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F Mayer Presentation
F Mayer Presentation
MAYER IMPORTS :
HEDGING FOREIGN
CURRENCY RISK
Pearson Deaton
Kevin Grant
Rafi Goldman
Paulina Nowak
Agenda
1.Introduction
2.Company overview
3. EX Risk Hedging Possibilities
4.Conclusion
F. Mayer Imports
Private company created in 1957 by Fredrick
Mayer
2. Forward Contract
4. Collar Options
1.Not to hedge - If spot rate in 4 months will be higher than the FEC rate
Option 1 Option 2
The first option gives a better rate that is 50 PIPS higher but the
premium is .32% higher
Collar Option
• Simultaneously writing out-of-money call option and purchasing out-
of-money put option
• Both have same expiration date
• Maximum return (Best Case) = strike price of call
• Minimum return (Worst Case) = strike price of put
• If exchange rate remains between strike price of the call and put,
both options expire
• Why?
• Insurance if exchange rate becomes unfavorable
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/collar.asp
Collar Option F. Mayer Imports
Expiration Date January 14, 2015
Value Date January 16, 2015
B Put Strike 0.6860 $102,040,816 AUD
S Call Strike 0.6942 $100,835,494 AUD
Range 0.0082
https://www.investopedia.com/terms/k/knock-inoption.asp#ixzz5XvOaqM4c
Knock in Forward Option F. Mayer Imports
Liability 70,000,000EUR
This will cost you an additional $284,056 AUD but you also have the choice
to not exercise the option if the spot rate at the time is better then the
option rate
If during the start time and Expiration time that rate increases to .7140 you
are knocked into a sell option to Call (Buy) AUD and PUT (Buy) Euro at the
same rate of .6890
Recommendation: Knock-In Option
• For the previous 12 months, the AUD/EUR had been trading well below the 0.6900
budget range
• Collar option locks in to a rate too low if it continues to fall (30-80 pips below the
knock-in rate of 0.6890)
• Not hedging too risky given weak consumer sentiment, falling iron ore price, and sub-
par economic growth
• Want to hedge against depreciating AUD while still leaving some wiggle room for profits if
it does appreciate
• Still don’t think it will reach the knock-in rate of 0.7140
• The 20 pips lost relative to the FEC of 0.6910 (given the liability of $70M EUR) is far
below the premium cost of the put/call options
• Willing to take on some risk and forgo the 20 pips (AU$294,056) relative to the 4-month
FEC in order to capitalize on the potential profits gained if the rate ends up being greater
than 0.6910 and less than 0.7140