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mcd2170 Lecture Ppts WK 3 2017 03
mcd2170 Lecture Ppts WK 3 2017 03
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COMMONWEALTH OF AUSTRALIA
Copyright Regulations 1969
WARNING
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by or on behalf of Monash University pursuant to Part VB of
the Copyright Act 1968 (the Act).
The material in this communication may be subject to
copyright under the Act. Any further reproduction or
communication of this material by you may be the subject of
copyright protection under the Act.
Do not remove this notice.
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Learning Objectives
Explain the concept of time value of money and its importance;
Explain the concept of future value (FV);
Demonstrate use of future value in making financial decisions;
Explain the concept of present value (PV) and how it relates to future
value;
Demonstrate use of present value in making financial decisions;
Define simple and compound interest;
Explain the benefits of compounding;
Explain the concept of Effective Annual Rate (EAR);
Demonstrate use of calculator to solve financial problems
Motivation for Wealth, Time & Money
Wealth, Time & Money is the 1st in a series of 3 weeks that introduces financial
mathematics.
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Time Value of Money
The time at which money is earned or paid affects its value
or cost.
Money received or earned today, is greater in value to the
recipient than if received at a later date.
Money paid today is greater in cost to the payer, than if paid
at a later date.
This is intuitively true, would you prefer to receive $1,000 now
or wait 10 yrs. to receive the $1,000. As $1000 today is worth
more than $1000 10 years later.
“ A dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. ”
Using timelines to visualize cash flows
Drawing a time line can help to clearly identify the timing of when money is received or
paid.
– Timeline starts at time 0, which means Now / Present
– Timeline ends at the end of holding period
– Time periods are usually identified on the top of the timeline
– The dollar amount of the cash flow received or paid at each time period is shown
below the timeline
– Positive values represent cash inflows and cash outflows are indicated by negative
numbers
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Example- simple & compound interest
E.g.: You’ve opened a bank account for three years with an initial deposit of $100,000 and interest at 10% p.a.
Calculate the simple interest earned for 3 years
Calculate the compound interest earned for 3 years with annual compounding
-$100,000
(Deposit)
Simple interest on $100,000 invested at 10% per year for three years
– 1st year interest is $10,000
– 2nd year interest is $10,000
– 3rd year interest is $10,000
– Total interest earned: $30,000
Compound interest on $1000 invested at 10% for three years with annual compounding.
– 1st year interest is $10,000 Principal now is $110,000
– 2nd year interest is $11,000 Principal now is $121,000
– 3rd year interest is $12,100 Principal now is $133,100
– Total interest earned: $33,100
0
Effect of Compounding
7
10%
6
5
Future value of $1
4
5%
3
2
2%
1
0%
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Years
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Time Value of Money
Given that money has different value dependent on the
time it is earned or paid, three central rules arise:
− Money can be only be combined and compared
if earned at the same time period.
− Moving money forward in time to establish a
value is called compounding.
− Moving money backward in time to establish a
value is called discounting.
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Understanding Value
When money is compounded, a future value is obtained. A
single cash flow, compounded over time can be calculated by
Where:
FV - the accumulated future value at end of holding period
PV- the cash flow at time 0,
is the appropriate interest rate, and
the number of periods / payments
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Future Value Interest factor (FVIF)
is FVIF
FVIF is the FV of 1 dollar at i% per annum after n
periods.
– It depends on the number of periods in which
interest can be compounded. The larger the
number of periods, the greater the future value.
– It also depends critically on the interest rate.
The higher the interest rate, the greater the
FVIF.
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Present Value Interest Factor- PVIF
PVIF: 1/(1 + i)n
PVIF is the PV of 1 dollar at % per annum after n
periods
– Present value depends on the number of periods
in which interest can be discounted. The larger
the number of periods, the smaller the present
value.
– Present value also depends critically on the
assumed interest rate (discount rate) - the higher
the interest rate, the smaller the present value.
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Four Important Cash Flow Patterns
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Timeline: Cash flow patterns
I =10 %
0 1 2 3
CF0 CF2 CF3 n
CF1
If there is only CF0 then it is a case of a single Lump Sum Cash
Flow.
However, if there are CF0, CF1 , CF2, then it is referred to as
Multiple Cash Flows.
If multiple cash flows are all equal: CF0 = CF1 = CF2 = ... = CFn then
it is referred to as an Annuity.
If the annuity goes on forever (n ∞ ) then it is known as a
Perpetuity
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Calculations - Single Cash Flows
(Lump Sum Cash Flow Pattern)
Questions may require you to calculate the following
FV given PV, Interest rate and Time
PV given FV, Interest Rate and
given FV, PV and
n given FV, PV and
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Example 1: Future Value of a Single Lump Sum
Suppose that you invested $1,000 in an investment bank today.
Assume also that you invest at a guaranteed fixed rate of 6.00% after
tax for a period of 5 years. How much will this amount grow to by the
time the investment account matures
FV = PV×(1 + )n
FV = $1000×(1.06)5 = $1,338.23
0
Example 2: How Long is the Wait?
If you deposit $5,000 today in an account paying 10%, how long
does it take to grow to $10,000?
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Example 3: What Rate Is Enough?
Assume the total cost of a 3-year commerce university education
will be $100,000 when your child enters university in 20 years.
Assume you have $5,000 to invest today. What rate of interest
must you earn on your investment to cover the cost of your future
child’s education?
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Example 4: Present Value Lump Sum
How much would you have to set aside today in order to
have $20,000 five years from now assuming the current
interest rate is 7.00%?
PV $20,000
0 1 2 3 4 5
$20,000
PV 5
$14,259.72
(1.07)
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Compounding with non-annual periods
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Example 5: Compounding Frequency
4 2
0.12
FV $200 1 $253.35
4
4 = m; m is the number of quarter per year
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Effective Annual Rate (EAR)
The EAR is the true interest rate expressed as if it were compounded
once per year:
m
i
EAR 1 1
m
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Example 6: Effective annual rate
You have $10,000 to invest for one year and the following choices
are offered by the banks in your area:
(a) 6% p.a., compounded annually;
(b) 5.90% p.a., compounded daily;
Which of the alternatives would you choose?
m 1
i 0.06
a) EAR 1 1 1 1 6.00%
m 1
m 365
i 0.0590
b) EAR 1 1 1 1 6.08%
m 365
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Continuous Compounding
Frequency of compounding (or discounting) within a period of time
approaches infinity (i.e., interest is charged so frequently that the time
between two periods approaches zero)
Interest is compounded instantaneously, i.e.
i n FV
FV PV e PV
Where
e i n
= the number of periods
= the one-period interest rate
= 2.71828182846, a constant (base of natural
logarithms – also known as Euler’s constant)
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Example 7: FV Continuous Compounding
You invest $1,000 in an account today. The interest is 10% p.a.,
compounded continuously. What will be the balance in the account at
the end of five years?
$1,000(1.64872) $1,648.72
0
Example 8: PV Continuous Compounding
Suppose you want a balance of $1,000 at the end of five
years. If interest on the account is 10% p.a., compounded
continuously, how much must you deposit today?
PV FV / e in
$1,000 / e 0.10(5)
$1,000 / 1.64872 $606.53
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Calculations- Multiple Cash Flows
The approach to calculating the future value (or present
value ) of a known mixed stream involves a two step
process.
− Step One: Calculate the future value (or PV) of each
future amount to be received at a comparable point in
time.
− Step Two: Sum all future values (or PV) at a
comparable point in time together to determine the
future value (or PV) of the known mixed stream.
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Example 9: FV Mixed Stream
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Example 9 continued
• Step 1: Draw a time line for time comparability
FV3=1000(1.1)3 = $1331
FV3= 1500(1.1)2 = $1815
0 1 2 3
3 years of growth 2 years of growth 1 year of growth Time comparable
Step 2: summing up
FV= $1331+$1815+$2200+$2500=$7,846
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Example 10: PV Mixed Stream
You deposit $1,500 in one year, $2,000 in two years and $2,500
in three years in an account paying 10% interest per annum.
What is the present value of these cash flows?
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Example 10 continued
Step 1: Draw a time line for time comparability
1878.29=PV0=2500÷(1.1)3
1652.89=PV0= 2000÷(1.1)2
1363.64=PV0= 1500÷(1.1)1
-$2000 -$2500
-$1500
0 1 2 3
Time comparable Discount back 1 Discount back 3
Discount back 2
year years years
Step 2: Summing up
$4,894.82
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Yield / or return
The Yield or Return of an asset is a widely used metric for relative
performance.
It expresses the money earned by the asset, as a percentage of the
price paid for the asset, i.e. 𝑌𝑖𝑒𝑙𝑑= 𝐸𝑎𝑟𝑛𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑠/𝑃𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒
The money earned can be income, capital gains or a combination of
both.
The percentage is usually expressed for a time period, e.g. % per
annum.
The terms Yield and Return are interchangeable. Return is also called
the “Rate of return”
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Various types of return
Nominal return:
– Also known as the annual percentage return (APR).
Effective return: e.g. EAR
– The return that includes the effect of compounding.
Real return.
– The return that accounts for the erosion of purchasing power due
to inflation.
Required rate of return
– The minimum return needed. WACC is an example of a RRoR.
– Commonly used as a discount rate in PV calculations.
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Summary (cont.)
Nominal return (i.e. nominal interest rate ) is the return most commonly
used when financial products are quoted; without the effect of
compounding and inflation.
Effective return (i.e. EAR) is the return that includes the effect of
compounding.
– EAR is the true interest rate expressed as if it were compounded
once per year
Real return (i.e. real interest rate) is the return that removes the effect
of inflation.
0
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