Outline

● Introduction
● Literature Survey
● Problem Identification
● Problem Statement
● Scope
● Goals and Objectives
● Methodology
● Contribution to the Society
● References
Introduction
 The machine learning and predictive analytics for crime rates in the countries like India

 The safety and security of a country are a very important part of its growth and economic
development, crime prediction will decrease economic loss and increase public safety in exchange
 Crime analysis tasks can usually be a lengthy process for the police or investigative team, and it is
not new that the crime occurrence in developing country like India.
 Crime forecasting refers to the basic process of predicting crime rate in a given particular region.

 A method to build a system for finding crime future patterns and help the law enforcer to solve the
crime occurrence, which lead to reduce its rate in the real-world.
 Machine learning algorithms are chosen for their capability to model complex relationships between
crime rates and a wide range of features.
Literature Survey
Title and year of Methodology Merits Demerits
project
Title: Crime Detection This research focuses on the Minimize the Inaccurate or
Techniques Using data classification of clustered prediction error. incomplete data can
Mining and K-Means, crimes based unique years. lead to misleading
Chetan G. Wadhai Utilizing statistics mining Grouping similar results and
Year:2018 strategies for analysis, crime patterns over predictions.
research, and they different time periods.
implemented a theoretical More time consuming
model to actual crime process.
datasets recorded by police in
England and Wales from 1990
to 2011.
Title: Crime Prediction The algorithms representing It can handle multi- Dataset is not
using KNN, Vrushali different approaches pattern- class classification enhanced.
Pednekar based learning, regression, problems.
Year: 2018 and decision trees—are used. computationally
The data set from UK police It can handle high- expensive, especially
includes more than 6,000 dimensional data. for large datasets.
records before it is processed.
Literature Survey
Title and year of Methodology Merits Demerits
project

Title: Crime Rate Linear regression Predict the kind of crime The model has the data
Prediction and Analysis , algorithm to predict the which can also show up of limited crime.
G. Nani Babu percentage of the crime in future.
Year: 2020 rate in the future by Not suitable for the large
using the previous data predicts the correct end amount of the crime
information.The date is result. data.
given as an input to the
algorithm and the output
isthe percentage .

Title: Empirical Analysis This comprehensive can handle multi-class The overall system will
for Crime Prediction and approach to leveraging classification problems, now not expect the time,
Forecasting Using machine learning and effective in high slow to train and predict.
Machine Learning and time series analysis dimensional spaces.
Deep Learning contributes to advancing Not perform well on very
Techniques the accuracy and Used different large datasets.
Year: 2021 effectiveness of crime Dataset.
forecasting and
Problem Identification.

The challenge lies in accurately predicting crime rates using machine learning, and collecting the
datasets from the police stations. Factors such as incomplete or biased data, and privacy concerns.

Date of Interaction Details

Officer Name : Swathi A (Sub Inspector) Criminal Dataset is highly confidential

Date : 7 November 2023 and cannot be shared with public.

Officer Name : Basavaraj (Head Constable)
Date : 21 November 2023
The challenge they are facing is to
maintain large amount of data with
different crimes and suggested us to
collect the data from open
sources(Internet).
Problem Statement

The project addresses challenges is to analyze historical crime data along with socio-
economic, demographic, and environmental factors to accurately predict and identify
potential high-risk areas and periods for various types of criminal activities. The goal is
to provide law enforcement agencies and policymakers with a reliable tool that assists in
proactive resource allocation, targeted interventions, and strategic planning for crime
prevention, ultimately contributing to enhancing public safety and reducing criminal
incidents in the community.
Scope.

• Resource Allocation About Crime Hotspots Areas.

• Crime Prevention

• Real Estate and Business Decisions

• Enhanced Public Safety

Goals & Objectives

User will be able to enter the selected states of India, and the trained model will extract the relevant
data and calculate the crime rate for the provided states. This interactive feature enables users to obtain
real-time or periodic crime rate predictions to their specific area of interest, empowering them with
valuable information to make informed decisions about safety and other related matters in the selected
states.

OBJECTIVES :
• To collect and store the relevant datasets.
• To select the model.
• To train the model.
• To evaluation and validation.
Methodology
METHODOLOGIES :

• Methodology of objective-1: Collect comprehensive crime data released by the national crime
records bureau, including historical crimes, types of crimes, locations and split the data to train
the model.
• Methodology of objective-2: Evaluate various machine learning algorithms and models, such
as regression models, decision trees, random forests, and neural networks. Choose the most
suitable model based on performance metrics like accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score.

• Methodology of objective-3: Train the chosen model on the training data, tuning hyper
parameters as necessary. Experiment with different algorithms to optimize model performance.

• Methodology of objective-4: Assess the model's performance using appropriate evaluation

metrics, considering the specific goals of the crime rate prediction.Validate the model on unseen
data to confirm its generalization capability.
Methodology
A sample picture of dataset used for references :
Contribution to the society
● It helps law enforcement allocate resources more efficiently. By identifying high-risk
areas and times, police can strategically deploy personnel to deter crime or respond
more effectively to potential incidents.

● Communicating insights from predictive models to the public can increase awareness
about crime patterns and encourage community engagement in crime prevention efforts.

● Community safety by enabling authorities to anticipate and address potential crime

hotspots. This proactive approach contributes to making communities safer and more
secure.

● While not a direct solution, effective predictive models can contribute to reducing
overall crime rates by enabling authorities to take preventive measures and allocate
resources efficiently.
References
[1] “Crime Detection Techniques Using Data Mining and K-Means” Khushabu A.Bokde, Tisksha P.
Kakade, Dnyanes hwari S. Tumsare, Chetan G. Wadhai(2018)

[2] “Crime Prediction using KNN and Data Mining ” Vrushali Pednekar, Trupti Mahale,
Pratiksha Gadhave and Arti Gore (IJRITCC-2018)

[3] “Crime Rate Prediction and Analysis ” Akash Kumar, Aniket

Verma, G. Nani Babu and Yash Sukhdeve (2020)
[4] “Empirical Analysis for Crime Prediction and Forecasting Using Machine Learning and
Deep Learning Techniques” Wajiha Safat, Sohail Asghar, Saira Andleeb Gillani (IEEE-2021)