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Bain ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrategy
Bain ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrategy
Bain ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrategy
September 2002
Copyright© 2001 Bain & Company, Inc.
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Agenda
Presentation materials
Additional Materials
-LP Overview
-Strategic Due Diligence Template
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 2
GXC
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ABC said they wanted a strategy session to
overcome common PE firm issues:
Environment: “An open atmosphere for meaningful discussion”
Content: “Consensus on who we are , what are our strengths and weaknesses
and where we are going”
“Size, scope and focus of ABC for the period ahead are critical issues”
“Understand how we are different from other groups and what ‘best
practices’ we could adopt
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Strategy Session Agenda
Monday Tuesday
9:00-9:30am Breakfast 7:30-8:00am Breakfast
9:30-9:45am Introduction – Review of Meeti 8:00-9:30am Deal Sourcing
ng Objectives
9:30-10:00am Break
9:45-11:00am Private Equity Landscape
10:00-1:00pm Split Sessions and Lunch
Partners: Internal Operations
11:00-12:30pm What makes ABC unique
ABC input
VPs:
- Deal Evaluation Tips
Midwest deal market - Resources of the firm
ABC Transactions - Roles for Professionals
Constituency Input
Comparisons to other funds
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Who is Bain?
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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We have assisted in over 2,000+ deals and
portfolio companies all stages
60 Consumer Consumer
Tech. &
Telecom
40 Technology
Technology and Telecom and Telecom Industrial
20
Industrial Industrial Finance
0
Due Diligence Portfolio Other
Strategy
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Who are we?
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Strategy Session Agenda
Monday Tuesday
9:00-9:30am Breakfast 7:30-8:00am Breakfast
9:30-9:45am Introduction – Review of Meeti 8:00-9:30am Deal Sourcing
ng Objectives
9:30-10:00am Break
9:45-11:00am Private Equity Landscape
10:00-1:00pm Split Sessions and Lunch
Partners: Internal Operations
11:00-12:30pm What makes ABC unique
ABC input
VPs:
- Deal Evaluation Tips
Midwest deal market - Resources of the firm
ABC Transactions - Roles for Professionals
Constituency Input
Comparisons to other funds
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
25-Feb-00
21-Apr-00
16-Jun-00
11-Aug-00
6-Oct-00
1-Dec-00
26-Jan-01
23-Mar-01
18-May-01
13-July-01
7-Sep-01
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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Consumption is declining rapidly
% change
20
10
GDP -
Durable
0 Goods
Consumption
-10
-20
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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US employment growth has slowed
% change
4%
1 US
employment
0 growth
-1
-2
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Consumer confidence is down after
reaching historic peaks
Consumer confidence index
(1985 = 100)
125
100
75
50
25
0
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Corporate earnings declining
$150B
$121.8B
100
$58.4B (52%)
50
0
2Q 2000 2Q 2001
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Moody’s:
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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High-yield debt market has evaporated
$80B
60
40
20
0
Q1-99
Q2-99
Q3-99
Q4-99
Q1-00
Q2-00
Q3-00
Q4-00
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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M&A activity down 55%
$2,000B
$1,531B
1,500
1,000
$674B
500
0
1H 2000 2H 2001
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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LBO transaction volume down 65%
$30B
$27.5B
$21.8B
20 $17.9B
10 $9.5B
$2.0B
0
H1-98 H1-99 H1-00 H1-01 Q3-01
(annualized)
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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80% PIPE investments have largely failed
20
22% Wipeouts
0
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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“The sky is falling!”
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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1980’s: exploding LBO activity
$80B
62.0
60
45.0 46.3
40 36.0
18.0 19.5
20
$40B
32
30 28 27
25
20
13 14
10 8
2 2 3
0
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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Price/earnings ratios increasing
S&P Industrials
Price/earnings ratio
20X
16
12
0
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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1980s: The leveraging of America
45
40
35
30
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Massive debt
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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1991 Bond defaults and business failures
Bond defaults Business failures
8 44
6 33
4 22
2 11
0 0
1989 1990 1991 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1
1990 1991
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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1990-91: Private equity takes a hiatus
40
20
0 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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Market Assessment - US Returns
Venture
50
40
Five Year NET IRR
30
20
Buyouts
10
0
'80 '81 '82 '83 '84 '85 '86 '87 '88 '89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 01
Year of Inception
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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LP cycle in a rising stock market
Investor portfolio
value increases
Investment in new PE
managers
% allocation to PE
requires more $ to
Increase % maintain
allocation to PE
PE fund distributions
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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Private equity allocations increasing
% mix % mix
Dollars
15% 14% $15B 6% 5.6%
13 $12B
11% 4.3%
10 10 4
8
$5B
5 5 2
0 0 0
1995 2000 1995 2000 1995 2000
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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Funding explodes again
CAGR
Private Equity Funding
(90-98) (98-00)
$150B
Other PE 37% 5%
100
Venture 24% 92%
capital
50
21% 14%
LBO
0
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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The number of LBO funds raised also rose
dramatically
Total funds raised
200
154
150
117
110 110 104
100 90
81
50
24 30
0
92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Growth of the Megafund
Five Funds 14 Funds 39 Funds
Late 80’s Early/Mid 90’s 1999
Kohlberg, Kravis, Forstmann, Little Kohlberg, Kravis, Clayton, Dubilier & Rice
Roberts & Co. Warburg Pincus Roberts Gilbert Global Equity
Kohlberg, Kravis, Warburg Pincus Hellman & Friedman
Forstmann, Little Roberts Forstmann, Little Kelso
Morgan Stanley Hicks, Muse, Tate & Charterhouse
Warburg, Pincus Furst
Goldman Sachs The Carlyle Group—
Hellman & Freidman Blackstone Domestic
Morgan Stanley
Clayton, Dubilier & Apollo Advisors Robert M. Bass
Rice Thomas H. Lee The Carlyle Group—
Lehman Brothers
Blackstone CVC Capital Partners Europe
Thomas H. Lee DLJ Cypress Group
Apollo Advisors Welsh, Carson Advent International
DLJ Goldman Sachs AEA Investors
Stonington Partners Texas Pacific Group Bessemer
Zell/Chilmark Cinven Golder, Thoma, Cressey
Cypress Group Doughty Hanson & Rauner
Silver Lake Joseph, Littlejohn & Levy
Lehman Brothers Leonard Green
Morgan Stanley Madison Dearborn
Capital Z Management Partners
Bain Capital Stonington Partners
Beacon Group Summit Partners
Zell/Chilmark
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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Leveraged buyout deal volume
Value of transactions
$80B
$63B
60
$41B $39B
40
$29B $29B
$21B $22B
20 $15B
$11B $13B
$7B $10B
0
90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01
Number
of deals 197 218 270 255 228 272 277 275 306 386 283
Average
deal size 77 32 36 43 57 77 105 104 134 164 138
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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A growing pool of un-invested capital has
intensified competition
Univested capital ($ billions)
$150B
100
50
0
79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01
Years
capital 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.1 1.5 4.1 4.5 6.5
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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Growing LBO capital pool seeks
diversification
Internet deals
VC/growth capital
PIPES
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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History repeats itself
= LBO
LBO and Venture Investments ($B)
= Venture
$150B
100
50
0
80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 37
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Private equity delivers higher returns
over the long term
Note: Returns are net to investors after fees and carried interest; Bloomberg yearly compounded
performance. No investment of dividend
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Top-quartile funds significantly outperform
the rest
Cumulative IRR
40%
30
20
10
0
Quartile I Quartile II Quartile III Quartile IV
15
10
0
Early/seed Balance Later stage Buyout
focused focused focused
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 40
GXC
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Increasingly developed asset class
Likely winners
Branded mega
Investment banks Focused funds Value added GPs
funds
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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Ability to apply leverage is limited
Non-Bank Debt/EBITDA
6 5.8 5.7
Bank Debt/EBITDA
5.3 5.2 5.2
2.3 2.1 4.5
1.9 1.7 4.1 3.9
4 2.5 1.2
1.2
1.5
2 3.6
3.3 3.5 3.5 3.3
2.8 2.9
2.4
0
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 Aug-01
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 42
GXC
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The public/private multiple gap is shrinking
S&P 500 multiple - purchaseprice multiple
15.0 13.7
13.2
7.1
6.1
5.3
5.0
0.0
'94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00
Purchase
price 5.4 6.5 7.0 7.1 8.6 8.3 7.4
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 43
GXC
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Adding value is increasingly important
100%
80%
80 Multiple
Expansion
(7x - 10x)
60 Buy 10%
Cheaper
Double
Earnings
Growth
(7.5 - 15%)
40 35%
Leverage 60%
Leverage
Double
90% Debt Earnings
20 Growth
(7.5 - 15%)
Base Base
0
1980's No Unable Lower Future
deal multiple to buy leverage deals
expansion cheaper
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 44
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Major LPs are focused on existing
relationships not new ones
LP commitments/fund Percent to New Funds
$500M 100%
470
400 80 79%
60
300 51%
245
40
200 29%
145
19%
20
100
61
0 94-'95 96-'97 98-'99 2000
0 Fourth Third Second First
fund Dollars
GP Fund Round committed $2.1B $2.4B $3.0B $2.4B
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 45
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Limited partners are focusing their
investments with a few funds
“LPs are aggressively pushing to reduce the number of names (of GPs) on their lists, sometimes at the expense of missing good opportunities
Jonathan Roth, Abbot Capital (Gatekeeper)
“We always look at our existing relationships first. Then we look at newer groups; but this is not something we like to do a whole lot, because there is more risk involved – a new group has to be really unique.”
Institutional Investor, Aug 00
“I now have my list of Core GPs, and we will invest globally with them; we are adding new GPs only if we drop a GP.”
Cheryl Schwartz, TIAA.
“If you have proven consistent returns for twenty years that’s something. All else being equal, who do you go with? The ones you know.”
Jon Vanderploeg, Private Equity Portfolio Manager, Wisconsin State Investment Bd.
“Track record and deal networks, along with a proven innovative investment strategy are all critical factors.”
Richard Hayes, Sr. Principal Investment Officer of Alternative Investments, CalPERS
“The US is overallocated. We will increasingly carve back on some relationships, focus on core relationships, and take advice from gatekeepers.”
Dave Rogers, Omers
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
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New funds selected by LPs are often small
funds, specialist funds, or strongly branded
large funds
Small general funds Specialist funds Others
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 47
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Winners rely on differentiation and adding
value
Likely winners
Branded mega
Investment banks Focused funds Value added GPs
funds
Geography
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 48
GXC
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Given this challenging environment how
can ABC succeed?
Likely winners
Branded mega
Investment banks Focused funds Value added GPs
funds
Geography
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 51
GXC
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Historically this niche has worked well
IRR to LPs
40% 38.0%
All Funds Started in 1993
30
23.8%
22.1%
20
13.1%
10
0
ABC I $0-250M $250-500M >$500M
(1993)
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
ABC II expectations are lower
IRR to LPs
16%
15 14%
13%
10 9%
8%
Estimated
Estimated
0
ABC II ABC II $0-250M $250-500M >$500M
(1995) (1995)
exit at 2x exit at 2.75x
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
Note:ABCII returns assume 2003 exit, less 2% mgmt fees and 20% to carry y 53
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
ABC III expectations remain unclear
20%
18%
15
13%
11%
10
5 ??
0%
0
ABC III $0-250M $250-500M >$500M
(1997)
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 54
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
The whole mid-market has been tougher
since ABC I was formed
Cumulative benchmark
returns as of 12/31/00
30%
$250-500M
>$500M
20
10
$0-250M
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Where does ABC make its money?
Portfolio Co. A
Other ($40M)
Too recent
O $45M
D ($5M)
B
C ($6M)
Financial
services
E ($23M) K ($18M)
F ($18M) L ($4M)
G ($6M) M ($54M)
H ($2M) N ($26M)
Manufacturing
I ($25M)
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Investment theses center on M&A and
great management teams
D
E
B
F
M&A/roll-up
K
A
L
Growth engine
M
N
G C
H
Organic
I
Stronger Weaker
Management team
Choice set: Region <$100M Industry focus Investing style Financial skills
(e.g. healthcare) - Value - Investment
Country $100-250M - Growth experience
- Turnaround - Financial
Functional focus engineering
(e.g. Aggressive vs.
$250-1,000M Operational skills
distribution) passive
- Advisory board
>$1,000M - Portfolio boards
Investment Relationship vs.
- Business
Class (e.g. Transactional development
Mezzanine) - Turnaround
Support existing - Exit
management vs.
replace individuals
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 58
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Key components of fund strategy
Market Definition Operating Principles
Geography Deal size Specialization Culture Capabilities
Choice set: Region <$100M Industry focus Investing style Financial skills
(e.g. healthcare) - Value - Investment
Country $100-250M - Growth experience
- Turnaround - Financial
Functional focus engineering
(e.g. Aggressive vs.
$250-1,000M Operational skills
distribution) passive
- Advisory board
>$1,000M - Portfolio boards
Investment Relationship vs.
- Business
Class (e.g. Transactional development
Mezzanine) - Turnaround
Support existing - Exit
management vs.
replace individuals
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 59
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
There are 39 Midwest firms in the $100-
500M segment (of 92 total)
Funds under management
Total =
$4B $5B $9B
100%
Other
11 Other
80 15
29
20
30 21
60 22
34 23
24
25
36
40 26
27
37 28
31
20 38 32
33
39 35
0
Chicago Other
$0.9B $3.7B
100%
5 1
80 7
3 4
60
2
40
9
20 8
6
0
$100-500M $500-1B
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 61
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Local peers have moved outside the region
ABC A
1
1
1 1
5 3 1 4 1
1
B C
Also: ON
1 1 1
1
1
4 1 2 1
1 1 1
1 1
2
2
2
1
1
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Target states have 40% of mid-market
deals
Deal count Mix of deal
(97-02YTD) count (97-02YTD)
500
1,250 100%
1,017
1,000 80
Outside
region
750 60
500 IN
500 40 WI
NJ
MI
MA CT
250 20 IL OH
PA
NY
0 0
Total $50-150M Midmarket deals
deals Deal Size
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 63
GXC
Note: Midmarket deal estimate based on mix of reported, known value, LBO deals
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Aside from the general ‘01 downturn, flow
has been consistent in these regions
20%
WI MN
MO
15
NJ MA
PA
VA IN KY MI CT
GA MD $300B
OH NY State MM
GDP
10
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0%
77% 80%
80 76% 75%
63%
63%
67% 67%
60 59%
53%
40
20
Mtn.
New. Eng.
SE
Plains
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 66
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Midwest deals are less competitive and
could generate lower acquisition multiples
Count of firms that express interest
in region, per $50-150M deal (97-02YTD)
Note: Midmarket deal estimate based on mix of reported, known value, LBO deals ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 67
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
States nearby are attractive; the Northeast
not as much so
No offices in state
No deals reported
0-1 firm per deal
2-3
4-5
Note: Midmarket deal estimate based on mix of reported, known value, LBO deals ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 68
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Peer companies target a broad set of
industries
ABC Capital Partners A B C
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 69
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Manufacturing is more prevalent in ABC’s
regions than in the US middle market
ABC Presence
Revenues in $50-250M firms
$1,268B $220B
100%
Other Other
80 Consumer Non-durables
Travel & Entertainment
Utilities Transportation
Transportation Healthcare
Electronics Electronics
Travel & Entertainment Retail
60 Capital Goods
Healthcare Food & Beverages
Retail Capital Goods
Food & Beverages Construction Services
40 Construction Services
Business Services
Business Services Construction Materials
Chemicals
20 MotorChemicals
Vehicles & Parts
Motor Vehicles & Parts
Construction Materials Fabrication
Fabrication
Financial Services Financial Services
0
US Midwest
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 70
GXC
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But Midwest mid-market deals are
dominated by manufacturing
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 71
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Attractive growth and profit companies
exist
EBIT%
Midwest Middle Market Companies
30%
Com
Bank
20 Biotech
Industry
Growth Financial and M&A
Characteristics expertise
ABC
Currently?
Value added investing
Deep industry experience
Lower
Growth to leverage targets core
intro new growth
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 73
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Partners say your focus is a strong point
“We like their middle-market focus – I would not like to see them branch off
into new fields”
Lender
“They have a good focus on middle market transactions and they should
stick to that position and not move up to big deals that are a more
competitive market.”
Lender
“The culture drives the success – if they expand they could lose that”
LP
“I hope the larger fund doesn’t get them into competitive larger deals”
Investment Banker
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 74
GXC
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Key components of fund strategy
Market Definition Operating Principles
Geography Deal size Specialization Culture Capabilities
Choice set: Region <$100M Industry focus Investing style Financial skills
(e.g. healthcare) - Value - Investment
Country $100-250M - Growth experience
- Turnaround - Financial
Functional focus engineering
(e.g. Aggressive vs.
$250-1,000M Operational skills
distribution) passive
- Advisory board
>$1,000M - Portfolio boards
Investment Relationship vs.
- Business
Class (e.g. Transactional development
Mezzanine) - Turnaround
Support existing - Exit
management vs.
replace individuals
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 75
GXC
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We heard the following themes:
Strengths Challenges
“Half their deals are proprietary due to relationships with Jack and John”
Investment Banker
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 77
GXC
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There is a natural tension with one
constituency – the CEOs
Proportion of CEOs
perceived as successful
100%
80 Unsuccessful
60
40
Successful
20
0
All buyouts ABC
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 78
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
ABC CEOs have the same buyout
experience as most CEOs
100% >5
>5 5
80 3 3
2 2
60
40
1 1
20
0
ABC CEOs All Buyout CEOs
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 79
GXC
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ABC keeps its CEOs in-place longer
100%
80 >4
>4
60
2-3
40
2-3 1-2
20 1-2
<1
<1
0
ABC CEOs All Buyout CEOs
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 80
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
ABC CEOs are not as “caught-off-guard”
post buyout as other buyout CEOs
Pre vs. post buyout pressures
(5 = Very different post buyout)
5
4.2 4.2 4.2
4.1
4 3.7
3.4
3.2 3.3
3.2
3 2.8
2.6 2.4
2 All
buyout
1 CEOs
ABC
CEOs
0 Finance/ Working Cultural Limited Time Performance
debt with board resources
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 81
GXC
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Though CEOs want the autonomy
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 82
GXC
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Investors want more active management
of the portfolio
“ABC have been slow to get involved when the company
wanders off track”
Lender
“Lack of operating expertise has made them reluctant to
pull the trigger on management changes early enough”
LP
2
ABC
ABC
CEOs
1
Team
Building
of Prior Co.
Perf. Focus
Execution
Coaching
Action/
Integrity
Fin. Perf.
Strat. Quick
Innovative
Vision Dec. w.out
Info
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 84
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When pushed, CEOs acknowledge they
were slow with hard decisions
Things I could have done better:
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 85
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
All buyout CEOs voice common mistakes
5 4.7
4.3 4.4
4.0
4 3.7 3.8
3.5
3.3 3.2
3.0 3.1 3.0
3
2
ABC
1
ABC
CEOs
0 Finance/ Cultural/ Time Performance Limited Working
debt motivation resources with Board
All
buyout
CEOs 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.7
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 88
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Cultural and emotional issues dominate
as the biggest surprises or differences
for CEOs
“The complexity of the process and realizing there is no such thing as a small detail.”
“Surprise: seller focus on monetary issues to the detriment of people and long-term success
of the business. Lesson: need to be more focused on near-term operating financials.”
“The amount of enjoyment and frustation that can occur in the same day. I have learned to
focus on the successes and to look back every once in a while to see how we have come. “
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 89
GXC
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What is the right balance between support
and aggressive involvement with CEOs?
Support Intervention
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 90
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What’s the one thing investors could do to
better support efforts?
“Be consistent and timely in all matters affecting the buyout business.”
“None.”
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 91
GXC
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ABC CEOs ask for more communication
“In the beginning you must be open and honest with regard to buyout issues and the
buyout expectations. Additionally, the CEO must know his limits and abilities and
communicate those to his Chairman.”
“Total openness.”
“Constant interaction.”
“Tell them as much as they can possibly understand. It is usually better to bring to
the table issues earlier than later.”
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 92
GXC
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For all buyout shops including ABC, three
themes recur to help CEOs succeed
Open communication
- “Openly communicate their objectives/agenda”
- “Provide fact-based, honest feedback in a timely manner”
- “Look for the gray lines to help facilitate faster outcomes; everything
is not always black or white”
100%
80%
80 Multiple
Expansion
(7x - 10x)
60 Buy 10%
Cheaper
Double
Earnings
Growth
(7.5 - 15%)
40 35%
Leverage 60%
Double
Earnings
20 Growth
(7.5 - 15%)
Base Base
0
1980's No Unable Lower Future
Deal multiple to buy Leverage Deals
expansion cheaper
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 95
GXC
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Firms that add value do several things
Share due diligence findings and investing experience to help develop key
goals and metrics
React quickly when the company slips off plan, challenging the
management team in a supportive but data-driven way
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 96
GXC
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Two dimensions
Pre-close Post-close
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 97
GXC
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Interviews with over 40 investors and
portfolio CEOs confirm the importance of
starting post-close strong
Success and expectations should be mutually and explicitly
defined up front
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 98
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The opportunities to add value run from
post-close through exit
Timing: Post-close Ownership Exit
What does Capitalize on Construct an Develop best Bring Identify and Maximize value
it mean: due diligence, actionable practice early exceptional maximize through both
management strategic plan warning internal and value market timing
expertise and aimed at systems external creation and company
LBO driving full Measure less, resources to and sharing preparation
experience to potential bear on across
but measure
determine problems companies
what matters
business
potential
Basic Set the full Highlight key Track Identify CEO council Look for
potential initiatives for financial problem or growth to
based on the company measures areas roundtable incorporate in
trended Associate Provide next owner’s
financials input on investment
primary
solutions thesis
contact
Intermediate Set full Oversee Use financial Assign deal Limited Gear strategy
potential detailed and non- staff to ad- cross- towards exit
using business plan financial hoc portfolio (e.g. set up JV
internal and with dashboard projects purchasing with likely
external timelines and Form (e.g. health buyer)
Principal
benchmarks milestones insurance)
primary dedicated
contact teams
Advanced Conduct Oversee Implement Parachute Entire Look for
fact-based integrated company- deal staff functions inflection point
evaluation business plan specific into (e.g. in company
of options Strategic scorecard operating payroll) trajectory
and use Operational linked to roles outsourced
results to HR key metrics
financial
set full in plan
potential MD primary
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
contact y 100
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Most funds add value at a basic level
100%
Advanced
80
Intermediate
60
40
Basic
20
0
Develop Build Monitor Provide Leverage Optimize
Full the Plan Progress Support Across Exit
Potential Portfolio
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 101
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
And few are strong along most dimensions
Percent of Private
Equity Funds Evaluated
100%
91%
80
68%
60
45%
40
20 14%
9%
0%
0
1 2 3 4 5 6
Number of Dimensions with
Intermediate or Advanced Level
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 102
GXC
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Your constituents agree you have
operational capability gaps
“Operational focus is sorely needed – due diligence is very financially oriented. They
need a deeper understanding of underlying industry trends, etc.”
LP
“They are all financial/institutional guys, getting one or two operators with different
perspectives would help”
LP
“We didn’t want someone to help us.. We do the operations, they do the finance.”
CEO
“They need a really good manufacturing person.”
CEO
“I would have preferred an operator or two versus the four deal guys on my board”
CEO
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 103
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We will discuss recent examples from real
deal work along each part of this post-
closing chain
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 104
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Superwide Overview
Percent of Adoption
20
12%
10
11% 8%
10
6% 6% 5
3% 2%
0 0
Small Medium Large Low High
Growth Growth
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 108
GXC
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Superwide’s customers can be grouped into
four distinct segments
Indexed
Cut off Reported # of US
# of Non-US
Revenue Growth Growth Companies in Companies in
Range Rates Application Set (1=Bears) Segment Segment
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 109
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
That proved a good determinant of
adoption likelihood
Adoption Likelihood
(Percent Likely to Adopt)
50%
43%
40
34%
30
20
14%
Product A
9% 9%
10 6% Product B
3% 2%
0 Tigers Foxes Bears Sheep
First Adopted
Digital: 1997 1997 1998 1998
% Owning
Digital: 57% 26% 18% 18%
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 110
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Surveying the Tigers and Foxes enabled
Bain to better understand their product
needs
Future Required Characteristics Additional Addressable Market
100% $100
Not More Likely
$86M
$79M $81M
80 80
$71M
Percent of Total
60 60
$45M
40 40 $35M
Much More Likely
20 20
0 0
Text
Enhanced
Water-Based
Vibrant Colors
Inks
Inks
Spot Color
Six Color
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 111
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
And focused Superwide on the potential to
provide more services
Importance of service criteria
3
Screen printer interviews and site visit results indicate a
willingness to pay roughly 7-10%
1
Maintenance
Contracts
Annual
Pre-Press
On-Site
Help Desk
Tech.
Application
Installation
Training
Support
Support
Support
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 112
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
New digital technology posed a problem for
existing products
40% 30%
37%
27%
30
20
Percent of Total
Percent of Total
18%
17%
16%
20
17%
12% 12% 10
10%
10 6%
4%
0 0
Turnaround time
machine
required
automation
Speed/time
More
versatile
capability
Quality
Color/
print quality/
Labor required/
Output
color
Ease of
Less Labor
Area for
Short run
consistency
size/versatility
setup
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 113
GXC
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However, the company’s new digital
product was well positioned from a cost
perspective
$1.10
1.00
0.90
$ per Sq. Ft.
0.80
0.70 Company
Products
Competing
0.60 Products
0.50 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1000
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 114
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And demonstrated attractive payback
Tigers can payback the full investment in a company product in less than one year, at full
utilization
0 Early
Adapters
Average Runs
per Month 80
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 115
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Decreasing ink prices made the product
even more attractive
$0.8B
2.0
$0.9B
$1.4B
-$1.0B
1.0
$0.7B
Ink Gross
Equipment
Gross
0.0 Base Profit Increase Increase in Decline in New Profit
in Equipment Ink Revenue Ink Margin
Revenue
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 116
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And should be sold as a modular concept
12.3%
Adoption Rate
Adoption Rate
10 9.6% 10
4.8%
5 5
2.9%
2.4%
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 117
GXC
This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
Analysis suggested that a direct sales force
would be the most cost-effective
distribution method
$308M $308M $308M
100%
Profit
80 Profit Profit
Percent of Total
Service Expense
60 Service Expense Commission
Incremental SGA Commission
40
COGS COGS COGS
20
Tele-sales
people required 6 2 0
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 118
GXC
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However, interviews revealed customers
were planning to purchase quickly and that
speed to market was key
Tigers and Foxes All Respondents
100% 100%
2003 2002 2003
80 2002 80 2003
2002
2003
Percent of Total
2001
Percent of Total
60 60 2001
2001
2002 2001
40 40
2002
20 2000
20 2001 2000
2001 2000 2000
2000
0 Somewhat Very or Weighted
0 Somewhat Very or Weighted
likely to extremely Demand likely to extremely Demand
purchase likely to purchase likely to
superwide purchase superwide purchase
superwide superwide
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 119
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Which favored a partnership arrangement
Relatively fast
Lead Generation:
Salesforce
Recruitment:
Salesforce
Training:
Contacting
Customer:
Closing Sale:
Service Force
Creation:
Overall:
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 120
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This information is confidential and was prepared by Bain & Company solely for the use of our client; it is not to be relied on by any 3rd party without Bain's prior written consent.
We will discuss recent examples from real
deal work along each part of this post-
closing chain
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 121
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Semi Co. overview
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 122
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Semi Co. summary
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 123
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Semi Co.
Initiatives Actions Takeaways
Support the separation Formulate major goals and Key concerns include:
identify significant concerns - Keeping good people
for the separation process - Capturing the patents
- Maintaining/creating brand
value
- Understanding the value
potential from bundling
Reorganize/refocus the Focus management on Management needs to focus
business sources of value on unlocking existing value
and creating new value
Reorganize company
management Stand-alone company
requires new management
Focus management on
and responsibilities
results
Keeping management
focused
- Frequent reviews
- Meetings on gaps vs plan
- Address key problem areas
Develop and execute the Identify key growth sectors Management needs to
new strategy reposition existing
technology
Successful repositioning
with increase market by
a factor of 5
The division priced its IPO at $16.00 per share and subsequently saw its price increase to $25.00 per
share – a ~17x return on its equity cost base.
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 124
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Evolving the company’s strategy began
with managing the product portfolio
correctly
20%
Projected Industry Growth Rate
Establish application
focused business model
New product investment
- R&D, engineers
Financial turnaround - FAEs
15% Strategic turnaround
Analog
- next generation IP
M&A
10% TMOS
Total
Bipolar Standard
Reposition technology
Discrete Logic
5% ECL
into high-bandwidth IC
markets
New product investment Financial turnaround
Grow to leadership Strategic turnaround or
- R&D, engineers
Generate cash exit
Other
$163M
Dominant market share
150 70% gross margins
Contributing 29% of gross
100 profit from 10% of revenue
Semi
50
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 126
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By changing ECL’s positioning Semi Co.
entered the sweet spot of many more
applications
GaAs
HBT/
HEMT
GaAs
10GHz MESFET
Performance
SiGe
ECL
“High Bandwidth IC TAM”
S
MO
Mi
xe
LVDS/
eC
200MHz
d-
od
Si
BLVDS GTL Advanced
tM
gn
al/
(CMOS/BiCMOS) (CMOS) CMOS
n
rre
Op
(AVC/VCX)
Cu
tic
al
Others
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 127
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And vastly expanded its market…
Workstations NIC
Servers SRAM Access
Memory
Testers
Percent of Total TAM
80 Transmission
RAID (with SAN)
60 WAN Switches
Testers
Set Top Boxes
Logic
40
Instrumentation
Tape Libraries Central Office
20
0
Computing/Storage Datacom/Telecom ATE
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Resulting in an increase in valuation
10
14 - Semtech, Micrel
5 ECL 18x
Market Cap
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And a successful IPO
$25
20
$16.00
15
10
5
$1.50
0
Founders Equity IPO Price
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To execute value added means getting the
right capabilities within the firm and with
the portfolios
Within the
Internally
portfolios
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ABC clearly values prior experience for its
CEOs
Importance of Prior Experience
(5 = Very Important to Success of CEO)
2
ABC
ABC
CEOs
1 Fin. Perf. Same CEO Exp Same Entr. Buyout Fin.
of Prior Co. Issue Ind. Exp. Exp Exp.
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Most buyout firms do hire more CEOs with
industry capabilities
Percent with experience
100%
80
60
40
All
20 Buyout
CEOs
ABC
0 Small Large Same Same Entrep. Fin. Consl. PE Govt
Co. Co. Issue Ind.
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ABC expects more leadership, other
buyouts expect more management
ABC All Buyouts
Investors =
CEOs =
Managing most Leading most
important important
1 2 3 4 5
Creating an
Agenda:
Developing an
Organization:
Execution:
Outcomes:
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We asked questions about leadership vs.
management based on Kotter’s theories
Create an agenda:
- Managing = Work Planning and Budgeting
- Leading = Establishes Strategic Direction
Execution:
- Managing = Controls and Solves Problems
- Leading = Motivates and Inspires
Outcomes:
- Managing = Produces Results
- Leading = Generates Innovation and Change
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Strategy Session Agenda
Monday Tuesday
9:00-9:30am Breakfast 7:30-8:00am Breakfast
9:30-9:45am Introduction – Review of Meeti 8:00-9:30am Deal Sourcing
ng Objectives
9:30-10:00am Break
9:45-11:00am Private Equity Landscape
10:00-1:00pm Split Sessions and Lunch
Partners: Internal Operations
11:00-12:30pm What makes ABC unique
ABC input
VPs:
- Deal Evaluation Tips
Midwest deal market - Resources of the firm
ABC Transactions - Roles for Professionals
Constituency Input
Comparisons to other funds
ABC
Bid 10 10-12
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ABC was not aware of a significant number
of deals that took place in relevant regions
Total LBO deals in Midwest
and Northeast (99-02YTD)
X
A
Wrong
Y
Size
Wrong Industry
Z
-B
-C -D -E -F G D+E+
0 F+G
Total Not Not Did Did Did not Acquired
deals Target Aware not not bid acquire
Request
OM
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There are mixed messages on deal sourcing
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About half of not-aware deals seem within
reasonable reach
50% are with advisors who do
45% are in adjacent states
not think of us or do not know us
100%
CIBC
80 No MSDW
advisor Raymond James
First Union Securities
60 Wasserstein Perella
Warburg Dillon Read
Lazard Freres
40 Harris Trust
Peter J. Solomon
Seller's
CSFB/DLJ
20 advisor Sperry Mitchell
Merrill Lynch
SG Cowen
0
Not aware
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Not-aware deals fall within the standard
industries that ABC has experience with
Const HC
Dist Retail
100%
80 Apparel
Publish
Bus svcs
60
Motor Vehicles
40 Shipping and Logistics
20 Diversified
Manufacturing
0
Not aware
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Proprietary deal generation practices vary
Exclusive broker
arrangements
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ABC did not see some deals in the non-
proprietary" traditional advisor channels
Date Company Advisor Banker (if known)
New
Diligence Capacity
Processes/Systems
Outsource diligence to
advisors
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Strategy Session Agenda
Monday Tuesday
9:00-9:30am Breakfast 7:30-8:00am Breakfast
9:30-9:45am Introduction – Review of Meeti 8:00-9:30am Deal Sourcing
ng Objectives
9:30-10:00am Break
9:45-11:00am Private Equity Landscape
10:00-1:00pm Split Sessions and Lunch
Partners: Internal Operations
11:00-12:30pm What makes ABC unique
ABC input
VPs:
- Deal Evaluation Tips
Midwest deal market - Resources of the firm
ABC Transactions - Roles for Professionals
Constituency Input
Comparisons to other funds
Deal tracking/log Y X
Assignment of deal Y X
resources
Use of outside advisors Y X
Formal exchange of Y X
information
Hiring
- Partners Y X
- Vice-presidents Y X
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Succession is hard
“The real problem is that it takes such ego and energy to achieve
success with these private equity firms.
The bottom line is most firms have not thought about it hard
enough.”
“The fact that so few firms have gone through it shows you how
hard it is. We did it three years ago. The time to do it is the
good years.”
Transition to a team vs. a single Otto van der Wyck’s 2001 retirement
person from BC Partners (London)
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A succession plan is not complicated but
must be explicit across three elements
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There are key roles that must be filled
across the leadership team
Internal roles Activities
Continue to maintain key relationships
Statesman/chairman
Similar to corporate setting
Community and LP relations
Sparing, highly controlled use of time
Financial
Execute the due diligence
Strategic
Value added plans
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Strategy Session Agenda
Monday Tuesday
9:00-9:30am Breakfast 7:30-8:00am Breakfast
9:30-9:45am Introduction – Review of Meeti 8:00-9:30am Deal Sourcing
ng Objectives
9:30-10:00am Break
9:45-11:00am Private Equity Landscape
10:00-1:00pm Split Sessions and Lunch
Partners: Internal Operations
11:00-12:30pm What makes ABC unique
ABC input
VPs:
- Deal Evaluation Tips
Midwest deal market - Resources of the firm
ABC Transactions - Roles for Professionals
Constituency Input
Comparisons to other funds
What does Capitalize on Construct an Develop best Bring Identify and Maximize value
it mean: due diligence, actionable practice early exceptional maximize through both
management strategic plan warning internal and value market timing
expertise and aimed at systems external creation and company
LBO driving full Measure less, resources to and sharing preparation
experience to potential bear on across
but measure
determine problems companies
what matters
business
potential
Basic Set the full Highlight key Track Identify CEO council Look for
potential initiatives for financial problem or growth to
based on the company measures areas roundtable incorporate in
trended Associate Provide next owner’s
financials input on investment
primary
solutions thesis
contact
Intermediate Set full Oversee Use financial Assign deal Limited Gear strategy
potential detailed and non- staff to ad- cross- towards exit
using business plan financial hoc portfolio (e.g. set up JV
internal and with dashboard projects purchasing with likely
external timelines and Form (e.g. health buyer)
Principal
benchmarks milestones insurance)
primary dedicated
contact teams
Advanced Conduct Oversee Implement Parachute Entire Look for
fact-based integrated company- deal staff functions inflection point
evaluation business plan specific into (e.g. in company
of options Strategic scorecard operating payroll) trajectory
and use Operational linked to roles outsourced
results to HR key metrics
financial
set full in plan
potential MD primary
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One important area to address will be how
to optimize exits
“Exits are slow, but I like investing with them.”
Lender
“They have to wait their time to exit – I would like to see them exit
faster at times.”
LP
“Exit is their weakest skill. They need better quality analysis and
timing for their exits”
Investment Bank
“Exits are a real issue. ABC holding periods are too long.”
Lender
Buyer
Timing the Optimizing the
Identification and
Environment Company for Exit
Tracking
Dark Example
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Dark Co. Overview
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Dark Co. summary
Industry growth was expected to be flat
- Variance analysis of historical drivers isolated one-time events
- Penetration approaching saturation point
- Experience curve suggested continued declines
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Summary of initiatives
Initiatives Actions Takeaways
Forecast market revenue Address the following Historical growth driven by:
questions: - Channel expansion
- What are the key historical - Strong domestic economic
drivers and how have they growth
changed over time Recent accelerated growth
- What is the impact of Y2K driven by:
on 2000 and beyond - Y2K purchases
- How large is the market in - Retail inventory build-up
2000 - Severe weather events
- How is the market projected Industry growth anticipated
to grow in 2001 and 2002
to be flat due to
- Increased penetration
- Negative price pressure
- Slowing channel expansion
- Slower economic growth
Project future market share Address the following Dark market share is
questions: expected to decline over the
- How well is Dark positioned next two years
versus competitors - Loss of large accounts
- How well is Dark positioned - Declining share of key
against suppliers and customer
retailers Margins are expected to
- What are the share
implications
decline driven by
- What are the margin - Excess capacity and
implications inventories
- Brand licensing agreements
- Increased demand and price
for key components
Based on outlook for market and company, LBO client decided to proceed to exit
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1999 generator shipments were more than
double expectations primarily due to Y2K-
related purchases and inventory build-up
$1,000
U.S. Wholesale Shipments (Millions)
$233MM $900MM
800
~$428MM
$75MM Y2K-driven
shipments
$120MM
600
$35MM $12MM
$425MM
400
200
0
Expected Extraordinary Exceptionally Inventory Incremental Accelerated Estimated
1999 weather strong build-up Y2K purchases 1999
shipments events in 1999 construction purchases due to Y2K shipments
activity in 1999
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2000 shipments fell dramatically due to
good weather, negative price pressure and
weak demand
U.S. Wholesale Shipments (Millions of Dollars)
$500 $470MM
($25MM) ($10MM)
400
($47MM)
$302MM
300 ($86MM)
$225MM
($77MM)
200
100
0 Expected 2000 Unusually low Slowing Negative price Weak demand/ Retail demand Inventory Estimated
shipments weather activity geographic pressure (10%) accelerated reduction manufacturer
expansion of purchase shipments**
impact of Y2K
big box retailers
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Future purchases are going to be
determined by market penetration levels,
which are approaching saturation
CAGR CAGR CAGR
20% Saturation Point
93-97 97-99 99-05
Percent of Relevant Households Penetrated
15
4% 8% 2%
10
0
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
665K
637K
549K 400
$333MM$340MM
500 2% $302MM
-1%
200
43% 38%
12% 8%
0 0
1999 2000 2001 2002 1999200020012002
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A forecasted slowdown in housing starts
will also have a negative impact on demand
CAGR CAGR
00-01 01-02
Detached one unit housing starts (000s)
1,500
1-unit housing starts
1,250 -5% 3%
1,000
750
500
1998 1999 2000 2001P 2002P
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In addition, prices appear poised to
continue to fall at 3-4% in the near term
7
Price per Consumer Unit of
1995
1997
5 1998
1999
2000
2001P
2002P
4
2.4 4
Accumulated Experience
Log of Accumulated (Kilowatt X Generator Units)
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Dark’s margins will come under attack as
the Big Box retailers continue to mature
Entry Maturity
Traditional
distribution
Big Box
retailers
I. Market Entry II. Regional Expansion III. Customer/ IV. Mature competition
Big Box profit Product expansion
driver: Concept Store growth Sales per store GMROI
creation/ first -top line growth -top line growth -bottom line focus/
to market through geographic through product cost reduction
expansion differentiation and
Implication for local share gain
manufacturer: Manufacturer Strategic alliance Increased focus Retail price
in stronger Trade-off margin on brand competition forces
position than for growth strength, aggressive cost
retailer exclusivity and containment and
new product asset management
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2001/2 Shipments Forecast
Retail Sales at Wholesale (Millions of Dollars)
$400
$36MM
350 $333MM $340MM
$18MM -$18MM $316MM
$302MM
300 -$17MM
-$5MM
250
200
150
100
50
manufacturer
manufacturer
shipments
shipments
2001
2002
Contractor
change
inventory
buyers
sales
Excess
Residential
replacement
retail
New
retail
2000
2001
reduction
Pricing
sales
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Competitive analysis reveals that Dark’s
product placement is weak with few
advertised SKUs and relatively high prices
$3,000
$2,049
2,000
Unit Price
$1,299
1,000
$736
$599 $559
$398 $398
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Which, when combined with pricing
pressure, will result in a fall in Dark’s
margins
$800 $150
$134
$670 $655
Dark
600 Contribution License Fees -$15
%
Wholesale Price
100
Contribution
Selling
Expense
-$33
400
Other
COGS
50
200
$23
Engine -$63
0 0
of wholesale)
License
Fee (5%
Decline (2%)
Retail Price
premium)
Engine (30%
Branded
New
4000XL 4000XL
Contribution
Margin
Contribution
Margin
(E)
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Outcome
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Strategy Session Agenda
Monday Tuesday
9:00-9:30am Breakfast 7:30-8:00am Breakfast
9:30-9:45am Introduction – Review of Meeti 8:00-9:30am Deal Sourcing
ng Objectives
9:30-10:00am Break
9:45-11:00am Private Equity Landscape
10:00-1:00pm Split Sessions and Lunch
Partners: Internal Operations
11:00-12:30pm What makes ABC unique
ABC input
VPs:
- Deal Evaluation Tips
Midwest deal market - Resources of the firm
ABC Transactions - Roles for Professionals
Constituency Input
Comparisons to other funds
Content: “Consensus on who we are , what are our strengths and weaknesses
and where we are going”
“Size, scope and focus of ABC for the period ahead are critical issues”
“Understand how we are different from other groups and what ‘best
practices’ we could adopt
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What are the next steps:
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Agenda
Presentation materials
Additional Materials
-LP Overview
-Strategic Due Diligence Template
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US LPs account for 77% of funds
committed to alternative investments
Percent of Total Funds Committed Total =
$247B
$191B $44B $12B
100% Endowments & Foundations Other
Insurance Companies Other
Private
Banks Govt
80 Corporate Pension Funds Govt Indvls
Private Indvls
Pension
Corporate Funds
60
Insurance
Banks, Finance Companies and Other
Insurance
40
Banks
Corporate
20 Public Pension Funds
Pension
Funds
0
US Europe Asia
Penetration of Alternative 7.4% 2.5% ~0%
Assets by Pension Funds:
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60% of $191B in commitments come from
public & corporate pension funds
Percent of Total Commitment
to Alternative Assets
Total =
$87B $28B $18B $47B $191B
100%
IBM Retirement
Cornell U.
Life Insurance
Metropolitan
20
Fund
CA State Teachers' Retirement System U. of
CA Provident Bank
California Public Robert
Wood
SEB Asset Management
Comdisco Ventures
Cos
Public Pension Funds Corporate Banks
Endowments
& Foundations
Insurance
Pension
Funds & Other
Note: Market map only shows LP investors for which allocation and commitments to alternative investments
are available - notable omission here is the Harvard Management Co; Other category includes wealthy
individuals, economic development agencies, corporate development groups and money management ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Industry analysis template package
overview
DRAFT
Objectives: Take a team through the most relevant and common facts used to analyze any industry
Provide a template that can be filled out in as little as 1 week
Point out objectives, means to construct and points to look for in each set of facts
Provide some real examples to illustrate use and give guidance on construction
Fill out each template using the most convenient software at hand (e.g. Excel graphs are fine where possible)
Usage:
For each slide, write down 1-3 key conclusions for and against an investment in this industry and in the target
at hand. Catalog in a single summary sheet with an overall conclusion at the top
For each slide write down 1-2 additional questions or analyses to pursue beyond this overview look
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Guidelines
As you fill out these analyses remember: DRAFT
You will not find all the data you need, particularly with smaller, private companies
Often there are 3-4 “Master” sources everyone uses. Rush to find those and then rely
on them
Be skeptical of secondary sources. Often, they are guessing based on limited data and
tend to skew to be either overly optimistic or overly pessimistic. In addition, secondary
sources tend to overestimate the rate of change
Graphics help you see patterns in the data and avoid mistakes. Use graphics as a tool
but not a crutch – do not graph everything without a reason
The point is to go through the rigor of understanding each issue as best as the
facts allow and to make a recommendation with clarity about what is known
and what is not.
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Template one: Industry size and growth DRAFT
Objectives: Determine relevant industry size and period growth for 5-10 years
Locate time periods when industry grew more quickly or more slowly than
long term average
Define the relevant industry for the target up-front. Too wide a definition will show industry trends that have no relevance for the target,
Directions to fill out: while too narrow will not show growth opportunities or threats to the target’s segment
Use revenues. Units show real consumption while revenues include the effects of pricing. The next template will break out units and pricing
Determine the right time period to look at. Aim to include a full economic cycle for this industry. For most, that means including the last
recession (e.g. 1990-91)
Collect and graph the data and calculate CAGRs for relevant time periods
Note key events on the graph as appropriate
Where to get the data: Industry association interviews and published reports; magazines and periodicals
Industry equity and debt research analysts
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner Group, Forrester, etc.)
Offering Memorandum (careful – could include management biases)
Government reported statistics (e.g. housing starts, defense spending, etc.)
What to look for/ questions Does industry growth support target growth expectations (e.g. is it high enough?) If target growth needs to
to ask: exceed industry growth, target will need to gain share
How did the industry perform in the last downturn or recession?
What is forecasted growth for customers of this industry?
What underlying drivers move this industry? How can you forecast these drivers to create a model for industry
growth for the next 3-5 years that informs an investment case?
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Template one: Industry size and growth
DRAFT
Annual revenues
CAGR CAGR
Key event #2
(1990-00) (00-05E)
Example 10% 8%
Key event #1
1990
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
02E
03E
04E
05E
Year
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Template one example - General Aviation
Aircraft sales (1973-02E)
General Aviation Billings
CAGR CAGR
(73-92) (92-02E)
$13B
GA 4.3% 18.7%
10 Billings
8 GARA
Enactment
0
1973 75 77 79 81 83 85 87 89 91 93 95 97 99 01E
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Template two: Unit and pricing trends
DRAFT
Determine historical and likely future unit and pricing trends for the industry and by segment (as necessary)
Objectives: Determine how different competitors have used price to compete and gain/lose share
Directions to fill out:
Use the same time period as previous analyses with available projections
Use the same segment and industry definitions as previous analyses
Find revenues and units for the industry or segment in question
Find revenues and units for the companies in question
Graph units on the left hand side
Calculate average pricing for each year and graph on the right hand side
Note key events in the slide with text as appropriate
Where to get the data: Company level SEC filings or other company specific reports (e.g. D&B, OneSource)
Industry association interviews and published reports; magazines and periodicals
Industry equity and debt research analysts
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner Group, Forrester, etc.)
Offering Memorandum (careful – could include management biases)
What to look for/
What is driving industry revenue trends? Units or pricing?
At what rate will costs have to decline for an average industry or segment player to maintain margins?
Questions to ask: How do target’s prices and margins compare?
What underlying drivers are causing prices to move:
- Changes in the mix of channels, products or other segments?
- Low price entrants?
If prices are not changing, is effective price changing – e.g. in PCs prices have declined slowly but quality offered has increased rapidly
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Template two: Pricing trends DRAFT
Note that E may be trying to gain share by keeping price low. On the other hand
E plays in a specific segment – does that segment have lower pricing overall?
Units Pricing
200 Avg.
Projected E
Key Event
2.00
0 0.001990
1990
92
94
96
98
00
02E
04E
92 94 96 98 00 02E 04E
Year
Year ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Template two example - Retail cheese
volume and price (FDM, 1997-03E)
Volume (lbs)
Natural Natural no shred price per pound
(F/D/M) (F/D/M)
2,000M
CAGR CAGR
(97-00) (00-03E)
Price per pound
2.8% 3.2% $6
Land O' Lakes
3.8% 4.0%
5 Kraft
PL
1,500 Tillamook
4
Sorrento
1,000 3
Private Label
2.2% 2.5%
2
Brand
500
1
0 0
1997
98
99
00
01E
02E
03E
Where to get the data: Company level SEC filings or other company specific reports (e.g. D&B, OneSource)
Industry association interviews and published reports
Industry magazines
Industry equity and debt research analysts
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner Group, Forrester, etc.)
Offering Memorandum (careful – could include management biases)
What to look for/ Does any one or two companies dominate the whole industry? Is the target one of them?
questions to ask: Are there specialized players that will dominate specific segments but that do not play in the
industry overall?
Does the target play everywhere but without dominating any segment or is it a specialty
player that will be confined to a given segment?
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Template three: Key segments and
industry players DRAFT
Note that in this illustrative template, both companies B and E have the
same overall share of 10% but play in different ways across the segments
Each company's share of segment total
100%
Other
80 Other
Other
B
60 Other
D
A B Other
C A
40
F A
B
20 E G
B
A
H C
0
Segment 1 2 3 4 Other
$0.7B
100%
$2.3B $3.9BB $4.7B $10.1B $21.7B
Other
Other
Others Others
80 Maax
JJI Lighting Group
Simkar
American
Standard
Others Mag Instrument
Masco
Acorn
Moen Catalina
60
Crane Plumbing Industries
Elkay Mfg Price Pfister (B&D) Juno Lighting
LASCO
Crane Plumbing
Bathware American Standard
Kohler Falcon Building
Products
Elkay Mfg
USI USI
40 American Kohler
Standard Hubbell
USI
Moen USI
Kohler
20 USI Genlyte Thomas
Cooper Industries
Masco Masco
National Service Industries
0
Fixtures (U.S.)
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Template four: Segment growth DRAFT
Objectives: Determine segment specific growth prospects for each company and target
given their shares of each segment
Directions to fill out: Use the same segment definitions as previous analysis
Use units or revenues and use the same time period as the overall industry growth slide to ensure that facts are
comparable
Collect and graph the units or revenues data for each segment
One method to graph is to add each segment to a total for each year (“area chart”) to show how each segment grows
Where to get the data: Company level SEC filings or other company specific reports (e.g. D&B, OneSource)
Industry association interviews and published reports
Industry magazines
Industry equity and debt research analysts
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner Group, Forrester, etc.)
Offering Memorandum (careful – could include management biases)
What to look for/ Which segments are growing faster than the overall industry and which are growing slower?
Questions to ask: Which segments are “stealing share” from others and why?
What specific segment growth most defines the boundaries for the target? Is the target in a
very fast growing segment that will allow it to more easily achieve above average growth, or a
slower segment that will hamper it more?
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Template four: Segment growth
Note that the total CAGRs here match the overall industry as
they should and that the segment sizes should match those DRAFT
of the last slide
2.8% 12.9%
Other
1,000 -1.0% 4.0%
4
-1.0% 8.6%
3
-1.0% 11.5%
500 2
91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00
01E
02E
03E
04E
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Template four - Japan Pollock Roe Import
Forecast (1994-04E)
Falling US TAC and decreasing Russian production will likely
drive total Japanese roe imports down by 9% through 2004
CAGR CAGR
40,000 (94-01E) (01E-04E)
0.0% -8.5%
2.2% 0.0%
ROW
20,000 -8.3% -6.6%
Russia
9.0% -11.0%
US
0
94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01E 02E 03E 04E
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Template five: Distribution channel map
DRAFT
Objectives: Understand how the industry and key competitors distribute their product
Directions to fill out: Lay out all current channels used in the industry
Lay out percent of industry units and revenues that are purchased in each channel
Map out flows of goods from the beginning of the supply chain to the end-buyer
Show mix of units flowing in each area on the flow map or in a graph
Find the mix of distribution channels used by each player and show in map or graph when possible
Where to get the data: Industry association interviews and published reports
Industry magazine special issues (“state of the industry” or “annual survey” issues)
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner
Group, Forrester, etc.)
What to look for/
Are particular channels more important than others?
Is the price or margin apparently higher in key channels?
Questions to ask: Do key competitors who are winning or losing focus on specific channels?
Is there information indicating that winning in some channels will be more important than others over the next 3-5 years?
What is the basis of competition in each channel? Are they the same (e.g. products the same, pricing the same, relationships used the same, etc)
Does the target have access to the winning distribution channels? Can it develop the right access in the required time period to achieve performance
targets?
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Template five: Distribution channel map
DRAFT
Player
70%
A Direct: 40%
30
B %
Internet
10%
End Buyer
10
C 0%
10
0%
E
Distributors
60%
100%
Others
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Template five example - Residential
flooring Market distribution channels
(millions of square feet) Sheet
Tile
180 Pre-fab 180 180
distributor
Consumer
Builder (new home
470 470 buyer)
100 Building contractors
10 115 115
Building
1,360 200 200 680 Consumer
Manu- Chain floor contractors
facturer
310 Distributor 70 stores
70 and 40 (PI)
installers
DIY
210 210
Other
40 retailers
40
DIY
120 Other 120
90 building 90
supply
110 Consumer
(DIY)
Top 200 110
180 building
2,030MM ft² 180
supply stores
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Template six: RMS vs. ROS DRAFT
Where to get the data: Company level SEC filings or other company specific reports (e.g. D&B, OneSource)
Industry magazines and other periodical literature searches
Industry equity and debt research analysts
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner Group, Forrester, etc.)
Offering Memorandum (careful – could include management biases)
Is there a correlation between size and profits? If so, how strong is it?
What to look for/
Is the target performing in line with its size? If not is there an opportunity to perform
Questions to ask:
better? Worse? Can the target gain enough share to be as profitable as market
leaders? ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Template six: RMS vs ROS DRAFT
Note that E is outperforming for its size (Does that have to do with its segment
dominance from Template 3? If we looked at Segment specific RMS, would we
get a better correlation?). D is performing in line with its size and it would be
hard for D to gain enough share to reach 7-8% industry average.
Return on sales
15%
10 E
5 C
0
0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10
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Lifting ROS (EBIT) vs RMS
The largest lifting companies have the highest operating margins
20%
15 Manitowoc (est)
JLG
10 Terex
Skyjack
Kalmar Omniquip
Grove
0
0.1 0.2 0.5 1 2 5 10
Where to get the
Company level SEC filings or other company specific reports (e.g. D&B, OneSource)
Industry magazines and other periodical literature searches
data: Industry equity and debt research analysts
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner Group, Forrester, etc.)
Offering Memorandum (careful – could include management biases)
Are there consistent themes in the competitors who are winning? Losing?
What to look for/ Which competitors appear to be making strategic and operating shifts to respond to changes in the market?
questions to ask: Which competitor actions will change the dynamics of the whole market?
What actions can you predict for each competitor given their profiles?
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Template seven: Competitor profiles
DRAFT
Competitor A B C D E
(EXAMPLE)
Stated Strategy: To dominate the branded sector in
the direct channel and maximize
share of wallet of top customers
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Competitor conduct
You will need to drive the competitor profile to a
conclusion regarding the target’s position
Est. Commercial/
Agricultural Metal Impact
Roofing/Siding Plant Product on
Competitor Sales Locations Pricing Service Breadth Channel Strategy/Comments Metal
Co.
WC $70M OH, AL, KY, Lowest Poor Narrow selection Lumber Low price product niche strategy.
KS, MN no aluminum yards Poor product quality (some
limited profiles secondary steel). Focus on
animal confinement. Integrated
steel mill
MSM $65M WA, IL, FL, Low Fair Average selection Direct Aggressive pricing, focus on
CO, MN, Lumber smaller customers. Bypass
MO, OH, yards distribution channel: straight to
TN, PA, IN, contractors. Strict/severe
WA, TX corporate culture
Victor $58M AR, KY, Average Good/ Average selection Direct Contractor-direct,
OH, OR, (less fair limited commerical/residential focus
MN, TX, than aluminum (product focus: galvalume).
WA Fabral) Strong push into U.S. from
Canada
McDane $44M CA, GA, IL, Same as Good Average selection Direct High price/quality, focus on
MI, VA Fabral no aluminum Lumber residential, similar positioning to
(high quality) yards Fabral. “Friendly”, “sleeper”
competitor
ABC $29M FL, GA, IL, Lowest Good/ Narrow selection Direct Low price product niche strategy.
KY, NE, NY, fair offer aluminum (some Poor product quality
TX(x3), VA, few profiles lumber
TN, OK (poor quality) yards)
Granite $8M MO Low Fair Narrow selection Lumber Regional/agriculture focus.
no aluminum yards Integrated player. Signs of exiting:
sale of coil to Metal Co.
Balder $4M OK, TX Low Fair Narrow selection Direct Low price local market strategy
few profiles (limited national presence)
few colors
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Template 8: Profit pools DRAFT
Measure the profits made across the value chain to determine the relative
Objectives:
power of buyers versus suppliers in this industry
Find the most recent measure of profit for the major players in this industry overall based on
Directions to
the previous slide in absolute dollar terms
fill out:
Lay out the key supplier and buyer elements of the value chain on either side of the industry
in question including key distribution points as appropriate
Find overall revenue (i.e. market size) for each of the supplier and buyer side elements of
the value chain for the same year as the profits
Find an average industry profit margin on revenue for each of the supplier and buyer side
elements
Multiply the margins with the overall revenues of each element to understand how much
profit each element makes relative to the industry in question
Graph absolute profit pools from left to right in relative proportion to indicate who makes the
profit along this chain
Indicate trends and key factors for why the profits are as large as they are within that
segment below the chart
Company level SEC filings or other company specific reports (e.g. D&B, OneSource)
Where to get
the data: Industry magazines and other periodical literature searches
Industry equity and debt research analysts
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner
Group, Forrester, etc.)
Offering Memorandum (careful – could include management biases)
Which element in the chain captures the greatest share of total profits available? Why?
What to look
for/Questions Is the target performing in the right profit pool? Do trends and factors indicate a positive or
to ask: negative implication for an investment in the target?
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Template 8: Supply chain profit pools
DRAFT
Operating Margin
50%
50%
40
30% 30%
30
20% 20%
20
10
5%
0
Raw Conversion Supplier Industry Distributors Buyer
Materials Distribution to Buyers Servicers
% of Industry Revenue
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Auto retail sales profit pool (1999)
Leasing has the highest margins, but OEM, Car Dealers and Auto
Insurers are the three largest winners of absolute profits in the
industry despite low margins
25%
23%
20%
Operating Margin
15%
Leasing
10% 9%
6%
6%
6%
Insurance
New Products 5%
5% 4%
Auto
Auto Rental
Auto Loans
3% Warranty
Service After
1% 2% 2% Repair Market
OEM Used car dealers Gasoline Parts
0
0 25% 50% 75% 100%
% of Industry Revenue
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Template 9: Market Share Trends
DRAFT
Measure each company’s historic ability to gain market share
Objectives:
Use the same segment or industry definitions as all previous analyses – specifically the RMS
Directions to
vs ROS graph
fill out:
Use units or revenues to be consistent with your previous market share analyses – in
Template 2 and Template 4
Collect historical units or revenues for each company
Calculate and graph historical market share for each company
One method to graph is to ensure that each adds up to 100% of the same area allowing you
to directly measure market share
Historical company level SEC filings or other company specific reports (e.g. D&B,
Where to get
OneSource)
the data:
Historical industry magazines and other periodical literature searches
Industry equity and debt research analysts
Industry report writing groups (e.g. Datamonitor, Frost and Sullivan, Nilson, Gartner
Group, Forrester, etc.)
Offering Memorandum (careful – could include management biases)
Have market shares been so stable over time that it appears difficult to gain or lose share
What to look
quickly for any given player?
for/Questions
Has the target gained or lost share? To reach projected growth rates versus industry growth
to ask:
does it have to gain share more quickly than it ever has? Than anyone ever has?
Can the players who had lower market share in the RMS vs ROS slide gain share quickly
enough to change their profitability position?
Have new entrants taken quick positions in this market? Why? Have large dominant players
lost share in this market? Why? ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
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Template 9: Market Share Trends
Note that A and B used to dominate in what could be a fragmented
market (lots of other small players) but have had some share taken
DRAFT
from them and some from Other. Perhaps E was a roll-up of small
players in its segment?
100%
80 Other
60 E
D
40 C
B
20
A
0
1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01
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Fresh-cut salad supermarket market shares
(1997-00)
Dole has gained market share from both the smaller players
and Fresh Express since 1997
Annual Supermarket
Fresh-Cut Salad Sales CAGR
(97-00)
Other -16%
100% Earthbound Farm 56%
Salad Time -20%
Ready Pac -3%
Private Label 24%
80
60 Dole 28%
40
0
1997 1998 1999 2000
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Template 10: Valuation Trends DRAFT
Objectives: Understand public perception of value trends for this industry and for
specific players
Create a baseline for valuation
Directions to Use the same time frame as previous analyses or redefine time frame to
fill out: show more recent detail if highly volatile
Collect and write down market capitalization for each public company
Index figures to the same point in time for all companies shown
Create a comparison index for the industry, like industries or the whole
market (e.g. S&P 500 index) and graph with the other data
Calculate other meaningful historical valuation ratios (e.g. EV/EBITDA)
These other ratios can be graphed or listed along side as reference
400
S&P 500
300
200 A
B
100 D
0
1990 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01
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Share price performance: Spirits
comparison
After strong growth in 1991, the Drink Co share price has
under performed most of its spirits competitors
Competitor A
600
Competitor B
500
Drink Co
400
Competitor C
300
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ja
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
Ju
n
n
l
l
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
-9
1
6
1
6
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Template 11: Recent Transactions
DRAFT
Objectives: Understand current M&A by private and public players to gain insight into:
- Potential longer term player strategies to win in this market (e.g. gain scale)
- Public and private perceptions of value
- Measure comparable entry and exit options and multiples
Directions to Find all transactions in the last few years (e.g. acquisitions, mergers and divestitures)
fill out: List acquirer, acquiree, date, transaction amount, available multiples and structure notes
List on page in relevant format:
- By date
- By acquirer
- By segment
- By company
Summarize key points that influence investment thesis (e.g. entry or exit options or
multiples, insights into strategic direction of key players, etc.)
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Precedent FBO Acquisitions - Companies
Enterprise EV/LTM EV/
Date Target Acquiror Target Description
Value Revenue EBITDA
• 11/15/00 • Aircraft Service • Signature Flight • Provides ground-handling, $137.9M 0.9x 9.4x
International Support Corp. (BAA fueling, and a range of
Group (Ranger Group plc) passenger and
Aerospace Corp.) maintenance services
• 7/26/00 • Ogden Ground • John Menzies PLC • Provides ground and cargo $105.0M 0.6x 6.2x
Services (Ogden handling, passenger
Aviation Services) services, fueling and airport
maintenance
• 6/05/00 • Lynton Aviation • BBA Group PLC • Provides aviation services $55.0M N/A N/A
Inc. including sales and repairs
• 2/10/99 • Hudson General • GlobeGround GmbH • Provides aircraft ground $120.0M 0.7x 5.7x
Corp. (Lufthansa) handling, fueling, de-icing,
maintenance and ground
transportation
• 7/25/96 • Signature Flight • BBA Group plc • Provides refueling, cargo $139.7M N/A N/A
Group handling, cleaning and
maintenance services to
corporate and commercial
aircraft
• 12/15/98 • AMR Combs Inc. • Signature Flight • Owns a chain of 11 FBOs in $170.0M 1.0X N/A
Support Corp. (BBA the United States
Group plc) Average: 8.0x
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Template 12: Industry Capital Structure
DRAFT
Directions to Find most current available balance sheet and cash flow statements for the
fill out: largest companies. Use the same recent year for all companies for
comparability
Group right side of balance sheet items into liabilities and equity using
consistent definitions and graph as percentages of 100%. Show each company
found
Find available Free Cash Flow figures and average capital expenditure rates for
a consistent set of current years or periods
Show reinvestment rates in capital expenditures as percentages for each
company on the same page as capital structures
Note average industry figures for both capital structure as well as reinvestment
rates
What to look What capital structure should we use to model this investment?
for/ Questions Are the capital structures currently used in the industry appropriate for their
to ask: businesses or would we change it if we owned target?
What reinvestment rates should be used in cash flow models?
Are the reinvestment rates used in the industry appropriate for the industry?
What capital releasing/requiring actions might we take with the target that will
require us to change our forecast reinvestment rates in the model?
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Template 12: Industry Capital Structure
DRAFT
Percent of Total
Capital Structure Reinvestment Rates
as of 1/1/2001
Capital Structures (Period Capital Expenditures/Period FCF)
100%
$__M $__M $__M $__M $__M
Company Reinvestment Rate
(Full Year 2000)
Equity
27%
20%
25%
30% A 4%
80 35%
Average=
73% Debt
B 5%
60 C 3%
D 4%
40
73%
Debt
80%
75%
70%
65% E 4%
20 Industry Average 4%
0 Company A B C D E
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Template 13: Industry Seasonality DRAFT
Revenues
40
20
Cash Flow
0
-20
Q1 2 3 4 Q1 2 3 4 Q1 2 3 4E
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Toy Industry Seasonality (1998-01 Q1)
DRAFT
4,000
Revenues
2,000
0 Operating
Cash Flows
-2,000
1998 Q1 98 Q3 99 Q1 99 Q3 00 Q1 00 Q3 01 Q1
ABCCapitalPartnersPEFirmStrateg
y 216
GXC
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Additional Industry-Specific Analyses
As necessary, you may want to look into delving into more DRAFT
industry specific analyses: