PSUnit I Lesson 2 Constructing Probability Distributions

You might also like

Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
Download as pptx, pdf, or txt
You are on page 1of 13

CONSTRUCTING PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

Lesson Objectives

At the end of this lesson, you are expected to:

• illustrate a probability distribution for a


discrete random variable and its properties;
• compute probabilities corresponding to a
given random variable; and
• construct the probability mass function of a
discrete random variable and its
corresponding histogram.
DISCRETE PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
A discrete probability distribution consists of the
values a random variable can assume and the
corresponding probabilities.
Example: If two coins are tossed, the possible
outcomes are HH, HT, TH, or TT. If X is the
random variable for the number of head,
Possible Value of the No Heads One Head Two Heads
outcomes random
variable X 1/4 2/4 or 1/2 1/4
(number of
heads)
Number of
HH 2 0 1 2
Heads, X
HT 1 Probability
1/4 1/2 1/4
P(X)
TH 1
TT 0
Example 1: Construct a probability distribution
for rolling a single die.
Sample space (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)
Each outcome has a probability of

Outcome,
X 1 2 3 4 5 6
P(X)
Properties of Discrete Probability
Distribution

1. Each probability P(X) must be between or


equal to 0 and 1; that is 0 ≤ P(x)≤ 1.
2. The sum of all the probabilities is 1. P(X) = 1
Number of
Heads, X 0 1 2
Probability
P(X) 1/4 1/2 1/4

P(X) = 1/4 + 1/2 + 1/4 = 1


Example 2: Determine whether the distributions
is a discrete probability distribution.
0 ≤ P(x)≤ 1 P(X) = 1
a)
X 3 6 8
P(X) -0.3 0.6 0.7
b)
X 1 2 3 4 5
P(X) 3/10 1/10 1/10 2/10 3/10
Example 3: Suppose three coins are tossed. Let Y
be a random variable representing the number of
tails. Construct the probability distribution and
draw the histogram.
Possible Value of a
Outcomes random
variable Y
(number of
tails) Numb
er of 0 1 2 3
HHH 0 tail, Y
HHT 1
Proba
HTH 1 bility, 1/8 3/8 3/8 1/8
HTT 2 P(Y)
THH 1
THT 2
TTH 2
TTT 3
Histogram
Example 4: Box A and Box B contain 1, 2, 3, 4. Write the
probability mass function and draw the histogram of the
sum when one number from each box is taken at a time,
with replacement.
Exercise 1 Determine whether the distribution represents
a probability distribution. Explain your answer.
Exercise 2 Construct the probability distribution for the random
variables described in each of the following situations. Draw the
corresponding histogram for each probability distribution.

Four coins are tossed. Let Z be the random variable


representing the number of heads that occur. Find the values
of the random variable Z.
Summary

A discrete probability distribution or a


probability mass function consists of the
values a random variable can assume and the
corresponding probabilities of the values.
Summary
Properties of a Probability Distribution
– The probability of each value of the random
variable must be between or equal to 0 and 1. In
symbol, we write it as 0 ≤ P(X) ≤ 1.

– The sum of the probabilities of all values of the


random variable must be equal to 1. In symbol,
we write it as ∑P(X) = 1.

You might also like