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NIKE

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Presentation Outline
Snapshot Brief Overview Financial Statements Industry Comparison Current News Technical Analysis Trend Analysis Eval Summary of Valuations

Analysts Recommendations Risk Investment Recommendations

Snapshot
Sector Industry Consumer Cyclical Footwear

Market Cap. Ticker Symbol


Recent Stock Price 52wk High 52wk Low

21.738 billion NKE


$84.11 $92.43 $75.10

Beta

.83

Brief Overview

NIKEs principal business activity is the design, development and worldwide marketing of high quality footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessory product The largest seller of athletic footwear and athletic apparel in the world Distributed in over 160 countries around the world Sell under the NIKE brand, wholly owned subsidiary Converse, Cole Haan, g Series, Bragano, Hurley, NIKE Hockey, and Exeter brands Main competitors have joined with the recent announced acquisition of Reebok by Adidas

Overview

Nikes best year was last year. The US accounts for 46% of revenues. Market Cap doubled in 1 year, mostly due to the growth in US footwear sales. Internet market share makes buying shoes easy. No such thing as bad publicity.

Financial Statements

Sales growth has consistently grown over the last four years
4.3% in 02 8.1% in 03 14.5% in 04 12.1% in 05

Increase in Gross Margin from 39%-45%, however this is not likely to continue to grow in future years Red Flags

Industry Comparison
Ratio NKE Industry Sector S&P500

P/E
Beta Price to Sales Current Ratio ROA ROI

17.09
.64 1.61 1.92 15.25 19.98

17.33
2.31 1.49 4.07 14.55 19.07

17.38
1.12 1.21 2.91 7.45 9.95

19.63
1 2.76 1.71 7.62 11.46

ROE
Receivable Turnover Inventory Turnover

24.04
6.26 4.44

22.71
7.33 4.49

14.3
6.60 8.53

18.96
10.39 13.02

Current News

England just banned the use of a chemical that is used in the production of leather shoes. The affects on NIKE have yet to be determined. Adidas announce its acquisition of Reebok. These are the two biggest competitors, who when combined, will be roughly the size of NIKE.

Technical Analysis

In the last Year

Support level 76 dollars per share

Resistance level approximately 92 dollars a share

Last 5 years
Support level at 39 dollars a share

Technical Analysis Continued


In line with its 200 day moving average

Has tended to less volatility over the last 2-3 years

Trend Analysis

Inventory Trends

Leverage Analysis

Operating Cash Flow

Revenue Breakdown
NIKE, Inc. DIVISIONAL REVENUES Q1 05 U.S. Re gion Footwear Apparel Equipment Total EM EA Re gion Footwear Apparel Equipment Total 663.3 409.7 84.9 1,157.9 531.8 370.0 59.3 961.1 615.3 351.3 67.3 1,033.9 689.6 366.1 73.0 1,128.7 18.2% 10.9% 2.1% 31.2% 685.1 435.2 97.2 1,217.5 17.7% 11.3% 2.5% 31.5% 3.3% 6.2% 14.5% 5.1% 921.4 391.3 89.0 1,401.7 680.0 384.7 67.3 1,132.0 849.6 345.8 72.8 1,268.2 907.2 335.9 84.3 1,327.4 24.4% 10.6% 2.3% 37.3% 1,021.1 395.5 92.3 1,508.9 26.4% 10.2% 2.4% 39.1% 10.8% 1.1% 3.7% 7.6% Q2 05 Q3 05 Q4 05 YTD FY 05 Q1 06 YTD FY 06 1 Ye ar Quarte rly Growth

Asia Pacific Re gion Footwear Apparel Equipment Total Ame ricas Re gion Footwear Apparel Equipment Total 114.8 35.5 11.4 161.7 3,127.3 434.5 129.8 46.9 12.6 189.3 2,765.9 382.4 99.6 33.5 10.6 143.7 2,918.6 389.6 134.4 53.2 13.5 201.1 3,192.2 529.2 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 5.1% 87.4% 12.6% 156.9 40.7 16.1 213.7 3,399.7 462.3 4.1% 1.1% 0.4% 5.5% 88.0% 12.0% 36.7% 14.6% 41.2% 32.2% 8.7% 6.4% 218.6 148.8 38.6 406.0 236.6 207.8 39.1 483.5 237.9 188.3 46.6 472.8 269.8 210.6 54.6 535.0 7.0% 5.5% 1.3% 13.8% 237.4 176.5 45.7 459.6 6.1% 4.6% 1.2% 11.9% 8.6% 18.6% 18.4% 13.2%

Othe r

Total NIKE, Inc. re v e nue s 3,561.8

3,148.3

3,308.2

3,721.4

100.0%

3,862.0

100.0%

8.4%

EVal

Summary of Valuations

Analysts Recommendations

Analysts have a price target between 95-110 dollars depending on one or two year return Consensus recommendation is OUTPERFORM Mean rating is a 1.84, down from a 2.06 two months ago

NIKE Risk

Risk Grade 103 (Max 134) Over 3/4 of all stocks available are more risky than NIKE

Risk Contd

Portfolio with NIKE

Risk Grade of 60 vs. current risk grade of 62 An analysis of our current portfolio labels consumer discretionary as the most underweight sector compared to the benchmark Interesting Facts: Nike NEVER made an offer to buy Under Armor They had Nike Shocks well before they were sold in store but decided to hold sale until Michael Jordon retired and his shoe line lost popularity

Investment Recommendations

Positive: Company has strong potential if it can tap into the foreign markets (China and International Soccer). A purchase of 65 shares would account for 4.65% of the portfolio and would have a market value 5,382 dollars. Negative:
Right now too much stress is put on the strength and growth of the US Footwear sector. The abroad sector that is expected to grow contributes a low percentage of overall revenue. However, this does leave room for rapid growth and expansion. The company has doubled its market cap. over the last five years and has seen a very wide trading range between 50 and 90 dollars.

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