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Exploring the Healthcare

Price Tag
Research on Private Hospitals

Actuarial & Insurance Solutions


Ashleigh Theophanides

12 June 2008

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Agenda

Overview of analysis
Private hospital building composition
Nurse staffing
Length of stay wards and theatres
Occupancy wards and theatres
Generalised Linear Modelling

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Assets

Methodology Overview

Expenses

Occupancy

Overhead expenses
Staffing nursing and administrative
Working capital
Medical equipment

Surgical ward

ICU

Major theatre

Land and building

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Methodology Overview
Ward

U1

M1

Theatre

U2

M2

Equipment

U3

M3

Revenue

Operating expenses

Working capital
Assets

Medical equipment

Surgical

ICU

Target
Profit

Theatre
ROI

Land and building

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Distribution of hospitals by number of beds


Sample: 83% of private multi-disciplinary hospital beds

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Distribution of beds and space per bed (m2)

45

35%

40

30%

35

25%

30
25

20%

20

15%

15

10%

10

Space per bed (m2)

HASA NHRPL 2009

Maternity

High Care

Neonatal

ICU

0%
Day

0
Paediatric

5%
Medical

Surgical

Space per bed (m2)

Average hospital composition

Percentage of beds

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Distribution of theatres

Distribution of theatres
45%

Percent of hospitals

40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%

13+

9 - 12

5-8

<4

0%

Number of theatres

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Staffing - nursing
Analysis of nursing staffing by nursing category:
Registered Nurse (RN)
Enrolled Nurse (EN)
Enrolled Nursing Assistant (ENA)
Other nursing categories
Unit manager (RN 1 per ward)
Care workers (not nurse but used to supplement care)
Permanent vs. agency staff
Nursing salaries by type of ward and impact of overtime
Nursing model
Acuity number of nursing hours required per patient
Skill mix ratios distribution of acuity by nurse type

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Nursing ratios Actual


Total staff ratios by ward type and nurse category
100%
12%

90%

Percenatge

80%

42%

33%

46%

40%

70%

40%

32%

15%
22%

17%

23%

25%

23%

25%
71%

30%

75%

15%

10%

31%

36%

Paediatric General

32%

44%

Medical, Neurological

20%

14%

64%

60%
50%

17%

10%

64%
50%

21%

Registered Nurse

HASA NHRPL 2009

Enrolled Nurse

Maternity

High Care

Neonatal ICU/HCU

Ward Type

ICU & Specialised ICU

Day

Psychiatric

Surgical

0%

Enrolled Nurse Assistant

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Nursing staff per bed


Number of nurses per bed

Ward Type
Surgical

10

Total Staff Nurses per Bed


Enrolled
Registered
Enrolled
Nurse
Nurse
Nurse
Assistant
0.232
0.204
0.249

Unit
Manager

Care Worker

Total

0.032

0.135

0.853

Psychiatric

0.237

0.126

0.125

0.040

0.108

0.636

Medical, Neurological

0.218

0.190

0.248

0.028

0.174

0.859

Paediatric General

0.283

0.223

0.271

0.046

0.167

0.990

Day

0.143

0.123

0.561

0.029

0.051

0.906

ICU & Specialised ICU

1.822

0.523

0.214

0.082

0.223

2.864

Neonatal ICU/HCU

1.115

0.257

0.126

0.065

0.086

1.649

High Care

0.983

0.382

0.114

0.056

0.154

1.689

Maternity

0.565

0.213

0.298

0.049

0.155

1.280

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Looking forward nursing graduates


Nursing output from South African Institutions 1998 vs. 2007
RN output dropped from 35% to 13% over the period
Output of nurses from all South African institutions - 1998
Registered
Nurses
35%

Enrolled Nurse
Assistants
31%

Enrolled Nurses
34%

Output of nurses from all South African institutions - 2007

Enrolled Nurse
Assistants
49%

Registered
Nurses
13%

Enrolled Nurses
38%

Source: South African Nursing Council


11

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Staffing nursing
Number of nurses per 100 000 population in SA
Increase in lower levels of nurses EN and ENA
Number of nurses per 100.000 population

South Africa: Nurses per 100,000 population


250

216.02

216.91

200

150

124.50

118.56

100

84.81

77.72

50
0
RN

EN

ENA

Type of nurse
1998

2007

Source: South African Nursing Council


12

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Staffing nursing
Ageing of the nursing population in SA
Age distribution : Registered Nurses 2007
60 -69
11%

> 69
2%

Not reported
1%

<30
3%
30 - 39
22%

50 - 59
26%
40 - 49
35%

Source: South African Nursing Council

13

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Staffing - nursing
Correlations between number of nursing staff and length of stay per tariff
Provides indication of the efficiency of nursing staff allocations to patients based
on the number of bed days
A higher correlation (close to 1) indicates high level of efficiency
Overall correlation: 89.2%
Tariff / Ward
Surgical
Medical and neurological
Paediatric
Day
ICU & Specialised ICU
High care
Neonatal
Maternity
Overall wards
Theatres
14

HASA NHRPL 2009

Correlation
89.9%
78.9%
77.6%
58.7%
81.8%
65.4%
82.8%
77.0%
89.2%
80.0%
2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Average length of stay Weekday versus weekend


Overall LOS during 2007 is 3.19 days (2006: 3.17 days)
Average LoS - Weekday vs Weekend
4.50
4.00
3.50

4.09
3.07

2.00
1.50

4.10

2.50

3.04

AVG LOS

3.00

1.00
0.50
Weekday

Weekend

2006

15

HASA NHRPL 2009

2007

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Average length of stay Weekday versus weekend


Weekday- 2007

Day Cases
38%

AVG LOS =
4.43 days

stay for more


than a day
62%

Weekend - 2007
Day Cases
20%

stay for more


than a day
80%
16

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Average length of stay Per day of the week


Average LoS per weekday - LoS for cases that stay longer than 1 day compared with
overall LoS
6.00
5.00

3.00

4.97

5.00

4.93

4.91

4.66

4.60

4.36

4.36

4.34

4.33

4.37

4.34

4.47

2.00

4.42

AVG LOS

4.00

1.00

2006 longer than a day

17

HASA NHRPL 2009

2007 longer than a day

Sunday

Saturday

Friday

Thursday

Wednesday

Tuesday

Monday

2006 ALL

2007 ALL

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Average length of stay Gender

18

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Average length of stay tariff code


Description
Surgical
Thoracic & Neurosurgical
Psychiatric
Medical
Paediatric
Day
Isolation
Private
Specialised ICU
ICU
Neonatal ICU
High care
Neonatal high care A
Neonatal high care B
Neonatal

19

HASA NHRPL 2009

2006 - frequency 2007 - frequency


27.4%
27.1%
0.9%
0.9%
1.1%
1.1%
22.6%
22.8%
7.7%
7.7%
24.6%
24.4%
0.1%
0.2%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.4%
3.4%
3.4%
0.3%
0.3%
7.1%
7.3%
0.4%
0.5%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%
0.6%

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Occupancy 2006 and 2007


Occupancy on Available Beds - 2006 vs 2007
68%
67%

65%

67%

64%

61%
60%

64%

62%

65%

63%

62%

Occupancy %

66%

59%
2006

2007
All

20

HASA NHRPL 2009

Excl April & December

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Occupancy weekday versus weekend


Occupancy based on available beds - Weekend vs Weekday
90%
80%

60%

77%

76%

40%

76%

50%

74%

35%

34%

20%

35%

30%

35%

Occupancy %

70%

10%
0%
Weekday

Weekend

2006

21

HASA NHRPL 2009

Weekday Excl April & Dec Weekend Excl April & Dec

2007

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Length of stay - Theatres


Theatre length of stay (minutes)
Distribution of
Category
times
Average time
Major theatre
94%
60.5
Minor theatre
6%
21.4
Total
100%
54.5
Average time in major theatre - 2006 vs 2007
70.00

50.00

30.00

60.40

40.00

60.68

Avg Time in mins

60.00

2006

2007

20.00
10.00
0.00

Average time

22

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Length of stay Theatres by age


Average theatre time by age

90

80

Average time in theatre (minutes)

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0
0

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

106

Age

Major

23

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Length of stay Theatres by age


Correlation between theatre time and age
High variability in the older ages and among neonates

Gender
Males

Females

Overall

24

HASA NHRPL 2009

Ages

Correlation

All ages
Ages < 70
Ages > 2
All ages
Ages < 70
Ages > 2
All ages
Ages < 70
Ages > 2

77%
96%
76%
76%
97%
75%
72%
98%
71%

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Length of stay Theatres by day of week


Major Theatre Minutes - 2006
Week day

Average time

Average age

Distribution

Monday

61.2

41.6

18.2%

Tuesday

61.1

41.8

20.1%

Wednesday

61.0

41.5

19.4%

Thursday

59.8

41.0

20.1%

Friday

57.3

38.8

16.5%

Saturday
Sunday

67.9

37.1

3.9%

71.4

37.2

1.8%

Total

60.7

40.8

100.0%

Major Theatre Minutes - 2007


Week day

25

Average time

Average age

Distribution

Monday

61.3

42.1

18.2%

Tuesday

61.4

41.9

19.8%

Wednesday

60.6

41.6

19.7%

Thursday

59.3

40.9

20.2%

Friday

56.6

39.0

16.5%

Saturday
Sunday

67.5

37.3

3.7%

70.7

37.1

1.9%

Total

60.4

40.9

100%

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Length of stay Theatres by month of year


Distribution of cases by month of year
Distribution of cases in major theatre per month - 2006 vs 2007
10.0%
9.0%

Avg time in mins

8.0%
7.0%

6.0%
5.0%
4.0%

8.2%

8.7%

9.2%

9.1%

8.7%

8.8%

8.8%

7.5%

8.9%
7.8%

8.8%

3.0%

5.6%

2.0%
1.0%

2006

26

HASA NHRPL 2009

December

November

October

September

August

July

June

May

April

March

February

January

0.0%

2007

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

27
HASA NHRPL 2009
No RVU

33.0 +

31.5 - 33.0

30.0 - 31.5

28.5 - 30.0

27.0 - 28.5

25.5 - 27.0

24.0 - 25.5

22.5 - 24.0

21.0 - 22.5

19.5 - 21.0

18.0 - 19.5

16.5 - 18.0

15.0 - 16.5

13.5 - 15.0

12.0 - 13.5

10.5 - 12.0

09.0 - 10.5

07.5 - 09.0

06.0 - 07.5

04.5 - 06.0

03.0 - 04.5

01.5 - 03.0

00.0 - 01.5

Average theatre time (minutes)

Length of stay Impact of RVUs


Averrage theatre time by RVU

180.00

160.00

140.00

120.00

100.00

80.00

60.00

40.00

20.00

0.00

Relative Value Units (RVU)

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Length of stay Theatres by age


Average theatre time by age

90

80

Average time in theatre (minutes)

70

60

50

40

30

20

10

0
0

10

15

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

55

60

65

70

75

80

85

90

95

100

106

Age

Major

28

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling - Introduction


GLM is a form of regression, which takes account of the effect of several different
factors at once.
It assumes an underlying structure for the relationship between the variable we
are trying to model (e.g. average claims experience) - the response or
dependant variable- and the factors that affect it (e.g. age, gender, number of
chronic conditions etc).
Formula 1:
Response variable = k x ffactor 1 x ffactor 2 x x ffactor n + e
Where k is a constant and ffactor n is a parameter which depends on the level of
factor i (so if factor i is age, then ffactor i might be something like 0.8 if age < 35,
1.00 if 35 age< 50 and 1.25 otherwise).
The factor e allows for statistical variability and is called the error term. In the
modelling, various statistical distributions are fitted to the error term with the aim
of minimising such variability.

29

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling Results All Wards


Intercept

Estimate
2.013

Lower CI (5%)
2.003

Upper CI (95%)
2.023

Risk factor
estimate
1.836
0.823
0.745
0.834
0.831
0.887
0.950
1.000
1.043
1.066
1.061
1.040
1.022
1.031
1.057
1.112
1.174
1.230
1.362

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.825
0.818
0.740
0.827
0.826
0.881
0.945
1.000
1.038
1.061
1.055
1.034
1.016
1.025
1.051
1.105
1.167
1.221
1.350

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.846
0.828
0.751
0.842
0.837
0.892
0.955
1.000
1.048
1.072
1.066
1.046
1.028
1.037
1.063
1.118
1.182
1.239
1.373

1.029

1.024

1.035

Age Results
Age band
A: Under 1
B: 01-04
C: 05-09
D: 10-14
E: 15-19
F: 20-24
G: 25-29
H: 30-34
I: 35-39
J: 40-44
K: 45-49
L: 50-54
M: 55-59
N: 60-64
O: 65-69
P: 70-74
Q: 75-79
R: 80-84
S: 85+

Patient distribution
3.7%
6.5%
3.5%
2.5%
4.1%
5.5%
7.8%
9.7%
9.0%
7.6%
7.2%
6.5%
6.1%
5.3%
4.6%
3.8%
3.0%
1.9%
1.3%

Exposure weighted factor

30

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling Results All Wards


Procedures Results
No of Proceduires
A: 0
B: 1
C: 2
D: 3
E: 4
F: 5
G: 6
H: 7
J: 8
K: 9
L: 10
M: 10+

Patient distribution
32.5%
33.6%
17.5%
7.9%
4.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.2%

Exposure weighted factor

Risk factor
estimate
1.340
1.000
1.042
1.199
1.381
1.592
1.845
2.088
2.448
2.351
3.124
4.582

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.336
1.000
1.039
1.194
1.373
1.582
1.831
2.069
2.420
2.321
3.073
4.542

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.344
1.000
1.046
1.204
1.388
1.602
1.860
2.108
2.476
2.382
3.177
4.623

1.193

1.190

1.197

Risk factor
estimate
0.602
1.000
1.305
1.626
1.932
2.319
2.663
3.095
3.543
3.924
3.543
5.258

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
0.567
1.000
1.301
1.621
1.925
2.307
2.646
3.069
3.507
3.874
3.488
5.205

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
0.638
1.000
1.308
1.631
1.940
2.331
2.681
3.121
3.580
3.974
3.599
5.311

1.300

1.297

1.303

ICD10 Results
No of ICD10
A: 0
B: 1
C: 2
D: 3
E: 4
F: 5
G: 6
H: 7
J: 8
K: 9
L: 10
M: 10+

Patient distribution
0.1%
50.1%
26.7%
12.5%
5.5%
2.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.2%

Exposure weighted factor

31

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling Results All Wards


Weekday Results
Weekday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday

Patient distribution
19.0%
18.6%
17.7%
17.8%
15.1%
6.3%
5.5%

Exposure weighted factor

Risk factor
estimate
1.000
0.954
0.943
0.933
0.967
1.091
1.123

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.000
0.951
0.940
0.930
0.963
1.086
1.118

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.000
0.957
0.947
0.937
0.970
1.095
1.128

0.977

0.974

0.980

Risk factor
estimate
1.023
1.000

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.021
1.000

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.025
1.000

1.011

1.010

1.012

Risk factor
estimate
1.000
1.011

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.000
1.009

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.000
1.013

1.005

1.004

1.006

Risk factor
estimate
1.000
1.085

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.000
1.079

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.000
1.090

1.005

1.005

1.006

Year results
Year
2006
2007

Patient distribution
49.2%
50.8%

Exposure weighted factor

Gender results
Gender
Female
Male

Patient distribution
56.5%
43.5%

Exposure weighted factor

Maternity Results
Maternity indicators
No
Yes

Patient distribution
93.7%
6.3%

Exposure weighted factor

32

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling Results All Wards

Ward Factors
No of ICD10
No of Proceduires
Age band
Year
Maternity indicators
Gender
Weekday

33

HASA NHRPL 2009

Exposure weighted
factor
1.300
1.193
1.029
1.011
1.005
1.005
0.977

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling Results Theatres


Intercept

Estimate
27.296

Lower CI (5%)
27.168

Upper CI (95%)
27.425

Risk factor
estimate
0.938
0.882
0.925
0.982
0.970
0.971
0.988
1.000
1.007
1.009
1.018
1.021
1.028
1.022
1.007
0.983
0.950
0.911
0.899

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
0.929
0.877
0.920
0.976
0.965
0.967
0.984
1.000
1.003
1.005
1.014
1.017
1.024
1.017
1.002
0.978
0.945
0.904
0.890

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
0.948
0.887
0.931
0.988
0.975
0.976
0.992
1.000
1.011
1.013
1.022
1.025
1.032
1.026
1.011
0.988
0.956
0.917
0.907

0.990

0.986

0.994

Age Results
Age band
A: Under 1
B: 01-04
C: 05-09
D: 10-14
E: 15-19
F: 20-24
G: 25-29
H: 30-34
I: 35-39
J: 40-44
K: 45-49
L: 50-54
M: 55-59
N: 60-64
O: 65-69
P: 70-74
Q: 75-79
R: 80-84
S: 85+

Patient distribution
1.0%
4.9%
3.6%
2.6%
4.4%
5.8%
8.2%
10.4%
9.9%
8.3%
7.7%
7.0%
6.6%
5.8%
4.9%
3.8%
2.8%
1.6%
0.8%

Exposure weighted factor

34

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling Results Theatres


Procedures Results
No of Procedures
A: 0
B: 1
C: 2
D: 3
E: 4
F: 5
G: 6
H: 7
J: 8
K: 9
L: 10
M: 10+

Patient distribution
7.1%
45.0%
25.7%
11.1%
5.3%
2.6%
1.3%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
0.3%

Exposure weighted factor

Risk factor
estimate
0.427
1.000
1.149
1.288
1.408
1.530
1.697
1.837
1.935
2.070
1.953
2.636

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
0.414
1.000
1.146
1.284
1.403
1.523
1.687
1.824
1.917
2.047
1.929
2.615

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
0.439
1.000
1.151
1.291
1.413
1.537
1.707
1.850
1.953
2.093
1.977
2.658

1.093

1.091

1.096

Risk factor
estimate
1.026
1.000
1.059
1.085
1.138
1.187
1.206
1.261
1.304
1.320
1.189
1.406

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
0.988
1.000
1.056
1.082
1.133
1.181
1.198
1.249
1.288
1.300
1.170
1.389

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.067
1.000
1.061
1.088
1.142
1.193
1.215
1.273
1.320
1.340
1.207
1.422

1.040

1.038

1.041

ICD10 Results
No of ICD10
A: 0
B: 1
C: 2
D: 3
E: 4
F: 5
G: 6
H: 7
J: 8
K: 9
L: 10
M: 10+

Patient distribution
0.1%
54.9%
25.0%
11.4%
4.6%
2.0%
0.9%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.2%

Exposure weighted factor

35

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling Results Theatres


Weekday Results
Weekday
Monday
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Saturday
Sunday

Patient distribution
19.0%
20.0%
19.3%
19.4%
16.1%
3.7%
2.6%

Exposure weighted factor

Risk factor
estimate
1.010
1.000
1.007
0.995
0.988
1.072
1.113

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.008
1.000
1.005
0.992
0.985
1.067
1.107

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.013
1.000
1.010
0.997
0.991
1.077
1.118

1.006

1.004

1.008

Risk factor
estimate
1.007
1.000

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.005
1.000

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.008
1.000

1.003

1.002

1.004

Risk factor
estimate
1.000
1.052

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.000
1.050

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.000
1.054

1.022

1.021

1.023

Risk factor
estimate
1.000
0.629

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.000
0.626

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.000
0.633

0.974

0.974

0.974

Year results
Year
2006
2007

Patient distribution
49.5%
50.5%

Exposure weighted factor

Gender results
Gender
Female
Male

Patient distribution
57.2%
42.8%

Exposure weighted factor

Maternity Results
Maternity indicators
No
Yes

Patient distribution
93.0%
7.0%

Exposure weighted factor

36

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Generalised Linear Modelling Results Theatres


RVU band Results
RVU band
0
000 - 001.5
001.5 - 003
003 - 004.5
004.5 - 006
006 - 007.5
007.5 - 009
009 - 010.5
010.5 - 012
012 - 013.5
013.5 - 015
015 - 016.5
016.5 - 018
018 - 019.5
019.5 - 021
021 - 022.5
022.5 - 024
024 - 025.5
025.5 - 027
027 - 028.5
028.5 - 030
030 - 031.5
031.5 - 032
033+
BLANK_CPT
NO MATCH

Patient distribution
3.2%
0.6%
5.9%
4.6%
4.9%
4.9%
13.4%
5.5%
3.9%
3.7%
3.4%
3.9%
4.8%
5.2%
1.9%
2.9%
1.3%
8.0%
0.8%
1.2%
1.2%
0.7%
0.6%
4.6%
6.8%
1.8%

Exposure weighted factor

37

HASA NHRPL 2009

Risk factor
estimate
1.657
1.677
1.007
1.021
1.195
1.147
1.000
1.188
1.493
1.574
1.459
1.477
1.868
1.766
2.371
2.145
2.342
2.639
2.708
3.024
3.061
3.182
3.367
4.052
4.562
1.682

Risk factor
Lower CI estimate
1.647
1.660
1.001
1.014
1.188
1.140
1.000
1.181
1.484
1.565
1.451
1.469
1.859
1.758
2.357
2.133
2.325
2.626
2.686
3.004
3.041
3.158
3.340
4.035
4.431
1.669

Risk factor
Upper CI estimate
1.666
1.695
1.013
1.027
1.202
1.153
1.000
1.194
1.501
1.583
1.468
1.485
1.877
1.775
2.385
2.157
2.358
2.653
2.729
3.044
3.081
3.207
3.395
4.069
4.697
1.694

1.907

1.890

1.924

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Summary of GLM factors

38

HASA NHRPL 2009

Ward Factors
No of ICD10
No of Proceduires
Age band
Year
Maternity indicators
Gender
Weekday

Exposure weighted
factor
1.300
1.193
1.029
1.011
1.005
1.005
0.977

Theatre Factors
RVU band
No of Procedures
No of ICD10
Gender
Weekday
Year
Age band
Maternity indicators

Exposure weighted
factor
1.907
1.093
1.040
1.022
1.006
1.003
0.990
0.974

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Ward and Theatre GLM factors by Age


Risk factor estimates by age
2.000

Risk factor estimate

1.800
1.600

1.400
1.200
1.000
0.800
0.600

0.400
0.200

Theatre

39

HASA NHRPL 2009

S: 85+

R: 80-84

Q: 75-79

P: 70-74

O: 65-69

N: 60-64

M: 55-59

L: 50-54

K: 45-49

J: 40-44

I: 35-39

H: 30-34

G: 25-29

F: 20-24

E: 15-19

D: 10-14

C: 05-09

B: 01-04

A: Under 1

0.000

Ward

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Ward and Theatre GLM factors by Weekday


Risk factor estimates by day of week
1.200
1.000
0.800
0.600
0.400
0.200

Theatre

40

HASA NHRPL 2009

Sunday

Saturday

Friday

Thursday

Wednesday

Tuesday

Monday

0.000

Ward

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

41
HASA NHRPL 2009

033+

031.5 - 033

030 - 031.5

028.5 - 030

027 - 028.5

025.5 - 027

024 - 025.5

022.5 - 024

021 - 022.5

019.5 - 021

018 - 019.5

016.5 - 018

015 - 016.5

013.5 - 015

012 - 013.5

010.5 - 012

009 - 010.5

007.5 - 009

006 - 007.5

004.5 - 006

003 - 004.5

001.5 - 003

000 - 001.5

Risk factors estimate

Theatre GLM factors by RVU


GLM factors by RVU

4.500

4.000

3.500

3.000

2.500

2.000

1.500

1.000

0.500

0.000

RVU band

Consolidated

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

Analysis of change in Occupancy


Increase in occupancy from 62.09% to 64.52% between 2006 and 2007
Reason for the increase in occupancy?

Utilisation
1.91%

Length of stay
0.52%

Driven by changes in disease


profiles among those with 2 or
more ICD10s
42

HASA NHRPL 2009

2008 Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu

43

HASA NHRPL 2009

Member of
2008
Deloitte
Touche
Tohmatsu
Deloitte
Touche
Tohmatsu

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