Piloting An Optical Surveillance Technology For Landslide Monitoring in Rwanda

EARLY WARNING SYSTEM FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER IN RWANDA LANDSLIDE DRR
FAIR FORWARD – ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR ALL I GIZ-MINEMA-RSA-HESOTECH RWANDA 2030

2022
EARLY WARNING SYSTEM FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER

Understanding local demands, Co-designing people-centric system Advancing Early Warning-Early Action
FAIR FORWARD – ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR ALL Dr. Ange Felix NSANZIYERA
Local Scientific Expert, HESOTECH-GIZ 2022
Piloting an Optical Surveillance Technology for @ INES Ruhengeri
Landslide Monitoring in Rwanda

nfelix@ines.ac.rw I +250 787 715 706
19 September 2023
Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

2022
The land of a thousand hills
1. Advancing disaster risk reduction (DRR):

A technological approach
2. Investing in DRR for societal resilience
3. Rejuvenating multi-scale DRR strategies
khamarrul.kl@utm.my Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction
https://www.butterfield.com/get-inspired/facts-about-rwanda
2022
FAIR FORWARD – ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR ALL

Piloting an Optical Surveillance Technology for
Landslide Monitoring in Rwanda
One of seven (7) project outcomes is to develop a

concept on how to integrate technology into an early
warning system for incidents pertaining to landslides
in line with international standards develop and
discussed with stakeholders.
This project outcome supports the Work Package

(WP3) on Sustainability and Scaling Strategy towards
developing recommendations on how to integrate
system in early warning system landscape in Rwanda.

2022
END-TO-END EARLY WARNING SYSTEM

FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER IN RWANDA
A series of stakeholders meetings at national and local

level, multi-sectoral engagements, knowledge
transfer, international exchange view, technical visit,
site reconnaissance and field observation will be
jointly organized to support the multi-joint effort in co-
developing an integrated framework for end-to-end
early warning system for landslide disaster in Rwanda.

2022
Stakeholder Workshops & FGD session

- National level I 15 November 2022
- Local Level I 17 November 2022
1. World’s Disaster: At glance

2. From Risk to Resilience
3. MINEMA-GIZ-HESOTECH-RSA
4. Early Warning System (EWS):
New revolution & aspiration
5. Key Priorities for Action
6. Concluding remarks

2022
Understanding local needs and

urgent demands for multi-scale EWS

2022
Over the period considered, the overall estimate of all DRR investments
is about 8.5% of the national budget, comprising $24.3 million in
principal investments (0.9% of the budget) and $199.8 million in
significant investments (7.6% of the budget).
”Almost all DRR investments (98%) were targeted at pre-disaster

activities and less at post- disaster activities. The bulk of DRR
investments go to risk preparedness, which accounted for 86% on
average over the three years considered. “

2022
Systemic Risk & Landslide Disaster in Rwanda

26,338 square kilometres & Population of about 13.5 million people in
40 % Rwanda
-> 40 % of the areas are highly susceptible to landslides & geological risk.
53% (553 km) of paved national roads & 74 % (2003km) of district roads are susceptible to Total economic losses for damaged houses
39% (691km) of unpaved national roads due to landslides are 9.2 billion FRw
future landslide and geological risk
are vulnerable to landslides in Rwanda
“The number of recorded disasters has increased by a factor of five, driven in part by human-induced climate change and more extreme weather. This trend is expected to
continue. Early warning systems are a proven and effective climate adaptation measure, that save lives and money,” said Prof. Petteri Taalas, WMO Secretary-General.

2022
From monitoring to early warning

Five (5) themes for strengthening national-local EWS
1) Governance, 2) Disaster risk knowledge, 3) Detection, monitoring, analysis and

forecasting, 4) Dissemination and communication, and 5) Preparedness and response.

2022
Floods and landslides in Karongi, Western Province, Rwanda, May 2018. Photo:
Floods and landslides in Karongi, Western Province, Rwanda, May 2018.

LANDSLIDE DRR
RWANDA 2030
Co-design
Co-develop
Co-
implement
Photo: Rwanda Red cross

2022-2023 (1-
Rwanda Red cross

years)
2023-2025 (3-
years) Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction
2022
Towards exploring new insights into

co-developing a long-term strategic
action for multi-hazard impact-
based early warning system in
Rwanda, and addressing a multi-tier
digital platform to exchange
international best-practice and
share national areas of concern
particularly in mapping, monitoring,
modelling, early warning,
prevention, mitigation and risk
reduction strategy.
Ngororero 3 I Rwanda Environmental Management Authority

\
2022
Policy recommendation & intervention I Technical assessment & specification
1. developing a set of key recommended actions to co-design comprehensive early warning system in Rwanda
2.exploring a new insight into co-developing a scaling strategy for multi-hazard impact-based early warning system
towards strengthening national disaster risk management

\
MULTI-HAZARDS & DISASTER RISK
“Access to information is critical to successful disaster risk management. You cannot MANAGE what you cannot MEASURE”
– Wahlstrom, M., Former UN Special Representative of the Secretary-General for Disaster Risk Reduction
MAPPING – MONITORING – EARLY WARNING SYSTEM I EMERGING HAZARD I SYSTEMIC RISK I COMPOUND DISASTER
Landslides Drought Riverine floods

Rockfall Forest fire Dam-related floods
Soil erosion Land Flash floods
Land subsidenc Windstorm
degradatio e Typhoon
n
Earthquake
Debris flow
Mud flow
Source: https://www.nps.gov/subjects/geology/fluvial-landforms.htm
2022
Work package 3: Sustainability and scaling strategy
OUTCOME #6: Concept on how to integrate technology into an early

warning system for incidents pertaining to landslides in line with
international standards developed and discussed with stakeholders
Target G of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030,

a global blueprint for reducing global disaster risks and losses, which calls
on countries to “substantially increase the availability of and access to
multi-hazard early warning systems and disaster risk information and
assessments to people by 2030.” Enhancing early warning and early
action, especially for developing countries, is a key step to
creating a world with Zero Climate Disasters.

2022
First findings from DocuCam at Rambura on new landslides happened during night from 2nd to 3rd May 2023
Landslides and floods in Rwanda on the 2nd and 3rd May 2023, Rwanda was devastated by landslides and floods. This
catastrophic condition happed in Northern, Western, and Southern provinces of Rwanda According to Rwanda Meteorology
Agency, the rainy season is expected to be still heavy in the coming days.
Nyabihu district (Installation area of DocuCam) in Western province also

faced this catastrophe.
 According to the new times Rwanda (The New Times), around 130
deaths have been recorded country wide.
 A lot of home, schools, streets, and other infrastructures have been
destroyed.
 Among them there are 13 schools with 7 of them in Nyabihu district

2022
Figure 1: Source @RBA Figure 2:Musanze-Kigali road (rba Rwanda)
Figure 3: Rainfall from 22.04 to 03.05.2023

2022

2022
With the DocuCam technology combined with the

meteorological data and the adequate analysis;
 The landslide potential sitesshould be detected at
an early stage.
 Now the DocuCam sees the landslide when it is
already happened.
 We hope to be able to implement the Artificial
intelligence for landslide prediction to reduce all
those human and economic losses.

2022
Thank you !!
nfelix@ines.ac.rw

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EARLY WARNING SYSTEM FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER IN RWANDA LANDSLIDE DRR

FAIR FORWARD – ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR ALL I GIZ-MINEMA-RSA-HESOTECH RWANDA 2030

EARLY WARNING SYSTEM FOR LANDSLIDE DISASTER

Landslide Monitoring in Rwanda

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

The land of a thousand hills

1. Advancing disaster risk reduction (DRR):

FAIR FORWARD – ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE FOR ALL

One of seven (7) project outcomes is to develop a

This project outcome supports the Work Package

khamarrul.kl@utm.my Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

END-TO-END EARLY WARNING SYSTEM

A series of stakeholders meetings at national and local

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Stakeholder Workshops & FGD session

1. World’s Disaster: At glance

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Understanding local needs and

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

”Almost all DRR investments (98%) were targeted at pre-disaster

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Systemic Risk & Landslide Disaster in Rwanda

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

From monitoring to early warning

1) Governance, 2) Disaster risk knowledge, 3) Detection, monitoring, analysis and

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Floods and landslides in Karongi, Western Province, Rwanda, May 2018.

Photo: Rwanda Red cross

Rwanda Red cross

Towards exploring new insights into

khamarrul.kl@utm.my Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Policy recommendation & intervention I Technical assessment & specification

khamarrul.kl@utm.my Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Landslides Drought Riverine floods

Work package 3: Sustainability and scaling strategy

OUTCOME #6: Concept on how to integrate technology into an early

Target G of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030,

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Nyabihu district (Installation area of DocuCam) in Western province also

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Figure 1: Source @RBA Figure 2:Musanze-Kigali road (rba Rwanda)

Figure 3: Rainfall from 22.04 to 03.05.2023

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

With the DocuCam technology combined with the

Disaster Intelligence - Community Resilience – Risk Reduction

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