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Zhu-ILCA-State-of-Art-Lecture-9.22.19-FINAL
Zhu-ILCA-State-of-Art-Lecture-9.22.19-FINAL
Zhu-ILCA-State-of-Art-Lecture-9.22.19-FINAL
– Response assessment
– Endpoints selection
3
Shifting Therapeutic Landscape of NSCLC
Pembro +
Nivo Pembro Atezo chemo Durva
Mar 2015 Oct 2015 Oct 2016 May 2017 Feb 2018
Crizotinib
Mar 2016
Ramucirumab Necitumumab
Dec 2014 Nov 2015
4
Improving Long-Term Survival in Lung Cancer
ALK+ NSCLC (PROFILE 1014)
100
+ Censored
Median follow-up ~46 months in both arms
80
HR 0.760 (95%CI: 0.548, 1.053);
a
P=0.0978
Overall Survival (%)
60
40
Crizotinib Chemotherapy
(N=172) (N=171) 4 year OS rate
20
Deaths, n (%) 71 (41.3) 81 (47.4) Crizo: 56.6%
Median OS (95% CI), months NR (45.8, NR) 47.5 (32.2, NR) Chemo: 49.1%
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70
Months
No. at risk
Crizotinib 172 157 144 128 111 98 89 79 65 51 36 20 8 1 0
Chemotherapy 171 150 131 118 100 89 82 73 63 46 31 21 11 1 0
5
Mok et al., ESMO 2017
The Evolving Treatment Landscape for Advanced HCC
Nivolumab
Approved for 2L HCC September 2017 (accelerated)
Phase 3 Checkmate 459 fails to meet
primary endpoint in 1L uHCC (June 2019)
Pembrolizumab
Approved for 2L HCC November 2018 (accelerated)
Phase 3 Keynote-240 fails to meet
co-primary endpoints in 2L HCC (February 2019) 7
Ramucirumab
Approved for 2L HCC
Regorafenib2 (AFP >400 ng/mL) May 2019
Sorafenib Approved for 2L HCC April 2017
Approved for 1L HCC November 2007
Lenvatinib
Approved for 1L HCC August 2018
Keynote 240: Median OS 13.9 months in second line HCC
Checkmate 459: Median OS in first line: ?
Cabozantinib
6 Approved for 2L HCC January 2019
Sorafenib in advanced HCC
SHARP vs Asia-Pacific Study: Overall Survival
SHARP Trial Asia-Pacific Trial
P=0.014
8 a. Llovet JM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2008;359:378-390; b. Cheng A-L, et al. Lancet Oncology. 2009;10:25-34; c. Cheng A-L, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2013; 31:4067-4075; d. Johnson PJ, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2013;31:3517-3524; e.
Cainap C, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2015;33:172-179; f. Zhu AX, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2015;33:559-566; g. Abou-Alfa GK, et al. ASCO 2016. Abstract 192; h. Qin S, et al. Oncologist. 2014;19:1169-1178; i. Llovet JM, et al. J Clin
Oncol. 2013;31:3509-3516; j. Zhu AX, et al. JAMA. 2014;312:57-67; k. Zhu AX, et al. Ann Oncol. 2016;27(suppl 6):vi207-vi242; l. Abou-Alfa GK, et al. ASCO 2016. Abstract 4017.
Clinical Efficacy of Approved Agents in Advanced HCC
Overall Median
Median OS Median OS
Drugs (Study) response rate PFS/TTP
(months) (Hazard ratio)
(ORR, %) (months)
Sorafenib
2.3 5.5 10.7 0.69
(SHARP)
Lenvatinib
24.1 7.4 13.6 0.92
(REFLECT)
Regorafenib
10.6 3.1 10.6 0.63
(RESORCE)
Cabozantinib
3.8 5.5 10.2 0.76
(CELESTIAL)
Ramucirumab
4.6 2.8 8.5 0.71
(REACH-2)
9 a. Llovet JM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2008;359:378-390; b. Kudo M, et al. Lancet 2018. c. Bruix J, et al. Lancet.
2017;389:56-66; d. Abou-Alfa G, et al. N Engl J Med. 2008; e. Zhu AX, et al. Lancet Oncology 2019
Checkpoint Inhibitors in Second-Line
Nivolumab Pembrolizumab
Sample size 154 sorafenib-treated patients 104 sorafenib-treated patients
Patient 2L or 3L 2L
features Sorafenib-intolerants allowed Sorafenib-intolerants allowed
Effective therapy for HBV+ve patients Effective therapy for HBV+ve patients
No involvement of portal vein trunk
Response rate 14% 17%
regardless of etiology or AFP levels regardless of etiology or AFP levels
Duration of 16.6 months in HCV patients, not reached in Not reached; ≥9 months in 77%
response other etiologies
Key Eligibility
Criteria
• Advanced HCC not
eligible for or Nivolumab
progressive after
surgical and/or R
locoregional
therapies Sorafenib
• Child-Pugh A
• (n = 726)
Press release (6/24/19): “did not achieve statistical significance OS primary endpoint
ClinicalTrials.gov. NCT02576509.
11 per the pre-specified analysis (HR 0.85, 95%CI 0.72-1.02, p=0752)”
KEYNOTE-240 Study Design
Pembrolizumab
Key eligibility criteria 200 mg Q3W +BSC
− ≥18 y N=278
− Pathologically/radiographically confirmed HCC
− Progression on/intolerance to sorafenib
− Child Pugh class A Randomized 2:1*
− BCLC stage B/C
− ECOG PS 0-1
− Measurable disease per RECIST v1.1 Saline-placebo
− Main portal vein invasion was excluded Q3W +BSC
N=135
Stratification Factors
− Geographic region (Asia w/o Japan vs non-Asia
w/Japan)
− Macrovascular invasion (Y vs N)
− AFP level (≥200 vs <200 ng/mL)
12
Overall Survival Objective Response Rate
100 Events HR (95% CI) P
Pembrolizumab 183 0.781 (0.611-0.998) 0.0238 13.8 (7.7-19.5)
90
Placebo 101 p=0.00007a
80
30
70 • Efficacy boundaries 18.3
Overall survival (%)
(14.0-23.4)
– p=0.0174 for OS
15
Selection of Patients in Advanced HCC Trials
• ECOG PS: 0 or 1
• Macrovascular invasion: extent of vascular invasion VP4
• Extent of tumor involvement in the liver: 50%
• Underlying liver function: Child Pugh A (B7)
16
Therapeutic Targeting of the Hallmarks of Cancer
19
Schulze et al, Nature Genetics, 2015
Tumor Microenvironment
limit
Regorafenib[c] Oral TKI targeting VEGFR1–3, TIE2, PDGFRβ, KIT, RET, RAF
a. Llovet JM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2008;359:378-390; b. Kudo M, et al. Lancet 2018. c. Bruix J, et al. Lancet. 2017;389:56-66; d. Abou-
21 Alfa G, et al. N Engl J Med. 2008; e. Zhu AX, et al. Lancet Oncology 2019
Biomarkers for Sorafenib
• Tissue Biomarkers
– Nuclear pERK overexpression associated with prolonged TTP in phase 2 [1]
– Tissue pERK staining was not associated with outcomes in phase 3 [2]
• Circulating Biomarkers
– High s-c-Kit and low HGF at baseline showed a trend towards improved OS [3]
• Genomic Biomarkers
• FGF3/FGF4 and VEGF A amplification predicted response in small number
of HCC patients [4, 5]
1. Abou-Alfa GK, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2006;24:4293-4300. 2. Llovet JM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2008;359:378-390. 3. Llovet JM, et al. Clin Cancer Res. 2012;18:2290-
22 2300. 4. Arao T, et al. Hepatology, 2013; 57(4):1407-15; Horwitz E at al, Cancer Discoery, 2014.
FGF3/FGF4 Amplification Predicting Sorafenib Sensitivity
23
Arao et al, Hepatology 2013
Proteins Identified as Potentially Predictive of
Regorafenib Treatment Effect on OS
OS TTP
Regorafenib Regorafenib
Adjusted interaction Adjusted interaction
Protein predictive effect, predictive effect, Referenceǂ
p-value p-value
HR (95% CI)* HR (95% CI)*
1.12 1.10 1 ng/mL
ANG-1 0.019 0.017
(1.05, 1.19) (1.04, 1.17) increase
1.46 1.42 2-fold
Cystatin-B 0.040 0.018
(1.15, 1.85) (1.14, 1.77) increase
1.36 1.41 2-fold
LAP TGF-β1 0.040 0.004
(1.12, 1.65) (1.18, 1.68) increase
1.35 1.78 1 ng/mL
LOX-1 0.009 0.003
(1.16, 1.57) (1.33, 2.39) increase
1.02 1.02 1 pg/mL
MIP-1α 0.040 0.043
(1.01, 1.04) (1.00, 1.03) increase
*An HR >1 indicates enhanced treatment benefit with regorafenib versus placebo with decreased protein levels (or reduced treatment benefit with increased protein levels); ǂReference shows to
what unit increase the HR is related to. CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio; OS, overall survival; TTP, time to progression.
24
Teufel M et al, Gastroenterology 2019
Lenvatinib vs Sorafenib: Pharmacodynamic Biomarkers
• In biomarker analysis of
REFLECT phase III study
(LEN, n=279; SOR,
n=128), both LEN and
SOR were found to
increase VEGF levels, but
only LEN increased
FGF19 and FGF23 levels,
and decreased ANG-2
levels
*P < 0.05 vs baseline; †P < 0.01 vs baseline ; ‡P < 0.0001 vs baseline; §P < 0.05 between lenvatinib and sorafenib arms.
ANG-2, angiopoietin-2; C#D#, Cycle # Day #; FGF, fibroblast growth factor; LEN, lenvatinib; ORR, objective response rate; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival;
SOR, sorafenib; TTP, time to progression; uHCC, unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma; VEGF, vascular endothelial growth factor.
25
Finn RS et al ESMO 2018
Predictive Marker of Response to Sorafenib
Median OS 14 m
EHS No EHS Yes HCV Yes HCV No
26
Bruix J et al, J Hepatology 2017
Median Post Progression-Free Survival According
to the Pattern of Progression in Prospective Studies
Median post progression-free survival, months (95% CI)
Hazard ratio yes/noa or
Trial, study parameters
drug versus placebo
and progression factor
yes or noa Drug Placebo (95% CI)
Probability of survival
p=0.016 p=0.009
DAE60
No DAE60
Yes: 8.1 months (CI95%:1.6-14.5) Yes :18.2 months (95% CI; 11.9 to 24.4)
vs. vs.
No: 3.9 months (CI95%:2.08-5.7) No:10.1 months (CI 95%:10.1-13.0)
Courtesy of Dr. Maria Reig Reig et al; Journal of Hepatology 2014
HFSR Correlation with OS in uHCCa
• Subanalysis of RESORCE Trial
100
HFSR (n = 198)
90
Events, n (%), 110 (56)
Probability of survival (%)
80
Median OS (95% Cl), 14.1 months (11.7–16.5)
70
60 No HFSR (n = 181)
50 HFSR Events, n (%), 123 (68)
40
Median OS, 6.6 months (5.0–8.5)
Bruix J et al. Abstract O-009. Presented at: WCGIC 2017; Barcelona, Spain.
29
How to choose and sequence different drugs in HCC?
31
Surrogate Endpoints in Advanced HCC Receiving
Systemic Therapy
• OS is the gold standard in phase III HCC trials
• PFS/TTP?
• Response rate: RECIST vs mRECIST vs (irRECIST)?
• AFP changes?
• Other biomarkers?
32
Why Considering PFS in Phase III Trials?
34
Correlation between PFS/TTP and Overall Survival
Keynote 240: PFS for pembrolizumab vs placebo: 3.0 vs 2.8 months, HR 0.775 (0.609-0.987)
35
Llovet JM, Montal R, Villanueva A. J Hepatol. 2019
RECIST vs mRECIST
RECIST mRECIST
36
Studies Assessing the Correlation of mRECIST
Based Responses and OS
• Supportive:
– Brivanib second line phase III trial
– Sorafenib
– Nintedanib
– Lenvatinib
• Lack of correlation:
– Regorafenib in RESORCE phase III trial
37
Llovet et al, JCO 2013; Edeline et al, Cancer 2012; Meyer et al, Liver Int 2007; Bruix et al, Lancet 2017; Kudo et al, GI ASCO 2019
REFLECT - Global, Randomized, Open-label,
Phase III Noninferiority Study
Lenvatinib Sorafenib Totalendpoint:
Category Primary
Patients with unresectable (n = 478) (n = 476) (n=954)
• OS
HCC (N = 954) Lenvatinib Secondary endpoints:
Median OS, months
• No prior systemic therapy for
Stratification 13.6 12.3
(n = 478) 13.0
• PFS
unresectable HCC • Region: 8 mg (BW <60 kg) or • TTP
95% CI 12.1–14.9 10.4–13.9 11.9-14.1
Randomization 1:1
• ≥1 measurable target lesion per
(Asia-Pacific or 12 mg (BW ≥60 kg) • ORR
mRECIST Western) once daily
• BCLC stage B or C • MPVI and/or EHS: • Quality of life
• Child-Pugh A
• ECOG PS ≤1
ORR , n (%) (Investigator)
†
(yes or no) 115 (24.1) 44 (9.2) 159
• PK(16.7)
lenvatinib exposure
• ECOG PS: parameters
• Adequate organ function
(0 or 1)
95% CI
• Patients with ≥50% liver • Body weight: 20.2–27.9 6.6–11.8
Sorafenib 14.3-19.0
occupation, clear bile duct (<60 kg ≥60 kg) (n = 476) Tumor assessments were
invasion, or portal vein 400 mg twice daily performed according to
ORR, n (%) (Independent)
invasion at the main portal
vein were excluded
194 (40.6) 59 (12.4) mRECIST by the
investigator
95% CI 36.2-45.0 9.4-15.4
BCLC, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer; BW; body weight; ECOG PS, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group Performance Status; EHS, extrahepatic spread; MPVI, macroscopic
Median PFS , months 7.4 3.7
† Response Evaluation Criteria In Solid Tumors; ORR, objective response rate; OS, overall survival; PFS, progression-free survival;
portal vein invasion; mRECIST, modified
PK, pharmacokinetic; RECIST, Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors; TTP, time to progression.
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0 3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 33 36 39 42
Time From Randomization (Month)
Number of patients at risk:
Response 159 155 151 138 121 108 93 76 56 41 22 11 6 1 0
Nonresponse 795 721 571 441 362 291 241 180 129 83 51 26 10 5 0
39 Multivariate analysis showed OR (MPVI, baseline AFP level, treatment etc) correlated with OS
CI, confidence interval; OR, objective response; OS, overall survival.
Does mRECIST-Based Response Predict OS in
Patients with Advanced HCC?
• Authors conclusion: objective response by mRECIST is an independent predictor of OS in HCC patients in the
REFLECT study
– Large dataset from a positive phase III trial
– Sound statistical methodology
– Potential surrogacy of mRECIST based responses for OS
• Caution:
– Post hoc and retrospective study
– No comparison with RECIST based response analyses
– Not addressing the potential correlation of SD with OS
– Unclear about the correlation between PFS and OS and OR with PFS
– Unclear on the different magnitude of correlation of sorafenib vs lenvatinib
– Additional studies are warranted for prospective validation
40
mRECIST May Be Dependent on the Mechanism of
Action of Drugs
41
Kudo et al, Lancet 2018; Meyer et al, Liver Int 2017; El-Khoueiry et al, Lancet 2017; Zhu et al, Lancet Oncol 2018
Stratification in Phase III Trials
• ECOG PS: subjective
• Macrovascular invasion: extent of vascular invasion
• Extrahepatic disease
• Geographic regions: Asia (except Japan) vs the rest of world
• AFP: 400 ng/mL as cut-off
• Etiology: when sorafenib used as control
• Pattern of progression?
42
Stratification Used in Phase III Trials
Geographic Viral
ECOG PS MVI EHS AFP
region etiology
SHARP x x x x
RESORCE x x x x x
REFLECT x x x x
CELESTIAL x x x x
REACH-2 x x x
43
Classification of HCC
*4 confirmed responses
45
Kim et al, ESMO 2017
REACH Study: Overall Survival in Patients with
Baseline Alpha‑fetoprotein or < 400 ng/mL
Umbrella trials
Basket trials
47
Survival According to Response to Nivolumab
Non-Conventional Benefit
• PD with new lesions followed by decrease in target lesion ≥10%
• PD of target lesions followed by decrease in target lesion ≥30%
• PD of target lesions or new lesions followed by stabilization (<10% additional
increase in target lesion + new lesions)
• MSI status
• PD-L1 expression (cutoff, assays used, expression on
tumor cells, immune cells or both)
• TMB
• Immune signatures
49
Immune Signature of HCC
50
Targeted Therapy in Oncogene Addicted Tumors
Intrinsic
Acquired
51
MGH Efforts to Study FGFR Inhibition and Resistance
Clinical Efforts Rapid Autopsy
Breast: 18
Lung: 13 Epithelial: 2
Cholangio: 6 Pancreatic: 2
Colorectal: 3
Melanoma: 2
Laboratory Efforts
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ŝŐĞƐƚΘ 15 FGFR WT
ICC Lines
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ŶŐŝŶĞĞƌĞĚ 2 FGFR Altered
ICC Lines
ctDNA D ŽƵƐĞD ŽĚĞůƐ;' D D Ɛ Ϳ CTC analysis
ddPCR
52
/K ƌŐĂŶŽŝĚ RNA Seq
Acquired Resistance to FGFR inhibition in ICC
Overcoming
Acquired resistance FGFR resistance Acquired resistance
to FGFR inhibitors with TAS120 to TAS120
53
Patient #1: Mutations Detected in Post-progression
Biopsy Tissue
Pre-treatment Nadir (-49.9%) Progression
56
Durvalumab + Tremelimumab in 1st Line HCC
Phase I/II trial of Durvalumab (PD-L1) + tremelimumab (CTLA-4) demonstrated a 25% ORR 1
(confirmed and unconfirmed) and led to HIMALAYA:
57 1
J Clin Oncol 2017;35 (suppl; abstr 4073)
Nivolumab and Ipilimumab in advanced HCC
58
Yau T et al, ASCO 2019
Phase Ib Study of Atezolizumab + Bevacizumab in HCC (N=104)
61
Acknowledgments
MGH
DFCI
Clinical team:
Tom Abrams, James Cleary, Matthew Kulke, Peter
Medical Oncology: Lipika Goyal, Ryan Corcoran, Dejan
Enzinger, Pankaj Bhargava, Jeffrey Meyerhardt,
Juric, Jeff Clark, Lawrence Blaszkowsky, Eunice Kwak, Jill
Jennifer Chan, Brian Wolpin, Kimmie Ng, Robert
Allen, Jason Faris, Janet Murphy, Dave Ryan
Mayer
Radiation Oncology: Ted Hong, Jen Wo, Tom DeLaney Yale: Charles Fuchs
Surgery/Transplant: Ken Tanabe, Christina Ferrone, Dave
BIDMC:
Berger, Carlos Fernendez-del Castillo, Keith Lillemore, Parsia
Andrea Bullock
Vagefi, Nahel Elias, James Markmann
Steele Lab: Dan Duda, Rakesh Jain, Becky Chen, Tai Hato, U. of Rochester: Aram Hezel
U. of Washington/Fred Hutchinson: Supriya Saha
Translational Research Laboratory (TRL): Johan Iafrate,
Darrell Borger, Jochen Lennerz Ohio State University: Tim Pawlik
Bardeesy Lab: Leah Liu, Christine Parachoniak, Nabeel Medical College of Wisconsin: T. Clark Gamblin
Bardeesy
The University of Hong Kong: Thomas Yau,
Corcoran Lab: Ryan Corcoran Ronnie Poon
Phase I: Dejan Juric, Keith Flaherty Funding support for this project:
Cholangiocarcinoma Foundation, NIH GI SPORE, V
Bardelli Lab: A Bardelli Foundation Translational Grant, Jonathan Kraft
Novartis Institute for BioMedical Research: Ralph Tiedt, Translational Research Award
Diana Graus Porta
ILCA and many colleagues and friends in the
Research Assistants: Stephanie Reyes, Laura Henderson, HCC/cholangiocarcinoma community
Emily E Van Seventer