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Economic Trends of Pakistan

over last 5 Years

PRESENTER: Abbas Zulqurnain, PMS


INSTRUCTOR: Zoune Arif, Instructor (P)
30TH PSMG, MPDD, LAHORE
Definitions 2

 Economy
Economy of PAKISTAN 3

Pakistan’s real GDP growth is estimated to have declined from 1.9 percent in FY19 to -1.5 percent in
FY201
The economy of Pakistan like other economies has a diverse structure with three main sectors -
agriculture, industry and services. The agriculture sector, as mentioned earlier, grew by 2.67 percent.
The crops sector has witnessed positive growth of 2.98 percent during FY2020 mainly due to positive
growth of 2.90 percent in important crops.
Manufacturing and Mining declined by 5.4 percent during
Fiscal Development fiscal deficit has substantially reduced to 4.0 percent of GDP during July-March
5 years Comparison
5 years Statistics
2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20

GDP Growth Rate 5.5 5.6 5.8 1.0 -0.38

Agriculture 0.2 2.2 4.0 0.6 2.7

Manufacturing 2.9 3.4 4.3 -0.9 -0.1

Services 5.7 6.5 6.3 3.8 -0.6

Unemployment 6.0 6.0 5.7 4.45 5.5

Inflation 3.7 5.4 5.4 12.7 11.2

International Reserves (USD 20.9 18.7 12.4 10.2 19.5


B)
Exports (Growth%) -8.8 0.1 12.6 -2.1 1.4

Imports (Growth%) -0.6 16.7 16.0 -6.8 -16.2

Remittances Growth% 6.4 -2.8 2.9 9.2 6.0


TRENDS OF LAST 5 YEARS 5
ISSUES/BOTTLENECKS 6

 Low Tax To GDP Ratio


 Poor Savings Rate
 Minimal Export Growth
 Negligible Value Addition
 Loose Monetary Policy
 Rising Inflation, Low Pace Of Job Opportunities
 Overvalued Exchange Rate
 Increased Public Debt And Depleted International Reserves
 Twin Deficits
 The Fiscal And The Current Account
MEASUERS TAKEN 7

 To Control The Price Hike


 Checking Hoarding, Smuggling And Undue Profiteering
 to check inflationary impact, borrowing from SBP has been discontinued
 To Control Poverty
 Ehsaas program, BISP, Sehat Sahulat program
 Unemployment
 KamyabJawan Program
 Naya Pakistan Housing Program
 Ten Billion Tree Tsunami
WAY FORWARD 8

 Industrial Relocation under CPEC-IC to cater for non-Chinese companies as well


 Incentivizing in SEZs
 Fast tracking of CPEC Projects
 5G deployment be expedited to enable the industrial cooperation in technology
 Building IT and security capacity
 Revisiting priority sectors for investment
 Diaspora investment certificates to solicit funds into quality projects;
CONCLUSION 9

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