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Formation Brands - Replenishment Pull Systems Rev FB
Formation Brands - Replenishment Pull Systems Rev FB
Replenishment
& Inventory
Management Visibility
Learning Objectives
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Push Systems & 4Pull Systems –
4
Introduction to Replenishment
Pull Systems
Definition:
the customer and the production process – Replenishment of the buffer is based upon
actual customerReplenishment
“pulls” (demand) from the buffer.
Signal
Consumption
Procurement Process
Strategic
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Push Systems &7Pull Systems – 7
Replenishment Pull System Benefits
Effectiveness: Pull Systems will improve effectiveness by supplying
the “right product at the right time” to the customer, thus increasing
on-time delivery.
Efficiency: A pull system can attain the same throughput as a push
system with less average WIP (and, therefore, a shorter lead time).
Productivity: Replenishment pull systems virtually eliminate part
shortages to up-stream operations, allowing resources more “up” time
to produce product.
Quality: Low WIP (and associated lead time) systems are more
sensitive to quality (and, therefore, force problem resolution) and
facilitate it (by improving feedback and learning cycles).
Ease of Control: Pull systems rely on setting easily controllable WIP
levels, versus release rates for push systems (maintaining constant
throughput is much more difficult).
General:
Pull Systems differ from deterministic ‘MRP’ inventory control systems which are
normally good at handling macro management of inventory in stores instead
by driving inventory management actions based on actual inventory movement
in the entire supply chain rather than only planned inventory movement from
stocks. In short Pull systems provide earlier supply chain signals that allow
focused ‘action’ rather than ‘re-action’.
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Push Systems & 9Pull Systems –
9
Replenishment Pull System Design Drivers
Pull
Pullsystem
systemgoals:
goals: establish
establishinventory
inventorycontrol
control(Kanban
(Kanbansizing),
sizing),stabilize
stabilizefill
fillrate,
rate,
reduce
reduceinventory
inventory––ininthat
thatorder!
order!
Effectiveness, then Efficiency
Effectiveness, then Efficiency
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 10
Replenishment Pull Applications
(Deterministic Planning)
Volume
ACTIVE Repetitive
Volume and Mix Sensitive- Market immature
Products:
Ideal Inventory Plan for Seasonal Products : 5 Cycles per Calendar Year
Objective: Zone 4 Starts
Plan the Introduction to Inventory AND
Seasonal
The Selloff Phase at Birth Inventory Event
Zone 1 Starts Level
in Stock Zero Level
Date
(ED)
Zero Level
Event
Date
(ED)
As parameters change,
Supplier
Receive Supplier Supplier Receive and
Generate and
and Prepare and Transport Inspect
Mail/Fax PO
Log/ Ship Product Product Product
Enter PO
SLT
OF is the frequency that a specific part is ordered (drives
order quantity). When the supplier or the customer
require large quantities, these drive the OF which must
consider three situations.
– Staff practices in placing orders, (transactions)
– Minimum Order Quantities from the supplier, and
– Large, infrequent orders from the customer.
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 17
Demand (DMD)
DMD is the usage over a period of time. Ensure that the
demand is calculated in the same units as the other
components (i.e. weeks, days, etc.)
Stable Demand
(Little growth or decline projected)
One has to be careful when using only historical usage
Stable Demand
Seasonal Demand changes in Stable
the business
Demand – i.e., product mix, volume
(Little growth or decline projected)
(Projected growth)
• Historical Usage
Stable Demand
(Projected growth)
• Forecasted Demand
• Look Ahead Window to firm orders
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 18Systems – 18
Replenishment Pull
are used if the parts see seasonality or other volume
Handling Seasonality
Resizing in a procurement pull system can be calculated automatically on a daily
basis. It captures the living nature of a very active product portfolio.
300
Volume (X1000 pcs)
1.5
250
% of Yr Avg
200
1
150
100 0.5
50
- 0
Demand
Demand
Point
(Cal SS) MLT
Cycle Stock & Safety Stock
+
Supplying Process
Supplying or Consuming?
Consuming Process
This diagram represents a ‘coupled’ system, with supplying processes
delivering items ‘just-in-time’ to the consuming process
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 22
Replenishment Pull Systems
Inventory Buffers
Demand (DMD)
– Average weekly or Average Daily Usage (ADU)
– Based on either history, forecast (backlog) or combination
– Recalculated frequently in order to capture changes in trends
Supplier Lead Time (SLT)
– Time from when a release (PO) is sent to the supplier until parts are received
(replenishment time)
Order Frequency (OF)
– Represents the order frequency (days), or order quantity (units) that should be
purchased and is based on the situation. May be driven by MOQ, staffing, or size
of customers orders
– Working to reduce the OF will reduce average stock levels
Safety Stock (SS)
– Parts required to compensate for variation (i.e. demand, quality, vendor delivery)
As
Asparameters
parameterschange,
change,the
theassociated
associatedpull
pullsystem
system
sizing
sizing(Kanban)
(Kanban)needs
needsto
toadjust
adjustaccordingly!
accordingly!
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 25
Agenda
Introduction
Sizing a Replenishment Pull System
Exercise
Implementation Tips
OI
LT Stock Stock
SS
Three Components:
– Lead Time (LT) Stock
– Safety Stock (SS)
– Order Interval (OI)
Once sized, the quantity of items
in the full loop remains constant Stock
Sometimes called
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
Production Interval
27
(PI) Stock
Lead Time (LT) Stock
-1s
-2s
-3s
+3s < 99.73% of Values < -3s
+2s < 95.46% of Values < -2s
+1s < 68.27% of Values < -1s
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 31
Service Level
Demand Distribution
+3s
+2s
-1s
-2s
-3s
The primary concern is stocking out due to high demand… or the top
half of the distribution
So the probability of being above -1s = (68.27%/2)+50% 84%
This is Service Level = 1
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 32
Service Level (cont.)
Demand Distribution
+3s
+2s
-1s
-2s
-3s
Service Level = 1: 84% Probability of in-stock
Service Level = 2: 98% Probability of in-stock
Service Level = 3: 99.9% Probability of in-stock
COPYRIGHT 2014 FIREFLY CONSULTING, ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 33
b
LT
How
Howcan
canthis
thisinformation
informationbebeused
used Stock
when
whenestimating
estimatingsavings
savingsresulting
resulting
from
from‘right-sizing’
‘right-sizing’inventories?
inventories?
Reorder
Point
OI
LT Stock Stock
SS
Introduction
Sizing a Replenishment Pull System
Exercise
Implementation Tips
(3) What is the Highest Buffer (on hand) Inventory we would expect to see? ______
(4) What is the Lowest Buffer (on hand) Inventory we would expect to see? ______
BONUS QUESTIONS: If the BOH = 500 parts and the OOQ = 500 parts, should we trigger? If
so how much?
Introduction
Sizing a Replenishment Pull System
Exercise
Implementation Tips