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Forex Market - 2
Forex Market - 2
Basic calculation-cont.
FOREIGN CURRENCY
Basis Point As cent represents one hundredth of a dollar 1 dollar = 100 cents = 100 basis points
For example $/ 1.8525. This means that there is one dollar, 85 cents and 25 basis points to the pound or there is one dollar and 851/4 cents to the pound Illustration $/ 1.8645
Narrate the exchange rate in terms of basis points There is one Dollar, 86 cents and 45 basis points to the pound Illustration $/ 1.0550
Illustration If exchange rate: $/ 1.5240; and Y/ 235.20 Determine Exchange rate Y/$ Solution
Y/$ =
Illustration 2
If exchange rate: DM/ 2.5150; and PTE/ 205.80 Determine Exchange rate PTE/DM
Solution 2 Illustration 3
Solution 3
Illustration 4
If exchange rate: SFF/ 4.3510; and $/SFF 0.4450 Determine Exchange rate $/
Solution 4
However, be careful if you wish to turn exchange rate around in this way and you are given a buying and selling rate. Not only should you take the inverse of each, but also switch each around s follows:
$/ /$
/$
1.482 1 1.485
0.6734
1.485 1 1.482
0.6748
Illustration 6
If exchange rate: Rs./$ 55 58 ; and Rs./Y 0.4852 0.4910 Determine Exchange rate $/Y
Rs./$ 1 58
$/Rs. Rs./Y
55
58 1 55
0.01818 0.491
Rs./$
0.1724 0.4852
$/Y
0.008365
0.008926
Illustration 6
If exchange rate: $/ 1.522 1.526 ; and Y./ 234.8 235.4 Determine Exchange rate Y/$
SOLUTION Illustration 6
$/
1.522 1 1.526
Y/ Y/$ 234.8 153.8663
1.526 1 1.522
235.4 154.6649
/$
Spot Market
Is where you can buy and sell currencies for immediate (i.e. on the spot) exchange or delivery.
Forward Market
Is where you can arrange a deal now to buy or sell a specific amount of currency at a specific rate of exchange (the forward rate) for exchange/delivery on a specific future date (the forward date). Although spot markets exist for most of the worlds currencies, for many of the more minor currencies there is no forward market, because there is insufficient demand. The four major trading currencies in the world are the US$, , Y and DM and the forward market amongst these currencies can stretch up to 10 years forward. Standard periods of time forward are one month, three months and these rates and together with the spot rate are instantly available. Other forward rates such as the 84 days forward rate have to be specially quoted by the bankers.
However it is more likely that instead of being given the forward rates like this you are given them as a rate of discount on the spot rate: $/pound spot One month forward 1.5840 1.5860 4.50 c 4.75 c discount
To obtain the actual forward rate, you add the discount to spot rate Therefore: Spot Add discount 1 month forward And 1.5840 1.5860 0.0450 0.0475 1.6290 1.6335
Spot
Add discount 3 months forward
1.5840 1.5860
0.0685 - 0.0700 1.6525 - 1.6560
When Forward rates < Spot rates Forward rates are at Premium to the spot rates
When forward rates are quoted at a premium, we subtract the premium from the spot rate to find the forward rate. Therefore Whenever forward rates are smaller numbers than spot rates, the forward rates are at a premium
And
this signifies that the first currency is appreciating against the second of the pair of currencies.
Illustration 7
$/pound spot 1 month forward 1.8420 0.85 c 1.8260 0.75 c Premium
The $ is becoming more valuable, it is appreciating against Pound. Every 1 Pound buys you $ 1.8420 at spot, but only buys you $1.18335 in one months time.
Illustration 8
$/pound spot 12 months forward 1.5210 8.65 c Discount
Determine Twelve months forward rate Rate of Depreciation = Discount x 100%= 0.0865 x 100%=5.69% Spot rate 1.5210
Which indicate (as it is a discount) that a forward rate represents a 5.69% depreciation of the $ on the spot rate. As a result, the forward rate can be calculated as: Forward rate 12 month forward = spot rate x (1+ rate of depreciation) = 1.5210 x (1 + 0.0569) = 1.6075
Similarly Rate of Appreciation = Premium x 100% = x % Spot rate Forward rate = Spot rate x (1 rate of appreciation)
Illustration 9
$/pound spot 1.6580 12 months forward 5c Premium Determine Twelve months forward rate
= 0.03 or 3%
Illustration 10
Suppose you are told that $/pound Spot is 1.5345 and the $ is expected to depreciate by 5% per year over the next two years and thereafter appreciate by 7% per year.
Required Calculate the forward rates for the next 5 years. Solution
One year forward
Two years forward Three year forward Four year forward Five year forward