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50780FTV Lecture 3
50780FTV Lecture 3
50780FTV Lecture 3
Financial valuation
• Financial valuation is the process of determining the economic value
of a company, asset, or investment opportunity.
• It's a critical aspect of finance used for various purposes such as
investment analysis, mergers and acquisitions, financial reporting,
and strategic decision-making.
• The valuation provides insights into the worth of an entity based on
its future cash flows, assets, and market comparable.
Importance:
• Investment Decision Making: Investors use valuation to assess investment
opportunities and make informed decisions based on potential returns and risks.
• Mergers and Acquisitions: Valuation is essential for determining the fair value of
companies involved in mergers and acquisitions, ensuring that deals are made at
reasonable prices.
• Financial Reporting: Valuation helps in reporting the fair value of assets and
liabilities in financial statements, ensuring transparency and compliance with
accounting standards.
• Strategic Planning: Companies utilize valuation to evaluate strategic alternatives
and make decisions regarding expansion, diversification, or divestment.
• Legal and Regulatory Compliance: Valuation is often required for regulatory
purposes, tax assessments, legal disputes, and compliance with industry standards.
Methods of Financial Valuation:
• 1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF):
DCF is a valuation method that estimates the present
value of future cash flows generated by an investment
or asset. It involves forecasting future cash flows and
discounting them back to their present value using an
appropriate discount rate, typically the cost of capital
or the weighted average cost of capital (WACC).
• Suppose you want to value a project that is expected to
generate the following cash flows over the next five years:
• Year 1: $100,000
• Year 2: $150,000
• Year 3: $200,000
• Year 4: $250,000
• Year 5: $300,000
• If the discount rate is 10%, the present value of these cash flows
• 2. Comparable Company Analysis (CCA):
• CCA compares the financial metrics of the target
company with those of similar publicly traded
companies (comparable) to derive a valuation.
• Key metrics such as price-to-earnings ratio, price-to-
book ratio, and enterprise value multiples are
analyzed to determine a valuation range for the target
company.
• Example: Let's say you want to value a
technology company. You identify similar
publicly traded technology companies and
collect their financial data, including revenue,
earnings, and market capitalization. By
comparing these metrics with those of the target
company, you can determine a valuation range
based on the multiples observed in the market.
CCA to value a fictional technology
company, TechX Inc.
• Let's consider a numerical example of Comparable Company Analysis
(CCA) to value a fictional technology company, TechX Inc. We will
compare it to similar publicly traded technology companies to derive a
valuation range based on market multiples.
• Step 1: Identify Comparable Companies:
• We will select three publicly traded technology companies similar to
TechX Inc. based on factors such as industry, size, growth prospects, and
business model. For this example, let's choose:
• Company A
• Company B
• Company C
• Step 2: Gather Financial Data:
• Next, we collect financial data for TechX Inc. and the comparable
companies, including:
• Revenue
• Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization
(EBITDA)
• Market Capitalization
• Step 3: Calculate Market Multiples:
• We calculate the following market multiples for each comparable
company:
• Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio:
Market Capitalization / Net Income
• Enterprise Value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) Ratio:
Enterprise Value / EBITDA
• Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio:
Market Capitalization / Revenue
• Step 4: Apply Market Multiples to TechX Inc.:
• We apply the median or average multiples from the comparable
companies to the financial metrics of TechX Inc. to derive a valuation
range.
• Example Data:
• TechX Inc.: Comparable Companies
• Revenue: $100 million (Median Multiples):
• Net Income: $20 million P/E Ratio: 15x
• EBITDA: $30 million EV/EBITDA Ratio: 10x
• Market Capitalization (MC): $500 million
P/S Ratio: 5x
• Enterprise value is similar to its MC
• Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio:
• TechX Inc. P/E Ratio = TechX Inc. Market Capitalization / TechX Inc. Net Income
• TechX Inc. P/E Ratio = $500 million / $20 million = 25M