1990) India – richer before independence British invasion- early 17th century- 24 % GDP At the time of independence GDP- 4% Jawahar Lal Nehru- India under British rule - poorer Low Level of Economic Development under colonial Rule • Share of World trade- 24% & 27%- fell to 4%, 2%. • Britain industrial revolution- made India de industrialised. • British rule started from Battle of Plassey – 1757 o 15 Aug 1947. • Divided into 2 periods – Rule of East India Company- 1757- 1858 • Rule of British Crown – 1858 to 1947. • British impoverished India – enriched their home country – exploitation and stagnation. Features of India’s Low level of Economic Development under Colonial Rule • 1. Dismantling / destruction of Indian handicrafts • destroyed handicrafts and cottage industries of India – India became exporters of raw materials for British – unemployment – weavers seriously affected. • Decay of Indian handicrafts – reasons : disappearance of princely courts, aggressive trade policy of Britain, stiff competition from British machine made goods, increasing demand for western commodities, railways promoted British goods. • 2. Progressive Ruralisation of Indian Economy • Craftsmen and artisans unemployed shifted to agriculture – increased the proportion dependent on land – progressive ruralisation/ deindustrialisation. • Middle of 19th century – 55% dependent on agriculture- 1901 it increased to 68% and about 72% in 1931. • 3. Fall in per capita income • Estimates of NI scientifically by Dadabhai Naoroji (1868), William Digby (1899) and V. K.R.V. Rao 91931-32)- per capita income declined . • 4. Commercialisation of Agriculture • It means production of food crops or cash crops for sale in the market rather than for self consumption- underdevelopment of the country – forced and artificial process for the majority of Indian peasants • Reduced area – under food crops – substitue non food crops/ cash crops – frequent occurrence of famines in India – Bengal Famine in 1943. • 5.Colonial rule created a new land system in India • 3 land systems – Zamindari ( first introduced by Lord Cornwalls in Bengal in 1793, Ryotwari- Thomas Munro in 1820, Mahalwari - Holt Mackenzie 1822 – Rent high, no proper revenue record – absentee landlords – leads to concentration of economic ower in the hands of few. • 6. Series of famine under British Administration • Poverty, malnourishment & hunger. • Series of famines – 1770, 1783, 1866, 1873, 1892, 1897, 1943-44 ( Bengal famine) – deaths of millions of people. • 7. Deteriorated India’s favourable trade pattern • Mere supplier of Britain’s own goods- exporter of Indian goods, eg: jute, cotton,wool & importer of finished goods from Britain • Indian goods- heavy import duties – structural changes in India economy- weakened India’s base. • 8. Backwardness of agriculture sector • India- 85% - rural population • Zamindari system- poor investment- high revenue from peasants- no improvement in land. • 9. Lack of invstmt in Indian industries/ deindustrialisation • Only 10% - engaged in manufacturing/ industrial sector. • Lack of sufficient invstmt- unfavourable tariff structure, Indian industries cut throat competition • 10. Low eco. growth & std. of living • Naoroji – NI Rs. 340 crore & Popn – 17 crores. • PCI – Rs 20. poverty, unempyt, famines, malnourishment, high birth rate & death rate. • 11. Pathetic demographic profile • Stagnant, underdeveloped & backward. • BR & DR- 48 % 40 per thousand – popn growth stagnant • IMR- 218/1000 • Life Expectancy Rate 32 years, literacy – less than 16 %. • Low public exp on social infrastructure,health care & awareness facilities. • 12.Infrastructure Devt • Ports, railways – Britain improved infrastructure for the devt of their finished pdts- posts and telegraps. • British rule led to structural transformation- colonial economy- inmpoverished India. • Drain theory – Naoroji- 1901- Povrty & Unbritish Rule in India. • Devt & Structural Changes of Indian Economy Since Independence • Poverty, unempyt & inequality- transformed India less developed to advanced economy. • First PM- Nehru. • Series of policy initiatives- New Industrial Policy Resolution 1948, Planning Commission 1951, FYP, National Devt Council 1952, welfare programmes, green revolution, NEP etc. Structural changes in IE Since Independence • 1. Structural changes in sectoral contribution towards India’s GDP • 3 sectors – primary, secondary & tertiary • When a country is undeveloped – more dependence on agri. Sector, whwn developed shift to industrial & service sectors gradually. Sector wise share in GDP ( %) Sector 1950-51 1980-81 1990-91 2000-01 2012-13 2019-20
Primary 55.3 41.8 31.4 26.2 14.1 13.9
sector
Secondary 15.1 21.5 25.9 23.5 21.1 28.3
sector
Tertiary 29.6 36.7 42.7 50.3 64.8 57.8
sector
Source: Eco. Survey & CSO
• 2.Sectoral composition of Empyt & Devt since Independence • Decline in empyt in agriculture. • Decline in workforce in agri & allied sectors by over 36 million between 2004-5 & 2011-12. • Primary sector – largest employer in India. Share of various sectors in Employment (%) Sector 1950-51 1990-91 1999- 2004-05 2011-12 2019-20 2000 Primary 72.1 66.91 59.9 58.5 48.9 43.21 sector
• 3. Growth Rate of GDP & PCI of India since Independence
• In 1947- 2.7 lakh crore- 3% of total world GDP
• 2019-20- GDP RS. 144.05 lakh crores- 7.4% of global GDP. • 1947-48 PCI- Rs 230, 2019-20: 134226 • 2.84 trillion dollar economy • India global economic powerhouse by 2024-25. • Low savings & invstmt during colonial period • Hindu rate of growth – low growth- before LPG – 1991- 3.5 % from 1950s to 80s- The term coined by Prof. Raj Krishna. • First 50 years of 20th century- 1900 to 1950- GDP growth rate 1%. • 1950-80- 3.5% • 1981-2000- 6% • 2001 – 2020 – 8% • Now- India 5th largest country by nominal GDP, 3rd largest by PPP. • Acco. to IMF, on PCI basis India’s rank- 142 by GDP (nominal) & 124 by GDP (PPP) in 2020. • 4. Structural changes in Basic Industries • Post independent India- imp to basic industrie- fertilisers, steel, cement, coal, natural gas, electricity • FYP- imp to 3 hydro electric projects- Bhakra Nangal dam in Punjab, Hirakud- Mahanadi in Orissa, NagarjunaSagar Dam- Krishna river in Andhra Pradesh – These 3 called by Nehru as temples of modern India. • Second plan- Mahalanobis Growth Model- capital goods industries. • 5. Structural changes & Devt of Infrastructure • Policy makers of India gave imp to –invstmt in infrastructure- for rapid & inclusive eco. growth – boost economy, empyt, competitiveness. • British- devt of railway, road, telegraph- post independent India – improvement. • Pvt invstmt in infrastructure come from Public private partnerships (PPP) • 6. Structural Changes & Devt of Social Infrastructure • SI – imp- it improves human pdtivity, efficiency- edn, health, training • British time- pathetic social conditions. • IMR- 200 in 1950, 47/1000- 2011 census • Avg life expectancy at birth – 1951- 41.2 years due to high IMR • Literacy rate- 16.67% in 1951 & 74.04 in 2011. • 7. Welfare programs & Devt • Various empyt generating programs & poverty alleviating programs • Community Devt Program (CDP 2 october 1951 • TRYSEM- 1979 • JRY- 28 April 1989 • Rajiv Awas Yojana -2011 • MGNREGA – 2005 • Skill India – 15 July 2015 • Prime Minister Saubhagya Yojana – 2017 • Ujjawala Scheme ( 1 May 2016) • 8. Devt in Banking sector • Effective & efficient banking system – backbone of growing economy. • Significant changes in comm.banks, cooperative credit societies. • Imp to indigenous bankers & money lenders declined. • Changed credit policy • RBI nationalised in 1 Jan 1949 • 1 July 1955- Imperial bank nationalised- renamed as SBI under SBI Act 1955 • 1959- 7 subsidiaries of SBI nationalised • 19 July 1969- 14 comm. Banks nationalised. • 15 April 1980- 6 pvt banks nationalised • In early 1990s- LPG- govt issued license to pvt banks. • Programs to boost manufacuring sector- Make in India, Digital India, Start Up India, Connecting India, Skill India. • Imp to farming sector • Growth of GDP, service sector, basic industries, devt of social & physical infrastructure, banking sector. • India- now emerging countries of the world. Eco. Policies Pursued – 1950 to 1980 • Main objectives of eco. Policies- to solve basic eco problems of IE- Poverty, inequality & unempyt. • Mixed economy- public & pvt sectors • Role of public sector – areas like energy, infrastructure, banking, basic & key industries • Partial iberalization – during 1980s. • 2 phases • First – 1950-51 to 1979-80- phase of socialist experimentation- Indian version of socialism- Import substituting industrialisation- public sector played an imp role.- expansion of state’s role- MRTP Act 1969. • Second phase of eco devt - 1990s • second Phase ( 1980-81 to 1990s) • Beginning of 80s – partial liberalization & NEP • Mkt experimentation – imp to pvt sector & open economy- import substitution to export promotion – import liberalisation. • Socialistic pattern of society • 1) Eco. Policies & IPR – 1950s & 80s • Govt gave imp to IPR 1948, 1956, 1977 & 1980 & reversed in 24 July 1991. • Indusrtialisation – largely depends on industrial policy. • Objectives of ind. Policies • A) Increaing pdn & pdtivity • B)Balanced ind. Devt • C) Encouraging small scale industrie • D)Preventing concentration of eco. Power by MRTP Act • E) Limiting foreign invstmt in domestic industry through FERA, 1973. • F) Self reliance through import substitutio oriented policies • Industrial licensing & import licensing • Protection to domestic industry- license raj system. • 2) Eco. Policies & FYPs • Planning commission – 15 March 1950 • 1st FYP – imp to primary sector • !950 to 80- 7 FYPs ( plan holisays, annual plans & rolling plans). • 1 FYP (1951-56)- agri.devt • 2 FYP- (1956-61)- ind.devt – Mahalanobis model – socialistic pattern of society. • 3 FYP (1961-66) – balanced devt. • 4 FYP (1969-74) – growth with stabilty, self reliance • 5 FYP (1974-79) – poverty eradication • Rolling plan (1978-80) • 6 FYP (1980-85)- poverty eradication & self reliance • 7 FYP (1985-90) – growth, modernization, self reliance & social justice- self sufficient economy. • 12th FYP (2012-17)- last FYP in India. • NITI Aayog transformed planning commission on 1 Jan 2015. • 3) Eco. Policies & agri. Sector • Agri – backbone of IE – major source of livelihood • Agri. Policy- for raising pdn & pdtivity, raising levels of income & stds of living • Objectives of eco. Policies in agri. Sector • Increase agr. Pdn & pdtivity • Increase empyt opportunities • Reduce inequality of income in rural sector • Eliminate role of non institutionnal lenders , ie. Money lenders • Adequate credit to agri.sector • Improve infrastructure conditions • Vibrant agri. Mkting system • Crop insurance to farmers • Agri. Oriented banks/ rural devt banks- • LDBs • NABARD 12 July 1982 • RRBs – Oct 2 1975 • Local Area Banks • Intensive Agri. District Programme ( IADP 1960-61 • Green Revolution. • 4) Eco. Policies & external sector • Inward looking policies- not much progress in external sector • Imports – restricted – heavy import duties • Fixed exchange rate regime – dual exchange rate, i.e. official rate & black mkt rate. • Rupee was devalued • Import of foreign technology & capital controlled – FERA, 1973. • Restricted flow of foreign K ( FDI & FII) • Import substitution oriented policies • 5) Foreign Trade • 1950s – import substitution • 1960s- export orientation & import substitution • 1962- export subsidization policy • Import controls, import licensing • V FYP- export promotion & import substitution • 1970s- deficit in trade balance • 1973 oil crisis • BOP crisis in 1980s • After that NEP 1991- LPG Mixed Economic Framework • 3 eco. Systems: Capitalist, socialist & Mixed – based on the role of mkt forces & administered prices in eco. activities. • Mixed economy – pvt sector ( capitalism) & public sector (socialism). • ‘The General Theory of Empyt, Interest & Money’ in 1936 by J.M. Keynes- mixed eco became popular. • India – mixed eco- after IPR 1948. • In India some industries under public ownership, some under pvt, some under PPP(Public Pvt Partnership). • Role of public sector diminishing after NEP • Role of pvt sector increasing – neo liberal policie of the govt. • Pvt sector- engine of eco. Growth.
• Key Features of Mixed Economy
• 1. Govt as regulator & facilitator • 2. Srategic sectors & monopoly of public sector • 3. Balancing of eco. Welfare & profit motives • 4. Role of eco. Planning • 5. Free & controlled eco.devt • 6. Role of administered price mechanism & mkt price mechanism • Merits/ Advantages of ME • 1. Adequate freedom to different eco. Units like producers & consumers etc • 2. pvt initiative- optimum utilization of available resources • 3. State- max. welfare to the public- protect interest of marginalized sections of society. • 4. Level of efficiency high (as competition between public & pvt sector) • 5. Devt of socio eco. infrastructures • Demerits/ disadvantages of ME • 1. Delay in decision making – make hindrance in the smooth functioning of economy. • 2. Stringent control by the govt against pvt sector-harm the devt of pvt sector. • 3. unstable in nature • 4. pvt enterprises- not satisfied by govt policies • 5. Chance of corruption & black marketing • ME- rapid eco.devt, coordination of public & pvt sectors. Mkt Intervention Policy & Import Substitution • MIP • Regulatory actions by govt to affect or interfere with decisions made by individuals, groups or organisations regarding social and eco.affairs. • It will correct mkt failures • Main aim- maximise social profit & sustainable growth • MIP- govt policy, eg: The Competition Act 2002replaced MRTP Act 1969 • MIP- eliminate monopolies & restrict negative externalities. • Aims of MIP • 1. To minimize the bad effects of eco. Fluctuations • 2. To provide producers/farmers with min. income, eg: min. support price, buffer mkt operations, Agri. Produce Mkt Regulations Act (APMC)3. To avoid excessive prices for essential commodities- PDS, TPDS, National Food Security Act 2013 – adequate supply of essential commidities at affordable prices • 3. Curtail csn of harmful commodities, alcohol, drugs • 4. To promote general eco. Fairness. Import Substitution • Vital measures of trade policy • To change the eco structure of the country by replacing foreign goods with domestic goods • Inward oriented growth strategy • Replacing imports from abroad with domestic pdn • To reduce foreign dependency through domestic pdn • Part of MIP of govt • 2 objectives: save foreign exxchange for import of essential goods • Self sufficiency in pdn of goods • Key features of IS • 1. substituting imports with domestic pdn • 2. protection of domestic industries • 2 forms: quota, tariff • Measures of promoting local industries, generate empyt opportunities • Save India’s foreign exchange reserves (forex) • Protect domestic industries from foreig competition. Objectives & strategy of planning • Systematic technique for redressing all eco. Ills in the country • Developed, executed & monitored by planning commission • Eco. Growth & human devt- broad objectives • Planning – evolved from Directive Principles of State Policy (DPSP). • 1 FYP 1551-56 • 12 FYP 2012-17 – last one • NITI Aayog – 1 Jan 2015 • 15 year vision document 2015-30 Eco. Planning: Meaning & Definition
• Systematic & scientific utilization of available resources
to achieve nationalgoals • Organized & coordinated effort to achieve certain self defined objectiv • Direction of pdtive activity by a central authority (Hayek) • Objectives • Long term goals: max. pdn, full empyt, eco. Equality & social justice • Planning & Poor- B.S. Minhas • Broad & well defined objectives • Basic goal – increase std. of living of the people 4th FYP – garibi hatao & growth with justice. • Long Term Objectives • 1. High growth rate