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Ninja Mart May 2022 P&L Sent
Ninja Mart May 2022 P&L Sent
● Regional CM%: fell -0.52pp m-o-m due to lower GM% (-0.65pp) as fall in total GM$ (-30.5%) from both VN (-25.3%) and MY (-33.3%) outpaced the fall in total net revenue (-0.9%)
● Regional OM%: dipped -0.6pp mainly due to lower CM% as improvements in VN indirect costs % of 0.2pp were offset by higher indirect costs % in MY (+0.1pp)
● Regional EBIT%: decreased -0.4pp as higher OM% and higher regional costs (+0.1pp) were cushioned by lower country costs (-0.1pp), mainly from savings in VN
APR-22
5 5
JAN-22 VN: Finance closed on 10 May
1. Finance closed on 14 Feb 2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 18 May
2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 21 Feb → 5 working days
→ 5 working days MY: Finance closed on 18 May
3. Presentation on 22 Feb 2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 25 May
Working days → 5 working days
Working days
FEB-22
5
MAY-22
5
VN: Finance closed on 10 Mar
2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 17 Mar VN: Finance closed on 10 Jun
→ 5 working days 2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 23 Jun
MY: Finance closed on 16 Mar → 5 working days (excluding finstrat offsite)
2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 25 Mar MY: Finance closed on 18 May
→ 7 working days 2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 25 May
Working days
Working days → 5 working days
5
MAR-22
VN: Finance closed on 11 Apr
2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 19 Apr
→ 5 working days
MY: Finance closed on 19 Apr
2. Data scrubbing into MA P&L including analysis by 26 Apr
Working days → 5 working days
Net Revenue Performance over time Historical trend of customer bracket mix
YTD Rev in SGD
(mil) o Actual | o Planned | o Reforecast
Revenue
● M-o-m: net revenue fell -1.8%, driven by:
○ Decrease in # of customers (-6.8%) -> Salesperson turnover + drop off from
customers in feb cohort who graduated from the outreach program
○ Cushioned by increase in average customer spend (+5.5%) due to increase in
revenue/order (+9%) stemming from higher ASPs/unit
● Against targets: net revenue lags behind planned and forecast by -1.7% and -7.2%
respectively
○ Against planned: underperformance due to lower than planned average
m-o-m 52.4% 63.6% -45.1% 59.6% 4.4% -1.8%
spend/customer (-23.1%) despite higher than planned # of customers (-27.9%)
Δ % Plan -4.1% 43.4% -11.3% 6.5% 4.1% -1.7% ○ Against forecast: underperformance due to lower than forecasted # of
Δ % Plan (YTD) -29.7% -14.5% -14.0% -10.5% -8.2% -7.3% customers (-13.1%) despite higher than forecasted average spend (+6.8%)
■ Same as reasons above
Δ % Reforecast 24.6% 18.1% -14.2% 1.7% 1.8% -7.2% ● Note: S$451 was deferred as part of rewards program pilot test (~50 customers),
effect on net revenue is immaterial (-0.01%)
Δ % Reforecast (YTD) 12.1% 14.1% 8.4% 6.9% 6.0% 3.8% ● Insert commentary on June outlook and how we are pushing to hit exit targets
PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Growth in revenue mainly attributable to larger revenues per order as salespersons KPIs shift towards
order sizes
Revenue Waterfall Chart Current month & Performance over time
Net Revenue in SGD
New Customers: 13% ($0.6m) of Apr net rev Retained customers: 87% ($3.5m) of net rev
● M-o-m: +21.6% increase in # of new customers, better than forecast ● M-o-m: -11.1% drop in # of retained customers, behind forecast (-
(+18% increase) - we outperformed in terms of new customers -> why? 0.5% m-o-m drop) -> why did we lose customers?
Wasnt the focus on retention? ● Average spend increased +7.5% to $300 due to
● Average spend fell -2.5% due to ○ Larger order sizes (+43.5%)
○ Lower order frequencies (-16%) ■ Even though there is a shift in orders towards the ‘very
■ Why? small’ order bracket - was the average rev/order
○ Despite order sizes going up (+14%) skewed by a few very large orders?
■ Even though there is a shift in orders towards the ‘very small’ ○ Despite drop in order frequency (-23%) -> was this due to an
order bracket - was the average rev/order skewed by a few very intentional effort by salespeople to visit less often but get
large orders? customers to order more?
Net Revenue
in SGD
Average Monthly Customer Spend
Note: graph excludes Detergents & Personal Care 0.0% 105% -5%
telecom cards which Total 100% -3% -17%
have infinite shelf life
YTD GM %
o Actual | o Planned | o Reforecast
*Top 10 subcategories by net rev weight. Inventory write-offs are not taken into account in this margin calculation from Aug’21 on,
while before that inventory write-offs were not recorded separately and adjustments impacted the margins
Sales mix:
● Increase in beer weightage by 5.5pp -> how did we sell so much this month? Intentional? Or seasonal or better pricing? In May, there was an increase in the prices of Soft
drinks, Non carb drink, Water, so the sales team focused on selling beer. Beer Huda, the factory pays a discount to NinjaMart, so %mg is over 3%. Green and yellow Larue
beer, the factory price increased by 10,000vnd/barrel, due to the large quantity stored, %mg was at 2.28%.
● Increase in sweet and confectionery weightage by 0.5pp -> reason for increase? was this intentional pushing?
● Increase in fresh milk weightage by 3.1pp -> reason?
Margins:
● Non-carb drink margins: what contributed to the increase in margins? Stocking a large amount of URC goods before the market increases the price of 3,000vnd/barrel, so
%mg is above 3.7% (%mg after discount).Sting's goods purchased in large quantities therefore have a good price with Pepsico's discount, so it is above 4%.
● Dairy margins: due to vinamilk cashback which was not accrued in May due to uncertainty over recoverability in light of VNM dispute. We expect to receive the cashback
this week.
● Grocery margins:
○ Cooking oil: reason for huge drop in margin? Rev Weight 67.9% 8.8% PRIVATE
11.3%AND CONFIDENTIAL
9.8% 2.2%
○ Instant foods: reason for huge drop in margin?
●
DC% increased +0.1pp m-o-m due to higher LM$ (+4.3%) as 3 new monthly trucks were rented in
anticipation of higher # orders based on forecast + higher fuel costs
Direct Costs Performance over time DC as % of net rev Performance over time
MTD DC by mode in
% of net rev
M-o-m:
● FF: Increase in FF/order by 12.2% to $2.2 as FF$ (-1.1%) did not fall as much as # of
orders (-9.8%) -> economies of scale not achieved this month
● LM: LM% increased 0.1pp and LM/order increased +15.7% to $6.6 as LM$ increased
(+4.3%) while net revenue (-1.7%) and # orders (-9.8%) decreased
○ Reason for increase in LM cost?
Against forecast:
● FM: Both FM% and FM/order post better than forecast by +0.05pp and +14%
respectively
○ reason?
m-o-m 0.7% 0.8% -1.7% 0.3% 0.7% -0.2% ● FF: FF/order posts higher than forecast by +3.3%
○ Driven by lower than forecasted # of orders (-9.8%) as FF$ posts better than
DC as % of net rev -4.1% -3.3% -5.1% -4.8% -4.2% -4.3%
forecast (-5.7%)
Δ % Plan 0.6% 1.5% 0.7% -0.2% 0.1% -0.1%
● LM: LM% posts better than forecast by +0.35pp as LM$ posts below forecast by 9.6%
Δ % Rfc 1.7% 1.4% -0.3% -0.3% 0.6% 0.4% despite net revenue falling by -1.7%
○ Reason for lower than forecasted LM$
PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Lower # of waypoints (-13.7%) and units delivered per day (-25%) this month due to drop in # of orders
(-9.8%) exacerbated by the fall in units/order (-14%)
Last Mile Performance over time LM Performance Performance over time
MTD LM in %
of net rev LM cost/order $5.7 $7.1 $5.6 $6.0 $5.7 $6.6
LM cost/order
(Planned) $7.8 $7.8 $10.0 $7.9 $7.3 $7.2
● $LM per km increased 1.2% to $1.09 as increase in $LM (+4.3%) from 3 new
monthly trucks and higher fuel prices outpaced the longer delivery distance (+3%)
○ Reason for longer delivery distance?
● Daily avg. number of waypoints decreased (-13.7%) to 15.7
LM as % of net rev -2.9% -2.3% -3.3% -3.3% -2.9% -3.0%
○ Due to drop in # of orders (-9.8%) coupled increase in # of total truck days
m-o-m -3.4% -3.0% -3.0% -3.1% -3.1% -3.1%
(+4.7%)
Δ % Plan 0.4% 0.6% -0.9% -0.1% 0.5% -0.2% ● Meanwhile, each truck delivered 129 (-25%) less units per day
Δ % Plan (YTD) 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% -0.1% 0.0% -0.2% ○ Due to drop in # orders (-9.8%) coupled with drop in units/order fell from
% rfc 1.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.5% 0.3% 28 to 24 (-14%)
MTD in SGD
Opex
● OPEX$ increased 4.9% m-o-m as additional PCs were
purchased for warehouse staff to deal with the increasing
workload
Commissions
● Commissions reports at 0.6%, +0.5pp ahead of planned and
as % of net rev -1.9% -1.1% -0.6% 0.0% -3.7%
forecast
m-o-m 0.5% -0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.4% ● With the one month delay in booking commissions being
adjusted for, Apr commissions against Apr net revenue
Δ % Plan 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.7% decreased by -0.1pp to 0.6% as growth in net revenue (+4.4%)
Δ % Reforecast 1.5% -0.2% 0.5% 0.0% 1.8% outpaced the increased in comms $ (4%)
Operating Margin Performance over time OM Waterfall Chart (Previous to Current Month)
MTD OM %
OM Waterfall Chart (Planned to Actuals)
MTD in SGD
*Using total number of customers instead of new customers as no planned numbers for new customers are available
Local cost:
● Against targets: as % of net rev
○ Exceeds planned by -0.8pp due to higher than planned marketing expenditure
(-372%)
○ Better than forecast by +0.4pp due to lower than forecasted marketing
expenditure by -8.1% -> why?
● M-o-m: as a % of revenue has increased by +0.3pp as absolute local cost
increased (+2.3%) amidst net revenue decrease (-1.7%)
○ Increase stemming from increase in marketing expenditure (+34%)
as % of net rev -3.7% -7.0% -1.2% -11.9%
Sales and marketing cost
as % of net rev (YTD) -5.0% -8.6% -1.6% -15.1% ● As a % of net rev: higher than planned by +0.8pp as marketing costs posts
(372%/$76k) more than planned, amidst lower net revenues than planned
m-o-m 0.4% -0.3% 0.0% 0.2% (1.7%/$69k)
● Per customer: increased by 30% to $19.2 due to higher marketing spend fall in #
Δ % Plan 0.7% -0.8% -0.3% -0.5% of customers (-5.9%) but is 12% lower than planned as # of customers surpasses
planned by 28%
○ Ryan to input
Δ % Rfc 2.1% 0.4% -0.2% 2.0%
Regional costs:
● Against targets: As a % of net rev, -0.2pp more than reforecast due to higher
travel expenses (+67%) PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
MTD EBIT margin improved +0.2pp due to better OM% but posts behind planned by -0.5pp due to
higher local and regional costs
Post-regional EBIT Performance over time Post-reg EBIT Waterfall Chart (Prev. to Cur. Month)
YTD EBIT %
o Actual | o Planned | o Reforecast
MTD EBIT %
Δ % Plan (YTD) 0.4% 2.9% 2.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.6% ● EBIT % improved +0.2% m-o-m, posting 0.5pp behind
planned and 2pp ahead of reforecast
Δ % Reforecast 0.5% 6.3% -0.8% 0.1% 2.1% 2.0% ○ M-o-m: better OM% was offset by higher local costs
Δ % Reforecast ○ Comparing planned to actuals, better OM% was
(YTD) 2.2% 2.3% 1.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.6%
outweighed by higher local and regional costs
Nicolette/
FA discrepancies - updates - To input Ongoing Ryan/
Audrey
Ongoing Anthony
Target $ 4,404,251
Δ from Target 92.6%
Floor $ 3,743,613
Δ from Floor 126.6%
Net Revenue Performance over time M-o-m outlet and order count
YTD Rev in SGD
o Actual | o Planned
Outlet count: behind planned as planned numbers are based on list from BAT
which contained dormant outlets
Revenue
● M-o-m: fall attributable to decrease in spend/outlet (-2.7%) coupled with
slight drop in # of active stores (-0.6%)
m-o-m 25.2% 121.0% 170.7% 24.5% 23.9% -3.3% ● Against planned: surpassed targets by +92.6% due to
Δ % Plan 68.0% 74.6% 158.2% 89.1% 99.2% 92.6% ○ Higher than planned average outlet spend (+302%)
○ Despite lower than planned # of outlets (-52.8%) as BAT list of
Δ % Plan (YTD) 51.1% 63.2% 109.3% 100.2% 99.8% 98.0%
customers did not account for some dormant stores
■ Team is looking into reactivating these dormant stores next FY
when we launch into multi-cat
PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Slight drop in outlet spend (-2.7%) as fall in order frequency (-16%) was cushioned by the increase in
spend/order (+16%)
Key Metrics
Salesperson (driver) productivity Units of economics
o Orders/Salesperson | o Outlets/Salesperson o Outlets/Salesperson (Planned)
Net Revenue
in SGD
Average Monthly Outlet Spend
YTD GM %
o Actual | o Planned
Adjusted
FF/order:
0.12
MTD DC by mode in Note: WH staff costs were wrongly tagged to sales costs in Feb.
% of net rev Adjusted FF% and FF/order reflected in the orange box.
Adjusted FF%:
0.07%
Against planned
● DC as % of net revenue posts +0.6pp better than planned
○ As net revenue surpasses planned (+92.6%) despite DC$ posting more than planned (-
3.5%)
■ Planned for LM efficiencies in Q4 FY22 (via reduction in # of drivers) but in actuality
# of drivers remained constant m-o-m as each driver had to make more trips to each
store as compared to planned
Δ % Plan -0.5% 0.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.0% ● Against planned: Posts in line with planned as better LM% was offset by
lower than planned GM%
Δ % Plan (YTD) -0.3% 0.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5%
PRIVATE AND CONFIDENTIAL
Adjusted comms % posts 0.1pp higher m-o-m as as more salespeople hit their Mar targets, in line with
Mar’s good performance
CM to OM walkthrough Current month Historical trend of commissions as % of net rev
MTD in SGD
Opex
● M-o-m: 19.2% lower absolute OPEX costs as Mar’s amount
contained reallocation of 2 hubs rental for the previous 6
months
● As % of net rev, improved by -0.1pp as decrease in absolute
OPEX outweighed the decrease in net revenue (-3.3%)
Commissions
● With the one month delay in booking commissions being
as % of net rev 0.7% -0.5% -0.4% 0.0% 0.0% -0.2% adjusted for, comms posts 0.1pp higher in line with stronger
performance in Mar
m-o-m -0.7% 0.1% -0.1% -0.1% 0.0% -0.8%
AR defaults
% Plan 0.7% -0.2% 0.0% -0.2% 0.0% 0.3% ● No AR defaults booked for the month as no ARs have been
outstanding for >90 days
Δ % Plan 0.0% -0.2% -0.4% 0.2% 0.0% -0.5%
Operating Margin Performance over time OM Waterfall Chart (Previous to Current Month)
o Actual | o Planned
YTD OM %
MTD OM %
OM Waterfall Chart (Planned to Actuals)
OM to EBIT walkthrough Current month Total Sales & Marketing Cost/Outlet* as % of net rev
MTD in SGD
Adjusted sales
Note: all regional cost %: 0.87%
costs under VN
for FY22
Adjusted sales
cost/cust: $8.6
Local cost %:
● M-o-m: increased 1pp due to fall in net revenue (-3.3%) coupled
with slight increase in local cost (+0.8%) mainly stemming from
office and GA expenses (refurbished desktops, aircon servicing)
as % of net rev -0.2% -1.0% 0.0% -1.1% and travel expenses
Post-regional EBIT Performance over time Post-reg EBIT Waterfall Chart (Prev. to Cur. Month)
YTD EBIT %
o Actual | o Planned
MTD EBIT %
Δ % Plan (YTD) 3.1% 2.2% 3.6% 2.7% 2.3% 1.9% ● EBIT % has dipped -0.8pp m-o-m mainly due to drop in OM
% as explained previously
YES Sim packs & Top up cards to start trial in June, Pending contracts from Yes
Updates on potential multi-category products Mid June Matthew
Staedtler Carton distribution in June, opening talks for pre-sales opportunity
Build to knock off ARs and maintain a ledger on system to aid Central Finance to
AMAST (DMS) Updates - AR Reporting reconcile payments from our Direct Accounts is up and running. Shoring up on End of May Jeremy
alignment with central finance before a cadence for the process is put into place.