About the Poll

The Arizona Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project

sponsored by Northern Arizona University and the University of Washington
in Seattle. Dr. Stephen Nuno, an Assistant Professor of Political Science at
NAU is a co-principal investigator on this survey.
The survey was administered by telephone, by Pacific Market Research, in
Renton, WA, based on a randomly selected list of phone numbers using a
list of registered voters. The survey was in the field from October 18 – 27,
2008. A total of 600 registered voters throughout the state of Arizona were
interviewed, yielding in a 4.0% margin of error. Percentages may not add
up to 100% due to rounding.
Questions/Comments: stephen.nuno@nau.edu
fpedraza@u.washington.edu
 The Arizona Poll
2008 Presidential Vote Choice:

If the election for president were held today, and the candidates
were Barack Obama, the Democrat, John McCain, the
Republican, Ralph Nader, the Independent, Bob Barr the
Libertarian, or Cynthia McKinney the Green, for whom would
you vote?

Obama – Certain 36 %
Obama – could change 4
41%
Undecided – lean Obama 1

McCain – Certain 44%

McCain– could change 4
49%
Undecided – lean McCain 1

Someone Else
Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% 2%
Undecided/Don’t know 6%
 The Arizona Poll
2008 Presidential Vote Choice:

If the election for President were held today, who would you
vote for?
( read across  )
Obama McCain Other
Undec.
Democrat 88% 9% 2% 2%
Republican 9% 86% 1% 4%
Independent 62% 20% 10% 9%
Maricopa 39% 52% 4% 5%
Pima/Pinal/Sta Cruz 55% 40% 2% 4%
Other part of state 44% 52% 2% 2%
Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4%
 The Arizona Poll
2008 AZ Congressional Races: Trend Bars
Democrat Republican

90
% Support from RV

80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
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Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4%; These figures are not necessarily representative
samples from within each Arizona Congressional district, they are only meant to show general trends.
 The Arizona Poll
Proposition 102:

On statewide ballot proposition 102, which would change the

Constitution of Arizona so that marriage will only be valid if it is
between one man and one woman in Arizona, will you vote yes
or no on Proposition 102 ?

Yes Prop 102 – Certain 48 %

Yes Prop 102 – could change
1 50%
Undecided – lean Yes 1

No Prop 102 – Certain 41%

No Prop 102 – could change 3
45%
Undecided – lean No 1
Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4%
Undecided/Don’t know 5%
 The Arizona Poll
Proposition 102:

On statewide ballot proposition 102, which would change the

Constitution of Arizona so that marriage will only be valid if it is
between one man and one woman in Arizona, will you vote yes or
no on Proposition 102 ?

Yes No Undecided
Democrat 20% 78% 2%
Republican 77% 19% 5%
Independent 31% 27% 6%
Maricopa 49% 45% 5%
Pima/Pinal/Sta Cruz 44% 49% 5%
Other part
Statewide of= state
sample 63%
600 registered voters, +/- 4% 32% 4%