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The chapters of Stats Year 1 could be broadly organised as follows:

Experimental Chp2: Measures of Chp3: Representation


i.e. Dealing with collected data.
Location/Spread of Data
Chp1: Data Collection Statistics used to summarise Producing and interpreting
data, including mean, visual representations of
Methods of sampling, types standard deviation, quartiles, data, including box plots and
of data, and populations vs percentiles. Use of linear histograms.
samples. interpolation for estimating
medians/quartiles. Chp4: Correlation
Measuring how related two
variables are, and using linear
Theoretical regression to predict values.
Deal with probabilities and modelling to make inferences about what we ‘expect’ to see or make
predictions, often using this to reason about/contrast with experimentally collected data.

Chp5: Probability Chp6: Statistical Chp7: Hypothesis


Venn Diagrams, mutually Distributions Testing
exclusive + independent Common distributions used to Determining how likely
events, tree diagrams. easily find probabilities under observed data would have
certain modelling conditions, happened ‘by chance’, and
e.g. binomial distribution. making subsequent deductions.
The chapters of Stats Year 1 could be broadly organised as follows:

Experimental Chp2: Measures of Chp3: Representation


i.e. Dealing with collected data.
Location/Spread of Data
Chp1: Data Collection Statistics used to summarise Producing and interpreting
data, including mean, visual representations of
Methods of sampling, types standard deviation, quartiles, data, including box plots and
of data, and populations vs percentiles. Use of linear histograms.
samples. interpolation for estimating
medians/quartiles. Chp4: Correlation
Measuring how related two
variables are, and using linear
Theoretical regression to predict values.
Deal with probabilities and modelling to make inferences about what we ‘expect’ to see or make
predictions, often using this to reason about/contrast with experimentally collected data.

Chp5: Probability Chp6: Statistical Chp7: Hypothesis


Venn Diagrams, mutually Distributions Testing
exclusive + independent Common distributions used to Determining how likely
events, tree diagrams. easily find probabilities under observed data would have
certain modelling conditions, happened ‘by chance’, and
e.g. binomial distribution. making subsequent deductions.
This Chapter Overview

1:: Populations vs samples 2:: Random Sampling


“Suggest why we would not Describe the disadvantages
test all the light bulbs.” of systematic sampling.
“Identify the sampling frame.”

4:: Types of data


Continuous vs discrete, terms
such as class intervals, class
3:: Non-Random Sampling boundaries, class width.
Describe how a stratified
sample would be conducted,
including strata sizes. 5:: Edexcel’s ‘Large Data Set’
What you’re expected to know
about the ‘large data set’ of
weather data, and how to use it.
Populations and samples
Population

Sample

!
A population is: the whole set of items that are of ?
interest.
A sample is: ? to represent the population.
some subset of the population intended

Examples – all the days in July covering Camborne, Hurn, Heathrow, Leeming and Leuchars
Populations and samples
Population

Sample

!
A population is: the whole set of items that are of ?
interest.
A sample is: ? to represent the population.
some subset of the population intended

Examples – all the days in July covering Camborne, Hurn, Heathrow, Leeming and Leuchars
- those days in Perth, Beijing and Jacksonville when daily mean windspeed
is above 10 knots (sample)
Populations and samples
Population

Sample

!
A population is: the whole set of items that are of ?
interest.
A sample is: ? to represent the population.
some subset of the population intended

Examples – all the days in July covering Camborne, Hurn, Heathrow, Leeming and Leuchars
- those days in Perth, Beijing and Jacksonville when daily mean windspeed
is above 10 knots
- all the data from the large data set covering months May to October
in 1987 and 2015
Populations and samples
Population

Sample

!
A population is: the whole set of items that are of ?
interest.
A sample is: ? to represent the population.
some subset of the population intended
Sampling key terms
Population

Sample

! Each individual thing


in the population that can ! Often sampling units of a
be sampled is known as a population are individually named or
sampling unit. numbered to form a list called the
sampling frame.
Populations vs Samples
We could collect data either from a sample, or from the entire population.
Data collected from the entire population is known as a census.?

Advantages Disadvantages
Census Should give completely • Time consuming and expensive.
accurate result. • Can not be used when testing involves destruction.
? • Large volume of data to?process.
Sample • Cheaper. • Data may not be accurate.
• Quicker. • Data may not be large enough to represent small
• Less data?to process. sub-groups. ?

Example: A supermarket wants to test a delivery of avocados for ripeness by cutting them in half.
a. Suggest a reason why the supermarket should not test all the avocados in the delivery.
b. The supermarket tests a sample of 5 avocados and finds that 4 of them are ripe. They estimate
that 80% of the avocados in the deliver are ripe. Suggest one way that the supermarket could
improve their estimate.

a Testing the avocados destroys them?(and thus can’t be sold).

b Use a larger sample size (as this would be better estimate of


the proportion of ripe avocados).
?
Exercise 1A
Pearson Statistics & Mechanics Year 1/AS
Page 3
Types of Sampling
Let’s try this approach…..needs to be LARGE!!!

Type How to carry out Advantages Disadvantages

Simple Random
Sampling
Random Sampling

Systematic
Sampling

Stratified
Sampling

Quota
Non-Random

Sampling

Opportunity
Sampling
Random Sampling
Population

Ordinarily, we would want each thing in our sampling frame to have


an equal chance of being chosen, in order to avoid bias.

This is known as random sampling.


There are a few ways of doing this…
To carry out random sampling you need a list or sampling frame
of the whole population …

and a random number generator


Simple Random Sampling
Type How to carry out Advantages Disadvantages
What is it : • Bias free. • Not suitable when
Every sample has an • Easy and cheap to population size is

selected.
?
equal chance of being

implement.
Each number has a •
large.
Sampling frame
known equal chance needed.
Method: of being selected.
Simple Random
Sampling
In sampling frame each
item has identifying
? ?
number. Use random
?
number generator, or
‘lottery sampling’
(names in a hat).

Explain how you would obtain a random sample of 12 days from Leuchars
from May 1987
Systematic Sampling
Type How to carry out Advantages Disadvantages
What is it : • Simple and quick to • Sampling frame
Required elements are use. again needed.
chosen at regular • Suitable for large • Can introduce bias
intervals in ordered list. samples/ if sampling frame
populations. not random.
i.e. Take every kth
Systematic
Sampling
elements where:
? ? ?
starting at random item
between 1 and .

Mr Mundy wants to generate a systematic sample of 10 days from June 1987


in Leeming. Explain how he would do this.
Stratified Sampling
Population
We want to sample
20% of the population.
If the population were
divided into distinct
groups (e.g. age
ranges), known as
‘strata’, we could
randomly sample 20%
from each group,
ensuring each group is
equally represented.

Type How to carry out Advantages Disadvantages


What is it : • Reflects population • Population must be
Population divided into structure. clearly classified
groups (strata) and a simple
• Guarantees into distinct strata.
random sample carried out
in each group. proportional • Selection within
representation of each stratum suffers
Stratified Same proportion sampled groups within from same
Sampling ?
from each strata. ?
population. ?
disadvantages as
simple random
Used when sample is large
sampling.
and population naturally
divides into groups.
Example Question
Edexcel S3 Jan 2006 Q1
A school has 15 classes and a sixth form. In each class there are 30 students. In the sixth form there
are 150 students. There are equal numbers of boys and girls in each class. There are equal numbers
of boys and girls in the sixth form. The head teacher wishes to obtain the opinions of the students
about school uniforms. Explain how the head teacher would take a stratified sample of size 40. (7)

You would
certainly want
to know your
? mark scheme
on this one!
Exercise 1B
Pearson Statistics & Mechanics Year 1/AS
Pages 6-7
Non-Random Sampling

For this scenario we’d likely use quota sampling, i.e.


1. As with stratified sampling, divide population into groups according to characteristic of interest,
then determine size of each group in sample to reflect proportions within the population.
2. But instead of random sampling within each group, we actively choose people within each
group via suitable means (e.g. advertising), until the ‘quota’ for each group is filled.

A variant of this is opportunity sampling, where we find people at the same time the survey is being
carried out (e.g. exit polls at polling stations). This is not a suitable method for the left-handed example,
because giving the likely time-consuming nature of assessment coupled with resources required, we’d
likely arrange with the people taking part before the actual assessment tasks took place.
Non-Random Sampling

We do not have a sampling frame /list of the fish

For this scenario we’d likely use quota sampling, i.e.


1. As with stratified sampling, divide population into groups according to characteristic of interest,
then determine size of each group in sample to reflect proportions within the population.
2. But instead of random sampling within each group, we actively choose people within each
group via suitable means (e.g. advertising), until the ‘quota’ for each group is filled.

A variant of this is opportunity sampling, where we find people at the same time the survey is being
carried out (e.g. exit polls at polling stations). This is not a suitable method for the left-handed example,
because giving the likely time-consuming nature of assessment coupled with resources required, we’d
likely arrange with the people taking part before the actual assessment tasks took place.
Non-Random Sampling

We do not have a sampling frame /list of the fish


For this scenario we’d likely use quota sampling, i.e.
1. As with stratified sampling, divide population into groups according to characteristic of interest,
then determine size of each group in sample to reflect proportions within the population.
2. But instead of random sampling within each group, we actively choose people within each
group via suitable means (eg picking them out of the river), until the ‘quota’ for each group is
filled.

A variant of this is opportunity sampling, where we find people at the same time the survey is being
carried out (e.g. exit polls at polling stations). This is not a suitable method for the left-handed example,
because giving the likely time-consuming nature of assessment coupled with resources required, we’d
likely arrange with the people taking part before the actual assessment tasks took place.
For this scenario we’d likely use quota sampling, i.e.
1. As with stratified sampling, divide population into groups according to characteristic of interest,
then determine size of each group in sample to reflect proportions within the population.
2. But instead of random sampling within each group, we actively choose people within each
group via suitable means (eg picking them out of the river), until the ‘quota’ for each group is
filled.
Non-Random Sampling
Consider the following scenario: You wish to
conduct a survey in the UK on whether being
left-handed affects IQ. We need to choose
people to assess.

Why would random sampling be


problematic?
Because we don’t know the sampling frame,
i.e. don’t have a list of?all left-handed (and
non-left-handed) people in the UK.

For this scenario we’d likely use quota sampling, i.e.


1. As with stratified sampling, divide population into groups according to characteristic of interest,
then determine size of each group in sample to reflect proportions within the population.
2. But instead of random sampling within each group, we actively choose people within each
group via suitable means (eg picking them out of the river), until the ‘quota’ for each group is
filled.
A variant of this is opportunity sampling

We find people at the same time the survey is being carried out (e.g. exit polls at polling stations).

Picture a bloke on a high street looking for someone to ask…who is most likely
to speak to him?
How could opportunity/convenience sampling be used in this example?
Quota & Opportunity Sampling
Type How to carry out Advantages Disadvantages
What is it : • Allows small sample • Non-random
Population divided into to still be sampling can
groups according to representative of introduce bias.
characteristic. A quota population. • Population must be
of items/people in each • No sampling frame divided into groups,
group is set to try and required. which can be costly
Quota reflect the group’s • Quick, easy, or inaccurate.
Sampling proportion in the whole inexpensive. • Increasing scope of
population. Interviewer • Allows for easy study increases
selects the actual comparison number of groups,
sampling units. between different adding
groups in time/expense.
population. • Non-responses are
not recorded.

Sample taken from • Easy to carry out. • Unlikely to provide a


people who are • Inexpensive. representative
available at time of sample.
study, who meet • Highly dependent
Opportunity/
criteria. on individual
Convenience researcher.
Sampling

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