Professional Documents
Culture Documents
MetAeronautica Curs14 Thunderstorms
MetAeronautica Curs14 Thunderstorms
MetAeronautica Curs14 Thunderstorms
*The so-called triggers or lifting forces are: Convection, Orographic uplift, Convergence, Frontal uplift
Air Mass Type Thunderstorms
They are:
• isolated - all triggers except frontal.
• most frequent over land in summer.
• usually formed by day, clear by night.
• formed in cols or weak lows.
Initial stage.
• Several small Cu combine to form a large Cu
cell about 5 NM across.
• There are strong upcurrents of 1000 to 2000
fpm (exceptionally 6000 fpm).
• Air from the sides and below is drawn in to
replace the lifted air, thus causing turbulence.
• The initial stage lasts about 15 to 20 minutes.
Squall line
Forecasting
• Forecasting the occurrence of thunderstorms will be largely a matter
of assembling the conditions necessary for the formation and the
triggers. A combination of these two groups will indicate the
probability of thunderstorms. Satellite photography and computer
modelling are used to predict this occurrence.
Forecasting Supercell Thunderstorms
(Severe Local Storms)
Initial Stage
• Conditions necessary to initiate
these thunderstorms are:
• Great depth of instability
• Strong vertical wind shear
• Stable layer between warm
(lower) and cool (upper) air
which is eventually broken down
by insolation. Conditions for supercell thunderstorm
Forecasting Supercell Thunderstorms
(Severe Local Storms)
Mature Stage
• Characteristics of the mature stage are:
• Very strong up and downdraughts produced in the one large (super) cell give rise to
violent weather and even tornadoes (an average of 33 tornadoes per year have
occurred in Britain over recent years reminding us that they are not a phenomena
restricted to the USA.)
• The mature stage may last several hours.
Movement
• In the Northern Hemisphere movement is usually about 20° to the right of the
18,000 ft (500 hPa).
Location
• Supercell thunderstorms are more common over continental land masses than over
maritime areas. Thunderstorms over the mid-west states of the USA producing
tornadoes are good examples.
Avoidance
The CAA has produced recommended avoidance distances when using
weather radar.
It should be noted that the significance of a radar return of given
intensity usually increases with altitude. The principle underlying use of
airborne weather radar is that strong up currents (which will support
strong turbulence) will support large water droplets, which will show a
stronger radar return.
The next diagram shows a display that can be found on a typical
/generic EFIS display.
Avoidance
Cb cloud signal
and thunderstorm
Thunderstorm Hazards
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards
Turbulence:
• It can be violent both within cloud and at their sides.
• Below the cloud, turbulence can be dangerous during take-off and
landing and there can be wind shear.
• It is possible for a pilot to overstress the airframe in these conditions.
• Loose articles being thrown about inside the aircraft cabin can injure
passengers.
• Pressure instruments can be in error due to lag.
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards
Hail:
• It can be met at any height in the cloud, also below the cloud and
below the anvil.
• Severe skin damage to the airframe can occur when the hail is large.
• Damaging hail can occur up to a height of 45 000 feet.
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards
Icing:
• This can occur at all heights in the cloud where the temperature is
between 0°C and -45°C. Heavy concentrations of droplets and large
droplet size result in severe clear icing.
• Carburettor icing can occur at temperatures between -10°C and +30°C
and it can be particularly severe between -2°C and +15°C.
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards
Lightning and the main effects of a lightning strike:
• is most likely to occur within about 5000 ft of the freezing level;
• temperature between +10°C and -10°C;
• temporary blindness of the pilots;
• minor airframe damage;
• magnetic compasses may be seriously affected (errors of 10s of
degrees have been recorded) and their information should be used
with caution until they can be checked;
• disruption to electrical equipment.
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards
Static:
• This causes interference on radio equipment in the LF, MF, HF and VHF
frequencies.
• St Elmo’s fire can be caused by static and it results in purple rings of light around
the nose, wing tips and propellers.
• This is not a hazard, but it indicates that the air is electrically charged and
lightning is probable.
Pressure variations:
• Local pressure variations covering only a very small region, in or close to, a storm
can occur causing QFE/QNH to be in error, so that altimeter readings can be
inaccurate by as much as ±1000’ at all heights.
• These, together with gust effects, can cause height errors at low level which can
be dangerous.
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards
Microbursts:
• These are down currents in the cloud which also move outwards by reaction from
the ground, having speeds considerably in excess of 1000 feet per minute
downwards (up to 6000 fpm) and 50 kt horizontally.
• The windshear (headwind to tailwind) may be between 50 & 90 kt.
• They are largely caused by descending raindrops which cool the surrounding air by
evaporation, the higher density accelerating the downdraught still further.
• They are concentrated in a burst which is up to 4 km in horizontal length and have a
lifetime of less than 5 minutes. (A macroburst is a similar event but over a bigger
area.)
• Microbursts are most likely to occur in summer air mass thunderstorms in low
latitude regions where surface conditions are dry. They cause extreme turbulence
and severe windshear conditions.
• A warning sign is virga, which is streaks of precipitation from below the cloud which
do not reach the ground.
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards
Water ingestion:
• If updraught speed approaches or exceeds the terminal velocity of the falling
raindrops, the resulting high concentrations of water can exceed the design limits for
water ingestion in some turbine engines. The result can be engine flame-out and/or
engine structural failure.
• Water ingestion may also affect pitot heads, even though heaters have been
switched on.
Tornadoes:
• Tornadoes are exclusively associated with CB and large CU clouds.
• They usually occur as a result of vertical windshear with warm moist air at low
altitude and cool dry air coming from a different direction at high altitude.
• They are very powerful whirlwinds with small horizontal extent and very low
pressure in the centre.
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards
• The highest incidence is in the southern states of the USA (tornado alley) in the
spring and early summer when very warm air from the Gulf of Mexico, moving
north, meets relatively cold air coming from the northwest. This gives massive
instability and the windshear required.
• These tornadoes may have rotational speeds in excess of 200 kt (~100 mps or
360kmph) and diameters up to 1 km.
• Fortunately in Europe we do not have such volatile conditions.
• Typically the maximum diameter of a tornado will be 100 to 150 m, but most are
considerably smaller than this.
• They are most likely to be associated with air mass thunderstorms in the summer
months and usually occur in the afternoon. When they occur over the sea they
appear as water spouts
Summary of Thunderstorm Hazards