IDENTIFY THE POSSIBLE OUTCOME IN THE STATEMENT

1. A dog will lay egg.

A IMPOSSIBLE C EVEN CHANCE

B UNLIKELY D CERTAIN
2. If you dip your hand in water,
your hand will get wet.

A IMPOSSIBLE C EVEN CHANCE

B UNLIKELY D CERTAIN
3. The probability of getting a tail
in flipping a 1 Peso Coin.
A UNLIKELY C EVEN CHANCE

B LIKELY D CERTAIN
4. The probability of red in a four
color wheel spinner with colors
yellow, red, blue and green.
A UNLIKELY
UNLIKELY C EVEN CHANCE
B LIKELY D CERTAIN
5. The weather forecast shows a
75% rain.
A UNLIKELY C EVEN CHANCE

B LIKELY
LIKELY D CERTAIN
 Theoretical Probability
and
Experimental Probability
 LEARNING COMPETENCY:
Illustrates an experimental and theoretical probability
(M8GE-IVi-1)
- Define theoretical and experimental probability;
- Illustrate an experimental and theoretical probability;
- and appreciate the importance of knowing the experimental
and theoretical probability in real life situation.
THEORETICAL PROBABILITY
It allows you to calculate the chance of an event
before it actually happens.

Formula
 If we spin the wheel, what is the
Pink Blue
probability that it will land on blue?
Green Green
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
𝑃 ( 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ) =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
2
Green
𝑃 (𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑
Blue 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 )=
7
𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 ) = 0.29
Yellow

Theoretical Probability
 If we spin the wheel, what is the probability that
it will land on blue?
Pink Blue
𝑃 (𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 )=
0 . 22 8 5
Green
7 2 .0
Green 70 0
-01
10
20
Green
Blue

Yellow
Ans. 0.285
-1 4
5 10
Final Ans. = 0.29 60
-563 10
40
Theoretical Probability -35
5
 If we spin the wheel, what is the probability
that it will land on blue?
Blue 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
𝑃 ( 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ) =
Pink

Green Green
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
2
Green 𝑃 (𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 )=
Blue 7
Yellow
𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 ) = 0.29
𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 ) = 29 %

Theoretical Probability
 If we spin the wheel, what is the probability that
it will land on green?
Pink Blue
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
𝑃 ( 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ) =
Green Green 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
3
𝑃 (𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 )=
Green
7
𝑃 (𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑
Blue 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 )=0.43
𝑃 (𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 )=43 %
Yellow

Theoretical Probability
In Games:
All sports use probability
to know how likely a
team or person has
chances to win.
EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY
Doing an experiment to see what actually happens.
You can use experimental probability to help us predict
outcomes.

Formula
 If we spin the wheel 5 times, what is the
probability that it will land on blue?
Pink Blue

Green Green

Green
Blue

Experimental Probability
Yellow
 If we spin the wheel 5 times, what is
the probability that it will land on blue?
COLOR OUTCOME
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
BLUE ll 𝑃 ( 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ) =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠
GREEN l𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 ) = 2
5
PINK l 𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 ) = 0.4
YELLOW l 𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑏𝑙𝑢𝑒 ) = 40 %

Experimental Probability
 If we spin the wheel 5 times, what is
the probability that it will land on
COLOR OUTCOME green?
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
BLUE ll 𝑃 ( 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ) =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠
GREEN l 𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 )= 1
5
PINK l 𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 )= 0.2
YELLOW l 𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 )= 20 %

Experimental Probability
Lisa tossed a coin 8 times. The outcome/s are shown below. What is the
probability that it lands on H?

𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠

𝑃 ( 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ) =
Trial # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠
5
(
𝑃 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝐻 = )
8
Outcome H H T H T 𝑃
T H( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑
H 𝑜𝑛 𝐻 ) =0.63
𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝐻 ) =63 %

Experimental Probability
Weather forecasting
 If we spin the wheel, what is the probability that it
Pink Blue will land on yellow?
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑓𝑎𝑣𝑜𝑟𝑎𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
𝑃 ( 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ) =
Green Green
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑜𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑏𝑙𝑒 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
1
𝑃 (𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑦𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤 )=
Green
7
𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑
Blue 𝑜𝑛 𝑦𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤 ) =0.14
𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑦𝑒𝑙𝑙𝑜𝑤 ) =14 %
Yellow

Theoretical Probability
 If we spin the wheel 5 times, what is the
probability that it will land on green?
COLOR OUTCOME
𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑢𝑎𝑙 𝑜𝑢𝑡𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠
BLUE ll 𝑃 ( 𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑛𝑡 ) =
𝑡𝑜𝑡𝑎𝑙 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓1𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑙𝑠
GREEN l 𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 ) =
5
PINK l 𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 ) = 0.2
𝑃 ( 𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑜𝑛 𝑔𝑟𝑒𝑒𝑛 ) = 20 %
YELLOW l

Experimental Probability
What is Theoretical Probability?

It allows you to calculate the chance of an event

before it actually happens.

Formula
What is Experimental Probability?

Doing an experiment to see what actually

happens. You can use experimental probability to
help us predict outcomes.

Formula
On what instances is
Theoretical and Experimental
Probability applicable in our
life?
IDENTIFY THE POSSIBLE OUTCOME IN THE STATEMENT
1. The experimental probability that Jonah will
catch a fly ball is equal to 7/8. About what
percent of the time will Jonah catch a fly ball?

A 88% C 66%

B 55% D 77%
 2. What is the theoretical
probability of the spinner
landing on a 5?

𝟏 𝟏
A 𝟐
C 𝟓

𝟓 𝟏
B 𝟖 D𝟖
3. A coin is tossed 18 times. It lands
on heads 12 times. What is the experimental
probability of the coin landing on tails?
1 2
A 3 C3
2 1
B 5 D 2
 4. What is the probability
of spinning yellow?

1 1
A 12 C4

1 3
B 11 D4