Types of capital Problems on Specific CoC: • Debt – Redeemable & Irredeemable • Preference – Redeemable & Irredeemable • Equity – Dividend Growth Model, Constant Dividend Model, Constant Growth Model, Constant Earnings, Constant Growth, CAPM Model • WACC – Book Value Weights, Market Value Weights • Capital Structure Theories - NI, TT, NOI & MM Hypothesis - • Problems on NI & NOI Only
Note: Simple Problems on MMH
Net Income Approach Concept: • Direct relationship b/w the Capital Structure and Value of Business. • Lowering the CoC can increase the VoB • Debt is cheaper as its interest is deductable and by which lower the tax burden • Debt is cheaper than equity • Increase in FL (Debt Proportion) – Decline in WACC, while the VoB & Market price of ES will increase. Traditional Approach • The result of financial leverage decreases the CoC and increases the VoB to certain point and beyond that it result in reverse trend • CoD, CoE, CoC, MV of Eq and MV of Firm are Variable • Co has to select CS with lowest CoC or highest MV of Firm Net Operating Income Concept: • The CS decisions are irrelevant to the value • No relationship exists b/w the CS & VoB • WACC will be constant if the company takes on more debt • Increased debt increases the shareholder’s risk and thereby CoE • Increase in CoE wipeout the cheaper of CoD • A change in debt or leverage does not affect the VoB • Without Tax structure CoD, CoC and MV of Firm remains Constant • With Tax structure, CoD remains constant, the Debt and MV of Firm will increase while CoC will decrease MM Approach Franco Modigiliani and Merton Miller Concept: • The market value of a firm is determined by its earning power and the risk of its underlying assets – the CS is irrelevant in case of perfect markets • Value is independent of the method of financing used and the Co’s investments. • Value of the firm is dependent on the expected future earnings • The financial leverage boosts the VoB and reduces WACC Assumptions - MMA • Capital markets are perfect. • All info are available freely • No transaction cost • Investors are rational • Firms are grouped into “Equivalent risk classes” • Non-existence of corporate taxes Module 2 Risk Analysis in CB • RA – Types of Risks, Risk & Uncertainty. • Risk Evaluation Measurement Techniques – Sensitivity Analysis – Standard Deviation – Co-efficient of Variations Risk Evaluation Techniques: • Risk Adjusted Discount Rate • Certainty Equivalent • Decision Tree • Normal Probability Distribution Risk Analysis Concept: • Assessment process that identifies the potential for any adverse events that may negatively affect organisations and the environment. • Helps to undertake a project or approve a financial application, actions required to protect their interest etc. • Balance b/w risk and risk reduction • It often work in with forecasting to minimise future negative unforeseen effects • It seeks to identify, measure and mitigate various risk exposures or hazards facing a business, investment or project. • Include Risk benefit, need assessment, root cause analysis • Identifying risk, defining uncertainty, completing analysis models, implementing solutions Types of Risk • Business Risk: Stand-alone|Portfolio|Systematic|Unsystamatic| Mgt|Competitive|Specific • Non-Business Risk – Political|EconomicalSocial| Environmental| International| • Financial Risk – Market|Credit|Liquidity|Operational Strategic|Event • Legal Risk Techniques of Measuring Risks • Sensitivity Analysis: Assess how changes in specific variables (sales/CoC/project duration) affect key financial metrics (NPV, IRR), identify the factors having the most significant effect on project outcome. Through insights into sensitivity of project outcomes to changes in individual variables, helps to focus on critical risk factors. • Scenario Analysis: evaluates the impact of multiple future scenario on a project by considering combinations of key variables. Measures risks by examining of different scenarios like optimistic, pessimistic, baseline cases - the range of potential outcomes & related risks. Facilitates contingency planning for different situations • Decision Tree: Graphical representation of decision options & their possible outcomes, incorporating probabilities and pay offs Visualises decision making under uncertainty, considering different paths and their associated risks with rewards Facilitates systematic evaluation of decision options, assess the impact of uncertainties on outcomes and choose the most favorable course of action. • Risk Adjusted Discount Rate: Adjusts the DR used in traditional CB techniques (NPV/IRR) to reflect the riskiness of the project More accurate assessment of NPV • Beta Coefficient (CAPM): Capital Asset Pricing Model – measures the sensitivity of a project’s returns to market movements. A beta greater than 1 indicates higher volatility, suggesting higher systematic risk. Quantifies the project’s exposure to market risk Integrates market risk consideration into the CoE • Probability Impact Matrix: a qualitative tool to assess the probability and impact of identified risks on outcomes. Categorizes the risks based on probability and impact Helps to prioritize risks and allocate resources for risk mgt. A simple visual way to assess and communicate the significance of various risks, aiding in prioritization, mitigation and planning • Certainty Equivalent: Reduce the forecasts of cash flows to some conservative levels. It assumes a value b/w 0 and 1, & varies inversely with risk Decision maker subjectively or objectively establishes the coefficients Equivalent coefficient can be determined as a relationship b/w the certain cash flows and risky cash flows Module 3 Dividend Decisions & Theories • DD - Meaning • Types of DD – Cash Dividend & Stock Dividend • Types of DDP – Constant DP, Constant Dividend Pay-out Policy, CD Plus Policy & Residual Approach • Determinants: External – Gen State of Eco, Industrial Trend, State of Capital Mkt, Legal Restrictions, Contractual Restrictions, Tax Policy Internal – SH’s desire, Financial Needs, Nature of Earnings, Desire of Control, Liquidity position etc • Dividend Theories: Relevance T – Walter’s Model, Gordon’s Model, Graham & Dodd Model, Lintner’s Model & Residual Payment Model Irrelevance T – MM T Problems on Walter’s Model, Gordon’s Model & MM T Module 4 Mergers & Acquisitions • Meaning • Reasons – Unlocking Synergies, Higher Growth, Stronger Market Power, Diversification, Tax Benefits • Types of Combinations – Friendly| Hostile| Buyout| Reverse Takeover • Types of Mergers - Vertical| Horizontal| Conglomerate| Congeneric| • Motives & Benefits of Merger – Elimination of Excess workforce, Growth acceleration, Technology, Procurement of New talent, Overcoming Competition, Attain Economies of Scale, Acquire Monopoly etc. • Financial Evaluation of a Merger – Cost Approach| Market Approach| Discounted Cash Flow Approach| Comparable Company Analysis| Accretion/Dilution Analysis| Sensitivity Analysis Model| Merger Consequences Analysis Model • Merger Negotiation – Assessment and Preliminary Review| Negotiation & Letter of Intent| Due Diligence| Negotiations & Closing| Post-Closure Integration/Implementation • Leverage Buyout & Mgt Buyout, P/E Ratio – Meaning & Significance • Problems on Exchange Ratios – Assets Approach| Earnings Approach| Market Value Approach • Impact of merger on EPS, Market Price & Market Capitalisation THANK YOU ALL Prof. Shankaracharya Dr. Ramamurthy B M Principal, AIMS Institutes VEIT Degree College Peenya, B’Lore - 58 Southend Circle Jayanagar, B’Lore - 11