…
Discounted cash flow analysis requires appraisers to follow certain
procedures to determine the net operating income from the potential gross
income of the property.
Estimate the potential gross income of the property
Project vacancy and collection loss
Deduct the vacancy and collection loss from the potential income and determine
the effective gross income of the property
Estimate the operating and maintenance expenses of the property
Deduct the operating and maintenance expenses from the effective gross income
of the property and find the net operating income of the property
Determine the time of reversion
318
CONT…
Typical forecast categories to be addressed in DCF analysis include:
Current market rental rates and expected rate changes
Existing base rants and contractual base rents
Renewal options
Existing and anticipated expenses recovery provisions
Tenant turnover
Re-leasing assumptions including new lease terms, vacancy and
collection loss, existing lease expiration
Operating expenses
Net operating income
Reversion
Discount rate
319
CONT…
Example 1:
• Suppose a property to be appraised is expected to produce a first-year net
operating income of 100,000 birr, which is expected to increase at 3
percent per year over a six-year holding period. At the end of the holding
period, it is anticipated that the property can be sold for 1,000,000 birr net
of sales expenses. The appropriate yield rate for this investment is
concluded to be 13 percent. Determine the market value of the property
using DCF technique.
320
CONT…
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6
321
CONT… …..
Example 2:
• Suppose that the initial rent for a commercial property is 20 birr/square
meter per year. If the gross building area is 24,000 square meter, the net
leasable area is 20,000 square meter, the vacancy and collection loss is 6%
of PGI and if operating and maintenance(O&M) expenses are initially
estimated to be 4.10 birr/square meter per year. Forecast the NOI of each
year for a 10- year holding period. Knowing that the opportunity cost of
capital is 10% and the rate of inflation is 2% what would be the market
value of the property?
322
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Net leasable area 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000 20,000
Rent / sq.m 20.0 20.4 20.8 21.2 21.6 22.1 22.5 23.0 23.4 23.9 24.4
PGI 400000 408000 416160 424483432973 441632 450465 459474 468664 478037 487598
Vacancy rate 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
Vacancy loss 24000 24480 24970 25469 25978 26498 27028 27568 28120 28682 29256
EGI 376000 383520 391190 399014406994 415134 423437 431906 440544 449355 458342
O&M /sq.m 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0
O&M per sq.m 82000 83640 85313 87019 88759 90535 92345 94192 96076 97998 99958
NOI 294000 299880 305878 311995318235 324600 331092 337714 344468 351357 358384
Discounted NOI 267273 247835 229810 213097197599 183228 169902 157546 146088 135463
Total
Discounted NOI 1,947,841
Discounted
resale value 1,727,159
324
Advantage and Disadvantage of Yield Capitalization
(DCF Analysis)
Advantage
• It is forward looking rather than historical results.
• It is relying on the fundamental expectations of the business or asset
• It focuses on cash flow generation and less affected by accounting practices
• It allows different components of a property to be valued separately
• It permits any or all of those variables to change over time
• It considers the time value of money that involves the various types of risks.
452
Disadvantage
• Since it is an attempt to estimate intrinsic value, it requires far more
inputs and information than other valuation approaches
• If future cash flows are not accurately predicted, this method cannot be
applicable.
• The discount rate assumption relies on the market for competing
investments at the time of analysis, which would likely change, over
time.
• Straight line assumptions about income increasing over certain years are
generally based upon historic increase in market rent but never factors
the cyclical nature of many real estate markets
• Terminal value usually represents larger percentage of the total DCF
valuation.
453
Unit 7
Reconciliation of Value Indication and
Reporting Appraisal
7.1 Introduction
The appraisal process typically involves three approaches to value.
Each approach may have one or more methodologies that are utilized in estimating the value
of a property. They may produce different value for a single subject property.
In a perfect world, all the methods used would result in the same
value.
Unfortunately, given the property valuation, it is inevitable that each methodology will
generate a unique value estimate that differs from the other methodologies.
Thus, appraisers should resolve the difference among value indicators and end up with a
single or a range of values
54 .
456
330
LaSu abay
• Is the same physical condition assumed in making
adjustments to rent comparables, expense comparables, and
sales comparables in the income and sales comparison
approaches?
• Are the results of all the approaches consistent with the
appraiser's conclusion of highest and best use?
• Do the indications derived from the approaches applied
reflect the same defined value?
• Reviewing an appraisal helps us to ensure its
Accuracy
Consistency, and
The logic leading to the value indications
• An appraiser relies more on professional experience and
judgment in reconciliation than in any other part of the
valuation process.
459
Reconciliation Criteria
In theory, the different valuation approaches and methods used
should produce a relatively narrow range of value indications. This
is not always the case. Value indications may be divergent.
The following are reconciliation criteria with which an appraiser
forms a meaningful final value opinion:
Appropriateness
Accuracy and
Quantity of evidences
Quantity of Evidences
When using any generally accepted approach to value,
the quantity of data used should be adequate to provide
reasonable support for the value indicator.
336
337
469 .
470
342
471
472
.
346
347
349
479
480
These are:
Introduction,
Premises of the appraisal,
Presentation of data, and
Analysis of data and conclusions
482
356
357