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Environmental Valuation
Environmental Valuation
Environmental Valuation
Abdul M Khan
Natural Resources and Environmental Economics
Sundarban Oil Spill
Deep Horizon Oil Spill
Exxon Valdez
Alaska Spill
The objective is to measure total economic surplus for the increased fish harvest that
would occur if the pollution is cleaned up. This is the sum of consumer surplus plus
producer surplus. Remember that consumer surplus is measured by the maximum
amount that people are willing to pay for a good, minus what they actually pay.
Similarly, producer surplus is measured by the difference between the total revenues
earned from a good, and the total variable costs of producing it. Thus, the researcher
must estimate the difference between economic surplus before the closure and
economic surplus after the closure.
Market Price Method
• Step 1:
The first step is to use market data to
estimate the market demand function and
consumer surplus for the fish before the
closure. To simplify the example, assume a
linear demand function, where the initial
market price is $5 per pound, and the
maximum willingness to pay is $10 per
pound. The figure shows the area that the
researcher wants to estimate ? the consumer
surplus, or economic benefit to consumers,
before the area was closed.
Market Price Method
• Step 1:
At $5 per pound, consumers purchased
10,000 pounds of fish per year. Thus,
consumers spent a total of $50,000 on
fish per year. However, some consumers
were willing to pay more than $5.00 per
pound and thus received a net economic
benefit from purchasing the fish. This is
shown by the shaded area on the graph,
the consumer surplus. This area is
calculated as ($10-$5)*10,000/2 =
$25,000. This is the total consumer
surplus received from the fish before the
Market Price Method
• Step 2:
The second step is to estimate the market
demand function and consumer surplus for
the fish after the closure. After the closure,
the market price of fish rose from $5 to $7
per pound, and the total quantity demanded
decreased to 6,000 pounds per year.
• Thus, the economic benefit has decreased,
as shown in the figure. The new consumer
surplus is calculated as ($10-$7)*6,000/2 =
$9,000.
Market Price Method
• Step 3:
The third step is to estimate the
loss in economic benefits to
consumers, by subtracting
benefits after the closure,
$9,000, from benefits before
the closure, $25,000. Thus, the
loss in benefits to consumers is
$16,000.
Market Price Method
• Step 4:
Because this is a marketed good, the
researcher must also consider the
losses to producers, in this case the
commercial fishermen. This is
measured by the loss in producer
surplus. As with consumer surplus,
the researcher must measure the
producer surplus before and after the
closure and calculate the difference.
Thus, the next step is to estimate the
producer surplus before the closure.
Market Price Method
• Step 4:
Producer surplus is measured by the
difference between the total revenues
earned from a good, and the total variable
costs of producing it. Before the closure,
10,000 pounds of fish were caught per
year. Fishermen were paid $1 per pound,
so their total revenues were $10,000 per
year. The variable cost to harvest the fish
was $.50 per pound, so total variable cost
was $5,000 per year. Thus, the producer
surplus before the closure was $10,000 -
$5,000 = $5,000.
Market Price Method
• Step 6:
The next step is to calculate the loss in
producer surplus due to the closure.
This is equal to $5,000 - $2,400 =
$2,600. Note that this example is
based on assumptions that greatly
simplify the analysis, for the sake of
clarity. Certain factors might make the
analysis more complicated. For
example, some fishermen might switch
to another fishery after the closure, and
thus losses would be lower.
Market Price Method
• Step 7:
The final step is to calculate the
total economic losses due to the
closure?the sum of
lost consumer surplus and lost
producer surplus. The total loss
is $16,000 + $2,600 = $18,600.
Thus, the benefits of cleaning
up pollution in order to reopen
the area are equal to $18,600.
Applying the Market Price Method
• The market price method uses prevailing prices for goods and services traded
in markets, such as timber or fish sold commercially. Market price represents
the value of an additional unit of that good or service, assuming the good is
sold through a perfectly competitive market (that is, a market where there is
full information, identical products being sold and no taxes or subsidies).
• Application of the market price method requires data to estimate consumer
surplus and producer surplus. To estimate consumer surplus, the demand
function must be estimated. This requires time series data on the quantity
demanded at different prices, plus data on other factors that might affect
demand, such as income or other demographic data. To estimate producer
surplus, data on variable costs of production and revenues received from the
good are required.
Advantages of the Market Price Method
• The market price method reflects an individual's willingness to pay for
costs and benefits of goods that are bought and sold in markets, such
as fish, timber, or fuel wood. Thus, people?s values are likely to be
well-defined.
• Price, quantity and cost data are relatively easy to obtain for
established markets.
• The method uses observed data of actual consumer preferences.
• The method uses standard, accepted economic techniques.
Issues and Limitations of the Market Price
Method
• Market data may only be available for a limited number of goods and services
provided by an ecological resource and may not reflect the value of all
productive uses of a resource.
• The true economic value of goods or services may not be fully reflected in
market transactions, due to market imperfections and/or policy failures.
• Seasonal variations and other effects on price must be considered.
• The method cannot be easily used to measure the value of larger scale changes
that are likely to affect the supply of or demand for a good or service.
• Usually, the market price method does not deduct the market value of other
resources used to bring ecosystem products to market, and thus may overstate
benefits.
Contingent Valuation Method
• The contingent valuation method (CVM) is used to estimate economic values
for all kinds of ecosystem and environmental services. It can be used to
estimate both use and non use values, and it is the most widely used method
for estimating non-use values. It is also the most controversial of the non-
market valuation methods.
• The contingent valuation method involves directly asking people, in a survey,
how much they would be willing to pay for specific environmental services.
In some cases, people are asked for the amount of compensation they would
be willing to accept to give up specific environmental services. It is called
“contingent” valuation, because people are asked to state their willingness to
pay, contingent on a specific hypothetical scenario and description of the
environmental service.
Contingent Valuation Method
• The contingent valuation method is referred to as a “stated preference” method,
because it asks people to directly state their values, rather than inferring values from
actual choices, as the “revealed preference” methods do. The fact that CV is based
on what people say they would do, as opposed to what people are observed to do, is
the source of its greatest strengths and its greatest weaknesses. .
• Contingent valuation is one of the only ways to assign dollar values to non-use
values of the environment—values that do not involve market purchases and may not
involve direct participation. These values are sometimes referred to as “passive use”
values. They include everything from the basic life support functions associated
with ecosystem health or biodiversity, to the enjoyment of a scenic vista or a
wilderness experience, to appreciating the option to fish or bird watch in the future,
or the right to bequest those options to your grandchildren. It also includes the value
people place on simply knowing that giant pandas or whales exist.
Contingent Valuation Method
• It is clear that people are willing to pay for non-use, or passive use, environmental benefits.
However, these benefits are likely to be implicitly treated as zero unless their dollar value is
somehow estimated. So, how much are they worth? Since people do not reveal their willingness to
pay for them through their purchases or by their behavior, the only option for estimating a value is
by asking them questions.
• However, the fact that the contingent valuation method is based on asking people questions, as
opposed to observing their actual behavior, is the source of enormous controversy. The conceptual,
empirical, and practical problems associated with developing dollar estimates of economic value on
the basis of how people respond to hypothetical questions about hypothetical market situations are
debated constantly in the economics literature. CV researchers are attempting to address these
problems, but they are far from finished. Meanwhile, many economists, as well as many
psychologists and sociologists, for many different reasons, do not believe the dollar estimates that
result from CV are valid. More importantly, many jurists and policy-makers will not accept the
results of CV. Because of its controversial nature, users must be extremely cautious about spending
money on CV studies and about using the results of CV studies.
Contingent Valuation Method
• Hypothetical Scenario:
A remote site on public land provides important habitat for several species of
wildlife. The management agency in charge of the area must decide whether to
issue a lease for mining at the site. Thus, they must weigh the value of the
mining lease against the wildlife habitat benefits that may be lost if the site is
developed. Because the area is remote, few people actually visit it, or view
the animals that rely on it for habitat. Therefore, non-use values are the largest
component of the value for preserving the site.
• Alternative Approaches:
• Since non-use values are significant, and few people actually visit the site,
other methods, such as the travel cost method, will underestimate the benefits
of preserving the site. In this case, contingent valuation methods might also
be used. However, because we need to value several levels of services, based
on different scenarios, the survey questions might become quite complicated.
Application of the Contingent Choice
Method:
• Because both contingent choice and contingent valuation are hypothetical
survey-based methods, their application is very similar. The main
differences are in the design of the valuation question(s), and the data
analysis.
Step 1:
• The first step is to define the valuation problem. This would include
determining exactly what services are being valued, and who the relevant
population is. In this case, the resource to be valued is a specific site and
the services it provides – primarily wildlife habitat. Because it is federally
owned public land, the relevant population would be all citizens of the U.S.
Application of the Contingent Choice
Method:
• Step 2:
• The second step is to make preliminary decisions about the survey itself,
including whether it will be conducted by mail, phone or in person, how large
the sample size will be, who will be surveyed, and other related questions. The
answers will depend, among other things, on the importance of the valuation
issue, the complexity of the question(s) being asked, and the size of the budget.
• In-person interviews are generally the most effective for complex questions,
because it is often easier to explain the required background information to
respondents in person, and people are more likely to complete a long survey
when they are interviewed in person. In some cases, visual aids such as videos
or color photographs may be presented to help respondents understand the
conditions of the scenario(s) that they are being asked to value.
Application of the Contingent Choice
Method:
• In-person interviews are generally the most expensive type of survey.
However, mail surveys that follow procedures that aim to obtain high
response rates can also be quite expensive. Mail and telephone surveys
must be kept fairly short, or response rates are likely to drop dramatically.
Telephone surveys are generally not appropriate for contingent choice
surveys, because of the difficulty of conveying the tradeoff questions to
people over the telephone.
• In this hypothetical case, the researchers have decided to conduct a mail
survey, because they want to survey a large sample, over a large
geographical area, and are asking questions about a specific site and its
benefits, which should be relatively easy to describe in writing in a
relatively short survey.
Application of the Contingent Choice
Method:
• Step 3:
• The next step is the actual survey design. This is the most important
and difficult part of the process, and may take six months or more to
complete. It is accomplished in several steps. The survey design
process usually starts with initial interviews and/or focus groups with
the types of people who will be receiving the final survey, in this case
the general public. In the initial focus groups, the researchers would
ask general questions, including questions about peoples’
understanding of the issues related to the site, whether they are
familiar with the site and its wildlife, whether and how they value this
site and the habitat services it provides.
Application of the Contingent Choice
Method:
• In later focus groups, the questions would get more detailed and specific, to help
develop specific questions for the survey, as well as decide what kind of background
information is needed and how to present it. For example, people might need
information on the location and characteristics of the site, the uniqueness of species
that have important habitat there, and whether there are any substitute sites that
provide similar habitat.
• At this stage, the researchers would test different approaches to the choice question.
Usually, a contingent choice survey will ask each respondent a series of choice
questions, each presenting different combinations and levels of the relevant services,
as well as the cost to the respondent of the action or policy. In this example, each
choice might be described in terms of the site’s ability to support each of the
important wildlife species. Thus, people will be making tradeoffs among the different
species that might be affected in different ways by each possible choice of scenario.
Application of the Contingent Choice
Method:
• After a number of focus groups have been conducted, and the researchers
have reached a point where they have an idea of how to provide background
information, describe the hypothetical scenario, and ask the choice question,
they will start pre-testing the survey. Because the survey will be conducted
by mail, it should be pretested with as little interaction with the researchers
as possible. People would be asked to assume that they’ve received the
survey in the mail and to fill it out. Then the researchers would ask
respondents about how they filled it out, and let them ask questions about
anything they found confusing. Eventually, a mail pretest might be
conducted. The researchers continue this process until they’ve developed a
survey that people seem to understand and answer in a way that makes
sense and reveals their values for the services of the site.
Application of the Contingent Choice
Method:
• Step 4:
• The next step is the actual survey implementation. The first task is to select
the survey sample. Ideally, the sample should be a randomly selected
sample of the relevant population, using standard statistical sampling
methods. In the case of a mail survey, the researchers must obtain a mailing
list of randomly sampled U.S. citizens. They would then use a standard
repeat-mailing and reminder method, in order to get the greatest possible
response rate for the survey. Telephone surveys are carried out in a similar
way, with a certain number of calls to try to reach the selected respondents.
In-person surveys may be conducted with random samples of respondents,
or may use “convenience” samples – asking people in public places to fill
out the survey.
Application of the Contingent Choice
Method:
• Step 5:
• The final step is to compile, analyze and report the results. The statistical
analysis for contingent choice is often more complicated than that for
contingent valuation, requiring the use of discrete choice analysis methods
to infer willingness to pay from the tradeoffs made by respondents.
• From the analysis, the researchers can estimate the average value for each of
the services of the site, for an individual or household in our sample. This
can be extrapolated to the relevant population in order to calculate the total
benefits from the site under different policy scenarios. The average value
for a specific action and its outcomes can also be estimated, or the different
policy options can simply be ranked in terms of peoples’ preferences.
How Do We Use the Results?
• The results of the survey might show that the economic benefits of
preserving the site by not allowing mining are greater than the benefits
received from allowing mining. If this were the case, the mining lease
might not be issued, unless other factors override these results.
Alternatively, the results might indicate that some mining scenarios are
acceptable, in terms of economic costs and benefits. The results could
then be used to rank different options, and to help select the most
preferred option.
An Example of Choice Experiment
• Consider an example (Landry and Mires, 2017) that surveyed North Carolina
residents on their preferences and willingness to pay for marine cultural
heritage sites (e.g., shipwrecks). The choice experiment included five
attributes including the preservation zone, the availability of public programs
and whether or not there was a walking, virtual, or diving trail.
• reproduces the attributes and levels. With three attributes with three levels
and two with two levels, there are 216 possible different profiles. Best
practices suggests the use of a fractional factorial design and the authors
chose eight versions with three choice sets per version of the survey,
resulting in 24 choice sets.
Choice Experiment: Attributes and Levels
Sample Choice Experiment Question
Sample Choice Experiment Question
Sample Choice Experiment Question
Revealed Preference Methods
• Revealed preference methods are “observable” because they involve
actual behavior and expenditures and “indirect” because they infer a
value rather than estimate it directly. Suppose, for example, a
particular sport fishery is being threatened by pollution, and one of the
damages
caused by that pollution is a reduction in sportfishing. How is this loss
to be valued when access to the fishery is free?
Travel Cost Method
• The travel cost method is used to estimate economic use values
associated with ecosystems or sites that are used for recreation.
• The method can be used to estimate the economic benefits or costs
resulting from:
• changes in access costs for a recreational site
• elimination of an existing recreational site
• addition of a new recreational site
• changes in environmental quality at a recreational site
Travel Cost Method
• The basic premise of the travel cost method is that the time and travel
cost expenses that people incur to visit a site represent the “price” of
access to the site. Thus, peoples’ willingness to pay to visit the site
can be estimated based on the number of trips that they make at
different travel costs. This is analogous to estimating peoples’
willingness to pay for a marketed good based on the quantity
demanded at different prices.
Travel Cost Method
• Hypothetical Situation:
• A site used mainly for recreational fishing is threatened by development in the
surrounding area. Pollution and other impacts from this development could destroy
the fish habitat at the site, resulting in a serious decline in, or total loss of, the site’s
ability to provide recreational fishing services. Resource agency staff want to
determine the value of programs or actions to protect fish habitat at the site.
• Why Use the Travel Cost Method?
• The travel cost method was selected in this case for two main reasons:
• The site is primarily valuable to people as a recreational site. There are no endangered
species or other highly unique qualities that would make non-use values for the site
significant.
• The expenditures for projects to protect the site are relatively low. Thus, using a relatively
inexpensive method like travel cost makes the most sense
Options for Applying the Travel Cost
Method:
• There are several ways to approach the problem, using variations of
the travel cost method.
• These include:
• A simple zonal travel cost approach, using mostly secondary data, with some
simple data collected from visitors.
• An individual travel cost approach, using a more detailed survey of visitors.
• A random utility approach using survey and other data, and more complicated
statistical techniques.
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach:
• The zonal travel cost method is the simplest and least expensive approach.
It will estimate a value for recreational services of the site as a whole. It
cannot easily be used to value a change in quality of recreation for a site,
and may not consider some of the factors that may be important
determinants of value.
• The zonal travel cost method is applied by collecting information on the
number of visits to the site from different distances. Because the travel and
time costs will increase with distance, this information allows the researcher
to calculate the number of visits “purchased” at different “prices.” This
information is used to construct the demand function for the site, and
estimate the consumer surplus , or economic benefits, for the recreational
services of the site.
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach
• Step 1:
The first step is to define a set of zones surrounding the site. These may be defined by
concentric circles around the site, or by geographic divisions that make sense, such as
metropolitan areas or counties surrounding the site at different distances.
• Step 2:
The second step is to collect information on the number of visitors from each zone,
and the number of visits made in the last year. For this hypothetical example, assume
that staff at the site keep records of the number of visitors and their zipcode, which can
be used to calculate total visits per zone over the last year.
• Step 3:
The third step is to calculate the visitation rates per 1000 population in each zone.
This is simply the total visits per year from the zone, divided by the zone’s population
in thousands. An example is shown in the table:
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach
Zone Total Visits/Year Zone Population Visits/1000
0 400 1000 400
1 400 2000 200
2 400 4000 100
3 400 8000 50
Beyond 3 0
Total Visits 1600
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach
• Step 4:
• The fourth step is to calculate the average round-trip travel distance and
travel time to the site for each zone. Assume that people in Zone 0 have
zero travel distance and time. Each other zone will have an increasing travel
time and distance. Next, using average cost per mile and per hour of travel
time, the researcher can calculate the travel cost per trip. A standard cost per
mile for operating an automobile is readily available from AAA or other
sources. Assume that this cost per mile is $.30. The cost of time is more
complicated. The simplest approach is to use the average hourly wage.
Assume that it is $9/hour, or $.15/minute, for all zones, although in practice
it is likely to differ by zone. The calculations are shown in the table:
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach
Zone Round Trip Round Trip Distance times Travel Time Total Travel
Travel Travel Time Cost/Mile times Cost/Trip
Distance ($.30) Cost/Minute
($.15)
0 0 0 0 0 0
1 20 30 $6 $4.50 $10.50
2 40 60 $12 $9.00 $21.00
3 80 120 $24 $18.00 $42.00
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach
• Step 5:
• The fifth step is to estimate, using regression analysis, the equation
that relates visits per capita to travel costs and other important
variables. From this, the researcher can estimate the demand function
for the average visitor. In this simple model, the analysis might
include demographic variables, such as age, income, gender, and
education levels, using the average values for each zone. To maintain
the simplest possible model, calculating the equation with only the
travel cost and visits/1000, Visits/1000 = 330 – 7.755*(Travel Cost).
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach
• Step 6:
• The sixth step is to construct the demand function for visits to the site,
using the results of the regression analysis. The first point on the
demand curve is the total visitors to the site at current access costs
(assuming there is no entry fee for the site), which in this example is
1600 visits per year. The other points are found by estimating the
number of visitors with different hypothetical entrance fees (assuming
that an entrance fee is viewed in the same way as travel costs).
• For the purposes of our example, start by assuming a $10 entrance fee.
Plugging this into the estimated regression equation, V = 330 – 7.755C,
gives the following:
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach
Zone Travel Cost plus Visits/1000 Population Total Visits
$10
0 $10 252 1000 252
1 $20.50 171 2000 342
2 $31.00 90 4000 360
3 $52.00 0 8000 0
Total Visits 954
Application of the Zonal Travel Cost
Approach
• This gives the second point on the demand curve—954 visits at an
entry fee of $10. In the same way, the number of visits for increasing
entry fees can be calculated, to get:
The Zoe Colocotroni was a ship that spilled oil off the coast of Puerto Rico. The case
was taken to court to determine the monetary damages resulting from the spill’s effects
on the local ecosystem.
•
The Analysis
The trustees used the replacement cost method to estimate monetary damages. They
first calculated the number of lower trophic organisms killed by the spill, and then
added up the cost of purchasing these organisms from a scientific catalog.
Case Study
• The Results