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CHAPTER 5: LESSON 3

Simple Linear Regression


Analysis

De Lara, Kim Brylee


Raqueno, Leonah Jean
Objectives
 Identify dependent and independent variables
 Calculate the coefficient of determination
 Calculate and interpret the slope and intercept of the
regression line
 Predict the values of the dependent variable from the values
of the independent variable
Simple linear regression analyses coming from linear correlation
analysis make use of the coefficient of determination, It is the
percent variation in the dependent variable which is explained by
all independent variables put together. It tells how much of the
variance in the values of one variable can be explained by the
value on another variable. The value of anges from 0 to 1, which
means it is always positive. It is obtained by simply taking the
square of the correlation coefficient.
Simple Linear Regression Analysis
 It seeks to develop an equation that will predict the future
values of the dependent variable from the values of the
independent variables. In simple linear regression
analysis, only one dependent and one independent
variable are involved, hence the term “simple.”
Regression Line
The regression line or prediction line is drawn on the scatter plot. It is given by
Where: redicted value of the independent variable
a= intercept of the regression line
x= value of the independent variable
b= slope of the regression line

Note that before simple linear regression is done, a linear relationship between two variables must
be guaranteed.
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00
FEB 4.5 5.50
MAR 5.75 4.00
APR 6.25 5.00
MAY 4.0 3.75
JUNE 4.75 4.50
JULY 6.25 8.00
AUG 5.50 6.60
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50
MAR 5.75 4.00
APR 6.25 5.00
MAY 4.0 3.75
JUNE 4.75 4.50
JULY 6.25 8.00
AUG 5.50 6.60
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00
APR 6.25 5.00
MAY 4.0 3.75
JUNE 4.75 4.50
JULY 6.25 8.00
AUG 5.50 6.60
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00
MAY 4.0 3.75
JUNE 4.75 4.50
JULY 6.25 8.00
AUG 5.50 6.60
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75
JUNE 4.75 4.50
JULY 6.25 8.00
AUG 5.50 6.60
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50
JULY 6.25 8.00
AUG 5.50 6.60
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00
AUG 5.50 6.60
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00 50.00 39.0625 64.00
AUG 5.50 6.60
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00 50.00 39.0625 64.00
AUG 5.50 6.60 36.30 30.25 43.56
SEPT 5.0 4.95
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00 50.00 39.0625 64.00
AUG 5.50 6.60 36.30 30.25 43.56
SEPT 5.0 4.95 24.75 25.00 24.5025
OCT 4.50 3.90
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00 50.00 39.0625 64.00
AUG 5.50 6.60 36.30 30.25 43.56
SEPT 5.0 4.95 24.75 25.00 24.5025
OCT 4.50 3.90 17.55 20.25 15.21
NOV 4.50 4.60
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00 50.00 39.0625 64.00
AUG 5.50 6.60 36.30 30.25 43.56
SEPT 5.0 4.95 24.75 25.00 24.5025
OCT 4.50 3.90 17.55 20.25 15.21
NOV 4.50 4.60 20.70 20.25 21.16
DEC 5.25 6.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00 50.00 39.0625 64.00
AUG 5.50 6.60 36.30 30.25 43.56
SEPT 5.0 4.95 24.75 25.00 24.5025
OCT 4.50 3.90 17.55 20.25 15.21
NOV 4.50 4.60 20.70 20.25 21.16
DEC 5.25 6.00 31.50 27.5625 36.00
TOTAL
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00
MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625
JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00 50.00 39.0625 64.00
AUG 5.50 6.60 36.30 30.25 43.56
SEPT 5.0 4.95 24.75 25.00 24.5025
OCT 4.50 3.90 17.55 20.25 15.21
NOV 4.50 4.60 20.70 20.25 21.16
DEC 5.25 6.00 31.50 27.5625 36.00
TOTAL 62.25 62.8 322.175 329.3125 345.995
To illustrate, refer to the number of hours on the lathe machine and the income per month of a year. It
was already establish that there is a positive relationship between the two variables. Therefore, a
regression line can be develop for the bivariate data.
MONTH X Y XY
2
JAN 6.0 6.00 36.00 36.00 36.00 𝛴 𝑌 𝛴 𝑋 − 𝛴 𝑋 𝛴 𝑋𝑌
𝑎=
𝑛 ∑ 𝑋 2 − (∑ 𝑋 )
2
FEB 4.5 5.50 24.75 20.25 30.25
MAR 5.75 4.00 23.00 33.0625 16.00 ( 62.8 ) ( 329.3125)−(62.25)( 62.8)
¿
APR 6.25 5.00 31.25 39.0625 25.00 12 ( 329.3125 ) −( 62.25)
2

MAY 4.0 3.75 15.00 16.00 14.0625 1.001


JUNE 4.75 4.50 21.375 22.5625 20.25
JULY 6.25 8.00 50.00 39.0625 64.00 𝑏= 𝑛 𝛴 𝑋𝑌 − 𝛴 𝑋 𝛴 𝑌
2 2
AUG 5.50 6.60 36.30 30.25 43.56 𝑛𝛴 𝑋 −(𝛴 𝑋)
SEPT 5.0 4.95 24.75 25.00 24.5025 12 ( 332.175 ) −( 62.25)(62.8)
¿
OCT 4.50 3.90 17.55 20.25 15.21 12 ( 329.3125 ) −( 62.25)2
NOV 4.50 4.60 20.70 20.25 21.16 0.038
DEC 5.25 6.00 31.50 27.5625 36.00
TOTAL 62.25 62.8 322.175 329.3125 345.995

Therefore, the regression line is


Therefore, there is a positive relationship between the number of hours on
the lathe machine and the income per month.
Since the correlation coefficient is 0.61, the coefficient of determination is 0.37. This
means that 37% of the income per month is explained by the number of hours on the
lathe machine. Furthermore, there are other factors (63%) which are needed to explain
the income per month of the fabrication shop.
THAT’S ALL, THANK YOU!

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