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Team Foxtrot
Risk Profile

1
Emmanuel Nicholas James Labuen Destianto Hendrawan

in Mirajul Hossain Manisha Banik

Jakarta 24th November,

2023

Copyright © Generlytical. All rights.

Preamble
Area
660.98 km2

Population
11,249,000

Density & LU
17,172 people/km² References
LU:https://livingatlas.arcgis.com/landcoverexplorer/#mapCenter=106.844%2C-6.17%2C13&mode= https://www.researchgate.net/figure/a-Map-of-Indonesia-b-Jakarta-is-loc
step&timeExtent=2017%2C2022&month=9&renderingRule=0&landCover=Trees&year=2022 d-on-Java-island-which-is-the-densest-island_fig2_349496072

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jakarta_metropolitan_area
Flood Hazard in Jakarta
Medan

Manado

1996
Jakarta PAPUA

2013
Natural Reason
Excessive Rainfall
2002
Human Induced
Land Use
Drainage Congestion
Sea Level Rise
2014 2007 River Flood Urban Flood
2020 Coastal Flood
 Flood in 2007
Let’s set 400 km2
the new
creative strategy City Inundation

Page
4
Day Duration
2 February–12 February 2007
The Daily Universe Greatest in last Three Centuries
A wonderful serenity has taken
possession of my entire soul, Cause: Heavy rain & Clogged Waterways with Debris
like I am alone.

589mm
Reference 30 Jan – 2 Feb
https://www.researchgate.net/figure/Map-of-Jakarta-after-the-flood-disaster-in-2007-
Copyright © Generlytical. All rights.
Source-United-Nations-Department-of_fig1_332099709
Jan Mastumoto, 2015,Torrential rains in the Indonesian capital city of Jakarta
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_Jakarta_flood

Flood in 2013
Let’s set >400 km2
the new
creative strategy City Inundation

Page
5
Day Duration
Wikipedia 15 January–23 January 2013
A wonderful serenity has taken
Cause: Heavy rain & Waterways Clogged with Garbage, Collapsing of Jakarta’s
possession of my entire soul,
West Flood Canal dike
like I am alone.

629mm
Reference January
https://reliefweb.int/map/indonesia/indonesia-jakarta-flood-17-january-2013
Copyright © Generlytical. All rights.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_Jakarta_flood
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013_Jakarta_flood

Flood in 2020
Let’s set 156 km2
the new
creative strategy City Inundation

Page
water levels reached 30 to 200 cm

397,000 residents had

6
been evacuated to higher
grounds

Wikipedia 1 January 2020

A wonderful serenity has taken
Cause: Heavy rain & Ciliwung and Cisadane rivers to overflow
possession of my entire soul,
like I am alone.

Reference
381 mm
Tito Latif Indra, Yusya Reinof Razzaqi and Septyandy Muhammad Rizqy, 2021, Jan 1
Appraisal of Flood Prone Area Management Using Artificial Intelligence
Methods in Jakarta Basin, Indonesia Copyright © Generlytical. All rights.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Jakarta_floods
 SUMMARY OF EXPOSURE

Year Fatalities House Damage Displaced Economic Loss

2007 80 People 1500 houses

(ResearchGate)
422 300 people USD 695 million
(Wikipedia) (ResearchGate) (ResearchGate)

Affected 97,000
2013 47 People homes & 250,000 20,000 people USD 490 million
(Wikipedia) Wikipedia) (The World Bank 2016)
people
(ReliefWeb 2013)

2020 66 People
Wikipedia)
1,600 houses
(ReliefWeb 2020) 60,000 people
(Wikipedia)
USD 64.3 million
(FairPlanet, September 17, 2023)

Reference
https://reliefweb.int/map/indonesia/indonesia-jakarta-flood-17-january-2013
M P Tambunan, 2017, The pattern of spatial flood disaster region in DKI Jakarta
 VULNERABILITY
Impact Tangible Intangible
Direct Govt./Public Building Physical Well-Being

Business Phycological Trauma

Infrastructure
Settlement
Indirect Electrical Supply Migration/Relocation
Public and Government
Disruption Hotel Indonesia roundabout
Buildings: Presidential (2013)
Traffic Interruption Learning delay
Palace, Parliament (2013)

Page
Business interruption CEO
buildings

8
Kampung Melayu sub-district Tebet sub-district, South Slum settlements near Rescue operations for
South Jakarta, 2007 Jakarta 2013 Ciliwung river residents, particularly
Copyright © Generlytical. All rights.
Settlements surrounding the Ciliwung River are severly flooded due to river children and elderly (2020)
 VULNERABILITY
Impact Tangible Intangible
Direct Govt./Public Building Physical Well-Being
Business Infrastructure Phycological Trauma
Settlement

Indirect Electrical Supply Migration/Relocation

Disruption
Traffic Interruption Learning delay Electrical supply was cut out by
Business authority to avoid short circuit, South

Page
interruption Jakarta (2022)

9
Traffic congestion due to Business practices in traditional market
urban flood, South Jakarta are©stopped
Copyright Generlytical. Alldue
rights. to urban flood (2020)

(2022)
 VULNERABILITY Diseases/illness caused by floods in 2020
Impact Tangible Intangible (Dengue, Leptospirosis, Pneumonia,
typhus)
Direct Govt./Public Building Physical Well-Being
Business Infrastructure Phycological
Trauma
Settlement

Indirect Electrical Supply Migration/Relocation

Disruption

Page
Traffic Interruption Learning delay
Business interruption
Stress and PTSD are major psychological

10
issue to Jakarta citizen who lost their job,
family member, and assets.

Copyright © Generlytical. All rights.

 VULNERABILITY Relocation is one of the
Impact Tangible Intangible government program to reduce
Direct Govt./Public Building Physical Well-Being casualties
Business Infrastructure Phycological Trauma
Settlement

Indirect Electrical Supply Migration/

Disruption Relocation
Traffic Interruption Learning delay

Page
Business interruption

Classes are cancelled due to flooded

11
Schools and Universities

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 WHY IS JAKARTA SINKING?

Segregation in water
supply system
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/20/3197

Population and Urban Over extraction of

Development ground water
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/14/20/3197

S O N:
REA an
Hum ed:
c
I n du
 WHY IS JAKARTA SINKING?

Jakarta Total Annual Rainfall from 2000 - 2020

3500.00

3000.00
Total Annual Rainfall (mm)

2500.00

2000.00

1500.00
Total Annual Rainfall

1000.00 Linear (Total Annual

Rainfall)

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500.00

0.00

13
00
01
02
03
05
06
07

08
09
10
11
12
13

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20
20
20
20
20

20
20
20
20
20
20

20
20
20
20
20
20
20
Year

Precipitation

https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-clim
Sea Level Rise
N:
ate/climate-change-global-sea-level

A S O
RE ate
C l i m
a n g e:
Ch Seal Level Rise

Copyright © Generlytical. All rights.

CONSEQUENCES

SUBSIDENCE FLOOD

https://www.re-thinkingthefuture.com/architectural-community/a9786-why-is-jakarta-sinking/#google_vign
ette
 RESPONSE
Shifting of Capital From
Flood Way Pumping Stations
Jakarta to Borneo

Portable Pump

Page
15
Sediment Extraction of
Man Made Reservoir Recharge Well Sea Walls
Rivers

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FUTURE TRENDS

https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/hrl/11/2/11_99/_pdf/-char/ja

IPCC CMIP5
Precipitatio https://y0gipamadya.medium.com/jakarta-floods-a-quick-view-76f40840c745
n prediction

John Doe
Project Name

https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/70041
1/climate-risk-country-profile-indonesia.pdf flood map jakarta 2050 - Search Images (bing.com)
CONCLUSIONS

Population size is increasing from 10.2 million to 12.7million

Increased population leads to higher demand of urban development
The future trend of annual precipitation is expected to be increasing
Extreme urban and river floods becoming more frequent
Segregation of water supply promotes over extraction of groundwater and is
expected to grow in future due to urban development
The land subsidence is projected to settle to 11-12cm/year due to over-extraction of
groundwater
Coastal flood would become a future problem due to global sea level rise, with
expected rise to be around 5-6mm/year
OPEN QUESTIONS
Looking at the future trend of urban development, precipitation, and sea level rise,
do the current measures sufficient for future challenges?
How correct is the decision of shifting the capital from Jakarta to Borneo? Does it
reduce future vulnerability from floods in Jakarta?
What will be the fate of Jakarta? Social/Commercial!!