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CH 6 Day1 Global Trade AP 2013
CH 6 Day1 Global Trade AP 2013
that
matters, not absolute advantage.
Nations should specialize and
trade based on absolute
advantage.
David Ricardo
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0
1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2007 2008
Globalization increases U.S. income by $1.8 trillion a year,
year
or $10,000 per household. Or, without globalization,
Americans would be poorer by $1.8 trillion a year.
14 million iPads were
$677
sold in the U.S. last
$700
year, but because
they were made in $600
China, were counted $498
$500
as imports.
imports $381
$696 $498
$764
$381
Exports Imports
Chemicals $94.1 Petroleum $331.0
Consumer Durables 70.9 Automobiles 133.8
Agricultural Products 77.6 Household Appliances112.1
Semiconductors 50.2 Computers 104.0
Computers 42.9 Metals 115.7
Generating Equipment 41.5 Clothing 86.3
Automobiles 43.6 Consumer Electronics 94.7
Aircraft 48.6 Generating Equipment 55.0
Medical equipment 32.0 Semiconductors 37.1
Telecommunications 25.6 Telecommunications 25.8
Electrical machinery 83.2 Aircraft 34.4
Fuels and lubricants 47.7 Chemicals 56.2
The U.S. and World Trade
U.S. Exports & Imports of Goods, 2007
Exports to:
to Value (Billions of Dollars)
Imports from:
from Value (Billions of Dollars)
Industrial Countries $819
Developing Countries 1,146
Total $1,965
Most of our imports come from developing countries.
* You can make a good argument for these.
• *1. National Defense Argument:
Argument certain industries should
remain based in our country, especially if they manufacture
items vital to our defense.
defense Items this argument have been
used for include: pens,
pens pottery,
pottery peanuts,
peanuts papers,
papers candles,
candles
thumbtacks,
thumbtacks tuna fishing,
fishing and pencils.
pencils
• *2. Infant Industry Argument:
Argument new industries must be
protected from older, established foreign competitors until they
are mature enough to compete.
compete However, removing
protection is almost impossible.
• 3. Dumping Argument:
Argument domestic industries need to be
protected from foreign dumping. Dumping is the sale of goods
abroad at a price below their cost and therefore undersell
domestic competitors to put them out of business; obtain
monopoly power and raise their prices.
• 4. Foreign–Export–Subsidies Argument:
Argument Some
governments subsidize the firms that export goods.
goods Firms
say that this forces them to compete with both the firm and the
government in question.
• 5. Low Foreign Wages Argument:
Argument A country’s low
wage advantage may be offset by its productivity
disadvantage.
disadvantage High wages means high productivity.
Low wages mean low productivity.
Some recent minimum wages in other countries:
China Italy
UK
Korea
Russia
Japan Brazil
FR. Ger.
Rest World
U.S. manufacturing is not dying. It is at an all time high.
high We are
making more than twice as much today as we were in the 70s.
However we’ve gone from 19 million manufacturing jobs to 11
million because of increasing productivity or building the
same amount of stuff with fewer workers.
workers Where will they go?
High tech employs millions compared to almost none 50 years ago.
So, we are building twice as much with fewer workers.
workers That
trend will continue and then some. Health care. Clean energy. And
fields we can’t imagine yet. For instance, in 1900, 44% of jobs
were in agriculture.
agriculture Tremendous improvements in farm
productivity pushed that number to 2.2% today.
today Those who once
would have plowed fields now work at curing cancer,
cancer building
roads, etc. We don’t want those farm jobs back.
So, all of you who thought U.S. manufacturing was dead
“TAKE That!!!”
1. How many domestic jobs in the firms that produce
good X are being saved because of the tariff?
2. How much do consumers have to pay in higher
prices to save those jobs?
Suppose Joe Export lives & works in the U.S. making dancing
clock radios. He produces and sells 12,000 clock radios per year
at a price of $40 each.
each There is no international trade.
One day the U.S. market is opened to dancing clock radios
from Japan. The Japanese manufacturers have a comparative
advantage and sell them for $25 each. Joe can not compete at
this price. His sales drop to such a degree that he goes out of
business. International trade has harmed him but helped
American consumers because they save $180,000.
Industry Yearly Loss Employment Annual Cost
To Economy Loss If Barriers Per Job
From Barriers Were Removed Saved
Textiles $15,850 billion 71,639 $221,258
Dairy Products 1,630 million 2,378 685,233
This is a “negative-sum
game.”
*The more you pay for protected goods, the less you have to use to
buy other goods. The less consumers.
have to buy other goods, then
fewer jobs will be created by the market.
In the last few years, tariffs have preserved 3,500 steel
jobs; by contrast tariffs have cost steel users
between 12,000 and 43,000 jobs due to higher prices.
Point: If we trade freely with low wage countries,
U.S. businesses will flee to those countries and U.S.
wages will plummet.
2009 2010
Deficit in goods $501 Deficit in goods $646
Surplus in services $135 Surplus in services $149
$381 $488
U.S. Export of Services [X=$543 B; M=$394 B in 09[ [+149B]
500 million visit the U.S. every year bringing in $70 billion.
billion Foreign
visitors buy tourism “exports”, such as hotel rooms, airline fares
and consumer goods.
goods
Kentucky
Watching Americancolleges
movieswelcome 5,018 foreign
& TV programs students
[foreign sales
who for
accounted contribute
about half$85 million
of the to the state’s
film industry’s economy.revenue.
$5 B box-office
Hiring American investment bankers, bankers engineers,
engineers consulting fees,
royalty payments, accounts, architects, advertising agencies and even
lawyers38[they
U.S. earned
schools $20have 65 branches in 34 countries.
billion].
billion
UsingTheAmerican
U.S. hashospitals
more great or attending
collegesU.S.
thanschools.
the restAbout
schools of 3% of
all college
the students are foreigners. Tuition-paying foreign students pay
world combined.
about $18 billion a year on tuition, housing, & consumer goods. goods
About 700,000 foreign college students attend American colleges.
Texas attracted the 3rd largest # of foreign students with 38,000
who provide $615 million net spending to the Texas economy. economy
India leads with 104,000;
104,000 China is next with 98,000;
98,000 S. Korea has
75,000;
Texasand55%
75,000
In Texas, Canada has 30,000;
30,000 &master’s
of engineering Japan – 29,000;
degreesUSC-
29,000 go 7,500.
USC 7,500
to
CCCC has 630 foreign students. 1/3 of Richland’s are foreign;
foreigners.
foreigners
2,000
Over 50% of the PH.D.s in mathematics go to
at UTD out of 15,000. They make up 25% of grad students &
“nonresident
5% of undergrads.aliens”.
undergrads 1/3Also, 75%sci
of U.S. ofand
engineering PH.D.s&go
eng doctorates 40%to of
foreigners.
foreigners
PHD’s in comp sci go to foreigners. “Begging at the gates of world’s best”
276 365
200 249
180
180 230
160
160
140
163
140 120
120
120 100
100
80 83
60
80 50
40 49 36
60 92 20 39
Canada Germany UK Korea France
China Mexico Japan Taiwan
40
0 61
Deficit
of 48 49
IMPORTS
20 $273 39
32 29 27 26
Germany UK
Canada China Mexico Japan Korea Netherlands Singapore France Taiwan
0
EXPORTS
http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/statistics/highlights/top/index.html
Country Imports from Exports to
Australia Beef Airplanes
Aluminum Computers
Autos Auto parts
Pontiac Firebird
Chevrolet Camaro and Impala
Ford Fusion
Mercury Capri
Chrysler 300
1957 Chrysler 300
Toyota Camry and Tundra – U.S.A. (California and Texas)
Honda Accord and Honda Odyssey Minivan – U.S.A. (Ohio)
BMWX4 Roadster and BMWX5 SUV – U.S.A. (South Carolina)
Mercedes-Benz-M-Class – U.S.A. (Alabama)
Toyota Corolla – U.S.A. (California)
Subaru Legacy – U.S.A. (Indiana) Foreign nameplates
Nissan Maxima– U.S.A. (Tennessee) were made in the U.S.
Hyundai Elantra– U.S.A. (Alabama)
Ford Escort
Video Equipment
TV sets
Toys
Photo equipment
Roasted coffee
Audio equipment
Dishes & flatware
Women’s outerwear
Men’s shirts/sweaters
Film & photo sup.
Girls’ apparel
Men’s footwear
New cars
Women’s dresses
More-traded Products Rice
Five-year price change (percent) HH laundry equip.
Less-traded Products
Buy D-FW
BUY
Buy “D”
[If we consumed only the goods & services we produced,
we would toil long hours but remain dirt poor]
Japan – “Land of the $30 pizzas, $30 lipstick, $50
melons, $100 jeans and $4,500 two-bedroom apts.”
Japan has been a closed economy [fewer choices, higher
prices]
prices
The Japanese paid $28 billion
Item N.Y. Tokyo per year in higher prices for
Shock Absorbers $228 $605 rice because they would not
Alternator $120 $600 buy from U.S. rice farmers.
Watermelon $5 $50
Japanese consumers pay
Cup of coffee $1 $7
$600,000 in higher prices
Cab to airport $30 $200 for each job protected.
Stamp .44 .79
Gallon of gasoline $3.00 $7.00
Newspaper 1.50 $2.00
Movie Ticket $14 $20
We have 550 cars per 1,000;
1,000 Japan has only 240 per 1000 inhabitants.
Japanese cameras are more expensive in Tokyo than in New York. In Tokyo,
you have to have a sizable inheritance to be able to afford a house. Japan
has had a decade-long economic tailspin, even with interest rates less than 1%.
[Selected Nations]
The 8 largest export nations account for 46% of world exports.
Percentage Share of World Exports, 2009
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
China
Germany
U.S.
Japan Principal U.S. exports include
Netherlands chemicals, agricultural products,
France consumer durables, aircraft, and
Italy semiconductors.
Belgium
So, China & Germany are the leading export nations but the
U.S. is the leading export and import [or trade]nation.
Source: World Trade Organization
The U.S. trade deficit with China in 2009 was $273 B. Wal-Mart
bought $20 B from China in 2010 & is their 8th largest trade partner.
$56
billion
In
goods
from
U.S.
to
China
More than 60 billion cans of cat FDA ordered recall after a poisonous 675,000 Barbie
and dog food were recalled. ingredient was found in toothpaste. doll accessories
The U.S. trade
deficit with
China in 2010
was $273 billion.
X to China $92 B
M from China $365 B
The US buys far
more from
(IMPORTS) than it
sells (EXPORTS) to
China - the US
claims this is because
China has kept its
currency artificially
weak. In fact trade
with China accounts
for 14.3% of all US
trade - the States
only does more trade
with Canada.
Feb 2011
Apple’s I phone… $1.9 billion trade deficit
Export Goods & Services make
up about 12% of American GDP
Exports have more than
Doubled as a percent
of GDP since 1975 When I
was
born!
$498 billion trade
deficit in 2010
Write these into your notes!!!
Babe Ruth was the best hitter and pitcher on
his team. He had been the best pitcher in the
American League for several years, winning 94
Hank Aaron had over 2,500 more at-bats than the Babe. Hitting a homerun every 10-11
games and losing only 46. 46 He could produce
at-bats, the Babe would have had over 200 more homeruns, somewhere around “950”.
the same amount of home runs as any teammate
with fewer at bats.
bats
The problem was that if he pitched, he would bat
fewer times because pitchers need rest after pitching.
The Babe had helped the Red Sox win the pennant in 1915, 1916, & 1918. 1918 He
had pitched 29 scoreless innings in the world series. As a pitcher for the Red
Sox in 1918 & 1919, he hit 40 of the Red Sox 46 home runs.
runs
After being sold to the Yankees in 1920,
1920 the coaches decided that the Babe
had a comparative advantage in hitting.
hitting A few pitchers on the team could pitch
almost as well as the Babe, but not one could touch the his hitting. In terms of
opportunity costs, the Yankees would lose fewer games if the Babe specialized
in hitting. So – the Babe ended up hitting 714 home runs even though he spent
seven years as a pitcher. And the Red Sox don’t win again – until 2004.2004
Output v. Input Comparative and Absolute Advantage
Rabbit Wabbit Wabbit
Rabbit
1G=3B 1G=2B 1B=3G 1B=2G
1/3 G=1B Rabbit Wabbit 1/2 G=1B 1/3 B=1G Rabbit Wabbit 1/2 B=1G
Terms of Trade: 1G = 2.5 B Terms of Trade: 1B = 2.5 G
Product Market [outputs] Resource Market [inputs]
Country Guns Butter Country Guns Butter
Rabbit 40 units 120 units Rabbit 40 hours 120 hours
Wabbit 20 units 40 units Wabbit 20 hours 40 hours
What country has an absolute What country has an absolute
advantage in guns? Rabbit advantage in guns?Wabbit
I Can do 42
push-ups.
60
“We can
produce 40
tons of corn.”
40
“We can produce 60 tons of corn, so - we have
an absolute advantage because we can
produce more corn with the same resources.
OR we could produce 50 tons of Wheat with
those same resources. We are Absolutely
better at corn, and COMPARED to you
we should do corn and you should do
wheat
60
“We can produce 40 tons of corn or we could
50 grow 50 tons of wheat with the same resources.”
Maybe we should do wheat? Because
COMPARED to you, we are better at wheat
and not as good at corn!
40
50
Country Comparative advantage due to natural resources &
climate
United States Wheat, corn, and cereals
Canada Timber
Saudi Arabia Oil
France Wine
Brazil Coffee
Israel Oranges and grapefruit
Mexico Tomatoes
Comparative Advantage and differences in opportunity
costs are the basis foradvantage
Comparative specialized production
largely and capital,
due to physical trade.
Country human capital, and scientific knowledge
United States Aircraft, computers, industrial chemicals, plastics, & chemicals
Japan Automobiles, steel, electronics
Germany Machine tools, scientific instruments, luxury automobiles
United Kingdom Financial services
Taiwan Textiles
Switzerland Watches
South Korea Ships
• Should Wisconsin grow oranges?
• Should Florida make cheese?
• No & No! [We don’t want the Florida cheese heads]
– Wisconsin should specialize in cheese
– Florida should specialize in orange production
– Then trade cheese for oranges Florida
– More cheese and oranges for everyone! Cheeseheads
• Disadvantages:
– Job losses among dairy farmers in Florida
– Job losses among orange growers in Wisconsin
• Advantages:
- Jobgains among dairy farmers in WI and job gains
among orange growers in FL more than make up for the
other job losses.
- Trade is beneficial for both states as a whole …
… though not for all residents.
80 PPC – before trade &
specialization– prisoners of
their own PPC’s and CPC’s
Before trade, I’m a prisoner of my own PPC.
F
PPC
I
S 40
CPC
[Consumption Possibilities Curve]
H
F
PPC
I
S 45
CPC
[Consumption Possibilities Curve]
H
Fish
50
my own PPC.” 45 only on my PPC.” 5 fish
1 Shrimp = __
40
World CC
1 Shrimp=__
5 Fish
oShrimp
10
20 0 7.5 9
Shrimp15 18
1__
/5 Shrimp=1 Fish
Separately they could have 90/15 or 80/20- together they can have 90/20!
Bubba and Tom are better together- they can SHARE!
“Do what you do best
& trade for the rest.”
Bubba should catch fish
and Tom should catch
Shrimp and share
Trade Allows Nations to Consume Beyond Their PPCs
While Producing On It
100 We are suspending reality.
CPC (after trade)
80 CPC (before trade)
PPC (before & after trade)
10 shrimp & 50 fish
50 11 shrimp and 45 fish
FISH
0 10 20
Shrimp
Comparative and Absolute Advantage
[Comparative Advantage can produce at a lower productive opportunity
cost]
Haiti’s DCC Cuba’s DCC
= __
1B costs 4 C 100
Haiti Cuba 1B = __ C6
90 costs
__
1/4 B = 1C 80 __ B
1/6= 1C
Terms of Trade
Coffee
Coffee
50
my own PPC.” 45 only on my PPC.” 5 coffees
1 bread = __
40
World CC
1 Bread=__
5 Coffees
o Bread
10
20 0 7.5 9
Bread 15 18
1__
/5 Bread=1 Coffee
“Export” what it can produce at a lower relative price and “import” goods it can buy at a lower relative price.
Absolute Advantage - more efficient, can produce more with “Do what you do best
the same number of inputs [who can produce absolutely more] & trade for the rest.”
30
Brazil’s DCC Brazil Chile Chile’s DCC
1W= costs__
4 S 20 1W= __
costs 2S
¼ = 1S
___W 12 ½
___W = 1S
15
Steel
Steel Terms of Trade
10
6 3 Steels
1 Wheat= ___
1.5 2 3 4
0 Wheat 0 5 10 World CC
Wheat
1 Wheat = __
3 Steels
__ Wheat = 1 Steel
1/3
Bread
___H
1/14 = 1B ___
1/10 H = 1B
Bread
Terms of Trade
0 Ham 5 0 Ham 4 1 Ham = __
12 Bread
Terms of Trade
4 Plums
1 Grape = __
11. In Wuzzy,
Wuzzy the opportunity cost of 1 grape is (1/2/3/4/5) plums.
12. Fuzzy has a comparative advantage in & should produce (plums/grapes).
13. The terms of trade will be 1 grape for somewhere between (3&5/2&6) plums.
14. Assume that if Fuzzy did not specialize it would produce combo “C” and if Wuzzy
did not specialize it would produce combo “ B”. The gains from specialization
and trade are: (0/100/150) plums and (0/100/150) grapes.
Plums: They were making 900(c) and 2500(b) separately- so a total
of 3,400 plums working separately… but if we let Wuzzy focus
completely on plums… (while fuzzy is making grapes) there will be
3,500! So that is 100 extra… to share! (and 150 extra grapes)
2.5 pork [10x1/4]
Froggy A B C D E DCC: Froggy Woggy A B C D E DCC: Woggy
Pork(tons) 4 3 2 1 0 1P = __ 5B Pork(tons) 8 6 4 2 0 1P = __ 3B
Beans(tons) 0 5 10 15 20 1/5__ P = 1B Beans(tons) 0 6 12 18 24 1/3
__ P = 1B
8 beans [2x4]
Terms of Trade
4 Beans
1 Pork = __
15. Production in both countries is subject to (increasing/constant)
opportunity cost.
cost
16. If these 2 nations specialize in accordance with comparative advantage,
advantage
Froggy will produce (pork/beans) & Woggy will produce (pork/beans).
17. In Froggy,
Froggy the opportunity cost of 1 pork is (1/5 or 5 or 3) beans’
18. Assume that prior to specialization & trade, Froggy produced combo “C” and
Woggy produced “B”.“B” If these 2 nations now specialize according to comparative
advantage,
advantage the total gains will be (4/2/0) tons of beans & (4/2/0) ton(s) of pork.
19. Feasible terms of trade would be (1/6/4) ton of pork for (1/6/4) tons of beans.
beans
50 Fish [10x5]
Piggy A B C D E DCC: Piggy Wiggy A B C D E DCC: Wiggy
Fish 4 F
80 60 40 20 0 1C = __ Fish 240 180 120 60 0 1C = __F 6
Chips 1/4 C = 1F
0 5 10 15 20 __ Chips
Chip 0 10 20 30 40 __ 1/6C = 1F
12 chips [60x1/5]
Terms of Trade
5 Fish
1 Chip = __
20. (Piggy/Wiggy) has an absolute advantage in both fish & chips. chips
21. For Wiggy,
Wiggy the opportunity cost of producing 1 ton of chips
is (1/4/6) tons of fish.
22. Wiggy should specialize(export)
specialize in (fish/chips) and import (fish/chips).
23. Before specialization and trade Piggy chose combo “C” and Wiggy chose “B”. “B”
After specialization, the gains from trade were (20/40/60) tons of fish and
(0/10/20) tons of chips.
chips
24. If trade occurs, Doggy will export (soup/peanuts) and import (soup/peanuts).
Woggy will export (soup/peanuts) and import (soup/peanuts).
25. For Doggy,
Doggy the opportunity cost of 1 soup is (1/2/3) peanuts.
For Woggy,
Woggy the opportunity cost of 1 soup is (1/2/3) peanuts.
26. Prior to specialization, Doggy & Woggy chose combination “C”.
Now each specializes according to comparative advantage.
advantage The gains
from trade will be (0/20/40) units of soup & (0/20/40) units of peanuts.
peanuts
Djibouti DCC: Djibouti Canada DCC: Canada
Fish 10 hours 1W costs 2 Fish 20 hours
= __F 1 W costs
= __ 3F
Wheat 20 hours ___
1/2 W=1F Wheat 60 hours 1/3 = 1F
___W
Terms of Trade:
1 Wheat = 2
__
.5 Fish
27. (Djibouti/Canada) has an absolute advantage in both commodities.
(Djibouti/Canada) has a comparative advantage in producing wheat.
28. (Djibouti/Canada) has an absolute disadvantage in both,
both but a
comparative advantage in fish.
fish
29. Advantageous trade can occur between the two when
1 wheat is exchanged for (1/2.5/3) fish.
Terms of Trade
3 Wheats
1 Caviar = __
Product
Market
And with inputs (hours),
hours the smaller number indicates absolute
advantage;
advantage that country is more efficient because it can produce
a good absolutely faster than the other with the same inputs.
Resource
Market
2nd Most Missed Question On 95 AP Exam [26% correct]
Country Food Clothing
Ducky 20 hours 50 hours
Ducky Wucky 10 hours 20 hours Wucky
a. Ducky has a comparative advantage in the production
of both food and clothing.
b. Wucky has a comparative advantage in the production
of both food and clothing.
c. Ducky has a comparative advantage in food production, &
Wucky has a comparative advantage in clothing production.
d. Ducky has a comparative advantage in clothing production,
& Wucky has a comparative advantage in food production.
e. Neither country has a comparative advantage in the
production of either good.
Country Food Clothing
Ducky 20 hrs 50 hrs 1C = 2.5F; .4C = 1F
Wucky 10 hrs 20 hrs 1C = 2F; .5C = 1F